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Old 11-08-2018, 11:35 AM
markdash is offline
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 1,976
At the moment, Republicans have a natural advantage in terms of # of states, which is of course the relevant statistic for the Senate. Obama beat Romney by 3.9% in the popular vote and 332-206 in the electoral college, but only won 26 states to Romney's 24. This is of course due to the relatively large number of low-population states which trend right (deep south, great plains, big sky, southwest).

Regarding gerrymandering, this election shows that Republicans were really smart about how/where they gerrymandered. Instead of relying on razor thin margins across the board, they were able to weather some of the storm this year by engineering districts that could withstand the D+7 environment.