Electrochemical batteries can be compared to gasoline by thr use of the gasoline gallon equivalent (GGE) metric; one GGE is about 33.4 kWh/gal (114,000 BTU/gal) or about 7600 kCal/liter. One gallon of gasoline masses about 6.3 lbm or about 2.9 kg, so the energy mass density of gasoline is about 11.8 kWh/kg. Lithium-ion (Li-ion) and nickel metal hydride (NiMH) batteries, which are the best deep cycle batteries in use today, top out at a little over 0.3 kWh/l and and 0.1 kWh/kg, so by most measures electrochemical batteries have a GGE of about 0.01; in other words, they have about 1% total energy density capacity. There are higher density batteries (e.g. so-called thermal batteries) but these produce high power output for a short period following introduction of the electrolyte and essentially consume themselves in operation, making them fundamentally unusable for reuse.
Will better battery technology equalize this metric? The best potential technologies (lithium phosphate, lithium sulfur, and prismatic/polymer matrix lithium) only best this by around 20% volumetric density and 30% mass density, which still leaves more than an order and a half of energy density difference. Even accounting for the thermodynamics of combustion-powered heat engines (more on that in a second) there is still an order of magnitude gulf in capability. And despite the pretensions of some advocates, there just aren’t any scaling or efficiencies that are going to make any known electrolytic energy storage technomagically improve to the same order of magnitude as hydrocarbon fuels such as gasoline, kerosene, propane, methane, or even alcohols and ethers. The costs of manufacturing batteries
However, there difference in application should be considered from both a cost and power throughput standpoint. The o.p. notes that internal combustion engines are “about 30% efficient”; it should be noted that this is in relation to the thermal efficiency (i.e. how much of the heat energy can be extracted as useful mechanical work between the combustion chamber temperature and the ambient environment); most car engines are better than 70% of the theoretical Carnot efficiency. Combustion efficiency under steady load is typically better than 98% efficient. There are mechanical losses in the transmission, et cetera, which a direct wheel driven electric vehicle won’t see, as well. However, an electric vehicle is penalized by carrying the large mass of batteries and the high sprung weight of electic motors on the wheel hub (which has impacts on handling and cruising efficiency). On the other hand, while all expended work with a combustion engine is lost to the environment, an electric vehicle can recover at least some modest proportion via regenration in braking and potentially from the suspension.
Cost is another consideration; anelectric vehicle has a high upfront cost in terms of the battery (the cost of a Tesla Model S is about 40% battery) and the cost of copper and rare earth-based components in the motors, which is significant. However, the cost of energy as electricity is much less than production cost of fuel (even petrochemicals extracted from ground reserves, and even more over synthesized hydrocarbon fuels) and is fungible, easily shifted from coal or natural gas to solar and wind power production. Electric vehicles also have fewer moving parts and (in normal operation) generate less heat, which leads to less maintenance. However, the need to periodically replace and recycle the battery cells can offset or even exceeds operating costs, depending on lifecycle assumptions and cost of recycling.
There are also the operating considerations, which weigh heavily toward liquid fuels in many applications; not only the speed of refueling versus the hours required to fully recharge a large electric battery pack and the difference in range for long distance travelling, but the power output of internal combustion engines in cold ambient temperatures (in which the system is essentially self-heating) versus the low power throughput of a battery in the same conditions. Using an electric car in a cold Michigan winter is just not viable without supplementary heating, which requires more energy and therefore further reduces range.
The most compelling argument for the use of batteries isn’t cost or that they save the environment (which depends on the total production-to-wheel cycle efficiency and pollution) but that they are fungible with regard to energy supply; you can pick the cheapest way to produce electricity to recharge the battery regardless of what is going on in the Middle East or whether farmers are being subsidized to grow crops for biofuels. And for moderate range commuting in temporate climes, the total operating cost and total efficiency is probably better than hydrocarbon fuel options. But for long range, heavy haul, and cold temperature use electric vehicles have some major limitations that are fundamentally restricted by basic chemical kinetics, and no, there is no magic formula waiting around the corner that will make electrochemical battery energy density or power throughput comparable to hydrocarbon-powered internal combustion engines.
Stranger