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#1
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Is Howard Dean screwing up as DNC chairman?
This subject has come up in several threads lately, and seems to deserve its own discussion.
Howard Dean has now been DNC chair for several months, and the early results don't look promising. It seems to me that he has taken a bombastic strategy designed to rile up the base, rather than efforts to build the party and its warchest. Fundraising for the Democrats in the first quarter of this year was less than half of the Republican effort. And while Dean has been talking to labor and state party groups in an effort to shore up the base, his counterpart, Ken Mehlman, has been talking to minority groups in an effort to peel even more voters away from the Democrats. Source for much of the above. I realize it's still early, and that Dean could still turn things around. But he hasn't even named a political director yet, the fundraising will continue to be a problem, and Dean's rhetoric is so hot that people in the middle could easily be chased away. Anyway, that's my entry to this discussion, and I'm curious how it looks to other folks. |
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#2
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This kind of says it all IMHO and goes with my hispanic thread (which didn't really ever get off the ground):
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I'm interested in seeing what some democrats have to say though...do THEY think Dean is doing a good job, thats really the question. -XT |
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#3
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I'm not informed enough, but I'll just point out that since the Republicans and Democrats are in rather different positions right now, it only makes sense that their chairmen are pursuing different strategies.
My general impression is that the union base has been dying a slow death for a long time, so perhaps spending a lot of energy on that is a bad use of time. However you can see right there in xstime's post that Dean is speaking to Democrats in traditionally Republican areas, and I can tell you as somebody who regularly gets his e-mails that that's always been part of his strategy and a one of the positive signs he points to. I do think that makes sense and it's a form of outreach, not just speaking to the base. |
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#4
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Money talks. Though Democrats will never be able to match the Republicans in fund raising, under Dean the Democratic National Committee raised $3.4 million in three weeks - more than double the amount raised during the same time in 2001
Nobody casts their vote based on who the chair is. But money does buy votes. And if Dean is the most effective fundraiser, then he's right for the job. |
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#5
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It seems to me that Dean is not the sort of person who would be best at taking the Republican strategy. He is at his best when riling up the base. Going after republican states is probably better (for him) than focusing on swing voters that are turned off by him anyway.
There were still a lot of people who didn't vote last election. More than enough to have changed the results. What Dean is probably trying to do is give the impression that the Democrats are not Republicrats and that there is actually a choice so it's worth getting up off of your ass and voting. Democrats where not excited about Kerry. I believe it's because he didn't provide a real alternative, he was simply "Anyone but Bush." I can't cite at the moment, but I seem to remember that likely republican voters were more enthusiastic during the last election. |
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#6
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Mr. Moto: Fundraising for the Democrats in the first quarter of this year was less than half of the Republican effort.
But as Bob noted, the Dems simply don't have as deep pockets as the Republicans, so that's only to be expected. We need to establish mutually agreed-upon criteria for what counts as "screwing up" before we can answer the question in the OP. |
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#7
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As to your first claim, about Democrats always having less money, weren't you one of those trumpeting the fact that the Democrats outraised the Republicans late last year? |
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#8
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#9
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And I don't know if we can come up with strict success-failure metrics until the next election, at which time things will be crystal clear. But when Howard Dean calls Republicans "evil", I see it as counterproductive to his own cause, and not the way I'd approach business. You, on the other hand, might just love it. If you think he's doing great, just say so. I'd love to hear why. |
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#10
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The Dems indeed did a fine job last fall in raising funds. But on the whole, the Republicans are going to have an edge in raising money year round.
The questions I see are: 1) Is Dean raising more money than was raised by his predecessor? Based on the first few weeks of his tenure, I'd say that's true. 2) Could anyone have done better? Hard to say. But given his proven ability to raise funds online in 2004, I don't think other Democratic contenders can come close to him in this regard. 3) Do we need a high profile guy? I think so. We need to keep the energy going. Dean's message resonates with the Democratic faithful. Keeping them on board is job 1. |
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#11
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Mr. Moto: But when Howard Dean calls Republicans "evil", I see it as counterproductive to his own cause, and not the way I'd approach business. You, on the other hand, might just love it.
And I thought we were so happy together, in our ideologically-adversarial-but-mutually-respectful style. Was it something I said?
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#12
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I'm not trying to bait you, just pointing out that there can be a difference of opinion here.
I started this thread in large part to hear those other opinions. I'm sorry if that came off poorly. |
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#13
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All conventional widsom pointed to undecideds swinging towards the challenger. So, driving resources into the base seems to have worked. |
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#14
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I think that may be confusing the short term goals of a candidate and the long term strategy of a political party.
For instance, nobody thinks the Democrats can take the House next election cycle. That doesn't mean they shouldn't be working toward this eventual goal. |
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#15
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I agree
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We need to have a realistic and respectful dialogue aimed at those people. If ypou use the same nasty superficial tactics that your opponents use then you're no better. People tune out that kind of rhetoric and turn off to being involved. |
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#16
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I don't think Dean's performance can fairly be measured against his Republican counterpart, but rather against his Democratic predessessor. In this regard, he's doing as best a job as can be expected this early in the game. He had a lot of damage to repair. Terry McAuliff was extremely ineffective as chairman. As has been noted, Dean is outperforming him in terms of fundraising and he is riling up the base--which had been apathetic at best before his tenure.
It's not reasonable to expect him to outperform the Republican party at this point. First he must lay the groundwork, then he can join the competition. I think he's doing a great job, and in large part it's because his personality is a refreshing contrast from politics-as-usual Terry. |
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#17
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Mr. Moto: I'm sorry if that came off poorly.
No problem, I obviously just misunderstood you. My apologies. Carry on. |
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#18
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cosmosdan: Along with adds loke the new MoveOn add with elephants charging the white house. There ar elots of moderates, republicans, democrats and independents that don't like this administration.
To be fair, that ad did explicitly praise the "courageous Republicans" who were said to be standing up to the radical ones represented by the charging elephants. A lot of people reacted to that image as a sweeping criticism of all Republicans, but that wasn't what the ad was actually saying. |
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#19
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Congressional Democrats appear to be growing a spine recently, most notably facing down Bush on Social Security and DeLay's "nuclear option" filibuster-busting plans. Can those successes be attributed to Dean, as well?
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#20
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I don't think so, and neither would I pin any Republican legislative successes on Ken Mehlman directly. Far more credit would go to the party leadership in the House and Senate, of whichever party you're talking about.
The head of the DNC (or RNC) would be far more concerned with fundraising, party building, party organization, and candidate recruitment. |
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#21
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He's doing OK. The only reason he's getting so much attention is that he's Howard Dean. His position is almost irrelevent. Were he not DNC, he would still be making speeches and raising money/conciousness, and the Tighty Righty would still be howling with outrage at all the outrage, etc. etc. (Cue "The Scream"). After all, Ward Churchill can only be inflated so far, eventually they have to talk about something else. Ain't gonna be our glorious success in Iraq and Afghanistan, that's for sure.
The momentum is shifting, but not because of Dr. Dean, but Dr. Dobson, Dr. Frist, and thier merry band of rabid slugs. |
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#22
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#23
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Well, I'm disappointed in the OP. Very much so. I disabused you of some of this nonsense only this morning with this post here. It appears that it may have even prompted this very thread, at least in part. However, you continue to spout much the same nonsense.
As others may read in the link, Howard Dean is setting records for off-year fundraising. Comparisons between fundraising now and last year, during the run up to a presidential election, are completely inappropriate in terms of estimating relative performance. The link I gave you also shows Gallup poll numbers that show Dean's approval rating among the general population going up over time, not down. So it is hard to support an argument that his "hot rhetoric" is chasing anyone away. But you knew all of this already, and still you created this OP? Wow. Further, as I said in the link, it's great to have money, sure, but it doesn't seem to be helping the Republicans very much, since not only are they falling on their ass repeatedly as if they were trying to run on ice in terms of their own agenda (Schiavo, filibuster, Social Security) but they are also falling like stones in terms of public polling. I realize you said that you don't put stock in polls, but you should put stock in the actual effectiveness of your party, right? Love to tell you that they are presently eating a big shit sandwich. At least they have a bunch of money to pay for dessert. |
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#24
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#25
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But not beyond ours.
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#26
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Now, an apples-to-apples comparison is handy at times, 'tis true, but sometimes you have to compare that apple to other things, Can't be helped. And if you want to state that Dean is doing better than any Democrat before on that score, that's fine. I can, though, ask if that's enough. If the Democrats lose more ground in 2006, will you be satisfied that at least the fundraising had improved, and keep going forward with the same game plan? If not, why wouldn't an examination of that plan before the election be wise? |
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#27
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Will you be pleased with having more money in 2006 but losing seats? |
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#28
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Well, I will admit that I am a hard-line conservative and thus have a biased view of Dean, but it seems to me that he is doing rather poorly. I can point to several statements in his Meet the Press appearance last Sunday as examples of this.
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I'll not quote all of his "argument" against the constitutional/nuclear option of changing the filibuster rules, but he basically said that he supported up or down votes ("So then what's the problem, Mr. Chairman?" I would like to know.), and that the Democrats are basically doing the same thing the Republicans did when they were in the minority (except that the Republicans bottled the nominations in committee as opposed to filibustering). So, on closer review, he had no argument. He made a huge blunder when he confused Saddam Hussein for Osama Bin Laden, stating Quote:
He went on to refuse to apologize for saying that Tom Delay should "serve his jail sentence", but never addressed Russert's salient point that Dean earlier (circa 2004) said that we shouldn't pre-judge Bin Laden. He just waffled. Not that I'm surprised. He is, after all, a politician. Further, he refused to apologize for mocking Limbaugh's drug addiction. I am no fan of Rush, and there is certainly plenty of things to make fun of him for. But...the leader of the DNC? I just don't think it's wise. And he's still saying it. He went on to say other "brilliant" things, including "Our [Democrats] moral values, in contradiction to the Republicans', is we don't think kids ought to go to bed hungry at night." Yes, Dean. You have crystallized it. Republicans think kids should go to bed hungry at night. There aren't enough rolleyes in the world. His view of African Americans in the Democratic party is one I can almost get behind. Quote:
I could go on, but I won't. Suffice to say, I'm just glad he's not the chairman of my party. |
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#29
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Er...I'm unsure why you think that most of your points about Dean would be considered bad by Democrats Psycho Pirate...who would be the ones to judge how Dean is or isn't doing. I seriously doubt that the majority of the points you made would be ones that Democrats would consider 'bad'.
I agree that it seems Dean is a more effective fund raiser than those who came before him in the job...but fund raising isn't everything. If Dean is indeed not going after the minorities agressively (especially this theoretical 'latino' group I keep hearing about) but ceeding that to the republicans, then I don't think he's doing a good job. To me the proof will be in the pudding...we'll see in '06 how the Democrats rebound from this last election and if they make any additional gains, or if the Republicans continue to advance. Personally I feel there is a lot of amunition out there for the Dems to us against the Pubs...but WILL they use it, and how effective will they use it? I don't know. To me it looks like the Republicans are screwing up by the numbers...but that the Democrats don't seem to be able to do anything about it. Where is a nice strong third party when you need one? -XT |
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#30
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Let's get real here, folks. Complaining about how the Chairman of a political party is doing is like complaining about how poorly an executive producer may have done in his work on some movie. In the end, no voter cares about what the hell Lee Atwater, Ron Brown, Howard Dean, or Haley Barbour said or did.
Candidates win and lose elections, not party chairmen. I maintain that you could have put a sickly chimpanzee in as head of the RNC in 2003, and Bush's devistating attacks on Kerry in the spring of 2004 still would have won the election for him. Whether or not Dean is doing a "good" job is about as important to politics as whether Paul Bearer was a "good" manager for the Undertaker in WWF wrestling. |
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#31
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#32
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#33
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#34
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(Conservative National Review Editor) Richard Lowry's spin on Dean's May 22nd appearance on Meet The Press: Just Another Dean Disaster - Nastier & More Shaky On The Facts Compared To The Disasterous 6/2003 Russert Interview
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#35
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#36
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Is there some sort of dynamic I should be aware of here, or is this just another IOKIYAR bit? |
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#37
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Iokiardi.
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#38
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#39
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But that has no bearing on his abilities as a DNC Chairman. None. The only standards a party chairman can ever be judged upon are fundraising and winning elections. The party chairman is usually not "the message guy." Leave that to the leaders in Congress or, if a party is so blessed, the president. Dean is beating his predecessor, who was a money-raising machine, in the fundraising arena. I would also guess, and I admit this is waaaay early in the game, that the Democrats will make gains in the House, though there's no way they'll win it before the next round of redistricting. Is this due to Dean? I don't know. With Social Security and Schiavo, the Republicans aren't exactly helping themselves out right now in the eyes of the public. As for your "facts" from a biased source, you know as well as I do that many of the Democrats who opposed the 1964 Civil Rights Act would be Republicans today. In fact, some of them became Republicans. At that point, Strom and the boys were DINOs -- Democrats In Name Only. |
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#40
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This is one of the most disingenuous OPs I've seen in a while. Mr. Moto, you could give a flying fuck about helping the Democrats win elections, you just want them to become more like Republicans so that when the country eventually realizes how stupid they've been, you won't be faced with true liberal. Aren't we expected to debate honestly in this forum?
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There's just one problem. That would suck. Unlike the Republican leadership, who like to pretend that they don't know that they're appealling to the most racist members of this country, I'd rather lose every election in every state before I'd use bigotry to win elections. Quote:
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#41
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Look, if you think Dean is doing fine, just say so. Or not. I'd love to hear your opinion one way or the other.
But please leave my motivations for starting this thread out of it. Really, all I was after was a good discussion and some more insight into Howard Dean's support. I have a healthy interest in a strong Democratic Party, even though I am a Republican. If you had researched my posts further, you would have known that this is an opinion I have held for some time. Quote:
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Perhaps my proposed solutions aren't ones you want to implement. That's fair. But accusing me of arguing in bad faith is another thing entirely, and I promise I haven't been doing that. |
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#42
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{b]DMC[/b],
You know just before this was posted, I had posted in a different thread how I would like to see a "How's Dean doing so far" kind of thread. Granted " Is Howard Dean screwing up as DNC chairman?" is a little more loaded way to phrase it, but I think it's something many of us are curious about. I don't think it's too late for this thread to have some interesting content regardless of Mr.Moto's alleged motivations. |
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#43
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Well, he could be trying to undermine the monolithic unity of the left.
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#44
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I have a healthy interest in a strong Republican Party, even though I am a Democrat. The difference between us is that I want the Republican party to actually return to its roots (smaller federal government, state's rights, etc.), not become more like the Democratic party. Quote:
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#45
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To try and get back to the topic, as I noted above, I think it's too soon to tell for me. What's your take, and what do you base it on? |
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#46
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#47
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This doesn't really relate to the thread much, but since it involved Dean I figured I'd toss it in:
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Anyway, sorry for the hijack. Carry on. ![]() -XT |
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#48
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John Dean simply reminds potential donors that someone as socially challenged as himself made it to the Democratic Primaries. Not exactly money well spent. He’s been shooting his mouth off from day one, which just makes it worse. His job is to raise money for the Democratic cause and as such he sets the tone. James Carville would have been a much better choice for the job. He can ramble on indefinitely without screaming incoherently or reverting to name calling and he always maintains a high level of energy. He’s even mellowed a little over the years. Plus he cooks up a good omelet when called upon. I’m on record as saying Dean was the wrong person for the job but if the powers-that-be want him I’m in full support of it. |
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#50
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