# Politics & Elections

**URL:** https://boards.straightdope.com/c/politics-elections/22.md?page=203

[Latest](https://boards.straightdope.com/latest.md) · [Categories](https://boards.straightdope.com/categories.md) · [Tags](https://boards.straightdope.com/tags.md)

**Page:** 204

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## [Johnson/Weld campaign](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/johnson-weld-campaign/755446)

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**Author:** [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Replies:** 409\
**Last updated:** [November 2, 2016, 8:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/johnson-weld-campaign/755446 "2016-11-02T20:42:25Z")

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Not sure if this thread will last, but William Weld, hoping to become VP on the LP ticket, made an inflammatory statement about Donald Trump’s deportation plan, comparing it to Nazism. But what interests me more is the …

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## [Your favorite candidate of this cycle](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/your-favorite-candidate-of-this-cycle/763298)

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**Author:** [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Replies:** 27\
**Last updated:** [November 2, 2016, 4:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/your-favorite-candidate-of-this-cycle/763298 "2016-11-02T16:03:13Z")

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This is a thread, if anyone’s interested of course, to plug your favorite non-Presidential candidate of this cycle. No incumbents, just challengers(although people who have served in the particular office before like Eva…

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## [Senate races in order of likelihood of switching?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-in-order-of-likelihood-of-switching/770443)

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**Author:** [@That\_Don\_Guy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/That_Don_Guy)\
**Replies:** 1\
**Last updated:** [November 2, 2016, 2:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-in-order-of-likelihood-of-switching/770443 "2016-11-02T14:31:51Z")

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Where could I find a list of the Senate seats up for election in 2016 in order of how likely they are to change, so I can get some early idea as to what’s going to happen to the Senate based on early results? (Anyone fa…

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## [What to look for on election night](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-to-look-for-on-election-night/770414)

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**Author:** [@Palo\_Verde](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Palo_Verde)\
**Replies:** 13\
**Last updated:** [November 2, 2016, 12:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-to-look-for-on-election-night/770414 "2016-11-02T12:32:53Z")

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One week from today, we’ll all be glued to our screens as we watch the election returns come in. What would you say are the dealbreakers to look for early on. What I mean is something like, “If Clinton wins Florida and P…

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## [Who'll be the GOP presidential candidate in 2020?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wholl-be-the-gop-presidential-candidate-in-2020/770057)

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**Author:** [@Baker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Baker)\
**Replies:** 73\
**Last updated:** [November 2, 2016, 10:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wholl-be-the-gop-presidential-candidate-in-2020/770057 "2016-11-02T10:07:05Z")

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I don’t think it would be any of the ones who failed in the primaries, losing to Trump. The party will want someone fresh, but who still has experience in government, someone who actually knows how to conduct themself i…

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## [Do you work on election night?  How will you be getting your updates?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/do-you-work-on-election-night-how-will-you-be-getting-your-updates/770275)

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**Author:** [@Patty\_O\_Furniture](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Patty_O_Furniture)\
**Replies:** 18\
**Last updated:** [November 1, 2016, 10:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/do-you-work-on-election-night-how-will-you-be-getting-your-updates/770275 "2016-11-01T22:20:57Z")

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I work from 8pm Tuesday evening until 2am Wednesday morning. I’m a lecturer, so I won’t even be able to follow twitter feeds. I’m trying out several “breaking news” apps. If they work, I suppose I could leave my iPad o…

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## [any interest in a "voter-turnout" Over/Under prediction thread, opposed to just a "who's gonna win"?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/any-interest-in-a-voter-turnout-over-under-prediction-thread-opposed-to-just-a-whos-gonna-win/770347)

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**Author:** [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\
**Replies:** 3\
**Last updated:** [November 1, 2016, 9:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/any-interest-in-a-voter-turnout-over-under-prediction-thread-opposed-to-just-a-whos-gonna-win/770347 "2016-11-01T21:58:24Z")

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in the same vein as figuring that a Cubs/Yankees World Series, or a Patriots/Cowboys Super Bowl would shatter any prior TV ratings numbers, this election feels like it could obliterate any prior record number of people (…

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## [Two Reasons Trump Might Exceed His Poll Numbers](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/two-reasons-trump-might-exceed-his-poll-numbers/770254)

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**Author:** [@Fotheringay-Phipps](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fotheringay-Phipps)\
**Replies:** 59\
**Last updated:** [November 1, 2016, 2:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/two-reasons-trump-might-exceed-his-poll-numbers/770254 "2016-11-01T14:46:55Z")

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I’m aware that people make claims of this sort every election, and to be clear I’m not claiming that he will exceed his poll numbers. Only that these two arguments seem reasonable to me. And the important thing is that,…

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## [Would Trump get 40% popular vote against any Dem?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/would-trump-get-40-popular-vote-against-any-dem/770255)

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**Author:** [@chargerrich](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/chargerrich)\
**Replies:** 14\
**Last updated:** [November 1, 2016, 2:23pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/would-trump-get-40-popular-vote-against-any-dem/770255 "2016-11-01T14:23:46Z")

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Sincerely trying (and probably failing) to remove party bias here… This election has done something that truly scares me a bit… it has shown that something approaching 40% or more of the American people would vote for s…

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## [Trump used legally dubious method of avoiding millions in taxes](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/trump-used-legally-dubious-method-of-avoiding-millions-in-taxes/770326)

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**Author:** [@romansperson](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/romansperson)\
**Replies:** 5\
**Last updated:** [November 1, 2016, 11:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/trump-used-legally-dubious-method-of-avoiding-millions-in-taxes/770326 "2016-11-01T11:02:54Z")

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NYT reports on more tax chicanery. The loophole he exploited was partially closed by Congress in 1993, then fully in 2004. Guess who voted for fully closing it then? http://nyti.ms/2dWyinN Sounds like he left an awful …

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## [What would have to be on Weiners laptop to make you vote for Trump?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-would-have-to-be-on-weiners-laptop-to-make-you-vote-for-trump/770074)

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**Author:** [@drad\_dog](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/drad_dog)\
**Replies:** 52\
**Last updated:** [November 1, 2016, 2:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-would-have-to-be-on-weiners-laptop-to-make-you-vote-for-trump/770074 "2016-11-01T02:51:26Z")

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I got nothing. OK, maybe a pedophilia ring, murder, conspiracy (But not just any conspiracy).

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## [Sam Wang's NYT piece: Polls don't change](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sam-wangs-nyt-piece-polls-dont-change/770069)

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**Author:** [@suranyi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/suranyi)\
**Replies:** 50\
**Last updated:** [October 31, 2016, 8:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sam-wangs-nyt-piece-polls-dont-change/770069 "2016-10-31T20:18:13Z")

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Sam Wang of the Princeton Election Consortium just wrote an op-ed in which he explains at length his main thesis this election, which basically is that nothing changes because people’s minds are made up. In other words,…

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## [Should Clinton urge supporters in ID and UT to vote McMullin?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/should-clinton-urge-supporters-in-id-and-ut-to-vote-mcmullin/770249)

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**Author:** [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Replies:** 12\
**Last updated:** [October 31, 2016, 4:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/should-clinton-urge-supporters-in-id-and-ut-to-vote-mcmullin/770249 "2016-10-31T16:46:52Z")

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Clinton is WAY behind in Idaho and significantly behind in UT. McMullin is very close to Trump in UT and much further away in ID, but possibly Clinton’s voters plus his own voters could put him over the top. It’s hard t…

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## [What do third party Presidential candidates really hope to accomplish?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-do-third-party-presidential-candidates-really-hope-to-accomplish/770252)

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**Author:** [@boffking](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/boffking)\
**Replies:** 8\
**Last updated:** [October 31, 2016, 4:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-do-third-party-presidential-candidates-really-hope-to-accomplish/770252 "2016-10-31T16:43:07Z")

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I know a few people who are still obsessed with Jill Stein. It is obvious that she will only get a few percentage points. I am specifically asking about Presidential candidates. I understand why someone would run thir…

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## [Secret Hillary voters-- how much effect?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/secret-hillary-voters-how-much-effect/770001)

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**Author:** [@dtilque](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dtilque)\
**Replies:** 31\
**Last updated:** [October 31, 2016, 3:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/secret-hillary-voters-how-much-effect/770001 "2016-10-31T15:37:49Z")

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A couple articles, one in Salon and one in HuffPo which I accidently closed and now can’t find, are about women who are planning on voting for Clinton, but keep quiet about it to their family, friends and coworkers. The …

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## [Politifact has issued their ratings today.](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/politifact-has-issued-their-ratings-today/769875)

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**Author:** [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\
**Replies:** 48\
**Last updated:** [October 31, 2016, 11:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/politifact-has-issued-their-ratings-today/769875 "2016-10-31T11:09:22Z")

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http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/ \*PolitiFact has been documenting Trump’s statements since 2011, when he was toying with a 2012 White House bid. Since then, we’ve fact-checked more than 300 Trump claims. About 7…

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## [What is a Policy surrogate](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-is-a-policy-surrogate/770228)

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**Author:** [@Banksiaman](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Banksiaman)\
**Replies:** 6\
**Last updated:** [October 31, 2016, 10:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-is-a-policy-surrogate/770228 "2016-10-31T10:19:17Z")

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Listening from the People’s Paradise that is Australia this morning to a radio interview with two people on opposite sides of the US election. One was the spokesperson for a particular group, while the other was introdu…

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## [Obama pardons Hillary - possible?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-pardons-hillary-possible/770221)

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**Author:** [@Xema](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Xema)\
**Replies:** 13\
**Last updated:** [October 31, 2016, 6:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-pardons-hillary-possible/770221 "2016-10-31T06:20:22Z")

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I overheard some speculation today that sounded rather wild, but came from a person who is usually fairly savvy - and no conspiracy theorist. It runs like this: Hillary wins the election: a substantial edge in early vo…

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## [Weat if Trump were to be incapacitated before the election?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/weat-if-trump-were-to-be-incapacitated-before-the-election/770108)

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**Author:** [@Quartz](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Quartz)\
**Replies:** 11\
**Last updated:** [October 31, 2016, 12:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/weat-if-trump-were-to-be-incapacitated-before-the-election/770108 "2016-10-31T00:54:37Z")

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Say he has a massive stroke in the next few days? Would America be actually choosing between Clinton and Pence? As I understand it, under the 25th Amendment Pence would take over if Trump were President. So how would tha…

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## [Predictions on election day related violence?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-on-election-day-related-violence/769858)

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**Author:** [@Fiveyearlurker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fiveyearlurker)\
**Replies:** 45\
**Last updated:** [October 30, 2016, 8:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-on-election-day-related-violence/769858 "2016-10-30T20:45:14Z")

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Articles over the last few days have turned substantially more dire with regard to predictions of outright violence. You can chalk this up to posturing by a small minority, but it has had some support from people who sh…

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## [How serious are the latest allegations against Hilary?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-serious-are-the-latest-allegations-against-hilary/770011)

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**Author:** [@Enola\_Gay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Enola_Gay)\
**Replies:** 44\
**Last updated:** [October 30, 2016, 7:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-serious-are-the-latest-allegations-against-hilary/770011 "2016-10-30T19:44:13Z")

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I personally don’t give a flying fuck about Hilary Clinton’s email server. But Trumpeters on facebook are gloating that the latest FBI probe will cost her the election. Then today I learned that her lead is shrinking. I…

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## [Pence's Plane Skids Off Runway](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/pences-plane-skids-off-runway/769901)

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**Author:** [@ThelmaLou](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ThelmaLou)\
**Replies:** 26\
**Last updated:** [October 30, 2016, 12:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/pences-plane-skids-off-runway/769901 "2016-10-30T12:59:24Z")

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Mike Pence’s Plane skids off La Guardia runway No one hurt. It was raining heavily. How long until Trump blames this on Crooked Hillary?

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## [Questions about exit polling](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/questions-about-exit-polling/770091)

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**Author:** [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Replies:** 3\
**Last updated:** [October 30, 2016, 12:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/questions-about-exit-polling/770091 "2016-10-30T12:34:37Z")

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Do exit pollsters start collecting data during early voting? In mail in ballot states, are exit polls even taken? To find out how turnout was among demographics, are exit polls the only source, or is that data co…

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## [Those damned Podesta wikileaks will be Hillary's undoing.](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/those-damned-podesta-wikileaks-will-be-hillarys-undoing/769603)

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**Author:** [@QuickSilver](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/QuickSilver)\
**Replies:** 44\
**Last updated:** [October 30, 2016, 6:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/those-damned-podesta-wikileaks-will-be-hillarys-undoing/769603 "2016-10-30T06:54:31Z")

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… or will they? I’ve read through them. Admittedly, not exhaustively. The further down I read, the more I became convinced that this is nothing but a tempest in a teacup, much ado about nothing. What’s more, HRC’s cr…

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## [email questions](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/email-questions/770094)

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**Author:** [@contradancer](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/contradancer)\
**Replies:** 0\
**Last updated:** [October 30, 2016, 5:57am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/email-questions/770094 "2016-10-30T05:57:08Z")

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Huma says she doesn’t know how her emails got on her husband’s device. These days many people have several email addresses and god know penis man probably had several. BUT, you can program them to all feed into your “r…

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## [3rd Party Candidate Roque De La Fuente; anyone have any factual info about him?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/3rd-party-candidate-roque-de-la-fuente-anyone-have-any-factual-info-about-him/770078)

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**Author:** [@Boogly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Boogly)\
**Replies:** 2\
**Last updated:** [October 30, 2016, 3:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/3rd-party-candidate-roque-de-la-fuente-anyone-have-any-factual-info-about-him/770078 "2016-10-30T03:59:27Z")

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I’ve been looking into 3rd party candidates and came across Roque De La Fuente and would like to know what additional information that people have about him. The Voter's Self Defense System - Vote Smart is where I got m…

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## [The state where you reside gives Trump the electoral votes. How can you live with that?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-state-where-you-reside-gives-trump-the-electoral-votes-how-can-you-live-with-that/769952)

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**Author:** [@harmonicamoon](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/harmonicamoon)\
**Replies:** 41\
**Last updated:** [October 30, 2016, 12:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-state-where-you-reside-gives-trump-the-electoral-votes-how-can-you-live-with-that/769952 "2016-10-30T00:53:15Z")

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As difficult as it is for me to believe, apparently some states may give the electoral college votes to Trump. In a previous life I lived in Utah. Utah, for the last 50 years, has given the college votes to Republicans…

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## [A Virginia newspaper is endorsing NC Gov. McCrory because he's driving business to Virginia](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-virginia-newspaper-is-endorsing-nc-gov-mccrory-because-hes-driving-business-to-virginia/770018)

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**Author:** [@davidm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/davidm)\
**Replies:** 2\
**Last updated:** [October 30, 2016, 12:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/a-virginia-newspaper-is-endorsing-nc-gov-mccrory-because-hes-driving-business-to-virginia/770018 "2016-10-30T00:13:01Z")

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This is being reported elsewhere as an “endorsement”. Whether or not it can be truly characterized as such, it is funny.

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## [Obama on the Supreme Court?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-on-the-supreme-court/769930)

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**Author:** [@WordMan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/WordMan)\
**Replies:** 46\
**Last updated:** [October 29, 2016, 10:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/obama-on-the-supreme-court/769930 "2016-10-29T22:10:33Z")

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It struck me, and I wonder why it hasn’t been discussed more in the general media: if Hillary is elected, why not nominate Obama to join the Court? She may have opportunities past filling the Scalia vacancy, where I a…

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## [How much longer can they keep calling her "Hillary"?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-much-longer-can-they-keep-calling-her-hillary/769597)

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**Author:** [@cuauhtemoc](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/cuauhtemoc)\
**Replies:** 72\
**Last updated:** [October 29, 2016, 4:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-much-longer-can-they-keep-calling-her-hillary/769597 "2016-10-29T16:15:47Z")

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I saw Tim Kaine on some show yesterday, and he was talking about the campaign, of course… and it struck me as odd how he kept referring to Clinton as “Hillary.” It was “Oh yeah, I was talking to Hillary about this yester…

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