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  #51  
Old 11-26-2019, 08:54 PM
Sam Stone is offline
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Yeah, but I think Emerson is pretty down the middle, and they both came up with the same number.

One caveat: the potential sampling error is high because it's a subset of polled voters. I think +-12. So support could be as low as 22%, or as high as 46%. Given history I would think lower real numbers are more likely. But even 24% would be a tripling of his support since 2016, and a big problem for Democrats.
  #52  
Old 11-26-2019, 09:49 PM
str8cashhomie is offline
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FYI - Tracking polls are not intended to be an absolute representative sample, they intend to find a group with divierse range of views/demo information and poll them over and over again, to show deltas and trends.

According to gallup, Trump's approval among black people is about 10%:
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politic...h-black-voters

According to a poll by The Hill, 85% of black people surveyed said they would vote for any democrat over Trump:
https://thehill.com/hilltv/rising/46...-democrat-over
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