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#101
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Don't expect big things from Turner. Tatum Bell averaged over 5 YPC as a backup too, y'know. More importantly, I'm willing to bet Kevin Smith outperforms every other rookie running back this season, assuming he gets drafted by a team that actually needs a back. Led the nation in carries, yards and touchdowns and set the #2 all-time mark for rushing yardage - and he wasn't even a Doak Walker finalist. F**k you, SMU. Quote:
Portis, for those of you who forgot, was Rookie of the Year - in Denver. Last edited by Really Not All That Bright; 02-28-2008 at 01:49 PM. |
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#102
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I'm willing to take you up on that Kevin Smith thing, by the way.
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#103
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Well, for my part, you can count me as one of the few here who thinks the best back in this year's draft is... Darren McFadden.
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#104
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#105
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#106
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Law of averages. Not very often does the consensus number one back come out and crush it that first year. Oh, a rookie running back has the best chance to succeed in the pros out of any other rookie position, but I'd put my money on a "lesser" back. |
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#107
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#108
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Well, I can't really top yours.... I kid. That works for me. Of course, what do we base it on? Yardage? Win/loss record of team? Total touchdowns? |
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#109
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Offensive Rookie of the Year voting? If no RB gets any votes, we call it a push... Otherwise I'd say total yards from scrimmage. |
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#110
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You're flat out wrong though. Boller is a better QB than DA. Put him on a team that (last year) had a better line the Ravens, with a better TE (Heap was out all year) and talented #1 WR (instead of young #2s with upside and old #2s with experience and not much else) and I'm telling you he gets the Clowns to the postseason. I spent the whole season watching not the QB (any of them) but the play around them. If you do that it becomes crystal clear when the main problem was with the '07 Ravens, and it isn't named Kyle, Steve or Troy. |
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#111
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That's about as good as any. I like the yards from scrimmage. |
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#112
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Last edited by Really Not All That Bright; 02-28-2008 at 03:31 PM. |
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#113
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#114
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#115
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I was going to ask for it to be a push if he gets hurt in week 2 or something, but one of his selling points is that he's never been seriously injured. Quote:
I still think you were being the dick in that thread, not me.... but on the other hand I was wrong about Boller getting benched midseason (although with 13 total TD passes on the year, maybe that says more about Billick than Boller). Plus, I definitely believe Boller gives the Ravens a much better shot to win than what's left of Steve McNair. Troy Smith I haven't seen enough of yet. |
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#116
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I expect him to be a good back, which is why I phrased it as the worst possible combination of a great back and an above-average back. I don't expect him to be a great back, so I very much don't want the Jets to spend a top 10 pick on him. Gang Green hasn't had the best track record with top 10 picks of late. Dewayne Robertson (#4 overall) is about to be cut because Mangini can't grasp the 4-3, and D'Brickashaw Ferguson (also #4 overall) isn't looking particularly worth his contract. The last thing I want is another great NCAA talent picked way too high based on potential and promise only to be "decent" in the pros. That's the main reason I'm so thrilled that Big Blue picks last; late first rounders seem to turn into better picks, like Aaron Ross for the G-Men or Nick Mangold, the Jets center they took later in the same round they got Ferguson. While Mangold isn't setting the league on fire either, he's looked better than Brick. I wouldn't mind trading up with Miami to get Ryan. I was a big fan of Kellen Clemens until I saw him play. ("The backup quarterback is always the most popular guy in town.") |
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#117
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That makes a lot more sense. I'm not high on any of the quarterbacks in this draft. I like Josh Johnson, but more as an athlete or a project than someone that's NFL ready. Maybe the one I like most is Joe Flacco, with regards to being NFL ready. I'm kinda digging Brian Brohm too, but I fear that he's a system quarterback. I think Colt Brennan might make himself look better than people originally thought. By the way, your running back comparison is much better now. thanks for clearing it up. |
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#118
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If they traded up to get Ryan, at least I could tell myself that they see something in him and it will be worth it. Eli is only worth the trade made to get him because of his Superbowl MVP; if he'd won it without distinguishing himself, then it still wouldn't have been worth it when Accorsi could've just drafted Ben and been done with it. But that trade moved the Giants up from #4 to #1. Moving up from #6 to #1 for Ryan strikes me as a really bad idea, since I don't see any QB in the draft or free agency as being anyone more special than Alex Smith. Speaking of Alex Smith, are there any 49ers fans here who can talk about the extension Smith just got? I wasn't stunned by the news only because I don't really care about the '9ers. But I was as surprised as you get. I have him pegged as a David Carr / Tim Couch type bust. |
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#119
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And..... free agency!
Rumor that the Packers are trading Corey Williams to the Browns tonight. Interesting. Last edited by SenorBeef; 02-28-2008 at 11:06 PM. |
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#120
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I think Martz likes Alex Smith. That's why there's the extension. If you recall, Martz came into Detroit and they got rid of Joey Harrington. |
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#121
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Anderson turned down a 3 year deal with 20m with 10m guaranteed. Really crazy, unless there's been some tampering and he knows there's interest in him.
He could be trying to hit UFA next year but since he may not even be the starting QB this year, this leaves the possibility that he knows a team will be willing to give him a big contract and compensate the Browns for him. Also, GMs and by extension knowledgable fans way overvalue draft picks. The rumor is Corey Williams to the Browns for a late 2nd rounder. People were objecting to giving up the pick.... if you could find someone as good as Corey Williams at that pick, you'd be really happy - so why not just take Williams? |
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#122
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Tell me you wouldn't trade two 1sts plus a 3rd and a 5th if it would bring the Lions a Lombardi trophy. |
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#123
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I think the trade is one of those that is a win/win/win. For Corey, he gets a fat new contract and the adulation (and pressure) of being a vital cog to a team. (but he does have to leave beautiful Green Bay for *ugh* Cleveland). For the Browns, they get a young, very good lineman to shore up their horrible run defense. He can also get to the passer from the inside pretty well also. And giving up only a second rounder, is pretty good price. They are taking a risk, because I think the contract is going to be pretty hefty for a guy who has only 20 starts in 4 years. But he is a hard worker, if a bit flaky. For the Packers, they get a second rounder for a guy who plays at a position the team has some pretty good depth and who was gotten in the 6th round originally. It's a bit of a risk, because of Pickett's age and Jolly's injury, but they drafted Justin Harrell in the first round last year and they have Jenkins who can play inside too. They generally rotate DT's, so the loss of Williams, even though he's good, isn't a killer. And now they don't have to overpay for him. I think if the Browns don't mind a bit of overspending and the Packers avoid injuries on the defensive line, it's a good trade for everyone. |
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#124
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Is there any team in the NFL more effed up than the Oakland Raiders?
I ask because of their latest move was to sign DT Tommy Kelly to a record breaking $50.5 million dollar contract, with $18.5 million guaranteed, making him the highest paid defensive lineman in the NFL. Which leaves only one question. Who the fuck is Tommy Kelly? Never recorded over 70 tackles a season. Never recorded over 5 sacks a season. Went undrafted in 2004. Has only played one full season. Is coming off a torn ACL that ended his season last year. Even when healthy and starting, the Raiders were 25th against the run. Has never been to a Pro Bowl. Meanwhile, the Raiders leader in sacks is a free agent. Oh Raiders. When will you ever win? |
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#125
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I'm not that surprised about the Anderson deal. The only quarterback in recent memory who's managed to keep a first-rounder on the bench for more than two seasons is Brett Favre - and I think Anderson knows he isn't Brett Favre. Much better to get a long-term deal with $10+ million guaranteed somewhere else; tell me the Falcons or Bears won't pony up more than $20 million for him. Quote:
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#126
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And Really Not All That Bright, I think you're making a "wish" bet. I was at every UCF home game and I'm a big fan, but I'd be stunned if Kevin Smith has a huge rookie year. Keep in mind that this is a guy only 3 years removed from being a high school DB, and has spent that time as the feature back in an I-formation offense. NFL coaches are going to be very cautious about having that guy be the only thing between their franchise QB and a blitz. He's likely going in the middle rounds to a team that already has a solid #1; throw in the fact that he does not have return skills, and I think you run the real risk of him getting one or two starts via injury, but not getting on the field the rest of the season. |
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#127
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I'd make that trade if I were getting that defense. The defense is what did it in the Super Bowl, not Eli. Again, I hope I'm wrong and I hope Eli makes the leap and gets rid of his inconsistencies. We need more good quarterbacks in the league. |
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#128
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#129
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They ran plays out of the shotgun at least 25% of the time - including rushes. I'd say, if anything, that blitz pickup is one of his strengths. If he has a weakness it's running pass patterns - I don't think I saw him run anything other than flares and short screens last season. Also, I get that he wasn't playing against "top tier" competition most of the year (although remember he put 150 yards on Texas), but C-USA was much better last season than it was a couple years back when DeAngelo Williams was in serious contention for the Heisman. |
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#130
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Last edited by furt; 02-29-2008 at 11:29 AM. |
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#131
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#132
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Madieu Williams will sign a big contract with the Vikings...
http://frontier.cincinnati.com/blogs...th-vikings.asp WTF? How do you expect to upgrade a piss-poor pass defense using players from another piss-poor pass defense? The Vikings had the best group of safeties in the league the last two years and still couldn't stop anyone. So, they let Dwight Smith go and he signed with the Lions for peanuts... and now they're giving a guy who isn't as good $33 million... That said, I absolutely cannot understand why the Vikings are so bad at defending the pass. They have spent tons of money acquiring very good players and yet their pass defense has been consistently terrible. I realize that everyone passes against them because the run defense is so good but they play Cover-2 most of the time... furt, I would be stunned if 24K doesn't go before the 3rd round. Of course, his draft stock will depend a good deal on how good his 40 time at the Combine is, but I think 4.5 or better is likely- he ran a 4.48 as an HS senior. Also, he did play safety in high school, but only during his senior year - he was the starting tailback during his sophomore and junior years. The pundits seem to agree with me, mostly: http://www.nfldraftdog.com/2008_nfl_...evin_smith.htm http://www.nfldraftscout.com/ratings...php?pyid=56551 http://www.thefootballexpert.com/kev...ile080001.html http://cfn.scout.com/2/719789.html Remember, he wasn't some sort of "system" guy. The UCF offense is set up to feature short passing; Smith was getting 40 carries a game by midseason only because our pass offense was so weak. By way of comparison, Daunte (Culpepper)'s numbers were system-based. His NCAA-record 70% career completion percentage was based mostly on the fact that he hardly ever threw a pass downfield. I love Daunte, but I'm firmly convinced that his early success in the NFL had a good deal to do with throwing to Randy Moss and Cris Carter, and less to do with his ability. I'll go so far as to say I think KS is a better NFL prospect than Culpepper, and I think he may end up being a better NFL player than Asante Samuel, too. |
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#133
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#134
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Anyway, C-USA total rushing yards per game for 2005-2006: 1862.6, or 155.22... ...and for 2007-2008: 2,036.8, or 169.67 per team. Difference in YPG per team: 14 and a bit. So, okay, I'll give you that one. Still, Williams' production wasn't quite as good even if you tack 14 extra yards per game onto his totals (2,200 to 2,457, and Smith scored 30 total touchdowns to Williams' 19). All of which is a very long-winded way of saying that if Williams is good enough to start for the Panthers, Smith ought to be too. (Williams ran a 4.49 at the Combine, which should be right around what Smith runs). |
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#135
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My point was just that with all of the stuff that I mentioned above, I'm not sure how well he's going to do, statistically, this year, which is what your bet is. I see him being taken in round 3 by someone like Cleveland or Arizona, who need depth and a future at RB, but who do have a clear #1 to start the season (much the way Williams was in Carolina). Last edited by furt; 02-29-2008 at 12:47 PM. |
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#136
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....Well...I don't! |
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#137
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#138
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Hey! Don't make me start brainstorming! I might come up with a light drizzle... |
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#139
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Derek Anderson just re-signed with the Browns, sez the radio.
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#140
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The Lions might trade Shawn Rogers for Marcus Stroud.
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#141
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Well, I can guarantee you there's never been so much rage for resigning a first year starting QB who made the pro bowl, nearly broke team records for TDs, and is 24 years old... especially from a fanbase who haven't seen good quarterbacking in 20 years.
They were so sure he was gone it was fun to hate on him, I guess. I wonder what they do now, grind their teeth for a few years or soften up? |
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#142
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Or "stop whining". That's always good too.
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#143
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I'd take him for my team in a heartbeat. |
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#144
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Yeah, before the Cinci game there was a sizable minority of "Quinn can do no wrong, Anderson sucks" people, but after the Cinci game it seemingly went from 20% of people to 80%.
Anderson is disliked by most, hated by a sizable minority, and there's a big meltdown that we resigned him. That may not represent the average fan - this is among the relatively more hardcore fans of theobr.com message board I hang out on. Anderson has some huge flaws. He started out strong and got worse as the year wore on which I admit is worrisome. Quinn has also looked absolutely excellent in very limited playing time. So I can see why one would prefer Quinn. What I can't see is absolute hatred for a guy who went 10-5 and very nearly 11-4 as a first year starter on a team with a bottom 5 defense. I do think Anderson is overpaid substantially, though. But I'm not going to melt down about it and throw hate beams the guys way and try to destroy team chemistry by being part of the angry mob that hates the potential leader of our team. |
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#145
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I will add that I wanted a legitimate QB competition in training camp next year. Will there be now? Probably not. I can't imagine the team will have an 8 million dollar a year backup unless he's clearly massively outperformed.
I'd rather have tendered DA with the highest tender. If someone signs him and gives a first and third, that's fine. If not, we have a legit QB competition, if DA wins and does well, we can either resign him or franchise him next year. |
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#146
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Maybe I didn't watch enough of the Brows, which is completely possible, but I'm not getting the hate.
You guys knew Joey Harrington sucked when he was on the Lions, right? |
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#147
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#148
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Here are Derek Anderson's stats for last season:
Comp 298 Att 527 % 56.5 Yards 3,787 Avg. 7.2 TD 29 Int 19 Rating 82.5 And by way of comparison, Carson Palmer's first year as the starter: Comp 263 Att 432 % 60.9 Yards 2897 Avg. 6.71 TD 18 Int 18 Rating 77.3 Or Ben Roethlisberger's rookie season: Comp 196 Att 295 % 66.4 Yards 2,621 Avg. 8.9 TD 17 Int 11 Rating 98.1 And the first-year stats of another quarterback who's done pretty well for himself, and may be the best comparison given where Anderson was drafted*: Comp 264 Att 413 % 63.9 Yards 2,843 Avg. 6.9 TD 18 Int 12 Rating 86.5 Aside from his completion percentage, Anderson's stats are comparable to or better than all of them. Were I a Browns fan, I'd be thanking every possible deity in sight that Phil Savage traded away Charlie Frye instead of Anderson. *Tom Fucking Brady - drafted in Round 7, Anderson drafted in Round 6. Last edited by Really Not All That Bright; 02-29-2008 at 05:34 PM. |
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#149
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As much as I'm still laughing at him for blowing what would have been the game-sealing INT in the Super Bowl, I'm not happy that my Giants will now have to contend with Asante Samuel twice each season.
Is it too much to hope that Philly continues to be the place where talented players go to become washed up? |
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#150
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Of course 8 regular season passes aren't enough to judge him by - although I will say this, two of those passes hit receivers once in the chest and once in the hands, and one of those would've been a touchdown pass, so stats of (guessing, based on memory) 5/8 75 yards 1 td would've looked better. His first two preseason games were against third and fourth stringers, true, but he made the right decisions, looked nearly perfect, and still made some remarkable throws. The first and second team offenses with Frye and Anderson looked completely inept, whereas when Quinn was in there everything came alive and looked efficient. In the third preseason game, the most "realistic" one so to speak, Quinn played against Denver's first stringers and played remarkably well. He made 3 absolutely beautiful passes and none were bad. There was a 38 (IIRC) yard touchdown that was called out of bounds but really wasn't. They didn't challenge it because (I suspect) Romeo had no intention of the holdout kid coming in and starting - he's notoriously slow to give rookies playing time on offense - and he didn't want him to look that good. His stats for that game, if you include that TD pass, were something like 9/13 140 yards 2 TDs or something. People overplay how useless the preseason is. They act like you can take nothing from it. I agree that you shouldn't try to read whether or not you won or lost a game as meaningful, but there's some meaning to be found in how your players play...... otherwise why would they have the preseason at all? We also get lots of reports from training camp on the message board - a lot of it very knowledgable from people who know football well from coaching it at some level or other knowledgable people. IMO, they should've signed Anderson to the tender. This 3 year big contract negatively impacts a legitimate QB competition. I think Quinn will ultimately end up being the best QB, but unlike the rest of the world apparently, I don't think it's a bad thing to have too much talent at QB. |
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