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#201
09-28-2012, 11:01 AM
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I've been trying to trade one of the RBs for a WR. No luck so far. I had this offer rejected:
Michael Turner OR BJGE for Hakeem Nicks. The other guy also has WRs Roddy White, Torrey Smith, Dez Bryan, Brandon Lafell and Justin Blackmon. His RBs are McFadden, Sproles, Reggie Bush. I figured he was deep enough at WR that he might go for it... 
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#202
09-28-2012, 11:25 AM
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Try for Smith instead. Hell, maybe he'd give you White.
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#204
09-30-2012, 11:59 AM
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Decided to start Malcolm Floyd and Shonn Greene over Demarius Thomas and Dwayne Bowe. Not very confident in the choice.
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#205
09-30-2012, 12:24 PM
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#207
09-30-2012, 05:02 PM
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Also, I was wrong, I didn't start Green. I started Ridley, Gore, Peterson and Floyd. The first 3 turned out really well and Floyd killed me. I have a huge lead but my opponent basically had no one going in the early games and has Rodgers already looking hot against New Orleans. Fingers crossed that my lead will hold up, if I lose because of Floyd I'll be kicking myself something fierce since he's the only guy on my team with less than 12 points, most with more than 18.
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#209
09-30-2012, 06:12 PM
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#210
10-04-2012, 11:56 AM
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I have the same problem this week as last week: Rivers @ NO or RGIII hosting ATL?
RGIII has 129 points this year to Rivers' 67. But... ATL is a much better defense than NO right now. He can't put up better numbers than Rivers this week, can he?
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#211
10-04-2012, 12:59 PM
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Last edited by Hamlet; 10-04-2012 at 01:00 PM.
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#212
10-05-2012, 08:26 AM
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Gah, I had picked up both Justin Blackmon and Andre Roberts earlier in the week to fill in for Megatron (I dumped two injured/benched RBs to do so) and started Roberts over Blackmon because of his performance so far. Hey, ARI @ StL? How can he NOT score a TD, right?!
:faceplam:
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#213
10-05-2012, 10:45 PM
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Hopefully, Morris works out the same way. Last edited by Omniscient; 10-05-2012 at 10:45 PM.
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#214
10-06-2012, 10:18 PM
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Big money league, pick 4. Min 1 RB, min 1 WR.
Frank Gore Adrian Peterson Shonn Green Stevan Ridley Reggie Wayne Dwayne Bowe Malcolm Floyd Demarius Thomas 20 yards per point for receiving, 10 yards per point for rushing. .1 pts per rush, .2 pts per reception. Also, Greg Olsen vs. Jermaine Gresham at TE.
__________________
"To my Man Omni. Whose vast knowledge of all things Football far exceeds the scope of his beer-reachin arm". Last edited by Omniscient; 10-06-2012 at 10:20 PM.
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#215
10-07-2012, 12:15 AM
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Your scoring system really favors RBs, FWIW. I grabbed Yahoo's projections and ESPN's projections and ran them through Excel based off your scoring settings. Here's your guys, with the Yahoo and ESPN points: Code:
Adrian Peterson 18.095 20.9 Frank Gore 11.605 25.55 Stevan Ridley 6.755 16.2 Reggie Wayne 7.4 11.75 Dwayne Bowe 7.11 10.25 Malcolm Floyd 6.27 4.9 Demarius Thomas 8.185 10.6 Shonn Green 8.275 14.55 My choices from this list would be: AP, Gore, (duh and duh) Ridley (I just have no faith that the Jets will be able to do anything against the Texans, and I think they'll be in a must-throw situation from halftime on.), and then decision time for which WR. Very surprisingly, per FO, Baltimore has been crap in defending #1 WRs (23.4% DVOA, 27th, 10.9 avg/rect/game 95.6/yds/game) which Bowe clearly is. GB has been about as bad at defending #1s (21.4% DVOA, 25th, 8.1 Rec, 74.5 yds) You don't need me to tell you New Orleans has been abysmal. (14.6% DVOA 22th 7.6 Rec 75.4 yds) Who has been getting more targets? Who's the healthiest? They all look pretty similar in their playability. Gun to head, I probably go with Bowe. I can see a cheap TD coming in with him. With Indy, I can see GB telling them to try to beat them on the ground; they'll double Wayne and see if Luck can hurt them some other way. Good luck. EDIT: Both TEs are essentially identical in Yahoo, ESPN thinks Gresham will get in, Olsen won't, but Olsen will have one more catch. FO: MIA vs TE (-2.4% 15th 9.4/game 74.1 yds/game) SEA vs TE (-12.7% 9 7.7 53.4) That said, I think SEA probably has pretty large splits in Home DEF vs Road DEF. Olsen's riding a hot hand with double digit scoring in back to back weeks. Ride him. (I have no faith in Gresham, despite the targets. I own him in a league, mores the pity.) Last edited by Gray Ghost; 10-07-2012 at 12:19 AM.
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#216
10-07-2012, 12:53 PM
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Also went with Olsen over Gresham. I think Gresham is a little safer play, but Olsen has a chance at a 20 point week. In another money league I had to choose between Sproles, Matthews, Ridley, Ben Tate, Antonio Brown and Pierre Garcon for 3 spots (RB, WR, Flex) and settled on Sproles, Matthews and Brown mostly because I think the NO-SD game is going to be a shootout. Little worried I'm leaving 80 points on the bench in that one.
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#217
10-07-2012, 03:10 PM
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Well, Bowe managed a whopping 4 points and Wayne managed 13. Clearly this isn't gonna be my week.
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#218
10-07-2012, 04:15 PM
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#219
10-07-2012, 05:51 PM
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Just watched Newton throw a 6 yard pass about 4 yards short of Olsen who was wide open in the end zone. Definitely not my week.
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#220
10-08-2012, 12:38 AM
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Who knew that Green Bay would forget how to play pass defense? I was shaking my head in the car when I heard the announcers talking about "Wayne's career day..." And the odds of picking the one guy out of four who'd have the worst day of those wideouts... Sigh.
I feel your pain, sort of. Just got traded RGIII in another league, where I'd had Cutler and Cassel already. I was all excited to see this week, as I thought it'd be a gigantic shootout, with neither Washington nor Atlanta able to shut teams down all year. Yahoo agreed, projecting ~28 points for Griffin, and something like 15 for Cutler...So I come back and see 5 and change for Griffin, and something like 30-ish for Cutler. Weird game, football. At least Ridley went off. At this rate, I'm expecting the Jets to roll the Texans by 20; it'd make as much sense as anything else, this year.
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#221
10-11-2012, 01:05 PM
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Pick two for me to start...
Jared Cook (TE - TEN) Nate Burlseon (WR - DET) Dominik Hixson (WR - NYG)
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#223
10-11-2012, 01:17 PM
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As it is, I'd start Cook for sure tonight (I think the Titans will need to throw a lot). Then, if it's PPR, I'd go with Burleson because he's kinda a safety blanket for Stafford and they're not playing the 49ers. But non-PPR, I might take a chance on Hixon and hope he hits his higher upside.
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#224
10-11-2012, 01:46 PM
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#226
10-16-2012, 07:14 PM
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I'm enjoying the yahoo recaps this year. It's often obvious and repetitive, but occasionally cool little nuggets like
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#227
11-01-2012, 10:31 AM
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Code:
PF PA HOME AWAY DIV STREAK 776 624 3-1-0 3-1-0 6-2-0 W1 770 634 3-0-0 3-2-0 6-2-0 W2 593 601 3-1-0 2-2-0 5-3-0 W1 596 630 3-2-0 1-1-1 4-3-1 T1 711 676 1-2-0 3-2-0 4-4-0 L1 630 659 1-3-0 3-1-0 4-4-0 W2 593 619 2-2-0 2-2-0 4-4-0 L1 592 663 2-1-0 2-3-0 4-4-0 L4 795 832 2-3-0 1-2-0 3-5-0 L2 654 660 2-2-0 1-3-0 3-5-0 W1 605 670 2-2-0 1-3-0 3-5-0 L1 618 665 1-3-1 0-3-0 1-6-1 T1
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#228
11-05-2012, 05:13 PM
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As a Trent Richardson, Darren McFadden, Percy Harvin, Jordy Nelson owner in my money league, I'm getting a tad bit upset with these bad weeks that happen when my guy leaves the game early due to injury. It's starting to really piss me off in my other leagues too.
See, in the real NFL, they have these things called "backups", where, if your star player goes down in the first quarter with an injury, you get to bring in the "backup" to play instead of him. These "backups" take the touches that your injured player would normally get, and, as a team, you're not completely fucked when one player goes down (which happens all to often in the NFL). But in fantasy football, which is supposed to let me be an imaginary GM, we don't have the luxury of "backups" that we can put in a game in case of injury. And that's starting to piss me off, because I will lose this week (unless Brees decides to throw for 4 touchdowns) because McFadden got injured early in the game and got me a whopping 1.7 points, Nelson got me nothing in the flex spot, and Harvin severely underperformed (although he was in there for the whole game, so I won't count him). And this won't be the first week this happens. What I'm wondering is if there is a fair way to deal with this disparity between real and fantasy football. Just thinking aloud, perhaps having a designated "backup" spot from your roster at each position that will kick in if the player is injured for more than a half of play. So when McFadden goes down in the first quarter, I get his 1.7 points for the first half, but I get a "backup" for the second half (in my case it would have been LaRod Stevens Howling), and whatever points he scores in the second half are mine too. Has anyone ever heard of this? Any websites that allow for this? Am I on the cutting edge of the next great development in fantasy football, or just a bitter man who has finally had enough of losing games due to early in game injuries when, in the real world, these things called "backups" exist? What say you fantasy football gurus? Last edited by Hamlet; 11-05-2012 at 05:14 PM.
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#229
11-05-2012, 06:20 PM
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There are leagues where you can draft like "Green Bay Quarterback" to take care of this situation, although it's very tricky with receivers, since they don't have clear backups. I don't think there's anything like this on yahoo though.
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#230
11-05-2012, 06:30 PM
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Last edited by Hamlet; 11-05-2012 at 06:30 PM.
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#231
12-16-2012, 09:33 AM
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Playoffs! Every point counts. As my WR3 I have a choice between T.Y. Hilton and Kenny Britt. Britt is going against the Jets (Cromartie) which may be a tough match up, but he seems to be back in stride. Hilton has more big play potential and the game against Houston could be a shoot out. What do you think?
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#233
12-16-2012, 11:36 AM
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I posted this in the Week 15 thread, but this thread is actually more appropriate so I'll give it a shot here.
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Last edited by Omniscient; 12-16-2012 at 11:36 AM.
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#234
12-16-2012, 01:54 PM
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#235
12-18-2012, 04:27 PM
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Ok, I won this week and am in the championship game. I have a few choices to make this coming week. Non-PPR league.
I need 3 WR from: Julio Jones; Mike Wallace; T.Y. Hilton; James Jones; and Kenny Britt. From that group, Britt is right out. So 3 of the rest. Surprisingly, James Jones leads that bunch with 12 TDs. They all have good match-ups this week: Detroit; Cincy; KC and Ten respectively. I have been going with Jones, Wallace and Hilton the last few weeks and have won 4 in a row, but James Jones is tempting... Also, at QB I need to choose between Eli and Stafford. Both stunk this past week. Eli v. Baltimore; Stafford v. Atlanta. This decision is critical as my opponent has Brees. Help a Doper out! Last edited by Southern Yankee; 12-18-2012 at 04:27 PM.
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#236
12-18-2012, 06:12 PM
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Oy. Stafford and Eli both stink, but I think Stafford has the potential to be great, I don't think Eli has that anymore. So if you need upside go with Stafford. Neither is really all that safe and neither has a great matchup. As for the WRs, dance with who brung ya. James Jones has been surprising, but his production is almost all TD based I believe and that's really hard to predict and there are so many talented WRs on that team. MAYBE you start him over Julio Jones, maybe. But Hilton and Wallace are locks.
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#237
12-23-2012, 11:10 PM
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On a similar topic, I was also in my big-money FFL Championship Game today. I've posted looking for opinions in this thread a few times and had some tough choices again this week. Here's a quick league recap: In this very RB heavy league where RBs are roughly twice as valuable as WRs and you can start up to 3 with flexes, I've been juggling between the 4-some of Ridley, Gore, Peterson and Greene. In most weeks I started 3 of the 4 and Peterson and Ridley pretty much carried me. Gore was steady and Greene spent most of the season on the bench. Those guys combined with Brady, Wayne, Demarius Thomas, Floyd and Bowe made up the balance of the offense and were good enough to lead me to the top scoring offense by a really wide margin. With some really bad luck, the highest points against by 150 points offsetting my scoring advantage, I was left battling for my playoff life. I finished strong by winning my last 5 in a row and found myself in the title game. In week 12 I made what I think was a pretty savvy roster move, I dropped Greene to grab a still injured Murray off waivers. In that same week I grabbed the Chargers defense, dropping the Lions, knowing that in weeks 15 and 16 they had the Steelers and Jets on the schedule. At the time I expected Big Ben to still be hurting, but the Chargers paid off today. I also swapped Dawson for Bailey at K, this one didn't really pay off but since transactions cost us $10 a piece in this league it wasn't a trivial tweak. Last night I watch my opponent get out to a nice lead with Julio Jones scoring 10 points, a princely sum for a WR in this league, and I'm feeling a little stressed. I make the executive decision to bench my workhorse Gore in favor of Murray against a recently surging Saints defense. Both teams have a surfeit of early game action and he gets out to a really strong start with Randall Cobb scoring almost immediately. Then Newton pulls out to a comfortable lead on Brady who has 2 INTs in the first half. Eventually his team goes cold and Ridley and Peterson start gaining steam. Neither finds the endzone, but each grind out enough yards to get to 10 points a piece. It's neck and neck as the early games come to a close. Brady never gets going and Newton extends his lead with a 3rd TD. Doug Martin on my opponents team then finishes strong to match Peterson's 10 points. As this action occurs the Chargers surge to 28 points on a special teams TD and a generally crappy Jets offense. So, with the Cowboys down 14 and the rest of the early games over I'm ahead just 9 points. I've got the last 4 minutes of Murray and Bailey and Thomas to go in the afternoon game. My opponent has Forte, the Broncos D and what's left of Witten's game. Frankly it's looking like I'm cooked since Forte alone would close that gap against a crappy Cards team. Then all hell breaks loose in the Cowboys game. Murray gets a couple nice catches for a couple extra points and the Pokes tie it up getting me a couple extra PATs. My lead is now 12. OT starts and I'm excited about the possibility of Murray grinding out a drive and Bailey ending it with a FG. Of course the opposite occurs with Witten getting a couple catches and the Saints shutting the door. What briefly seemed like a godsend turned into a net -2 point swing. Fox cuts away to the Bears game and immediately a defensive TD and Forte TD run and it's clear I'm cooked. The Bears are gonna grind this out and Forte will rack up plenty of garbage time yards. Looking at my team I see that none of my RBs find the end zone, Brady has one of his worst games of the year and my TE posts a measly 1 point. Just not my week. Then Thomas get a TD and posts 7 yards in the first Quarter to tie me back up. Still, with Forte and the Broncos D on the other side it just wasn't meant to be. Then the unthinkable, Forte goes down with a bad ankle and I'm up 3 points. If Cleveland can just score and not make any horrible mistakes on offense and Forte stays on the sideline I might luck out! Then Thomas posts another TD for 17 points! The clock clicks down, the Broncos D settles for 12 points and I walk away with a 3 point League Championship clinching victory. I posted one of my lowest scores of the season and the first sub-100 point game of the last 5 games. My core players, Brady, Peterson and Ridley all have terrible games. But, the shrewd addition of the Chargers defense and a miracle performance from Thomas combined with a massive stroke of luck with Cobb and Forte each going down hurt in the middle of blowouts were enough. The football gods smiled on me today. It was a good, and profitable, day!
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