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Old 10-14-2019, 12:20 PM
Dead Cat is offline
I was curious...
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: UK
Posts: 4,346
In my entirely unscientific and relatively ill-informed view, I'd put chances of progression to the semi-finals as roughly 35% Japan, 65% South Africa, 40% Ireland, 60% NZ. I'm not sure how many of NZ's current squad are already WC winners, but a fair number won't be and regardless I'm sure they are all hungry for more.

In terms of the North/South divide, well most teams hate England and we tend to hate them back, that certainly goes for Argentina and Australia, and to a lesser extent NZ. If England can't win it, of the teams remaining I'd probably be happiest to see Japan triumph, or failing that SA. Worst from an English perspective would be Wales or Ireland, since no matter how many times we lose to them in the Six Nations, for now at least we can say we have won more World Cups!