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#1
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Ron Paul: Why/how is he snapping up delegates? To what purpose?
I suppose this may fit in GQ but considering it is politics I am guessing here is the place for it.
I have been reading lately that Ron Paul and his cohort are managing to scoop large numbers of delegates to the Republican convention in August. Quote:
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So, it would seem, a lot of effort for little effect. Romney will be voted in as the Republican nominee for president. What am I missing here? FTR I am not a conservative so have no dog in this race beyond some small pleasure at seeing the republican establishment discomfited (even if only a little) and of course there is the whole politics as theater angle that this qualifies for. |
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#2
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The Republican National Convention will determine the nominee using a very complicated process. The conventional wisdom has been that Ron Paul wants to use the threat of disruption of the process with his delegates to secure political favors for himself and/or his son. He's been running a libertarian movement within the GOP for years, and they don't mind much, especially since he attracts the young demographic. But he's otherwise ignored. This time he may gather enough delegates for some indulgences.
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#3
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And ironically, if delegate they talked to on NPR this morning is any judge, they fully intend that the first vote not be clear cut, or something along those lines, so that they will then be free to vote for whomever they want. Thus, with a really really small minority of the vote, Ron Paul will become the Republican candidate.
This is a HUGE slap in the face to the "libertarian" ideals that Paul is alleged to hold, but I don't think any of his followers have gotten that figured out yet. |
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#4
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Elaborate, please.
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#5
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Perhaps these delegates will get on the various platform committees to try to get libertarian planks voted in? They could propose things popular with the extremists and embarrass the Romney people if they try to quash them.
Or, Paul's nomination strategy might be just as realistic as his economic policy. |
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#7
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Is that really that attractive to them? If the Paul People managed to write the abolition of fractional reserve banking and federal civil rights into the platform, it would just make the platform even more meaningless than it already is. I guess it would be a big, loud, noisy spectacle, but it wouldn't actually do anything (not that I think they're above pointless spectacles).
Last edited by Lord Feldon; 05-07-2012 at 02:00 PM. |
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#8
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Ron Paul has delusions of adequacy. He won't have the delegates to get anything he wants. What winds up in the platform is what Romney wants in the platform and not a syllable more or less. Even Romney isn't stupid enough to name Paul's half-witted son as his running mate.
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#9
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It is all about being heard, and perhaps about forcing the Romney delegates to vote against these true blue (sorry, true red) libertarian positions. Sure the platform is meaningless - it is all about sound bites. |
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#10
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Delegates are chosen, and are bound to cast their vote for the individual who garnered the most votes (as is proper). However, there exists the possibility that some shenanigans could go down wherein those votes, and thus the majority if the voters in a given states (say, Nevada) would then be disenfranchised by the Paul team as they happily vote for THEIR guy. They are hoping, in essence, for an opportunity to FORCE the GOP to run with Paul. As I understand it, forcing folks to do something they don't want to do is anathema to the Libertarian ideal. |
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#11
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It appears to me, from the links in the OP, that the 'shenanigans' is simply having more Paul people show up to the caucases/convention. Is that not the case? From my understanding in Missouri at least, there is a primary but it's doesn't matter. It's a mere formality, so the delegates chosing someone who didn't win the popular vote wouldn't be considered disenfranchisement. It seems that the Paul folks are working within the system at least in those examples. I find that no more off-putting than the fact that the RNC has been ensuring that Romney will be the candidate all along. |
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#12
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Change usually starts as a small snowball rolling down hill. It usually starts small...
__________________
The Sarchasm - The gorge between my witty comment and you, who doesn't get it. |
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#13
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In these states, most of the delegates are bound to vote for Romney on the first ballot, no matter who they really support. They only get to vote for Paul if the first ballot isn't conclusive, and if the process works the way it's set up the first ballot should be conclusive for Romney. It's suggested that they plan to somehow disrupt the orderly first ballot to then free themselves to vote for Ron Paul.
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#14
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Paul's delegates will be less likely to fall in line if there are enough of them to foul up the party's carefully-choreographed coronation of Romney. At the very least their support is a bargaining chip Paul probably needs to remain relevant in the party. |
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#15
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Well . . . only when it's a government doing it, I think. This is more in the nature of a businesscritter using his positional advantage to squeeze another businesscritter, a practice to which no Libertarian could object, so long as he does not break the law doing it (and even then . . .).
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#16
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Nevada and Maine are both caucus states. That might make things slightly different than they would be in a state with a primary process. |
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#17
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![]() Were Paul by some miracle to win the GOP nomination, under GOP rules, GOP members would still be free to vote however they like. Last edited by furt; 05-09-2012 at 09:27 AM. |
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#18
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Yes, but I think the underlying premise is that the Paul supporters might be willing to use various underhanded techniques to make sure Romney doesn't win on the first ballot. That is the problem, not the rules that allow them to vote for their own candidate after the first ballot.
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#19
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#20
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No, murdering sixteen year old human rights activists is a slap in the face to libertarian ideals.
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#21
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There is no way Paul can derail Romney's nomination; IMO Paul is gathering delegates in order to influence the platform. Also, by threatening to turn the televised convention into a messy affair, he may be angling to get his son Rand a more prominent position in Tampa--maybe a prime-time speaker's position a la Pat Buchanan in 1996.
Last edited by CJJ*; 05-07-2012 at 01:14 PM. |
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#22
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??
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#23
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I'm referring to the CIA's murder of Tariq Aziz.
It is a damning condemnation of both the Republicans and Democrats that only "Crazy Old Ron" has a problem with this sort of behaviour. Last edited by Grumman; 05-08-2012 at 03:39 AM. |
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#24
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Did you maybe pick the wrong name? |
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#25
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I agree with the idea that Paul is just trying to get his message out there. At this point, it's a given that Romney is the candidate, and I don't think anyone but Paul's most diehard fans believe otherwise. So Romney's supporters and those who are simply okay to settle with that will be quieter, but those who aren't happy with some of his positions will be louder. I think maybe Paul thinks if he can demonstrate that his supporters are a large enough bloc, the Republican party will need to do something to appease them for fear of them staying home.
I seriously doubt Paul could get many of his more extreme positions considered, particularly his economic ones, but I wouldn't be surprised if, as a result of his showing, he might not get them to at least quiet down about a couple things that might otherwise farther alienate the libertarian wing. Either way, I seriously doubt his endgame is, or realistically ever was, any sort of realistic shot at the nomination, just a real shot to have his message heard on a national stage. At least from my perspective, the hype he's generated over the past few elections has definitely grown, so I'd even say he's being moderately successful at it. |
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#26
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Of course, there's the pragmatic argument that the Texas Republicans were tired of him and going to field a credible primary challenger, but that would mean he was admitting his defeat at getting his message across in his own district, much less the entire country. Here in Texas (we're next door to his district), the best we can figure it is that this run is a last ditch, all out effort by a True Believer, and he's going to win or go down fighting. |
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#27
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Off you go. |
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#28
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This is fantastic news, everyone knows that the US is a Republic based on representative democracy, not an actual democracy. If the vulgate actually got their demands, why, we'd see such horrendous policies as a redistribution of wealth or universal healthcare! No, far better to have enlightened individuals in place to temper the passions of the people, exactly as the founders intended. Though perhaps the founders were not sufficiently conservative: we could adopt stable systems from our allies, such as Saudi... Something immune to the rancorous cries of the proles, a hereditary form of government.
- Poe smily.
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#29
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He has a hoarding problem.
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#30
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See, I see it as a way to shore up more Romney-bound votes and for a way for Dr. Paul to get more exposure/pass the torch to Rand. I'm still thinking that Rand is on the short list for Vice President, but I'm just as much of an armchair quarterback as you guys. To backtrack and clarify, I think Ron's delegates have been "going" to Romney for a while now. Paul stopped sending attack ads against Romney for some time here in order to act as a firewall against Santorum/Gingrich. Ron Paul sees this process as a way for him to pass the torch/garner a few more political points and his supporters see it as a super sneaky way to win the nomination, which has a Lloyd Christmas chance of happening.
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#31
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Don't get me wrong. If he wasn't a militant, and this occured as his supporters say, then it is a tragic accident, and hopefully will cause for a review of the informant system in Pakistan.
That being said, we don't launch drones into Canada, because Canada doesn't have militant murderers who use it as a staging area to launch attacks in their neighboring country. If Pakistan did it's job as a nation, and cleaned their house, then drone attacks would stop. As the former is unlikely, I don't see the second happening any time soon. But I digress, as this is far off topic. |
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#32
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I see the GOP may deny the Ron Paulites from Maine seats at the convention. Romney's lawyers are saying the Ron Paul supporters didn't follow rules correctly.
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#33
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!!! That sounds a lot like Chicago in '68! If that happens, I expect there will be something approaching a riot!
Last edited by BrainGlutton; 05-08-2012 at 11:37 AM. |
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#34
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Because Paul doesn't get all of the less-than-10-percent-of-Romney's-total delegates his supporters believe they've earned? Come on.
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#35
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They're Libertarians. I have met many. Some are nerdy, but some are . . . scary.
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#36
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But to the OP, I think Paul just wants to get enough delegates to put his name into nomination, make a prime time speech about how Republicans have lost their way, and then retire into the sunset. |
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#37
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Although really, IRV isn't too great itself. It's better than what we use now, but there are other systems that are strictly better than it. Its main virtue is that, of the systems better than what we have now, it's one of the easiest to understand (which is admittedly an important intangible: People can't trust a system they don't understand). |
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#38
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--------------------------------- I came across an article speculating about Ron Paul's motivation: What Does Ron Paul Really Want? The underlying reality is that Dr. Paul and his fanbase have already won what they most craved from Republicans: respect. I don’t just mean his hard-earned inclusion in candidate debates, or the civil treatment he’s received from his rivals. In a very real sense, on domestic issues at least, the GOP has moved dramatically in Paul’s direction since 2008. That’s most apparent in discussions of monetary policy. While none of Paul’s rivals in the presidential contest embraced a gold standard or abolition of the Fed, the alleged perils of monetary inflation have been emphasized far more than one might expect in the midst of a recession. As National Review’s Ramesh Ponnuru noted in February:With the elevation of Federal Reserve conspiracy theory, the Republican Party has added another shard to its collection of cracked pottery. Mission accomplished!Many Republicans tell pollsters that they will not vote for Paul because of his foreign-policy views. Nobody says that his monetary views are a deal breaker; no pollster even bothers to ask. There is no organized opposition to Paulite views on money within the Republican party or conservative movement, and the people who hold those views hold them intensely. |
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#39
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Why didn't that stop Gingrich or Santorum?
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#40
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Gingrich had nothing to lose. He only wants a cushy spot at Fox News or CNN. More to the point, there's nothing that the Republican Party could do to him. Actually, imposing party discipline on any Presidential candidate is hard.
But Ron Paul is trying to build a mailing list. For those purposes warm words by leading members works to his advantage. More deeply, if he doesn't topple the apple cart, he will be in a decent position to ask for favors. Such as... other mailing lists. I suspect that Santorum will be forgiven pretty quickly: the #2 candidate is allowed a certain amount of slack after all. Gingrich, OTOH, may have burned his bridges. ETA: ...unless Romney would rather have Gingrich on the inside of the tent pissing out. Except... Newt might not settle for an ambassadorship and putting him in the cabinet would be incredibly risky. Last edited by Measure for Measure; 05-09-2012 at 12:50 AM. |
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#41
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To answer the "how" part of the OP:
The campaign headquarters in VA had my contact information, and they badgered me relentlessly to be a delegate. I got ... gosh, maybe four voice mails asking me to be a delegate, and several e-mails as well. I ignored them all, because it struck me as unethical. The day before the paperwork was due, I came home from work to find all the paperwork I needed to fill out stashed between my doorknob and doorframe on my front door. Apparently, campaign volunteers had actually driven to people's houses with the paperwork, and had I been there at the time, they would have made sure it was all filed correctly, and all I would have needed to do is give them my signature. |
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#42
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#43
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All RNC delegates are 'Free Agents' and unbound
Unfortunately you need to watch the video on this page but it is interesting. It makes the case that delegates to the RNC convention are unbound and free to vote for whoever they want.
The plot thickens... |
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#44
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If a majority of the delegates want Romney as the nominee, then even if they change the rules, they'll vote for him, and that's that. If a majority of the delegates don't want Romney as the nominee, why can't they change the rules of the Convention in a vote on the floor to unbind all of the delegates? |
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#45
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he is snatching delegates up to win! with Santourum and Gingrich out their delegates may vote Paul now cuz Romney is scum! Romney is a Democrat in Mormon sheep's clothing lol
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#46
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Well, yes, you get delegates to win, but Paul knows he's not going to win. I'm not sure he thought he ever had a chance in this electoral cycle, but if there was, it went away a long time ago. I don't know what the hell "Mormon sheep's clothing" is supposed to mean. Left to his own devices Romney is probably not a far-right conservative, but Mormons are a conservative bunch for the most part.
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#47
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Whoosh or Poe's Law?
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#48
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Paul essentially quit campaigning today and said he'll only compete for delegates through the convention process. His campaign doesn't have much money and I've heard it pointed out that by quitting now, he avoids getting his butt kicked in his home state (Texas) and in his son's home state (Kentucky).
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#49
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The Ron Paul dream is over!!
Now he can start his 2016 run, and become the new Harold Stassen. |
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#50
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Ron Paul won 12 of 13 delegates in Minnesota's state GOP convention
Looks like it's going to be an interesting convention. |
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