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Old 09-24-2017, 02:21 PM
Cayuga Cayuga is offline
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Connecticut, USA
Posts: 1,014
Originally Posted by Monocracy View Post
Also remember, this event actually happened so the real odds of it happening are 100%.
That's not how it works.

Yes, the odds that it happened are 100%, but that's a pointless statement. The odds that it would happen are unaffected by whether it did or not.

The odds of a die coming up 2 are 1 in 6. I just rolled a die here on my kitchen table, and it came up 2. Even so, the odds of a die coming up 2 are still 1 in 6.