View Single Post
  #70  
Old 05-21-2019, 12:28 AM
Lemur866's Avatar
Lemur866 is offline
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: The Middle of Puget Sound
Posts: 22,401
Trump is against war, sure. He doesn't actually want war with Iran, I actually believe that.

The only problem is that he also believes that if you're a tough guy, you can just threaten the weaker guy, and the weaker guy will always back down. Then you win easily without having to fight.

It's the exact same strategy he uses on the Chinese trade deal, it's the exact same strategy he uses on the NAFTA negotiations, Korea, Europe, and on and on.

But the problem here is that everyone knows that he's all talk. He doesn't actually want to pull the trigger, he's just bluffing because he doesn't want war. Which means he's not the tough guy in this movie. What happens when you threaten the other guy and he doesn't back down? Now you either have to follow through on your threats, or humiliatingly back down yourself.

So which course of action is Trump going to choose? Following through on a chancy and avoidable military action, or look like a fucking chump? Your guess is as good as mine, it depends on what they say that day on Fox News.