View Single Post
Old 03-22-2020, 08:53 AM
DSeid's Avatar
DSeid is offline
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 23,968
Originally Posted by RTFirefly View Post
According to this oft-quoted cite, the head-to-heads start having predictive value about 300 days before the general election. IOW, about the second week in January. By now, per the graph, they've got an r2 of about .5, which is of course way less than certainty, but still pretty good.
Thank you. Thatís the article I was thinking of but unable to find!

So we are pretty much on a flat portion of the curve with a little correlation now that begins to gradually get better more beginning August on. Which makes sense.

Thanks again.

Last edited by DSeid; 03-22-2020 at 08:55 AM.