View Single Post
Old 10-06-2016, 12:07 PM
OldGuy OldGuy is offline
Charter Member
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Very east of Foggybog, WI
Posts: 4,391
Originally Posted by Thudlow Boink View Post
As in the case of the infamous Monty Hall problem, one way of settling this would be experimentally.
Repeat this experiment many times, and then calculate the number of YESes you wrote down, dividing by the total number of trials.
I tend to avoid these discussions now in the Dope, as some posters are never satisfied with probability proofs or the discussion gets sidetracked on the exact meaning of things like "at random". But this is good advice. If you don't like someone else's calculation do a simple simulation.

Doing this not only gives you your answer, it makes you think precisely what you mean by any of the instructions because you have to program it into the simulation in a precise way that the computer understands.