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Old 01-26-2011, 05:32 PM
Quercus Quercus is offline
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: temperate forest
Posts: 6,758
Originally Posted by furt View Post
The thing is that in the large, perhaps vast majority of situations, the five yards is worth more than the time out
But that's not at all clear to me. What makes you think so, and can you put numbers on it?

I'm more convinced otherwise: for instance in one of the links above, they take a situation that seems pretty typical: 7:00 left in the 4th quarter, 3rd and 10 from their own 20, down by 7. They conclude that it's better to take the 5-yard penalty and save the time out.