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#251
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Hey, nice try!
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#252
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Well, care to fuckin' enlighten us Chief? I read this message board for other reasons than try to guess what is on Bricker's goddamm mind.
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#253
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If you started a thread entitled "government programs to introduce fresh food into food deserts are ineffective", and provided four cites to back that up, I would probably ready that and say "hmm, that's interesting, and Bricker has made a strong case, but fundamentally that's a topic I don't know jack shit about.... so I won't post in the thread at all", but I would have in the back of my mind the idea that this was a topic that I should have some skepticism about. And changing someone's mind at least enough to introduce some skepticism is more than SDMB threads normally actually accomplish. But you didn't start that thread. Instead you started a thread about liberals being dumb, and you presented "and it is proven that programs like this could not work" as fait accompli... as if we'd already had the previous thread, and a lot of people had argued with you, but you had clearly bested them and in the end people had reached a consensus that, yeah, programs like this are in fact never going to work. And THEN you had started this thread, in which case, your claim might have some validity. To me, there's a crucial data point that we don't have, and are unlikely to ever get, which is how the people who designed the Philadelphia experiment would react to these studies. It could be any of several things: (1) Huh? I had no idea such studies existed! (demonstrating that these people were lazy and didn't do their homework first) (2) Sure, I read those studies, but they just don't apply because, uhh, they don't (the stereotypically extreme liberal try-it-even-though-it-has-already-failed approach that Bricker seems to believe in) (3) Sure, I read those studies, but we have learned from what didn't work in those situations, here are several factors which make this situation different (actual competence) |
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#254
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I've just sent an email to
Giridhar Mallya, MD, MSHP Director of Policy and Planning at the "Get Healthy Philly" initiative, asking if she has a moment to answer a few questions about the program. Fingers crossed... |
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#255
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Oh, the topic of the thread. If you can't tell the difference between Bloomberg's idiotic soda ban (when did Bloomberg become an icon of this country's liberal establishment?) and government plan to incentivize some products, perhaps who aren't as good at drawing distinctions as you might hope to be. Maybe it works, and maybe it doesn't, its worth a shot. Not one of you supposed cites has shown any reasonable basis for believing that it is a wholly foolish idea. |
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#256
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#257
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Barring such a book, it would require the best estimation based on the economists working on the project. Obviously they under-estimated the demand. But compare that to the conservative economists who thought it would cause a rain of frogs. |
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#259
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If the rebates had been $20,000 per car, then even more people would have been motivated to participate. But the program would have run out of money even sooner than it did, with fewer overall cars traded. If the rebates had been $200, we can imagine that fewer people would have participated, and the program would have ended with money unspent. Remember your days in calculus: if y = f(x) is defined on some set S, then there is a relative maximum value and sometimes an absolute maximum value along the curve. Right? I am contending that the price for Cash for Clunkers was set too high. A lower price would have still attracted many participants, indeed MORE participants, since the overall supply of money would have lasted longer. Do you have a rebuttal for that point? And of course the rebates were not limited to American manufacturers -- foreign car manufacturers also benefitted. Last edited by Bricker; 06-13-2012 at 12:47 PM. |
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#260
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#261
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#262
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Yes. Unless you also made this observation when the program was proposed, before the popularity was known, your advice is pretty worthless. I wish I had bought Apple stock when it was $50 a share. Hindsight is 20/20.
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#263
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Big problem right there, isn't it? There is no "economics", there is conservative economics, and liberal economics.
For instance, you have the celebrated Koch Brothers offering to fund a chair in Economics at Florida State University, so long as they could pick a reliable academic to reflect and promote their views. http://www.tampabay.com/news/busines...raises/1168680 There is no conservative physics. No conservative biology, unless you count Creationism as biology, which I don't. Pick any liberal position on money, wages, etc. and you will find rock-solid academic economists who can prove that it makes perfect sense, based on irrefutable economic facts. And rock-solid academics that will prove it is total nonsense, based on the same irrefutable economic facts. I'm a mathtard, soon as you wade into the swamp of statistical modeling, my eyes glaze over and I lapse into meditation. I like what Paul Krugman says, it is usually pitched down to my level, and makes sense. But then other equally acclaimed economists will say its all bullshit, based on universally accepted economic "facts". Or Keynesianism? Is that "accepted" economic orthodoxy, or no? Should I be surprised that an academic economist who's checks are written by the Koch Brothers is skeptical? Is there even any such thing as "accepted economic orthodoxy"? If someone cites an academic economics paper on "Cash for Clunkers", or school lunches, or bloody well anything, have they proven anything at all? Last edited by elucidator; 06-13-2012 at 01:24 PM. |
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#264
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That assumes that there is an actual signal cleverly hidden in all that noise.
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#265
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Kinda hard, what with all that flowery rhetoric.
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#266
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I'm as serious as you were when you made the claim.
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#267
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I was not really aware of the program's details until it got underway, so I had no meaningful opportunity to criticize it up front. But certainly I, and others, made this point before the $2 billion reauthorization bill for the program was passed. That would have been a fine time to lower the price, yes? |
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#268
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Moderating
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[ /Moderating ] |
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#269
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Last edited by Vaevictis; 06-16-2012 at 12:34 PM. Reason: spelling |
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#270
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It's a trip to see people actually supportive of government micromanaging our choices on what to eat and drink.
Things certainly have changed in the last few years. |
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#271
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Relative to the OP, here's a quick read on food stamps and the government's inability to quantify who is buying what, and their refusal to share where goods are purchased. (Some of it's classified as trade secrets?)
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/...od-stamps-buy/ |
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#272
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Here is the problem that I have with your argument. You say that this grocery stocking plan has cost over a million dollars and of course that is an awful lot of money. If we did that in every corner of every big city it would cost 2 or 3 billion dollars, an outrageous sum. But when we get people talking about things like this which are arguably good and bad irrespective of the cost involved we end up making judgments about the merit of the people suggesting the program and completely take our eye off of the other balls that we should be paying more attention. Homophobia, abortion, equitable taxation, oligarchy, the Koch brothers, a Supreme Court that has ruled in favor of the U.S.Chamber of Commerce at every opportunity, Citizen's United, the complete capitulation of every member of the Republican party to Limbaugh and his ilk. Please name one elected Republican in the national spotlight who has something good to say about President Obama.
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#273
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Of course expecting much vocal support this close to the election is a little much, especially when the nominee is from the left wing of the Republican party. When it comes to foreign policy, a lot of Republicans must be wondering if they actually lost. I have a hard time figuring out what President McCain would have done differently on foreign policy. It might as well been called Bush's third term on foreign policy. Obama didn't even replace the Secretary of Defense. |
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#274
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My hat is off to you, but I was trying to find someone who has to worry about re-election.
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#275
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Bricker, what's the conservative plan to fight obesity among the poor?
If it's to declare the problem unsolvable, or worse to declare that it doesn't need a solution because it's "their own fault anyway", then I guess that explains why I'm a liberal. For what it's worth, I agree that just making healthy food more available probably won't be effective, at least not in the short term and without other complementary efforts to encourage healthy eating. People who've been eating unhealthy food for years aren't likely to suddenly reverse old habits. But even if this idea won't work, at least liberals recognize the need to do something. I do also think that the root cause of why the poor eat a less healthy diet is that healthy food is less available or more expensive. But it's been less available and more expensive for many years, so you also have to contend with the fact that they've been eating this way their whole life, and their parents probably ate this way, and so forth. Just because that's the root cause doesn't mean that eliminating that cause eliminates all those other factors that have accumulated to reinforce this behavior. But we shouldn't just write it off as "They're choosing not to be healthy." You'll notice I don't use the phrase "It's societies fault", which I think is an inaccurate conservative caricature of liberal thinking. I do think it's not "poor people's fault" that they're eating an unhealthy diet, but ultimately a consequence of their poverty. But I don't want to help them because we (society) did this too them and ought to feel guilty. I want to help them because helping people who are less fortunate is the right thing to do. I think conservatives also generally claim to believe that helping the less fortunate is the right thing to do (at least those conservatives who wouldn't rather blame the poor for being poor). But they have this idea that the government shouldn't get involved with this. Which would be great if everybody was doing their part to help the poor on their own, but that's not actually happening. It would also be great if everybody would contribute their fair share to keep the local police and fire departments running, but they don't, so it's a good thing we have taxes to collect money to pay for those things. As a liberal, I don't see why helping the poor should be any different. |
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#276
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I guess that plan makes me a liberal?
__________________
We begin with level flight. Last edited by Bricker; 06-26-2012 at 10:14 PM. |
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#277
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I'm not saying "Doing something that won't work is better than doing nothing." I'm saying "Wanting to do something is better than not wanting to do anything." This particular proposal I agree is flawed, and the right response to that would be to try to come up with better ideas. The wrong response is to throw up our hands and say we shouldn't try to help those who are less fortunate than ourselves. Unfortunately that seems to be the standard conservative response.
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#278
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To put it another way, I'd say liberals have good goals (e.g., help the poor), and a mix of good and bad proposals to achieve those aims. (You do admit that some social programs are effective at helping the poor, don't you?)
Meanwhile, conservatives don't even seem to care about helping the poor, or consider it hopeless. If it were actually the case that liberal proposals to help the poor never work you'd have a stronger case that we're better off not trying and saving our money. But that's not the case. If this were a debate on whether this particular proposal will work, I'd be mostly on your side, but you're a far cry from making the case that on the whole the liberal approach ("let's try to help the poor") is inferior to the conservative approach ("the poor can go fuck themselves"). |
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#279
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I'm an liberal leaning independent, I've lived in poor neighborhoods without good access to fresh groceries, and I think the idea sucks as well.
But both sides have ideas that suck. And both sides have ideas that work out pretty well. (I was on the "Republican" side of the Stillwater Bridge debate - we've needed that bridge for 40 years - damn the pretty view from the river - and the pollution from the cars sitting in a traffic jam in a valley everyday cannot be good for the environment either - even though I had to be on the same side of an issue as Michelle Bachman). The smoking ban in public places has made my life a lot better, and was a lefty push. Which is why I'll always say I'm an independent - I want to evaluate IDEAS and CANDIDATES as individual units - not as a party line. |
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#280
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I see green grocer liberalism the same way; lots of wailing and gnashing of teeth, lots of predictions that it hasn't worked yet, so it will never work. But these are short term views, and social change takes place over the long term. Whether it is health care, social freedom, the environment or any one of a hundred other important issues, conservatives seem to be only concerned with the short term, what has it done for us lately. We on the left know that the inexorable arc of history is toward more progressive social action, which is why we will keep the pressure on. A wise man once observed, "He is smart; we are right. Sooner or later, he is ours." Last edited by Fear Itself; 06-27-2012 at 07:57 AM. |
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#281
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I'm having trouble deciding which standard response serves us better. But if I can distance myself from the standard conservatives, I'll say that I'm willing to entertain ideas that may help actually solve this issue. This one doesn't qualify. |
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#282
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#283
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My father worked in the tobacco industry through about 1977. And got out because the decade before 1977 was making life darn tough. There were a lot of jobs lost in tobacco - from sales (which is what he did) to manufacturing to farming. And, in the long term, it worked out pretty well - if you didn't make your living working for Brown and Williamson like he did (and his worked out pretty well - he ended his career selling office supplies - much less health risk). I've worked for the junk food industry - there are a LOT of jobs in the manufacturer and sales of cheap and convenient food. Until we end the subsidies for agriculture that makes these so cheap, and tax the hell out of the product, like we have with cigarettes, we don't have the guts to do anything other than bemoan the situation we've boxed ourselves into. And we don't. We need the efforts that we are proposing now - better education on nutrition, better school meals to get kids an opportunity to try broccoli who might not see it at home, that sort of thing. But that needs to be done in conjunction with hobbling a sector of the economy, and we won't do that, not now. |
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#284
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Coming back to tobacco for a second, tobacco had an advantage that I'm not certain the junk food industry can completely replicate - they had a growing international market that saved their bacon. Tobacco is in many ways an American business, and American tobacco companies became international tobacco companies. We are really busy exporting our junk food, but I'm not sure that China can't step in and make junk food just as efficiently (more so) for the international market as Frito Lay does. Its an interesting question - can we keep those jobs in Idaho that make high sodium Au Gratin potatoes if we sell fewer of those "vegetables" here in the U.S and more prepackaged crap Au Gratin potatoes in the BRIC? From what I remember on international food sales (and I last worked in it 20 years ago) food sales and food companies are regional and internationalizing it was tough.
__________________
One day, in Teletubbie land, it was Tinkie Winkie's turn to wear the skirt. |
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#285
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If all the social programs in place today to help the poor went away, wouldn't the poor be significantly worse off? And if so, surely that indicates that at least some of those programs are having a significant positive impact on the lives of poor people. As for what to do about this particular problem, while I don't think improving the availability and affordability of healthy foods by itself will make much difference, maybe it would if combined with some program to incentivize poor people to buy those foods. Although I admit I'm not sure what's the best form for such a program to take. As to where we get the millions of dollars to pay for it, that's a much easier problem, one which we liberals have already solved. We can take the money from the rich, they have loads of it!
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#286
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To eat healthy you don't need fresh fruits and vegetables. Up until 50 years ago, no one had access to fresh fruit and vegetables all year around. Frozen and canned foods are healthy enough. A plate of rice and beans is healthier than junk food, but someone needs to know how to cook rice and beans. |
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#287
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#288
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#289
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I think the tool problem is small. I think the bigger issue is cost, convenience and taste. The taste thing can be addressed partially through exposure, but my 14 year old, who gets plenty of exposure to healthy food, would MUCH rather eat cheetos and coke than grab a banana. Education, exposure and access - the causes we are willing to address, aren't going to really get us much farther than we are now - a little bit - but not enough to call the issue solved. |
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#290
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#291
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Since a key issue here seems to be whether the actual plan under discussion is a stupid one, I want to restate something I said earlier:
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#292
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A close friend of mine is on the board of an inner city co-op. The co-op is in a good neighborhood for co-ops - a lot of fairly highly educated hippies (or the children of hippies) willing to spend more for whole foods and healthy groceries. But its also butts up against a neighborhood that is anything but white and highly educated. And the co-op has made a true effort to bring healthy food into the lives of those people - you are talking about a bunch of liberals who truly WANT to help the poor. They educate. They have cooking classes. They carry non-organic produce because its cheaper - and then subsidize it. They take WIC. The immigrant population is fine with it and the co-op does a lot of business with them. They aren't used to the junk anyway. But the rest of the neighborhood rejects it. Not only aren't they particularly interested from a taste/time standpoint - they find the efforts patronizing and intrusive. |
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#293
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Bricker's version of the liberal mindset that conceived of this plan seems to be "hey, we'll just use our vast governmental powers to spend Bricker's tax money and make fresh fruit available in inner cities, and hey, there's no way that that won't immediately reduce obesity and the birds will sing and the rainbows will shine down and everyone will be happy". Which seems at least somewhat in accord with what you're saying. But the key question for me is whether that sort of naive attitude was really at work, or whether (far more likely in my opinion) it was something more like "well, this is a challenging issue, and here are various studies and previous experiments people have tried, which have been less than perfectly successful, and here are the things we're going to do differently, and here are the various ways we're monitoring what's going on so that we can learn from what happened and hopefully do a better job next time we (or someone else) tries something like this". If the program cost a million dollars and had zero tangible outcome but was implemented by responsible and intelligent people with the second attitude I describe, as long as they don't then turn around and say "whaaaa! it didn't work! give us 10 times as much money and we'll distribute 10 times as much fresh fruit, and this time it will DEFINITELY work" or something ridiculous like that, I have no problem with the program having been tried. |
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#294
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Are you talking about people that don't own a pot? What is the point in giving fresh vegetables to people who don't have a pot to cook them in? |
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#295
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What are those things?
__________________
We begin with level flight. |
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#296
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Slate is owned by WaPo but hardly conservative.
Do poor people eat badly because of limited options or personal preference? Quote:
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#297
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http://www.slate.com/articles/health...students_.html I would have a got a lot more use out of a cooking class than I did out of metal shop. I also liked the part where they talked about how 'food desert' classification tended to overemphasize supermarkets over green grocers and farmer's markets. Last edited by JoelUpchurch; 06-28-2012 at 03:29 PM. |
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#298
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It seems to me, however, that you are the one making the fairly specific claim. You are claiming that there was sufficient evidence that this program, as implemented, would not work; and that the fact that it was implemented anyhow is evidence of liberal stupidity. In other words, you are claiming that the program is sufficiently similar to the ones mentioned in the studies you linked to that it could be presumed to be guaranteed to fail. Which is why I brought up the issue of being an expert in sociology and environmental community studies or whatever the heck field of expertise it is that one would need to really evaluate these things. I mean, it's entirely possible that a truly IDENTICAL program could be reasonably expected to have radically different outcomes due to the demographics of the community in which the program was being implemented, or other factors that make Philadelphia in 2012 different from some other city in some other year. Beats me. But to me the larger issue is this: I think we both agree that there are times when the government should spend taxpayer money to try to address issues in society. I'm also willing to concede that, overall, the generically liberal philosophy will do so more often. That is, if there was a magic button that could be pressed to instantly cure childhood obesity across the US with a 100% success rate and cost $50,000, all but the most caricatured of extreme conservatives would agree to spend that money, whereas if there was a program that cost 1000 times that and seemed likely to maybe help the situation some, then you might find something that some, but not all, liberals supported, and few conservatives supported. And that's fine. Reasonable people are supposed to disagree about things, let the marketplace of ideas decide, etc. And without actually having access to the discussions and proposals that let up to this Philly plan, I feel like I can't really say where on the spectrum it lies. It's certainly possible that it will, in the fullness of time, be proven to have absolutely no positive effect whatsoever, but was still, given the information that was available at the time it was begun, a reasonable thing to attempt. It's also possible that it was in fact a la la liberal fantasy with absolutely no substantiation or due diligence put in ahead of time, and your criticisms are well founded. But in neither case does its existence somehow provide damning evidence for a fatal flaw in liberal philosophy in general. Liberal philosophy, like conservative philosophy, has its strengths and its weaknesses, and you could probably make a reasonable case that one of the weaknesses of liberal philosophy is that it's more likely than conservative philosophy to go overboard on spending money on plans like this without sufficiently solid justification... but by the same ticket, one of the weaknesses of conservative philosophy is refusing to consider plans like this even when they deserve to be tried. |
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#299
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Liberals make mistakes. Nevertheless, I think the United States is a better country - all things considered - than it was in 1900. I also believe that most of the improvement has been advanced by liberals and opposed by conservatives.
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