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Old 04-11-2019, 03:31 AM
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Join Date: Dec 2009
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Assuming partner has a 5-card suit (and even the "Often 4"ers don't open Jxxx, do they?), it is a 60% a priori chance that he has two or fewer hearts. (The a posteriori chance is even higher since RHO failed to pre-empt in a minor.)

This could be a textbook hand, even with the two Queens removed, of where an immediate jump to Blackwood is absolutely clear-cut. (Or is the field so tough that making 7S will be below average, that you need to discover 13 top tricks in No Trump?)

Save the mental effort for the next board; I hear it involves a winkle squeeze!