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Old 09-10-2019, 07:40 PM
begbert2 is offline
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Idaho
Posts: 13,465
Originally Posted by Telemark View Post
Economists have predicted 14 of the last 6 recessions.
According to the cite, the yield curve has actually predicted 7 of 7 recessions, with 100% accuracy, over the past 50 years.

It appears that the delay from inversion to recession ranges from half a year to a year and a half, based on the admittedly small data set presented.

Last edited by begbert2; 09-10-2019 at 07:41 PM.