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Old 06-09-2019, 07:49 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SamuelA View Post
I know I'm pretty smart, but I also know there's a lot I don't know. The conclusions I reach are just building on what I do know well. Sometimes I do know a layer of things well enough that further reaching conclusions are reachable.

Like, climate for example. If I take it as given that a thin layer of cheap gas injected with low energy (in the scheme of things - it would still be a massive chemical plant and apparatus costing billions) blocks insolation, I don't need to know all the details of 8 million separate climate processes to say that this would probably be an improvement over doomsday.

See what I mean? I don't know a tremendous amount of details but if the top level abstraction is correct, they don't matter to reach the conclusion that something would be an improvement.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SamuelA View Post
... Same with climate engineering or nanotechnology or self replicating factories or anything else. All very obvious ideas that very obviously will be seen eventually, they are all as certain to happen as nuclear fission was once it was demonstrated to work.
Yes, I see what you mean. Climate engineering is a "very obvious" idea that is "certain to happen", and anyone who doesn't see it that way is an idiot. This is obvious from the most rudimentary facts, which you have fortunately mastered. That the rest of us don't see it your way means we're idiots. Got it!

You will note that among these "idiots" you must include the panel of leading international experts on the IPCC Working Group 3 who produced the latest IPCC AR5 report. Working Group 3 specifically addresses the challenges of mitigating climate change. The report runs to nearly 1500 pages and draws from the latest research on every aspect of climate change mitigation from technology, economic, and policy perspectives. Your brilliant "very obvious" idea that is "certain to happen" was not considered even worth a serious discussion. It occupies little more than one paragraph among the 1500 pages, the purpose of which is basically to dismiss the idea.

But of course we must remember the thread you started wherein the point was that scientists don't know how to do science properly, but you do! So I can see how you're comfortable with the idea that you're correct and every scientist in the world is wrong, on this issue or any other. Do you understand now why, as Colibri quite correctly put it, "the combination of ignorance and arrogance is truly breathtaking"?

I cite this as only one representative example, but it applies to most of your pontifications, the general commonality being that the reason things that are "obvious" to you are not obvious to knowledgeable experts is that most of the time you don't know what the fuck you're talking about.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SamuelA View Post
Why do you do this? I have not the slightest idea. Why do I do this? Because I'm frustrated when I see the mass of humanity around me making frankly stupid decisions and I just want to know why.
My reasons should be obvious, Sammy. Low information combined with boundless arrogance leads to very stupid conclusions, and arrogant stupidity is intensely annoying, although I grant that sometimes it also has comedic entertainment value. Arrogant blowhards like yourself are easy and deserving targets.