This is getting into the realm of metaphysics rather than physics, but my understanding is that Mathochist is physically incorrect.
There is no way  even in principle  to precisely predict the outcome of a chaotic situation, i.e. one in which small changes in the original parameters lead to large changes in the results.
And the lottery example is a chaotic situation to an even greater extent than his pendulum example. No measurement can be made to sufficient precision to run a deterministic model of the events. And I don't see how QM can possibly be ignored. The precision needed to forecast the outcome would necessarily be such that QM uncertainty would confound the numbers.
I can't see how what Mathochist is saying is different from: if you take out everything that makes it indeterminable, it becomes determinable.
Can you try your explanation again?
