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Old 03-20-2020, 12:04 PM
DesertDog is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Mesa, Ariz.
Posts: 6,455
Quote:
Originally Posted by Saturn Dreams View Post
Flattening the curve is only meant to deal with slowing the rate of infection so that the health care system is not overburdened with a sudden, simultaneous onslaught of cases as is happening now. It has less to do with decreasing the number of infected and more with ensuring necessary resources for healthcare. The thinking is the more people being properly managed under professional care the less damage and fatality there will be. A tragic example as to the consequences of not flattening the curve is to see what’s currently occurring in Italy.
^This.^ Squinting at the two curves on the chart and applying thumbnail calculus to it, the area under the two curves looks the same. That means the total number of infections will wind up the same no matter what we do, but keeping the peak under that dotted line means fewer will die, a win in my book.