View Single Post
Old 03-26-2020, 07:48 AM
CarnalK's Avatar
CarnalK is offline
Join Date: Jul 2000
Posts: 20,043
I think a good way to illustrate the math wrt to the "flattening the curve" is talking about hospitalizations. If 50% of America gets covid-19, an average of about 20% will require a hospital stay, (330M.5.2) so about 33M. In 2018, the CDC said there was about 7.9% of Americans who required a hospital stay, (330.079) so about 26M. There's probably some overlap of people who would've required hospital treatment but you can see this conservative estimate shows hospitals will likely have over double the normal patients this year.