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Old 09-05-2019, 12:16 PM
RickJay is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: Oakville, Canada
Posts: 41,572
Originally Posted by Budget Player Cadet View Post
Without meaning to sound like a jerk here, have you been paying attention to the Brexit negotiations at all? Because the main lesson from them is "The UK does not have nearly the bargaining power that it seems to think it does". The idea, especially after failed Brexit negotiations and the bad faith and ill will involved (not to mention the projections of just how insanely damaging it would have been to the UK!), that the UK will be in any position to be giving marching orders to the union just strikes me as batty.
It's not just that the UK doesn't have the leverage it thought it did; it's that the EU has every incentive to actually be more intransigent in negotiations than a pure calculus of the EU-UK trading relationship would dictate. Any sense of weakness in this will make the EU look weak and will encourage other member states to threaten to take their toys and go home if they don't get whatever their desired changes are. The EU benefits from the UK getting screwed.

All this was incredibly predictable. This isn't Deep Blue chess, it's tic-tac-toe.
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