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Old 02-23-2020, 04:57 PM
Monocracy is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2000
Posts: 623
Looking at the results so far, with 60% of the precincts reporting, and comparing them to 538's prediction, it seems that Bernie has once again grossly under-performed. I don't think he's the runaway front-runner that everyone thinks he is.

528s popular vote predictions:
39 Sanders
17 Buttigieg
16 Biden
12 Warren
9 Steyer
7 Klobuchar
.3 Gabbard

Nevada first round, rounded to nearest %:
33 Sanders (-6)
17 Biden (+1)
16 Buttigieg (-1)
13 Warren (+1)
10 Klobuchar (+3)
9 Steyer
0 (.35) Gabbard