View Full Version : Is Cain's popularity because of his low name recognition?
Chronos
05-28-2011, 01:07 PM
The esteemed Nate Silver has been arguing for taking Herman Cain seriously (http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/05/27/the-not-so-simple-case-for-taking-herman-cain-seriously/) because, despite his low name recognition of only about 30%, he's still polling at around 10%. But I have an alternate hypothesis: What if his relative popularity is not despite his low name recognition, but because of it?
Everyone recognizes that the Republican field this cycle, while very broad, is rather flawed. Is it possible that Republican primary voters, when polled, are saying "Nope, don't like him... Don't like him... Don't like her..." to all the candidates they recognize, and then picking essentially at random from the candidates they don't recognize (and therefore don't know that they dislike)? If this is the case, then one would expect Cain's (and the other low-recognition candidates') support in the polls to drop, not rise, as voters become more familiar with them.
In particular, of course, we have to consider race. There are still a very large number of Republicans who would never support a black candidate. But since most of them haven't yet heard of Herman Cain, they don't yet know that he's black. And even of those who have heard of them, at least some of them will only know of him from print lists of candidates and their positions, or the like, and might still not realize that he's black. Once folks start realizing his race, any of the racist contingent that's now saying they favor him will drop out of his camp.
Boyo Jim
05-29-2011, 12:57 PM
I don't know enough to comment about the popularity because he's not recognized, though I'm skeptical. Presumably Silver has made a point of his popularity because it's out of proportion to his name recognition, which suggests he might have comparative data about other unknown names.
After the first Republican debate (which I didn't watch), a focus group gave Cain the "win" by a clear majority. Whether that would translate into a vote later, I dunno -- and I also dunno whether they group was asked about actually voting. But the group watched the debate, and they know he's black, and they didn't dismiss what he said because of it.
So maybe an accompanying question to yours would be -- if conservative voters have to choose between a black candidate who is perceived as more reliably conservative than a white candidate (Romney, I'm looking at you), who will they choose?
Least Original User Name Ever
05-29-2011, 09:34 PM
I think Cain is more "reliably conservative" than Cain. Cain doesn't have Romneycare or the Affordable Care Act hanging over him, or even the flip-flop on abortion, or even Mormonism. Cain is a successful businessman and seems to put his thoughts together pretty well. He's not well known, but I think he has some legs. Of course, he's a pretty unknown commodity, so we'll see if someone like Rick Perry, Sarah Palin, or Chris Christie come into the race and completely undercut his head of steam.
Mosier
05-29-2011, 09:47 PM
I think Cain is more "reliably conservative" than Cain. Cain doesn't have Romneycare or the Affordable Care Act hanging over him, or even the flip-flop on abortion, or even Mormonism. Cain is a successful businessman and seems to put his thoughts together pretty well. He's not well known, but I think he has some legs. Of course, he's a pretty unknown commodity, so we'll see if someone like Rick Perry, Sarah Palin, or Chris Christie come into the race and completely undercut his head of steam.
Did you mean to say Cain is more reliably conservative than Romney?
Least Original User Name Ever
05-29-2011, 10:04 PM
Did you mean to say Cain is more reliably conservative than Romney?
I did. Rowr.
MEBuckner
05-30-2011, 03:18 PM
That could be the basis of a good Republican primary campaign, though.
"You want a conservative? A real conservative, not some RINO? Well, heck, I'm more conservative than myself!"
Boyo Jim
05-30-2011, 03:21 PM
"No one can out-conservative Herman Cain! Not even Herman Cain!"
Chen019
05-30-2011, 03:48 PM
I thought it was because of his race that he had such high support?
Boyo Jim
05-30-2011, 03:57 PM
By "high support" do you mean junkies?
Folacin
05-30-2011, 03:57 PM
It's likely the high esteem that the Tea Party has for outsiders and business successes. Whether either of those traits translates to successful governmental leadership is at best murky.
Simplicio
05-30-2011, 04:09 PM
It's likely the high esteem that the Tea Party has for outsiders and business successes. Whether either of those traits translates to successful governmental leadership is at best murky.
Yea, I think he's just this years "outsider" candidate, especially now that Trump has made his inevitable exit. He'll attract a bunch of motivated disatisfied voters, but their numbers will be a lot smaller then their enthusiasm, and he'll end up fighting Bachmann for third place.
There are certainly some voters that won't vote for a black candidate, but even amongst GOP primary voters I don't think they're that large a fraction, and concentrated in a few states in Appalacia and the deep South. Cain won't come close to the GOP nomination, but it will be because outsider candidates never win, not because he's black.
I've never had Godfathers pizza, is it any good?
Boyo Jim
05-30-2011, 04:11 PM
Have we seen this guy's birth certificate?
Chronos
05-30-2011, 04:57 PM
Quoth Folacin:It's likely the high esteem that the Tea Party has for outsiders and business successes.Of course, being an "outsider" is also related to his low name recognition.
ElvisL1ves
05-30-2011, 05:41 PM
Gotta be something like that. He sure can't be popular for the quality of his pizza.
Least Original User Name Ever
05-31-2011, 11:20 AM
Gotta be something like that. He sure can't be popular for the quality of his pizza.
So it sucks? Where are there locations?
The wind of my soul
05-31-2011, 02:46 PM
The esteemed Nate Silver has been arguing for taking Herman Cain seriously (http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/05/27/the-not-so-simple-case-for-taking-herman-cain-seriously/) because, despite his low name recognition of only about 30%, he's still polling at around 10%. But I have an alternate hypothesis: What if his relative popularity is not despite his low name recognition, but because of it?
Everyone recognizes that the Republican field this cycle, while very broad, is rather flawed. Is it possible that Republican primary voters, when polled, are saying "Nope, don't like him... Don't like him... Don't like her..." to all the candidates they recognize, and then picking essentially at random from the candidates they don't recognize (and therefore don't know that they dislike)? If this is the case, then one would expect Cain's (and the other low-recognition candidates') support in the polls to drop, not rise, as voters become more familiar with them.
In particular, of course, we have to consider race. There are still a very large number of Republicans who would never support a black candidate. But since most of them haven't yet heard of Herman Cain, they don't yet know that he's black. And even of those who have heard of them, at least some of them will only know of him from print lists of candidates and their positions, or the like, and might still not realize that he's black. Once folks start realizing his race, any of the racist contingent that's now saying they favor him will drop out of his camp.
So how do you account for him being 4 times as popular as Huntsman, who according to that very same article has nearly the same name recognition as Cain?
Backcountry Medic
05-31-2011, 03:08 PM
I can only vouch for the relative quality of his pizza. Fairly 'Pizza Hut'esque. Nothing on a serious gourmet pie, but good for chain quality. Biggest complaint we have is that they skimp on cheese when you get a pizza loaded with toppings. Decent breadsticks.
I'm not sure where they are based, but there are several here in Portland, OR and I don't ever recall seeing one in AZ that I noticed.
I think the most disturbing thing about his running is the idea that some might consider an unknown outsider to be the best option the party can put forward. It's almost like they're saying "Yeah, pretty much all of the other people in our party are universally known to be two-faced, brain-dead douches. Maybe we can bring in someone who most people couldn't pick out of a lineup and who has no record to compare to; people are probably gullible enough for that." Is there really not one eligible, long term republican candidate who actually can stand on their record and argue for they're presumably long held beliefs?
Chronos
05-31-2011, 03:12 PM
I don't know enough to say, since there are too many potential variables. Maybe people just liked his name better. Maybe the names were in alphabetical order and people picked the first one they didn't recognize. Maybe some folks got "Cain" mixed up with "McCain". Yeah, these are all stupid reasons to pick someone in a poll, but then again, look at the primary election that got Alvin Greene on the Senate ballot in South Carolina: A lot of folks who voted for him gave reasons that were just as stupid, if not more so.
Of course, the real answer is likely to be a combination of many factors, doubtless including some proportion who really are familiar with him, and think that his policies and ideas are the best available for the country, or that he represents the best chance of defeating Obama, or whatever. The question isn't whether such people exist; it's how significant they are, compared to the folks whose support is frivolous and will probably evaporate as the campaigns move forward.
Clothahump
05-31-2011, 03:14 PM
Yea, I think he's just this years "outsider" candidate, especially now that Trump has made his inevitable exit. He'll attract a bunch of motivated disatisfied voters, but their numbers will be a lot smaller then their enthusiasm, and he'll end up fighting Bachmann for third place.
There are certainly some voters that won't vote for a black candidate, but even amongst GOP primary voters I don't think they're that large a fraction, and concentrated in a few states in Appalacia and the deep South. Cain won't come close to the GOP nomination, but it will be because outsider candidates never win, not because he's black.
I've never had Godfathers pizza, is it any good?
I don't know. As of today, he's got my vote over anyone else except perhaps Fred Thompson. And during the days when I ate pizza, I would occasionally go to
Godfather's. It was okay.
Jas09
05-31-2011, 03:33 PM
I don't know. As of today, he's got my vote over anyone else except perhaps Fred Thompson. And during the days when I ate pizza, I would occasionally go to
Godfather's. It was okay.Fred Thompson?? Has he announced any intention of even thinking about running? Dude's almost 70.
ETA: Although maybe Chronos is on to something - it's old folks thinking the poller is asking about "McCain".
In particular, of course, we have to consider race. There are still a very large number of Republicans who would never support a black candidate. But since most of them haven't yet heard of Herman Cain, they don't yet know that he's black. And even of those who have heard of them, at least some of them will only know of him from print lists of candidates and their positions, or the like, and might still not realize that he's black. Once folks start realizing his race, any of the racist contingent that's now saying they favor him will drop out of his camp.IOW, in the face of facts at odds with your prejudice (Republicans who know Cain like him very much, and he's especially popular with the grassroots, the conservative base, and southerners ) ... you doggedly hold on to the prejudice.
Keep fucking that chicken, I guess.
The GOP base has not been happy with the GOP leadership for a long time. Cain is not a politician, he is not beholden to the party establishment, and he carries the image of a guy who says what he thinks.
They want someone with economic credentials. Cain's a former CEO.
They're tired of asshats who like to cast Republicans as perforce racists. Cain gives them a chance to vote for a right-wing black guy.
And it's still early enough that the whole thing is hazily theoretical, and his ignorance of foreign policy issues and inability to articulate policy specifics are overlookable. That will change.
Boyo Jim
05-31-2011, 04:08 PM
There's also his inability to distinguish between the Declaration of Independence and the Constitution. (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrGyymtped8)
Voyager
05-31-2011, 05:20 PM
I did. Rowr.
Well, given that Romney is more conservative than Romney, I understand your confusion.
Evil Captor
05-31-2011, 07:00 PM
And of course we must consider possible Republican strategy to siphon off some of the black vote. Every little bit helps, especially when Obama's loss is Cain's gain.
Boyo Jim
05-31-2011, 07:09 PM
And of course we must consider possible Republican strategy to siphon off some of the black vote. Every little bit helps, especially when Obama's loss is Cain's gain.
I think if Cain somehow gets the Republican nomination (IMO the possibility of that is between zero and five percent), he will in fact get a lot of black votes.
Not because he is black, but because there are a lot of conservative blacks out there who vote for Democrats because they believe Republicans are racist. Cain being nominated might reduce their aversion to voting for a conservative who is probably also a racist.
Icarus
05-31-2011, 07:09 PM
For anyone who has seen/heard him, he projects a very "strong" presence, very male and authoritarian. Frankly, many of the other male GOP candidates are kinda' milk-toasty. They don't have that "leader" vibe. Cain carries that off.
IMHO that resonates with a lot of the GOP base.
gonzomax
06-01-2011, 11:46 AM
He orates like a preacher. That appeals to many.
The Repubs have a crowded field of midgets. They have no towering statesman who can rally the masses. They are picking among a field of small timey pols and Gingrich and Romney, who are has beens. They have an enormous amount of money and news power to throw in back of the pick, but will they do it if they recognize the pick is a loser? Will the Repubs put up a token defense this cycle while trying to groom a good candidate for the next one?
Chronos
06-01-2011, 02:38 PM
Quoth furt:
IOW, in the face of facts at odds with your prejudice (Republicans who know Cain like him very much, and he's especially popular with the grassroots, the conservative base, and southerners ) ... you doggedly hold on to the prejudice.
Wait, you think that there's even a shadow of a doubt that many Republicans are racists? Do I also need to cite that the sky is blue or that water is wet?
Starving Artist
06-01-2011, 02:53 PM
Many Democrats/liberals are bigots as well. Know a few of 'em myself. Sure, they talk a good game, but then let them get mad at a black person or have a family member start to date a black person, and the n-word starts to fly.
I thought this board was opposed to stereotypes. Oddly enough, this philosophy doesn't seem to apply when directed at the right.
Chronos
06-01-2011, 04:26 PM
Many Democrats/liberals are bigots as well. Know a few of 'em myself. Sure, they talk a good game, but then let them get mad at a black person or have a family member start to date a black person, and the n-word starts to fly.Yes, and I don't think anyone denies that this hurt Obama in the primaries. The relevant question, though, is the relative proportions.
Jas09
06-01-2011, 04:30 PM
Bigots are bigots, no matter the party label. I don't think it was controversial to point out that this hurt Obama in some areas, nor to point out that it will hurt Cain in some places.
Either way, as far as I can tell he's just the latest empty vessel in which to pour Tea Party favor (for those that have written off Palin) - Trump, Gingrich, now Cain. Eventually they'll end up with Romney or Pawlenty.
Starving Artist
06-01-2011, 05:38 PM
Yes, and I don't think anyone denies that this hurt Obama in the primaries. The relevant question, though, is the relative proportions.Trouble is, relative proportions never seem to get mentioned. It's always Republicans=racist; Democrats=non-racist.
In my opinion, the true proportions aren't that far off. My own belief is that there are far fewer racist Republicans than people would have you believe, and far more Democrat racists than people would have you believe.
Boyo Jim
06-01-2011, 05:48 PM
Perhaps, but there are so many more overt racists in positions of power within the Republican Party. If nothing else, the party has to do a whole lot more than it has to stop the public manifestations of it.
Starving Artist
06-01-2011, 06:28 PM
Well, I think first of all you'd have to define those in positions of "power", and then you'd have to define "racist". For forty years or more I've heard people called racist for things that have nothing to do with their feelings or beliefs regarding race.
pseudotriton ruber ruber
06-01-2011, 06:52 PM
How about we simply define every word in the dictionary to suit you, and when we've done that (or when the sun burns out, whichever comes first) then we may be permitted to discuss the essential nature of the Republican Party?
Or just "never"? Would "Never" be too soon for you?
Chimera
06-01-2011, 07:27 PM
When a significantly large percentage of southern Republicans are still against racially mixed marriages, I am not even slighly pre-disposed to believe that there are "fewer racist Republicans than you would believe".
Starving Artist
06-01-2011, 07:35 PM
I wonder how many of your enlightened southern Democrats would be perfectly happy to have a family member date or marry someone who is black.
My experience has been that with regard to race, Democrats often talk one way and behave another.
Perhaps, but there are so many more overt racists in positions of power within the Republican Party. If nothing else, the party has to do a whole lot more than it has to stop the public manifestations of it.
Really? "Overt racists," as in "not concealed or secret" meaning they openly admit that they are racists? Or just as in "they say things that I dislike, and I choose to ascribe racism to them." Please, name some of these "many" people in "positions of power."
Chronos
06-01-2011, 08:07 PM
OK, Starving, how many folks show up to Democratic rallies carrying signs with racial slurs on them? How many Democrats are so convinced that the President of the United States isn't a "real American" that they have to invent an insane conspiracy theory that he was born in Kenya? Feel free to give examples.
Boyo Jim
06-01-2011, 08:07 PM
I wonder how many of your enlightened southern Democrats would be perfectly happy to have a family member date or marry someone who is black.
My experience has been that with regard to race, Democrats often talk one way and behave another.
So Republicans are better because they talk AND behave racist?
Starving Artist
06-01-2011, 08:31 PM
No, they don't. The vast, vast majority of Republican in this country do not carry racist signs. For that matter the majority of Republicans at political rallies don't carry racist signs either.
Obama's birth wasn't questioned simply because he's black (any Dem/Rep with a similar history would have come under the same scrutiny - such is the nature of politics. THe allegation that racism was behind it is also an example of what I was talking about regarding false/phony accusations of racism).
And yes, generally I think it's better to be honest about one's views than it is to pretend to feel one way and then behave another. The second is deceptive, dishonest and cowardly. (And in this case just as racist as the first.)
Chronos
06-02-2011, 12:33 PM
Obama's birth wasn't questioned simply because he's black (any Dem/Rep with a similar history would have come under the same scrutiny...)The "similar history" you're referring to is a history of having a dark skin color. If it were anything other than that, there'd be just as much hubbub over the guy who really genuinely wasn't born in the US, and was not a citizen at the time of his birth.
Vinyl Turnip
06-02-2011, 01:05 PM
And yes, generally I think it's better to be honest about one's views than it is to pretend to feel one way and then behave another.
Yes. Much better to "speak and remove all doubt," one might say.
ElvisL1ves
06-02-2011, 06:24 PM
No, they don't. The vast, vast majority of Republican in this country do not carry racist signs. For that matter the majority of Republicans at political rallies don't carry racist signs either. And they'll even tell you that some of their best friends are Negroes.
Obama's birth wasn't questioned simply because he's black (any Dem/Rep with a similar history would have come under the same scrutiny - such is the nature of politics. Really? What other candidate has ever had his citizenship challenged?
Starving Artist
06-02-2011, 06:36 PM
And they'll even tell you that some of their best friends are Negroes.They'd probably say their friends are "black", but apart from that, so what? If some of their best friends are blacks then to say so in response to false accusations of racism is both justified and a simple statement of fact. You have no objection to facts, do you?
Really? What other candidate has ever had his citizenship challenged?What other condidate has Obama's childhood history? A white candidate with a background history identical to Obama's would have come under the same scrutiny. As I said, it's politics. When you think you see an opening that might undo your opponent, you seek to exploit that to your advantage. I wish things weren't as they are in this way as well as in many others, but such is the state of politics these days and both sides do it.
ElvisL1ves
06-02-2011, 07:10 PM
If some of their best friends are blacks then to say so in response to false accusations of racism is both justified and a simple statement of fact.You really don't understand what the quote means or where it comes from, do you? That's odd for someone who claims to know and revere US culture of the 1950's.
What other condidate has Obama's childhood history?Every one has born in the US or to a US-citizen parent. Every single one.
So, again, why the stupid lying "questions" about the first colored one?
Starving Artist
06-02-2011, 07:54 PM
You really don't understand what the quote means or where it comes from, do you? That's odd for someone who claims to know and revere US culture of the 1950's. I understand perfectly well what it's alleged to mean in liberal circles. I simply reject the premise underlying that interpretation.
Every one has born in the US or to a US-citizen parent. Every single one.
So, again, why the stupid lying "questions" about the first colored one?The first "colored" one? I thought "colored" was as out of it and symbolic of rightie thinking as "Negroes". Must be yet another of those expressions that can only be used by lefties.
But I digress. Now, to get back to your question, first we should clear up what I would call a misapprehension. Questioning the circumstances of Obama's birth and/or having doubts about the proof thereof was neither stupid nor lies. In this day and age of political dirty tricks and easy digital alterations, it would be stupid not to question the legitimacy of the circumstances surrounding Obama's birth, given that there was such obstinate refusal to release the original document and the apparent mysteries surrounding its existence...mysteries exaggerated even by Hawaiian state officals, some of whom claimed to have seen it while others couldn't seem to find it.
As for lies, something is a lie only if a contradictory truth is known to begin with, and I'd wager that 99.9% of the people known as birthers did not know as a matter of fact the true circumstances of Obama's birth. Especially - like I said just above - given today's climate of political dirty tricks and ease of digital imaging.
As to why Obama's background was questioned where no one else's was, his childhood experiences were such as to give rise to questions that he may be of Muslim sympathies and/or beliefs, and in the wake of 9/11 this was a matter of considerable concern to much of the populace, and it was a concern unique to Obama as a candidate.
So the problems Obama faced over having to prove the legitimacy of his birth qualifications to be president were a combination of concerns over possible Muslim sympathies or attitudes and raw politics, where when you see a possible opening with which to do in your opponent, you exploit that opening to the best of your ability. Neither of these has anything to do with Obama's race. I would imagine that if someone like Herman Cain should prove to have the ability and political depth to run for and acheive the Republican presidential nomination, he would have the enthusiastic support of most of Republican voters. A few wouldn't vote for him because of his race of course, but I strongly suspect a similar percentage of Democrats supported Hillary Clinton and/or abstained from voting for Obama because of his race too. There are racists on both sides of the political scale and to assume that your side has a lock on all the good guys is erroneous at best.
Frank
06-02-2011, 09:35 PM
As to why Obama's background was questioned where no one else's was, his childhood experiences were such as to give rise to questions that he may be of Muslim sympathies and/or beliefs, and in the wake of 9/11 this was a matter of considerable concern to much of the populace, and it was a concern unique to Obama as a candidate.
I'm fairly certain that this is not how you supported Trump's questioning of Obama's birth, but, since both supporting arguments are made out of thin air, I guess it doesn't matter.
Starving Artist
06-02-2011, 10:20 PM
I don't know that I supported Trump's questioning of Obama's birth so much as I merely explained the reason for it. If you'll recall, the context of the thread was that stupidity was the only explanation why ayone could have genuine questions about Obama's birth. I merely pointed to the numerous reasons why this is not so. It seems to be very difficult on this board to explain unpopular actions without it being automatically assumed that I'm in support of them.
And as to whether the arguments (or more accurately, the concerns) were made out of thin air, I say that depends largely upon who's ox is being gored. The fact of the matter is that an important Constitutional issue lay at the root of the question of Obama's birth and in the end things played out as they should. The Constitutional issue was raised, debated, investigated, and found to be without merit. So far as I know we're not supposed to rely merely upon assumptions where Constitutional issues are concerned.
Frank
06-02-2011, 10:29 PM
The Constitutional issue was raised, debated, investigated, and found to be without merit.
So now we're going to raise the question of whether he has Islamic leanings. As if that matters. :rolleyes:
Starving Artist
06-02-2011, 10:49 PM
So now we're going to raise the question of whether he has Islamic leanings. As if that matters.
Different question/different answer.
And certainly it matters. Things that influence votes, matter.
Frank
06-02-2011, 10:55 PM
Different question/different answer.
And it most certainly matters. Things that influence votes, matter.
Yes, I suppose that people who make things up out of whole cloth would like to think that their delusions are influencing votes.
I think at this point that I shall revert to my previously held policy regarding your posts.
Starving Artist
06-02-2011, 11:20 PM
See? Now you're doing it. I never said that Muslim concerns would have influenced my vote. Yet simply because I point to how they could influence others' votes, I'm the bad guy.
Besides, I hadn't really noticed that your policy toward me had changed much to begin with. :)
Chronos
06-03-2011, 12:21 AM
In this day and age of political dirty tricks and easy digital alterations, it would be stupid not to question the legitimacy of the circumstances surrounding Obama's birth, given that there was such obstinate refusal to release the original document and the apparent mysteries surrounding its existence...mysteries exaggerated even by Hawaiian state officals, some of whom claimed to have seen it while others couldn't seem to find it.
So, the only US president in history to have shown the voters his birth certificate is suspect because... He didn't do it quick enough, I guess? Within a week of the rumors starting was too slow? And why did the rumors start in the first place? You're trying to claim that people questioned the circumstances of his birth because he didn't instantly show his birth certificate the moment that people questioned the circumstances of his birth. Isn't that a bit circular?
You're really not doing a very good job of refuting the proposition that birtherism is just plain racism.
ElvisL1ves
06-03-2011, 06:11 AM
Questioning the circumstances of Obama's birth and/or having doubts about the proof thereof was neither stupid nor lies.Considering that it had exactly zero factual support, and that it was (and is) maintained as a "question" even when comprehensively factually refuted, then yes, yes it was. Just like the "concerns" about his faith. It's about time you dealt with that.
Starving Artist
06-03-2011, 06:28 AM
There's no need for me to deal with it because it was never a concern of mine. All I've done and all I continue to do is explain why people might legitimately have questions about it, or why others might pursue the issue primarily for political purposes. I don't know how many times it's going to be necessary for me to say that, nor in how many threads, but I guess I can keep repeating myself for however long as it takes.
42fish
06-03-2011, 09:59 AM
As to why Obama's background was questioned where no one else's was, his childhood experiences were such as to give rise to questions that he may be of Muslim sympathies and/or beliefs...
Since you're the one pushing this theory, could you explain how "OMG, that candidate might be a Muslim (or have 'Muslim sympathies')" leads to "Prove you were born in the USA."
For bonus points, you could explain why you apparently think a good rebuttal to "The Birthers only raised the question because they're bigoted against blacks" is to posit, "Nah, they're just bigoted against Muslims."
Gyrate
06-03-2011, 10:11 AM
Can we talk about Cain please?
My first impression of Cain was a positive one. He does have some solid business experience and he occasionally gets off an excellent soundbite.
The problem is that once you start digging you discover that Cain doesn't really have good political skills - for all the mockery politicians, you need to be able to talk the talk and walk the way in Washington, and from what I've seen Cain would be out of his depth in that environment very quickly. I can't see him being a very good president at all, even before his spectacular gaffe about the DoI/Constitution.
Starving Artist
06-03-2011, 10:49 AM
I don't know as to how spectacular it was in truth. If Biden had said it, no one would pay any attention. I do agree though that Cain seems to lack the polish that makes for a good candidate. He not only un-PC, he's too agressively un-PC and all that will do is give ammo to his adversaries. Plus I'm unsure as to whether he has sufficient connections among capable people to staff an effective and knowledgeable cabinet and fulfill the other appointments and offices necessary in running an administration.
What I'd like to see is someone with the political chops of a Romney or McCain but with the ideals, goals and viewpoint of a Palin or a Herman Cain.
Implicit
06-03-2011, 10:53 AM
What I'd like to see is someone with the political chops of a Romney or McCain but with the ideals, goals and viewpoint of a Palin or a Herman Cain.
Yeah, cuz the McCain-Palin ticket was such a winner. :rolleyes:
The goals of Palin? Please.
Gyrate
06-03-2011, 11:00 AM
I don't know as to how spectacular it was in truth. If Biden had said it, no one would pay any attention.It would have been slightly less newsworthy if John Boehner hadn't already done the exact same thing back in November 2009. And I'm sure if Biden had done it, it would get the same coverage. I do agree though that Cain seems to lack the polish that makes for a good candidate. He not only un-PC, he's too agressively un-PC and all that will do is give ammo to his adversaries. Plus I'm unsure as to whether he has sufficient connections among capable people to staff an effective and knowledgeable cabinet and fulfill the other appointments and offices necessary in running an administration.It's not that he's un-PC; it's that he has some serious gaps in his knowledge, which he admits to, and is not a sufficiently gifted speaker to inspire confidence in spite of them. He seems smart but he's business-smart, not politics-smart.
Starving Artist
06-03-2011, 11:11 AM
Yeah, cuz the McCain-Palin ticket was such a winner.
The goals of Palin? Please.
McCain was an accomplished politician throughout his career. He'd have won the presidency easily too were it not for the mainstream media giving voice to every nitwit claiming he'd be another Bush.
The goals of Palin? Why, to stop the forty year decline of America and restore it to its former glory of course. :) If you want something more specific than that you'll have to take a look at what she's said herself. I've had a long night and am about to hit the sack.
Starving Artist
06-03-2011, 11:12 AM
It would have been slightly less newsworthy if John Boehner hadn't already done the exact same thing back in November 2009. And I'm sure if Biden had done it, it would get the same coverage. It's not that he's un-PC; it's that he has some serious gaps in his knowledge, which he admits to, and is not a sufficiently gifted speaker to inspire confidence in spite of them. He seems smart but he's business-smart, not politics-smart.Yeah, I think we're pretty much in agreement that he doesn't have the necessary tools in his political toolbox.
Gyrate
06-03-2011, 11:33 AM
McCain was an accomplished politician throughout his career. He'd have won the presidency easily too were it not for the mainstream media giving voice to every nitwit claiming he'd be another Bush. So the whole thing about him pausing his campaign to go to Washington to help craft a bailout, followed by him doing...well, not much...you don't think that hurt him at all? You don't think selecting Sarah Palin didn't hurt him with the moderates? It's all the mainstream media's fault? He would have got away with it if it weren't for those meddling kids?
No, the GOP was its own worst enemy in the McCain campaign. A lot of people who liked the bold, uncompromising McCain of 2000 loathed the bland, compromised McCain of 2008. And Palin was a mistake. A big, big mistake.
Yeah, I think we're pretty much in agreement that he doesn't have the necessary tools in his political toolbox. If he'd played his cards right, taken a more realistic view and schmoozed the right people in the GOP I could have seen him as VP material, throwing out quips and potshots without having to take the full brunt of being the presidential candidate. He'd probably have held up against Biden in a debate with the backing and coaching of the party (certainly better than Palin did; Cain at least understands financials). But I think he may have burnt that bridge already.
Starving Artist
06-03-2011, 11:36 AM
Like I said, I'm hitting the sack. We can debate what McCain shoulda/woulda done tomorrow (or later today, actually) if you want to then.
Gyrate
06-03-2011, 11:40 AM
Nah. I'll go back to discussing Cain and not his Scottish cousin.
zamboniracer
06-03-2011, 01:43 PM
Cain's an interesting guy and a good speaker, but being a good business executive DOES NOT translate into being a good governmental one. In business when you're the boss you give orders and your underlings comply or get fired. In government, the Congress has its own power centers apart from the President even within the same party. There's a lot more negotiation and give and take between leaders. If Cain got elected and he told Congress to "Jump" no one of either party would do so.
ElvisL1ves
06-03-2011, 07:42 PM
All I've done and all I continue to do is explain why people might legitimately have questions about itNo, you have not. There was and is, as you know, NO legitimate reason to have what you call "questions" or "concerns" over these subjects. To therefore speculate on the motivations of those who, like yourself, insist on spreading them anyway is entirely legitimate, and the appropriate focus of any such discussion.
I don't know how many times it's going to be necessary for me to say that, nor in how many threads, but I guess I can keep repeating myself for however long as it takes.You can tell yourself all you like that it wasn't really stupidity or lies or surrogate racism, but that can never make it the truth.
Snowboarder Bo
06-07-2011, 11:14 AM
What other condidate has Obama's childhood history? A white candidate with a background history identical to Obama's would have come under the same scrutiny.
What, you mean being born in Hawaii?
BrainGlutton
06-07-2011, 05:01 PM
Cain doesn't have a chance. His pizza sucks. What, you think the people won't remember that on e-day?!
BrainGlutton
06-09-2011, 10:11 PM
Herman Cain wants "small bills!" (http://www.salon.com/news/politics/war_room/2011/06/08/cain_three_pages/)
(Worn, of course, and no consecutive serial numbers, please.)
vBulletin® v3.7.3, Copyright ©2000-2013, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.