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#1
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2008 Baseball HOF
We had a thread on this about a month ago.
And the results are in Gossage goes in alone. Rice just missed (by 17 votes) and has one year left. Dawson was 49 votes short. Raines was the only first year eligible player who will stay on the ballot. McGwire got 128 votes (23.5%), exact same number as last year. Gossage got a surprisingly high number of votes (85.6%). Thought he'd get in this year, but not by much. I also thought Tim Raines would get more support. Didn't think he'd get in first ballot, but thought he'd be in the 50% range. |
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#2
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I think it sucks that McGwire got more votes than Allan Trammell. Trammell was a World Series MVP, runner up for AL MVP, was definitely one of the guys who started the transformation of shortstops to offensive players--and was incredibly good with the glove.
McGwire hit home runs. |
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#3
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I figured two or even three "wait listed" guys would get in this year, with Rice and Dawson the most likely to go in with Gossage. I was way off. |
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#4
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Way to go Goose! On a side note, Todd Stottlemyre got 1 vote. That voter should lose their privileges immediately!
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#5
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Also, Gossage will be inducted alongside Dick Williams. Two of the best baseball mustaches ever.
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#6
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I'll repeat what I posted in the other thread. Hooray for Goose.
It really is about time he made it. He was the only one that I thought would make it. So, I am not really disappointed by anyone else missing. Jim |
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#7
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I'm disappointed that Rice missed it again. I hope he makes it next year, for goodness' sake.
But good for Goose; he deserves it. |
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#8
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From the HOF itself: 2009: Steve Avery, Jay Bell, Mike Bordick, John Burkett, David Cone, Ron Gant, Mark Grace, Rickey Henderson, Charles Nagy, Denny Neagle, Jesse Orosco, Dean Palmer, Dan Plesac, Rick Reed, Greg Vaughn, Mo Vaughn, Matt Williams, Mike Williams (HOF Weekend will be July 24-27, with Induction Ceremonies on Sunday, July 26) 2010: Roberto Alomar, Kevin Appier, Andy Ashby, Ellis Burks, Andres Galarraga, Pat Hentgen, Mike Jackson, Eric Karros, Ray Lankford, Barry Larkin, Edgar Martinez, Fred McGriff, Shane Reynolds, Robin Ventura, Todd Zeile (HOF Weekend will be July 23-26, with Induction Ceremonies on Sunday, July 25) 2011: Wilson Alvarez, Carlos Baerga, Jeff Bagwell, Bret Boone, Kevin Brown, John Franco, Juan Gonzalez, Marquis Grissom, Mike Hampton, Al Leiter, Tino Martinez, Raul Mondesi, Hideo Nomo, John Olerud, Rafael Palmeiro, Benito Santiago, Ugueth Urbina, Larry Walker 2012: Vinny Castilla, Bill Mueller, Brad Radke, Tim Salmon, Ruben Sierra, Bernie Williams, Tim Worrell Last edited by What Exit?; 01-08-2008 at 03:37 PM. |
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#9
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Rickey Henderson is up next year, for one. The most impressive first-timer after him is probably David Cone, so based on his totals, I think Rice should make it. The others will have to keep waiting, I guess.
Last edited by Marley23; 01-08-2008 at 03:40 PM. |
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#10
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Goose deserves it, but I'm amazed at the lack of support and continued lack of support, respectively, shown for Raines and Trammell. Both seem like they should be locks to me.
And Blyleven, of course. |
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#11
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David Cone is unlikely. Mark Grace is unlikely. Mo Vaughn is unlikely. It could be Rice's chance, going in with the Rickey. |
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#12
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If anyone deserves to go in alone, it's Rickey.....
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#13
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If anyone doesn't deserve to go in, it's Rice.
(Have you folks seen his home/road splits? He was average at best outside Fenway.) |
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#14
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He played from '77-'96 (with 5 shortened years) and only hit above .300 seven times. He was a six time All-Star (in 19 seasons), and a Gold Glove winner only four times. He never led the league in any major offensive category! So what exactly is the argument for him? You can't say he was the best at his position for any period longer than maybe a single season. He was second in MVP voting once (hardly an accolade), and he was World Series MVP once. Here are the last three World Series MVPs: Mike Lowell, David Eckstein, Jermaine Dye. Clearly not a list that guarantees Hall of Fame status. Trammell isn't even borderline Hall-worthy. |
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#15
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Good for Goose.
I was hoping for Bert Blyleven to finally go over the top this year, and I'm disappointed that Lee Smith continues to get so little support. |
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#16
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Yount: 115 Ripken: 112 Trammell: 110 Looking at year to year, from the time that both Trammell and Yount were full time SS, I'd peg the best of the two (three when Ripken comes on board) as: 1978: Yount 1979: Yount 1980: Yount (Trammell's first good season) 1981: Yount 1982: Yount (MVP) 1983: Yount/Ripken (too close to call, tho Cal won the MVP) 1984: Ripken 1985: Ripken (Yount is now a CF) 1986: Ripken 1987: Trammell 1988: Trammell 1989: Ripken (Yount''s 2nd MVP, as a CFer) 1990: Trammell 1991: Ripken (his 2nd MVP) 1992: Ripken 1993: Trammell After that point Alan no longer has any more 400+ AB seasons. Not too bad really, tho I will agree that Cal and Robin are better. The problem is that the SS wing of the HoF has never been just about 3000 hit guys with multiple MVPs, but includes the likes of Luke Appling, Lou Boudreau, Joe Cronin, Luis Aparicio, and (not to mention) Phil Rizzuto and Pee Wee Reese. Ripken is the only full time SS with 3,000 hits (Wagner played 3B quite a bit and I already mentioned Yount's switch). Trammell probably rates about 10th all time on the SS list and fits quite comfortably with the other guys I mentioned above. If you are a Small Hall type of person you need to make that clear up front. |
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#17
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http://web.baseballhalloffame.org/ne...&vkey=hof_news
Trammel is very close. If you watched him and Lou turn double plays for 19 years ,you would be impressed. They made the pitchers more successful. They won games. |
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#18
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As for this year, meh, it was a pretty weak year but I'm happy with just Gossage getting in. My overall opinion of the hall is that it should be a one and done situation (either you get in on the first ballot or you aren't ever getting in) all this, "well he isn't a first ballot hall of famer, but he'll get in eventually" nonsense just doesn't compute with me. Either you're a hall of famer or you aren't? 2010 is a pretty interesting year though... |
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#19
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As for your listing year by year, I can accept your conclusions for the most part. I think it's debatable that Trammell was the best during '88, but I'll accept it. He was arguably the best at his position for roughly four years out of his career, and I find it interesting that he happened to be his best during an odd time in which the great players of the 70s and early 80s were winding down, but before the players of the late 80s and early 90s got really started. I think that's important. Quote:
Again, not a "small Hall" type of person, but I want to make it so that the Hall is reserved for the very best, not every player who was good. It's said often, and I believe it myself (though I find it annoying); it's the Hall of Fame, not the Hall of Very Good. Essentially this boils down to a fundamental difference in opinion. Is the Hall reserved for the top x players of an era, from a position? Or is it reserved for the BEST of an era, from a position? Either way, I don't think Trammell is even close to a lock. I'll surrender that he is borderline, but that's at best. And his case becomes worse and worse as the current shortstops start retiring. |
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#20
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Given the way the position breakdown works for the HoF (count the 3B) I'd say it has to be 'best of the era' and not by position.
2009: Steve Avery - No Jay Bell - No Mike Bordick - No John Burkett - No David Cone - Maybe Ron Gant - No Mark Grace - No Rickey Henderson - Yes Charles Nagy - No Denny Neagle - No Jesse Orosco - No Dean Palmer - No Dan Plesac - No Rick Reed - No Greg Vaughn - No Mo Vaughn - No Matt Williams - No Mike Williams - No 2010: Roberto Alomar - Maybe Kevin Appier - No Andy Ashby - No Ellis Burks - No Andres Galarraga - No Pat Hentgen - No Mike Jackson - No Eric Karros - No Ray Lankford - No Barry Larkin - Maybe Edgar Martinez - Maybe Fred McGriff - Maybe (Best case of the year) Shane Reynolds - No Robin Ventura - No Todd Zeile - No After that the only lock to me looks like Bagwell. Oh, and FREE THE BLYLEVEN ONE! Last edited by Jonathan Chance; 01-09-2008 at 06:50 AM. Reason: Mislabelled Henderson. |
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#21
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#22
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So you can name all of the best shorstops in the game from the 50's? If you can without looking it up, I would say that you are the exception not the rule. Ozzie Smith was not much better in the field that Allan Trammell, btw, he just did it with more flair--which made him a marketable kinda guy. |
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#23
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Alomar was a much greater player than McGriff, and I say that as a big McGriff fan. McGriff was superficially a better hitter, but the difference in defensive value is monstrous. For what it's worth Baseball Prospectus rates Alomar as being 134 wins above a replacement player for his career, McGriff as 100 on the nose. That's a pretty significant difference, and crosses the range of HoF standards among position players; most players at 100 are marginal picks, and most at 134 are in. Larkin and Edgar are interesting cases. Larkin's credentials are about the same as Trammell's, though his career had a different shape. Martinez is more in line with McGriff; a better hitter, but a shorter career and, of course, very little defensive contribution. I would rank them as: Alomar - No doubt Larkin - Probably Trammell - Probably Martinez - Wouldn't mind if he got in, wouldn't mind if he didn't McGriff - Wouldn't mind either way Cone - A very good player but not HoF standard |
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#24
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I believe there's better HOF commentary to be found here than with ESPN or SI online. As we're looking on down the road, it'll be interesting to see what shakes out with current investigations and in what regard Clemens will be held. I've searched each day and am consistently amazed no one's started a thread yet on his plight, what with all the passionate and knowledgable posters we've here.
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#25
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#26
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Best baseball discussion on the Net, bar none. |
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#27
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#28
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Derek Jeter: 9* Alex Rodriguez: 8* Robin Yount: 6 Cal Ripken, Jr: 5 Ernie Banks: 2 Phil Rizzuto: 2 Luis Aparicio: 1 Pee Wee Reese: 1 Ozzie Smith: 1 So, according to your own statistic - Trammell hit over .300 "only" seven times in his career - Alan Trammell "only" outperformed every single post-1950 shortstop who is currently in the Hall of Fame, and performed on par with two first ballot Hall of Famers whose numbers were compiled in the offensive boom of the last decade and a half. Incidentally, Trammell's career OBP was .352. Not a single one of those post-1950 Hall of Famers did better. So Alan Trammell was better at getting on base than anyone who has been elected to the Hall of Fame at his position in more than five decades. Banks, Ripken, and Yount all outperformed Trammell in terms of slugging percentage (Banks by a considerable margin), but none of the others did. His 185 career home runs would make him fourth on the all-time HoF list (behind those same guys). Quote:
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Look, Ripken was obviously a better hitter, though not a better fielder. Was Yount demonstrably better as a hitter? A bit, perhaps, over the course of a long career - Trammell a bit better at getting on base, Yount with a bit more power. But of course, Yount was only a shortstop for about half of his career, and built up a lot of his best stats playing much easier defensive positions. And Trammell was a much better defensive shortstop than Yount. They were three great players. Should Derek Jeter be left out of the Hall of Fame just because he can't carry Alex Rodriguez's jock? Last edited by storyteller0910; 01-09-2008 at 11:50 AM. |
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#29
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The All Stars are half vote and half picked by managers. They are of a little more value then I think you are according them. I agree on the GG though. If you are going to argue about today's inflated offense, then comparing Trammell to a list of short stops where Ernie Banks was the only true offensive threat seems a little odd. No shortstops in the 40s through 70s had really great offensive numbers except Ernie, then in the 80s we suddenly had bigger stronger Shortstops. Ernie was truly exceptional and put up his best power years as a Shortstop. One of the greatest players of all time in my opinion. You know that top 100 of all time concept. Scooter & Pee Wee were all about defense and making things happen on the bases. A different role and a different game. BTW: Little Scooter did manager a .351 OBA without any power at all. Pee Wee had a .366 which beats Trammel. I didn't check the others, these are the three I know best. Jim |
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#30
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Since the HoF is a private entity that's supposedly not part of MLB (yeah, right - they're just accidentally joined at the hip), maybe some baseball fans with money to spare should create a rival Hall of Baseball Heroes or something.
At least before they admitted Bowie Kuhn (with or without Marvin - who cares?), I could kinda sorta believe they weren't totally a joke. Now the matter's pretty much settled. |
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#31
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I excluded the NL guys (Ozzie, Larkin) because it is harder to be the #1 player at a position over 28-30 teams than it was when we had 16 teams. So he was the 3rd/4th best guy-so what? Many HoFers, not all mistakes or borderline, weren't the best at their positions when active. The 50's by my count had FIVE HoF CFers, in a league half the size. Quote:
If you exclude Trammell then the Hall should, according to your unstated standards, have about 8 SS, not 22, and that is the essence of my position. Me, I'm comfortable electing about the top 13-15 (All Time) or so at a given position, but I start to get a little uncomfortable beyond that, partly because it becomes progressively harder to differentiate each candidate from the pack. Trammell IMHO is right in that tail end group, arguably a bit better than them. [The real Hall has about 20 per position (including Negro Leaguers).] |
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#32
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Then justify Ozzie Smith lifetime 262 hitter with 28 hrs. He does not belong.
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#33
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Last edited by NDP; 01-10-2008 at 01:11 AM. |
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#34
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To me, Ozzie is comparable to someone like Omar Vizquel. Definitely not a hall of famer, in my opinion. I guess if Vizquel would have turned backflips on the field--he would have a chance to get in the Hall. |
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#35
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#36
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Ozzie Smith was the greatest defensive shortstop in the entire history of baseball. He was absolutely incredible; in some years he was stopping one hundred to one hundred and fifty more grounders than the average shortstop. I'd guess, conservatively, that his defense robbed the opposition of at least six hundred hits over the course of his career. So imagine if instead of Ozzie Smith you had a shortstop who batted .306 with over 3000 hits and played major league average defense at shortstop. You'd put that guy into the Hall, right? Well, that's basically equivalent to Ozzie. |
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#37
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Last edited by Lute Skywatcher; 01-10-2008 at 04:21 PM. |
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#38
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I'll admit he was a better defensive shortstop than Trammell--no problem. So now let's start the HOF campaign for Omar Vizquel--who is an incredible defensive shortstop. |
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#39
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Overall, I think both Omar & Trammell belong in the category of not quite Hall of Famers. I would be interested in RickJay providing the saberstats to compare the three defensively. where do you get those? I rely on baseball-reference.com of course for most of my stats. Jim |
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#40
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#41
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The site is very well supported at this point. It is truly remarkable. Sunday, while watching the Giants game, I was trying to use a variety of sites, including the NFL, football-reference.com and CBSsportsline, and I kept cursing how clueless the NFL & football is on stats and the Internet. Jim |
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#42
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Omar is underrated, I would say. I do really feel that even though Ozzie was a great defensive shortstop--that most of his appeal came from his flash. |
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#43
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Omar is underrated from what I can see. He was the second best human vacuum cleaner I have seen. He has been a very good “hitting shortstop” at least by the measurements used before Ripken, A-Rod, Jeter, Garciapara, Tejada et al. He was not flashy, he was not a great offensive player and so he will likely be overlooked. Unless RickJay, comes back with stats showing Omar as the second best of all time, I would still say he was not a Hall of Famer. On the other hand, I won’t be upset if he makes it. Additionally, I won’t be upset if Trammel does. I just don’t think either is really deserving and I don’t expect them to get the votes. Jim |
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#44
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#45
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http://www.hardballtimes.com/ This site gets into the game with numbers and evaluations. It can take a lot of time reading. Kind like Bill James abstract statistics too.
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#46
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http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/ar...-back-to-1956/
Good timing they just did a story on this very subject. He is rated 3rd. |
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#47
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#48
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Trammel was a very good defensive shortstop. The difference between him and Ozzie is not very large. You can argue Ozzie was a better fielder. But ,to imply he was so good that he deserves the hall with horrible offense is ridiculous. If he was better it is just a little. Do you think all the really good shortstops were fence posts. Trammel and Whitaker were great to watch. They were together a long time and turned marvelous double plays. They assisted the pitchers greatly.
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#49
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Even adjusting for park effects, Smith is so far ahead of his contemporaries that it's difficult to believe he was actually playing the same sport. There's a lot of different ways to count defensive contribution, so I'll default to the eggheads and go with runs-over-average, using just FIELDING runs, and just using numbers as a shortstop (so Cal Ripken's number does not include games he played as a third baseman) Ozzie Smith - 287 Alan Trammell - 123 Tony Fernandez - 121 Dave Concepcion - 114 Omar Vizquel - 109 Cal Ripken - 90 Barry Larkin - 78 287 runs versus 123 is a LOT of runs. 164 runs is a full game in the standings every full year you play; it's the equivalent of hundreds and hundreds of outs. Furthermore, saying Ozzie Smith had "Horrible" offense is ridiculous; he wasn't a horrible offensive player at all. He had no power, but got on base reasonably well and ran the bases extremely well. He was about an average offensive player (if you believe BP.) Last edited by RickJay; 01-11-2008 at 02:17 PM. |
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#50
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How do they calculate? Also, from where do you pull them? It's hard to agree or disagree with you, when I have no clue what your numbers are. I "know" Ozzie was the best SS in my life. I "know" he was much better than Trammell defensively, but I can't put any of this into numbers and I am surprised by how low Omar is. Jim (Please teach us to fish )
Last edited by What Exit?; 01-11-2008 at 02:35 PM. |
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