Sagitta wrote:
>More importantly, I take issue with several of Doug’s statements. [snip] But I can’t tell what he means by ‘land tetrapods’.
It becomes clear below what I meant, and why I specified this.
>>the evolution went–as far as we can tell–very rapidly from fins to five toes, possibly with seven and/or six toed intermediates.
>There is no evidence at all for a transition from fins to five toes. The best evidence suggests a move from fins with a fan of bones to fins containing many digits.
And from fins with many digits, to limbs with many digits, to limbs with five digits, all in a brief geological interval is what I implied above. I didn’t say DIRECTLY from fins to five digits, I said RAPIDLY.
>It is much more parsimonious to suppose that the first toed animals had more than five, but the number may have been quite variable. Later tetrapods reduced the number to five - this may (speculation) have been associated with the move to land.
And in what way is this any different from what I said? If the first tetrapods living on land had more than five digits, then they represent the intermediates I referred to. The idea that they reduced the number to five in association with the move to land is exactly why I specified LAND tetrapods, as opposed to aquatic forms like Acanthostega and semi-aquatic forms like Ichthyostega.
>Polydactyly is a very common mutation among tetrapods. It occurs fairly frequently in humans and many other mammals. It doubtless occurred millions of times in the early mammals which gave rise to primates.
Doubtless it has, and now you’re just nit-picking, because I didn’t say “succesfully perpetuated mutation”.
>Genetic drift is not an incredibly long shot. It is an extremely powerful evolutionary force. ‘Silent’ mutations, which are thought to be virtually unaffected by selection, can become fixed in populations extremely rapidly (in geological terms).
Here we genuinely differ in opinion. Drift is a negligible evolutionary force in any population of respectable size. It only becomes “powerful” in populations composed of, say, less than 50 male/female pairs. An excellent analogy is trying to flip a coin so it comes up heads every time; the odds of flipping nothing but heads only become significant when you have a VERY small number of flips. Genetic drift is almost exactly the same: random shuffling of alleles in the population until one of the two alternative alleles manages to - at some point - eliminate the other. Moreover, it has to be the initially rare allele which wins in the end. This is NOT a powerful force, by any means. It is almost never invoked as being meaningful except in cases where one or a few individuals of a species become totally isolated from the remainder of the species, called “the founder effect” - a situation which may occur in many speciation events, but evolution and speciation are not synonyms; speciation is just one special case of evolution. Let’s put it this way: natural selection is a major force in evolution, and drift is a major force in speciation. The VAST majority of evolutionary change occurs via the action of natural selection on mutations, and does NOT involve speciation.