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Old 11-26-2019, 08:54 PM
Sam Stone is offline
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Join Date: Jun 1999
Posts: 28,334
Yeah, but I think Emerson is pretty down the middle, and they both came up with the same number.

One caveat: the potential sampling error is high because it's a subset of polled voters. I think +-12. So support could be as low as 22%, or as high as 46%. Given history I would think lower real numbers are more likely. But even 24% would be a tripling of his support since 2016, and a big problem for Democrats.
Old 11-26-2019, 09:49 PM
str8cashhomie is offline
Join Date: Jan 2017
Posts: 128
FYI - Tracking polls are not intended to be an absolute representative sample, they intend to find a group with divierse range of views/demo information and poll them over and over again, to show deltas and trends.

According to gallup, Trump's approval among black people is about 10%:

According to a poll by The Hill, 85% of black people surveyed said they would vote for any democrat over Trump:


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