Guys guys. I'm starting to stop thinking Jesus existed.

To state my claim more clearly: It is beginning to seem plausible to me that the evidence we have fails to suggest the existence of a man named Jesus and called The Christ living in the first third of the first century CE.

Not that the evidence suggests no such man existed, but rather, that the evidence fails to suggest that such a man existed. A small distinction, but an important one to keep in mind in what I say below. It’s not that I’m arguing Jesus didn’t exist, but rather, I’m arguing that the evidence we have most plausibly only suggests events which do not imply or presuppose the existence of such a historical figure.

The basic idea is this. If you read the New Testament books in the order in which they were written, you begin with Paul. Reading Paul as though for the first time, you learn that he has a story to tell about a figure who was crucified and rose from the death, and that this death has redemptive significance. Paul says he got this information from two sources: From scripture, and from that being himself. He calls the being Jesus Christ.

The experience of reading things this way reminds me very much of my experiences growing into Liberal Christianity of having read countless verses and passages of scripture that I’d read a thousand times before, and realizing “oh shit, it’s not just ‘open to interpretation’ it just plain doesn’t say what I was taught to think it says.” When I read Paul without assuming the traditional Gospel story, I have exactly the same eye-opening experience. Paul just simply isn’t saying anything about the gospel Jesus.

Well, a “feeling” or “experience” isn’t an argument, but this is meant as an articulation of a very broad overview of how an argument would go. The actual words of Paul, in their most immediate sense, seem to imply about Jesus nothing other than “There’s a heavenly being who was crucified by demons, but rose again, and this is good for us. I got this information from scripture, and from that being himself in personal visions and revelations.” Nothing in there about a historical human being at all.

Then after Paul in the NT, everything else looks just like legendary elaboration on this basic theme.

Okay so of course are a very few passages in Paul that seem a little out of place on this reading, to be sure. (Very few.) For example, references to Christ being of the seed of Abraham and David, and being born of a woman. This might suggest that he’s talking about a historical figure. But not necessarily. Many ahistorical figures (i.e. figures of mythology, whether concieved of as fictional or, by believers, as real but “celestial” or “heavenly”) were born of an (also mythical/celestial/heavenly) woman. The reference to the seed of Abraham and David is harder to understand if the figure being referred to isn’t historical. But these references seem out of place in the larger context described above if read as plainly stating that Jesus was a human being on earth. And it’s not impossible that a spiritual/celestial/heavenly/whatever figure could be referred to as being of the “seed of David.” Paul uses the phrase “according to the flesh” to modify the claim that Christ is of the seed of David, and this phrase doesn’t seem clearly to mean “in earthly flesh.” (Apparently that idea would normally be expressed by some other phrase. I don’t remember what I read about that though, sorry.) It’s not actually clear what it means. But we do know that the heavenly realms were often considered to have tiers–and that the lower tiers were more “fleshly.” And Christ is spoken as lowering himself from where God is. It would seem plausible that “according to the flesh” doesn’t mean Jesus was on Earth, but rather, that he was in a low heavenly tier, close enough to the earthly realm that realities corresponding to facts about earthly descent could correspond to realities in that lower tier in some way. (This recalls the then-current notion a celestial man who is a model for earthly man, where aspects of earthly men correspond imperfectly to attributes of the celestial man.)

So it seems there are not-implausible readings of these passages that cohere with the ahistorical reading. And the wider context of what Paul says about Christ is so suggestive of the idea that Paul is talking about a story revealed to him from scripture and direct revelation about something that happened in the lower heavens, that the “seed” passages don’t seem enough to hang a hypothesis of a historical Jesus on with any certainty.

(Paul referring to James as “brother of the Lord” may also seem difficult to account for on this reading, but recall that Paul thinks we’re all brothers of the Lord. Given that fact, referring to a chief Jesus-Visionary as “brother of the Lord” could well be something like calling a bishop “first among equals.” As with “seed” this isn’t in itself a clearly correct reading of the passage, but it shows that the ahistorical reading isn’t impossible or even particularly implausible, and if the ahistorical reading of the rest of Paul suggests itself, then the ahistorical reading of this passage gains positive plausibility instead of just “it could have been” plausibility.)

Then as you move forward in the chronology, you get to Mark. And what Mark has to say about Jesus looks exactly like a literary construction intended to teach what Jesus is about without nailing him down as an actual historical figure. Most of its pericopes seem to rework OT stories. It has very clear parallels to the Oddysey of all things. (Actual respected view taught by actual historians here.) It sets up a theme practically from the beginning of fictionalizing higher truths through parables. The story also has a clear theme of expectation-reversal that makes the whole thing read as fiction, not history much less biography.

It’s not that Mark “can be read” as fiction–its that practically everything about it invites the reader to understand it as fiction.

I haven’t really digested the arguments on Q and Johanine material, but already things seem pretty clear from what the arguments I’ve already outlined. And if Q seems to provide evidence for a historical figure, the sparseness of the document itself makes it hard to see it as strong evidence, and the hypothetical nature of the document (a hypothesis that seems to be losing support in the last decade or two) compounds the weakness of its evidential value.

And AFAIK everyone thinks the Johanine additions come from late material, if not being simply made up by the Johanine authors themselves.

(BTW it’s usual to say the gospel was written before the three epistles, but given, among other things, the fact that the gospel seems to involve a much more elaborate and apologetic christology, I think it’s really possible that it was written later. And if that is so, then reading the first epistle without assuming it refers to a historical Jesus is eye-opening in much the same way reading Paul “in order” is. Look at that introduction. If you forget about the Jesus story and read it wondering openly what the author is talking about, it doesn’t sound like he’s talking about a man who walked the earth but a spiritual being of some kind that appeared to him in a vision. Certainly it refers to touch, but visions were known to include tactile experiences. Here I’m not just saying the passage “could” be read this way, though, I’m saying it positively sounds like that’s what he’s talking about–a vision he had that included tactile aspects. It may be hard to tell if this is the “right” way to read it just from this passage alone, but juxtaposing how this passage seems with what I’ve already noticed about reading Paul “in order” and things here in I John are very suggestive. Anyway I wouldn’t hang my hat on this, just throwing out the idea. It’s really hard to figure out what kind of redactive layers are in I John anyway. The letter seems very disjointed and self-contradictory.)

Even in a piece of writing as (most scholars think) late as Revelation, we don’t really have any information about a historical figure. Indeed–once again, Christ is represented as a purely spiritual or heavenly being giving revelations.

So the idea isn’t, “no one can prove Jesus existed,” or even, “The evidence suggests Jesus never existed.” Rather, the idea is “the NT itself strongly suggests Jesus was concieved of originally as a heavenly being giving revelations about heavenly events to people on earth.” And from that it follows that there’s no particular reason to posit a historical Jesus.

That’s very broadly where my reasoning is at right now. What follows is a more autobiographical account of how I ended up thinking these things.

I started wondering about this stuff as a result of a recent SDMB thread where I defended a liberal view of Christian ethics which I based, not on a historical Jesus exactly, but on what I took to be the teachings of the NT that were somehow “new” and “difficult,” i.e. not explicable simply as what people would say if they were trying to figure out how to have a religion. But at the time I was assuming Jesus existed, and had something to do with the existence of these “difficult” teachings. They were significant enough to make people think that in dealing with Jesus, they were dealing with the divine, and this impression stuck as they went on to try to live his ideals, and that’s how the religion started.

Having written what I wrote there, I decided to look into Christian origins again (I hadn’t done so in possibly over a decade). I don’t remember how I proceeded, but I ended up somehow begining my significant thinking by reading Richard Carrier’s book Proving History. In this book, Carrier uses Bayes’s Theorem to illustrate a careful way to reason about historical evidence. He ends up very convincingly criticizing practically every historical tool I’d ever learned about when looking into NT studies. He shows convincingly, for example, that the Criterion of Embarrassment (which I’d mentioned alot in the sDMB thread linked above…) is simply bad reasoning. (What he says is a little more elaborate. It can be used if you’re sufficiently careful in just the right way–but it seems people typically aren’t.) And so too for other tools such as Multiple Attestation, Primitivity, and a bunch of others I forget now. (And above it all was an overarching problem–even if these tools could establish that a text was original, this isn’t really clearly relevant to the question of whether the text is fictional or not. I don’t remember if Carrier said that or if it’s something that occured to me my own self.)

Well, I’m not a historian, and my knowledge of Bayes’s Theorem and its proper use is very basic. So I went looking for critiques. The best one seemed to be one written by an evolutionary biologist IIRC with an interest in NT studies. As an evobiologist (or something like that), he knows Bayes inside and out, and had a lot of problems with the way Carrier used it. Basically, he had concerns that Carrier was being too loose with it, and was ignoring important technical matters.

I saw a few criticisms of Carrier’s use of Bayes, but this one was by far the most careful and clearly valid-if-any-crit-was-valid. But having read it, it seemed to me the guy had misunderstood Carrier in some important ways. And when I read Carrier’s reply, Carrier had the same replies that I had anticipated on his behalf. And then when the critic replied, he basically acknowledged that Carrier had a point.

(I don’t want to rehash the whole debate because I couldn’t if I wanted to, but basically, Carrier is fully aware that he’s using it loosely, but argues convincingly that he is doing so responsibly, since he’s using it basically as a heuristic for reasoning about justified degrees of certainty, and not as an exact tool for making statistical predictions.) Reading this exchange gave me confidence in Carrier’s competence. (I am aware of philosophical debates about how to interpret and use Bayes, and I do think Carrier tends to sweep this under the rug, but I also think the way he uses it is unobjectionable on all accounts, so long as it’s clearly understood that he’s not claiming to measure anything but justified subjective certainty. And I ALSO think he may not agree with how I just characterized what he’s measuring, but anyway this is getting away from me a little so back to the main text.) As for his competence as a historian, well, he’s got a PhD, a tenure track job and he publishes and that’s about what I know about that. Well, also, he doesn’t show preference for implausible wild claims, and he argues that even if someone is convinced by his arguments for ahistoricity, no one should be feeling confident about it especially if they are not an expert since he doesn’t feel confident and since he is very much in the minority in his field on this question. This attitude adds more confidence that my impression that he is a reasonable thinker is on target.

Carrier has a book coming out early next year directly arguing for ahistoricity so that will be interesting. But meanwhile, I read his review of Earl Doherty’s The Jesus Puzzle. (Doherty’s site seems to have quite a bit of information from that book. See especially the supplementary articles) Now Doherty is not a professional scholar, but he has been praised by scholars for the quality of his work. Carrier himself went into the book expecting conspiracy-theoretical nonsense (this was way back in 2002 btw) but instead came away half-convinced. A lot of what I said above stems from what Doherty says.

I have also read more mainstream liberal scholars who do believe in a historical Jesus, but I have not been able to find any of these mainstream scholars dealing with Carrier’s criticisms. (Carrier’s not the only one to bring up such criticisms, but I can’t find responses to this style of criticism anywhere. I’d love to have something pointed out to me.)

Robert Ehrman has written a book arguing that Jesus existed, which I haven’t read yet. But the reviews don’t seem good, and his huffington post article was disappointing, basically consisting in ad homs and arguments from tradition and authority. Weird for someone who was once a Christian but became an atheist in the course of his career as an NT scholar, and who writes otherwise top-notch stuff about the early church.

Well, that’s where I’m at. What do you think about this stuff?

I’d agree with you general conclusion. There isn’t any good evidence of the existence of Jesus. I tend to think there were one or more real people that could have been the basis for some of the stories, along with other biblical characters. I’ve never really understood why those who have faith have needed evidence, and I wonder about the strength of the faith in those who argue that there is credible objective evidence of the existence of the biblical characters. Since I’m not a person of faith I haven’t delved into the matter as deeply as you have, but you’re presenting a pretty good case.

As a historical figure, the notion that Jesus didn’t exist is currently a fairly minority viewpoint. There’s evidence each way, but the balance seems to be that they guy was either real or at most a combination of a couple of historical figures. Maybe the new book you refer to will swing the evidence the other way.

It’s an interesting question for it’s own sake, but personally I don’t really have more than a casual interest in the outcome. Jesus existing as a historical figure doesn’t make him the magical being of legend. And short of finding an unequivocal document indicating his existence, I don’t think either side will ever be satisfied with the evidence of the other.

The consensus among actual historians is that Jesus probably did exist. Forget the NT, and rely on the historical text that do exist. The NT is not a historical document.

I think it’s a mistake to throw out the man with the divine figure. Yes, there’s good reason to question what Jesus’ actual message was and certainly good reason to question his divinity. But the evidence is pretty strong there was a person named Jesus in first century Judea.

For one thing there are reports about his life: the four gospels and Paul’s letters. Granted, these are not unbiased sources but they all state Jesus was a person and they didn’t seem to feel any need to prove the point. It would actually be more surprising if there was a conspiracy to invent a fictional character than it would be to assume the stories on based on a real person. And none of the early mentions of Jesus - Jewish, Christian, or Roman - refer to him as a made-up story. They all accept the idea that he was real while disputing what he said and did.

And keep in mind it wasn’t ancient history these guys were talking about. It was about as far back from their time as John F Kennedy was from us. Far enough back that you could make up stories about somebody but not so far back you could get away with making up the person altogether.

Aside from the NT, the only sources I know of that historians typically (but not universally) think have genuine references to Jesus are Josephus when he mentions “Jesus, called Christ, brother of James,” and a passage in Tacitus: “… called Christians by the populace. Christus, from whom the name had its origin, suffered the extreme penalty during the reign of Tiberius at the hands of one of our procurators, Pontius Pilatus …”

Even assuming both of these passages are authentic, (not universally agreed to by historians, and the arguments against are internal to the texts, not based on preconceptions concerning Jesus or his place in history), the paucity of information in them combined with the lateness of the dates in these two passages means the passages have very little value for deciding whether they’re independent attestations of Jesus’s existence or instead relay information that ultimately came from Christians themselves, in which case they are not clearly independent attestations.

I do not think you are correct to claim that historians base their belief in Jesus’s existence on non-NT texts, btw. I am almost certain that the arguments for his existence rely on non-NT sources and NT sources considered together. If the above-two passages were all we had, do you really think historians would state with certainty that a man named Jesus existed who was called Christ?

Or did you have other sources in mind?

So I know my post is a bit tldr but it talks about what you’re saying here. The idea isn’t that Jesus was known to be a made up fiction. The idea is that he was considered to be a purely spiritual being, who reveals himself to individuals, information about whom can also be found in the NT. It’s not clear to me that Paul states Jesus was a (human, earthly) person (see OP for details on this) and it’s not clear that Mark considered Jesus a (human, earthly) person (again, see OP).

The other possible independent references to Jesus as an earthly human person in the NT are Q and the Johannine material. But again, see OP for comments about that.

You actually could, and people did. I’ll have to go find what I’m thinking of. It makes sense because travel and information-finding were huge undertakings. And without access to official public records (which you didn’t have unless you were pretty powerful) you could never be very confident in the results of your investigation–not confident enough to justify the resources spent undertaking it anyway.

In fact we know pretty well how early Christians (and others, see passages in Celsus for example) were told they should test these claims. There is no record of anyone doing, or being urged to do, the kind of thing you mention. Instead, in every case, the record is of people testing the claims by evaluating the morality of the people making the claim. “See how moral we are, and notice how what we’re saying fits with the OT prophecies, and just believe!” is what we get in every record we have of how someone was persuaded to believe the gospel narratives. (This includes the NT texts themselves.)

Frylock: I read the Ehrman article you referenced in the OP and thought he was pretty persuasive. What did you think was lacking here?

[QUOTE=Ehrman]
[With respect to Jesus, we have numerous, independent accounts of his life in the sources lying behind the Gospels
[/quote]

The only “independent account… lying behind the Gospels” that NT scholars have a consensus about (concerning existence and actual content) is Q. This isn’t numerous. And even this one is at least a little controversial. Most but not all scholars agree that it existed, and the ones that agree it existed disagree at least a little about what it said. If it’s an “independent source” it’s a flimsy one. And nowadays, the proportion of NT scholars who buy the Q hypothesis is shrinking, not growing. (The main, growing competitors being Goodacre’s hypothesis that Luke simply used Matthew, and McDonald’s hypothesis that all three gospels used a single “Q+” source together with a single other source I forget the nature of.)

Other than that, most scholars do think there are other “independent sources” but there is no consensus at all about what those sources are or what their content is.

See OP.

See OP. I do think this is one of the difficult points for ahistoricism, but there’s a plausible reading available.

What Ehrman says here and in the immediately following text isn’t really relevant to the claim I defended in the OP.

Don’t know about crucifixion specifically, but we do know that there were Jews who believed the Messiah would die a humiliating death. Even if this were not the case, consistently in Paul and the gospels we encounter arguments from OT scriptures that Christ was crucified. Even if no jews had ever thought the messiah would be crucified, the NT material gives plenty of evidence that in the early Christians, we do have jews (or jew-like people…) who expect, from scripture, that the messiah should be crucified.

BTW Ehrman makes a bizarre false claim in a non-quoted portion–that we have no contemporary reference to Pilate. We have, in fact, a reference to Pilate made by Pilate himself, in stone!

What Cecil had to say:

This sentence needs quite some parsing I would think.
It almost, nearly, states that we have independent sources about Jesus, in aramaic, written within a year or two within his life.

If you read it quickly.

Of course we have no such writings.

Except in the same passage, Paul mentions Peter and doesn’t give him the “brother of the Lord” appellation, so it doesn’t seem to be just a title for fellow Christians. And Josephus, who isn’t a Christian, also refers to James as Jesus’s brother. And several Church Fathers do the same.

More generally, I think you need a pretty strained reading of Paul to say he isn’t referring to someone he thought physically existed.

I recommend you read some of Ehrman’s work. He’s a noted scholar and a good writer. He’ll cover a lot more ground than I could. And he’s an expert of early Christian history not just somebody from another field that dabbled in it. He’s read all the surviving literature. And as an atheist, he has no reason to buy into a Jesus myth if there was one - in fact he’d probably sell more books by denying the historical existence of Jesus.

/

I should note also that Philo talked about Pilate in 40AD, when Pilate was probably still alive. And Philo also wrote a book about him, while Pilate was definitely still alive, though we don’t have that book. (Though we do have the other books in that particular treatise.)

IMHO, it’s an Occam’s Razor problem. It’s a whole lot easier to explain how Christianity happened to assume there was some guy who claimed to be the Son of God. Notice that Paul’s letters (which everyone agrees were written several decades before the Gospels) attest the existence of a church centered in Jerusalem which antedated Paul. What exactly they believed and taught we’ll probably never know, but Paul very definitely didn’t invent Christianity.

As for Carrier, I was an active participant on Internet Infidels when he posted the review of Doherty’s book you mention. At the time, he was also vehemently dissing big bang theory, apparently because so many religious types were taking it as proof of “In the beginning …” He backed off the latter position when pummeled by physicists, but the incident speaks volumes to me about his candor. If one starts with the conclusion, it’s almost always possible to find evidence which fits. Sure, Carrier has a legitimate degree. So do many of those cited on Answers in Genesis. We (most of us) don’t accept their agenda-driven analyses when the overwhelming majority of well-informed experts disagree. Carrier is in the same boat. He’s not necessarily wrong, but the overwhelming tide of scholarship says he is.

And, after all, it’s not necessary or even important to deny Jesus existed to question Christianity. There are other and better objections.

I’ve read a lot of Ehrman, and agree with your evaluation. As I say in the OP, I still haven’t read his book specifically on the Historicity question. But as I also said, the reviews on that book seem to weigh against him unfortunately. (And his very broad summary argument in HuffPo doesn’t increase my confidence.)

It’s on my list in any case.

That’s not the reading I suggested. I suggested a reading in which this appellation is understood as being similar to calling someone “first among equals.” Like I said, there’s nothing in the text itself that makes this a convincing reading all by itself, but it is a “plausible” reading in the sense that it doesn’t do violence to anything else that we know./

Well, I thought so too. Then I read each of his epistles (in order, though that’s not so important here) while carefully not assuming he was talking about someone he thought physically existed. (And straining out passages mentioning Christ that scholars generally believe to be interpolations.) And on doing so, I realized there’s nothing to strain at. Paul’s basically just not talking about a historical person.

He basically tells us this, in so many words, when he tells us where he got all his information. If he were talking about someone he believed to be historical, you’d think he would get information about Jesus not just from scripture and personal revelation, but from people who’d known him. But Paul does tell us where he got his information about Jesus from, and he insists he didn’t get his information from people but only from scripture and personal revelation. The most natural reading here is that he’s referring to a spiritual being, not a historical person.

What I think about the church in Jerusalem, fwiw, is that it was founded by people who had visionary experiences like Paul’s. I don’t think Paul started it. Rather he joined in, saying “me too guys!” causing some consternation since his message didn’t exactly match theirs, but on the other hand, he’d been an enemy and was now a friend. Politics ensued.

Frylock: It’s been a long time since I’ve had much interest in this stuff, but a quick look at wikipedia indicates that Q has always been a bit of an enigma and always been considered to be possibly an amalgamation of oral and written sources. The point is that pretty much since the birth of textual criticism its existence has been recognized.

And you dismiss the lack of similarity to any pagan cults but that’s a valid point. There were no other gods, goddesses or even mystery cults that had similar mythologies at the time. One of my professors actually had an interest in ancient near eastern mystery cults such as those of Isis and Mithras and although very little of their beliefs and practices survives, what we do know, at least from what I recall, bears no similarity.

Finally, as to the crucifixion, could you give some indication of what OT passages prophesy this? From what I remember, all of the prophets foretold of a Messiah that would come to lead the people of god to glory or whatever. I know that Xtians somehow read certain passages of Isiah to foretell the coming of Jesus, but he’s not the traditional image of the Jewish Messiah.

I didn’t know about the big bang thing. It was over ten years ago, if I’m understanding correctly, but I can see how it looks, for sure. (“This guy likes to argue for controversial opinions concerning matters he doesn’t have expertise in.”)

Fwiw having skimmed over what he himself has to say about that matter, he seems to do a good job of at least giving the impression of somebody who knows how to learn from their mistakes. And these days he does emphasize the value of expertise and the usual necessity not to think you know better than the experts–perhaps something he learned from that experience. :wink:

BTW I don’t think, from what I can see, that with the BB thing he “started with the conclusion.” It appears he was actually reasoning pretty well, but from insufficient evidence. (Basically he didn’t have sufficient evidence because he failed to understand how much he didn’t know.)

When are you dating the birth of textual criticism? But whatever your answer is to that question, to be honest I’m not sure what point you’re driving at. I am just saying it’s not true that we have “numerous independent attestations” as Ehrman said in the huffpo piece.

Well, I still think this isn’t a relevant point, but for what it’s worth, this isn’t true. There aren’t any identical mythologies, but each element of the Christ mythology is present in other contemporary mythologies–and moreover, syncretism is a well-attested phenomenon in that time at that place.

Heck, we know that in that time and at that place a myth was told of Innanna in which she descended through several heavens, reached the lowest one, was crucified, and was subsequently raised from the dead.

Not crucified, humiliated and killed is what I said. Isaiah 53 is the first thing that comes to mind.