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Old 02-21-2019, 06:20 AM
Ludovic is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: America's Wing
Posts: 30,393
I think the defection hurts Labour more than the Tories but it hurts them both because it makes it harder to form a government. And if there is a true Remain shift then a new election could only help Labour if they run pro-Remain candidates.

What I am not sure of is the effect on the leadership of both parties of the defection. My guess is that it helps Tory leadership by casting off dead weight and hurts Labour leadership because there might be a temptation to enforce Remain discipline in return for an alliance with the IG and that might not go well, but really I don't have a clue.