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#251
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#252
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In any case, IMO it is better that if anyone's got ANYTHING that can be brought up against them, bad, ugly, dumb, trivial or significant, it be brought up now, early, so candidates can deal with it now and not at the convention or as October surprises. If the candidate overcomes it, it's a plus; if s/he feels it's not worth it, it spares expense and effort later on. ISTM many people who were looking to Joe for 2020 AND many people who did not want Joe for 2020 were both thinking of him as neutralizing the Dem "new left", being the old mainstream Dem who would not be portrayed as a scary leftist and could go toe-to-toe with Trump for the WWC. |
#253
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#254
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I hasten to add that I've always liked Joe Biden in general as a senator and vice president. I don't dole out heaps of praise for any particular name-brand politician that often, but I really do get the sense that Biden is a passionate defender of the working class guy.
I may be naive, but I even get the sense that while younger Joe Biden probably was motivated more by a sense of ego - like all ambitious and aspiring presidential candidates - I get the feeling that older, mature Joe Biden could take it or leave it. I do get the impression that he really regrets not running not because he feel like he personally missed his chance to be president and because he missed out on some lifelong dream, but more so because he's truly appalled at the morons running the white house now and the opposition party that has enabled him. I'm not even totally convinced he wants to run for himself as much as he is constantly reminded every damn day that he probably could even squeaked out a victory over Trump, and chose not to run. I bet that eats away at him, and so now he feels compelled to run because of his own feelings and probably because everyone around him has convinced him he can do it this time. I won't say that he doesn't have ambition, ego, and designs on power - you don't get to be a multi-term senator and Veep without these traits. But what I'm saying is that I think he can walk away from it if he really wants to and he could live out his life content on a personal level, which is different from how I assess Hillary Clinton's reaction to her loss. My impression is that while she, like Biden, is horrified by Trump's inflicting damage to the country, I also get the feeling that she feels cheated, that she lost out on a lifelong dream, and that she'll never, ever get over it - ever. Last edited by asahi; 04-04-2019 at 09:12 AM. |
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#255
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Presidential Medal of Freedom, surely.
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#256
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Thank you. Last edited by What Exit?; 04-04-2019 at 09:14 AM. |
#257
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Right now, I'm just addressing the latter claim. I thank you for your support in assuring iiandyiiii that he's making a big deal out of nothing. Last edited by RTFirefly; 04-04-2019 at 10:08 AM. |
#258
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This is not what I'm saying, by the way.
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#259
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The pix of poses I've seen involving Biden are quite different from that. |
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#260
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Then I'll be damned if I'm able to figure out what you're saying.
What exactly is special about these photos and videos that their consent to this specific use is necessary, given that they're photos and videos of a public event? If it's not about anything particularly salacious or revealing going on in them, what's the deal? If it's a matter of just the simple nonconsensuality of the touching, suppose Person A punches Person B in the face at a public event. That's nonconsensual touching, for sure. Should Person B's consent be required before anybody publishes a photo of it? You're trying to stand on some sort of principle here, but I just don't grok it. |
#261
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But further, why the hell do you need the videos? Multiple women have spoken up, with very credible (and consistent!) allegations of inappropriate touching by Biden. Unless you're the type that just naturally disbelieves women (and I don't think you are, based on past threads on other instances of inappropriate behavior), the videos are entirely unnecessary to your argument. Now I believe the number is 7 -- 7 women have come forward with very similar stories about inappropriate touching by Biden. Why not just use those stories to criticize Biden, just on the off chance that there might be a shred of truth to my argument -- that perhaps one or two of these other women and girls really don't want videos of their bodies being touched used as evidence (and more importantly, spread around and duplicated all over the internet) for an argument they aren't interested in making? Last edited by iiandyiiii; 04-04-2019 at 10:29 AM. |
#262
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iiandyiiii your posts are generally reasonable. However, stating that video or photographs of people in a place where privacy is not to be expected is violating consent is not true and in any case irrelevant. Creepy Uncle Joe wouldn’t have that nickname if he could keep his fondlers and his sniffer in check.
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#263
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I agree, and I haven't advocated this. Feel free to read my actual posts in which I try to explain in detail my position.
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#264
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Your position isn't all that complicated. We have in this very controversy a woman (Stephanie Carter) decrying her photo with Biden being used as a prop for calling him creepy. There are undoubtedly others in these video compilations that feel the same.
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#265
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But I agree with you, at this point the stories should more than suffice. I'll cheerfully concede the point. ![]() |
#266
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I haven’t read the whole thread, but, yes, Biden’s time is over. The creepy Uncle Joe will be the 2020 version of the email server. And, it’ll be just like a killer in a horror movie: every time you think the issue is dead, it’ll resurrect itself. Plus, it gives Trump to do the exact same thing that Bush 2004 did and blame your opponent for your worst flaw.
Politics ain’t beanbags as Biden should know. The Dukakis campaign made the plagiarism story come out in 1988. I wouldn’t be surprised at all to find out the Sanders and/or another campaign is pushing these stories now to head off a Biden announcement. Let Biden campaign for the nominee in some of the areas where Obama or a Clinton wouldn’t be as effective.
__________________
Twitter:@Stardales IG:@Dalej42 |
#267
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If nominated I think he would likely win and I don't think his chances of getting the nomination have been dramatically altered by this. But while he'd be a reasonable candidate, and a likely winning one, and (IMHO) a very good president, we have better choices, and his less than stellar handling of this ... event ... is merely a reminder of why he's lost races for the nomination those several times before. Part of what attracts people to Biden is that he is not a prepared response kind of candidate. He responds honestly and off the cuff with what he really thinks without microanalyzing his words before they come out of his mouth and without thinking about what he will say much in advance. That is "real" and "authentic" ... and most commonly likable as well. And it sometimes makes one cringe and is also what has made his campaigns sputter in the past. Remember his calling Obama the "first mainstream African-American who is articulate and bright and clean and a nice-looking guy. I mean, that's a storybook, man."? No edit function may work for Trump but it doesn't fly as well on the D side. Voters often like how he wings it, it's lots of what people like about him and it is who he is ... but that same feature has torpedoed him too. |
#268
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Thanks. Maybe I'm just doing a poor job explaining it, then.
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#269
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No it’s just that the rest of us quickly realized that those who didn’t get it wouldn’t.
I try to resist banging my head against walls.
__________________
Oy. |
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#270
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#271
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Even without anything else being a factor, he's 76. The guy's time and prime is past. He is a 1980s/1990s candidate stuck in a soon-to-be-2020s world. The D's want young and hot blood.
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#272
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Because she didnt give any indication that his touch was unwanted, except five years later, and obviously politically motivated. Last edited by DrDeth; 04-04-2019 at 02:17 PM. |
#273
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"If nobody complained, they must have been okay with it," Quote:
"By raising concerns about this situation being sexist, you're showing yourself to be the real sexist." Quote:
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#274
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I'll try and put it differently (this is how CarnalK summed up my position) "We have in this very controversy a woman (Stephanie Carter) decrying her photo with Biden being used as a prop for calling him creepy. There are undoubtedly others in these video compilations that feel the same." Further, the videos are entirely unnecessarily to criticize Biden. Seven women (at least -- maybe more by now) have now credibly accused Biden of inappropriate touching. There's no reason at all to refer to videos and images of women and girls who may or may not be embarassed or shamed by these videos being promulgated of their bodies being touched, when we have at least seven first hand accounts of inappropriate touching by Biden. |
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#275
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Also, it's not JUST a question of how each individual woman felt when the pic or video was taken, it's that seeing and watching those pics and videos can (and definitely does) call up empathy and memories in the viewer, putting the viewer into the position of "OMG, if/when someone did that to me it would be/was incredibly uncomfortable and squicky and she looks like she feels just the same way, this is awful." Which puts Biden in the position of creeping out millions of people (sort of a transitive property of squeamishness if you will) rather than only creeping out the specific woman he's currently being too goddamned handsy with.
Younger women especially have some very distinctly negative feelings about the idea that men are entitled to put hands on them without specific consent and are less inculcated in that "don't make a scene" behavior than older women are. If Biden runs he's going to find out that not everyone, and in fact a very huge percentage of the younger voters required to win the election, are not okay with his behavior and will not just stand around smiling uncomfortably and "letting Biden be Biden." It will not be a fun lesson for him as he loses spectacularly for the third time. Last edited by SmartAleq; 04-04-2019 at 02:38 PM. |
#276
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IMHO yes, his campaign is over before it starts. Democrats are fortunate that he hasn't formally announced yet, so we get to avoid the spectacle of his withdrawing due to this issue. He can instead make some kind of announcement about how he isn't going to run to make room for the next generation to take over (and yes, I realize that if he put it that way it could be seen as a parting shot at Bernie). Now that I see how well some of the more unknown and younger candidates seem to be attracting a good following, I think the Democrats will be find if Uncle Joe sits this one out. I see several benefits to him sitting it out, and only one potential drawback.
Here's my list of benefits, by no means exhaustive. 1. There wouldn't be any "it's his turn" party insider candidates running. I think that could only be a good thing this particular cycle. Part of the underlying assumption here is that there are two "lanes" and that in the end it will come down to Bernie vs. whoever emerges from the rest of the pack. If it's not Biden I think Bernie won't have the whole party insider thing to use against whoever emerges from the rest of the pack. 2. The primary season won't turn into one long ongoing story about Biden's hands and who he has and hasn't groped, what evidence there is, is anyone else going to come forward, if Biden can do it then why can't Trump, etc. 3. Biden not being involved means that his supporters are going to have to take a closer look at the other candidates, and whoever does end up emerging will have won over those supporters on her or his own merits, rather than getting those voters because Biden endorsed them (assuming he wasn't going to win anyways). Drawbacks. The only one I see is if we actually are at a point where the Democrats have lost Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan, and that only someone like Biden can win those voters back. I don't believe this to be the case, but I could be wrong. Last edited by FlikTheBlue; 04-04-2019 at 03:01 PM. |
#277
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Whoever the Ds select, the campaign will focus on personal attacks against that candidate. This is especially true if Trump is the opponent — the Rs will want to distract from any focus on Trump's failings.
Bannon, Putin, Hannity and the entire GOP are devoted to using propaganda to undermine American democracy, but there's usually some foundation behind their successful lies. Hillary really did mistreat her official e-mail. If Warren is the nominee, the campaign will be all about "Pocahontas" .... but Warren really did over-emphasize her Native ancestry. If Sanders, the campaign will be all about "socialism" and there will be some fire behind that smoke. Quote:
Most Americans are not stupid enough to fall for lies that have no basis whatsoever. We elected Obama despite that the liars called him a Muslim born in Kenya. Obama overcame the lies because he was impeccable. We need another impeccable nominee. How about Cory Booker? Any skeletons in his closet? (I've heard that some right-wing haters will call him Gay. Will he need testimony from pretty woman (women?) about how hot he is in bed? ![]() |
#278
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Cory Booker is a vegan, will that work against him in the heartland?
His record as Newark Mayor was basically a breath of honesty after decades of pretty much skulduggery but also not very much in the way of results. |
#279
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Here's the thing. It's not that your position is hard to follow, it's that you're not seeing the implications of what you're arguing. For example, this?
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#280
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__________________
My new novel Spindown Last edited by iiandyiiii; 04-04-2019 at 04:37 PM. |
#281
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#282
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I guess we're at an impasse, because I'm unable to connect what you're saying to my actual specific words.
__________________
My new novel Spindown |
#283
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Try reading post 273 again - I used your specific words and explained how they were problematic.
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#284
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I still see no connection to my actual words. You're reading something into it that's not there at all.
__________________
My new novel Spindown |
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#285
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Again, I will apologize for butting in, but Miller really did put into words what I've been vaguely trying to formulate for several pages, now. |
#286
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__________________
My new novel Spindown |
#287
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Next time, stay away from words like "slobber" maybe.
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#288
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Fair enough. I was thinking of the Breitbart crazies who made and promoted some of these videos that I've seen in the past, not anyone in this thread. Those assholes are gross.
__________________
My new novel Spindown |
#289
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Back to Biden: Democrats in positions of power would be smart to look at the question 'what qualities in Biden are believed to be the key to winning states we're worried about, such as Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin?' Surely it's not his age. And surely it's not that he's made serious runs at getting the nomination several times. So it must be other traits. What are they? Why are they believed to be important? Are they important? Should we publicly examine the belief that these traits are important? If we think "maleness" is crucial, why do we believe it's crucial? Are we right about that, or are we making unwarranted assumptions? If we think "physically affectionate" is crucial, why? If we think "says whatever he's thinking" is crucial, why? And so on. This could be a useful exercise, I believe. |
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#290
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You've got to answer first by identifying the key demographics you need to hit on for those states. That's going to be flipping back the Obama-Trump voters, not turning off the Romney-Clinton ones, and getting Black voter turnout up there. He's long had strong support among that Obama-Trump demographic which includes many working class whites, and it's his lack of polish (without getting to the crude level of Trump), and his authenticity that seem to be the key traits there. Romney-Clinton ones see as enough in the Beltway as to be a force for stability. And right now at least he polls very well among Black voters, which might just be based on association with Obama, but could be the same authenticity and relative centrism as well. Here's from 538: Quote:
I might be talking myself into moving Biden up my list some ... |
#291
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Related question -
Accepting for the sake of discussion that "Northern Path" thesis of those states being the key states to win, and that those are the demographics that matter most to achieving that goal, does the issue of too familiar non-sexual touch, of presumptuous and even "entitled" touch, of touch that has on occasion been unwelcome and uncomfortable, impact those demographics in a race against Trump so much? It's a very different question than how it impacts the nomination process. My take is that this issue per se does not at all. My concern remains though what it portends for how he will handle how the rest of his baggage comes up. There will be major smear campaigns run and he has history, some of which does not even need to be taken out of context, or put in small frames, to look bad. He currently is very popular among Black voters ... will it remain after those attacks hit? (For example.) |
#292
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In the context of the general election, I think there's this vicious cycle where so many are hung up on perceived hypocrisy in elites who moralize while not caring to practice what they preach, and they (those hung up on this) care more about that than weighing how grievous individual faults are to put it politely. The trolls will call him a pedophile and anything else with no shame. Biden has given some speeches in the last year or two where he has referenced men abusing power in personal and violating ways. I could see him getting flack for this inconsistency in word and action with those who matter, not for the actions unless he fails to change as he has said he will. Whether his background would cause him to be pegged in the vein of a Washington elite is probably a mix, and his communication style mentioned earlier shouldn't hurt him in that regard. I did see some people including a few on the center-left for a variety of reasons get up in arms because he recently talked about white man's culture; unless he is constantly beating that drum I don't know if many will remember or care that much. I guess according to my CNN link some progressives were also critical of the speech because he didn't go far enough. |
#293
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How in tarnation were we supposed to know that? I think if the acronym isn't instantly recognizable, spell the darn thing out.
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#294
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But I'm interested in hearing a more detailed discussion from you about "those who matter". Assuming you are agreeing that those are the same three groups I identified, Obama-Trump, Romney-Clinton, and Black voters, which of them do you think are most prone to change support in a race against Trump based on a campaign pegging him as having "inconsistency in word and action"? Is there any particular reason you think that? |
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#295
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Unfortunately, there's a lot of overlap between inappropriate touching and inappropriate sexual touching. I don't have the impression that there was a sexual motivation to what Biden was doing. But touching other people is something that most people would be uncomfortable with anyway--sexual or not.
I had a male manager would would touch both male and female employees on the back and shoulder when talking to them. There was nothing sexual about it, but I felt uncomfortable when he did it to me. I don't want to be touched by people with that kind of relationship to me (stranger, acquaintance, etc.) I view this kind of behavior in the category of insensitive or lacking empathy behavior more than harassment or predatory behavior. Along with touching, it might also include talking endlessly without regard for the other person's interest in the topic, calling at home about non-emergency work topics outside of work hours, excessive micromanaging, and so on. Boorish, lack of awareness of personal space, lack of awareness of others interest, etc. all fall into that category. I think he's handling it poorly now. Rather than being apologetic for making people feel uncomfortable, he's saying he did nothing wrong. It would be like a person who talks endlessly saying they won't apologize for doing so and will keep talking to someone as long as they feel like, even if that other person is bored to tears and couldn't care less about the topic. But in this political environment, who knows, maybe that's the right attitude to win. Saying he'll do whatever he feels like without concern for anyone else seems to be a winning strategy at the moment. |
#296
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“Most people”?
I doubt. I actually think most people respond well to appropriate touch (tautology I know). I don’t think most find non-sexual touch not intended to demonstrate power or control but intended to communicate attention, focus, support, or concern as unwanted or intrusive. But enough don’t like it that great caution is warranted especially if there is a real or perceived power imbalance between the toucher and the touched. That perception can be based on position or gender or a wide variety of factors. Biden has not exhibited such caution. He says he gets it now. Not sure he does. |
#297
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The first isn't a actual quotation--it's a paraphrase--because I haven't yet found a full transcript of today's interaction with reporters. But the second is quoted in several stories. Today Biden seemed not only defensive, but actually, well, angry. Or as angry as he gets. He seemed to defy Those Irrationally-Critical Women by joking about the situation twice during his on-stage time: Quote:
TheHill.com On the 'defensiveness' front, he told reporters that plenty of people welcome his touch: Quote:
So with reference to DSeid's categories of Obama-Trump, Romney-Clinton, and Black voters: My guess is that males among them will shrug, and females will be split between those who will sigh and swallow their disappointment (at being asked, yet again, to simply put up with uninvited touches by those with more power), and those who will reject Biden soundly and decisively. |
#298
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#299
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Maybe some fraction of them. Warring within them (possibly) was delight at Trump's implicit promise to Make America White Again, and a disappointed resignation to the pussy-grabbing.
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#300
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According to a Hill poll, a majority of American voters, Democrats, Independents, women, men, and people aged 35+ say this isn't a deal breaker and Biden should still run. And a plurality of voters 18-34 say the same.
https://thehill.com/hilltv/what-amer...men-should-not So it seems a lot of people are shrugging right now. |
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