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Old 09-15-2019, 02:57 PM
Flyer is offline
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Colorado
Posts: 3,354
Originally Posted by KarlGauss View Post
Well, Robert Shiller, Sterling Professor of Economics at Yale surely did (presumably before he won the Nobel Prize).

Have you read what he wrote? It was published just today in the NYT so I'm gonna go out on a limb and bet the answer is no. It's probably behind a paywall anyway. So, I'll excerpt a bit for you:
He's not talking about predicting a recession. There is only one way to predict a recession, namely: "Yep, the next one is coming."

He's talking about predicting the TIMING of a recession, which is a different thing altogether.