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Old 03-28-2020, 01:38 PM
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asahi is offline
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Originally Posted by VOW View Post
It seems to me that the spread of the disease and the actual percentage rates of infection/mortality are really only estimates (but damn good ones) at this time, because of the horrendous lack of testing. The true epidemology of COVID-19 cannot be known until contacts can be tested and the routes of infection adequately traced.

It'll be impossible to get a true count of the total numbers of symptomatic and asymptomatic people actually infected until much, much later. It's not really that important to know the number of asymptomatic people to understand the lethality. What doctors are concerned with is what are someone's chances once they start presenting with signs of obvious infection. From what I've read, those numbers are estimated to be anywhere from 1-4% generally.