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  #301  
Old 10-07-2019, 09:20 AM
Really Not All That Bright is online now
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Originally Posted by SenorBeef View Post
Is the existence of Hamlet a good thing?

I don't think I can bench his Charkness again. He's been one of the best fantasy receivers this year and I benched him because I keep thinking of him as a fluke that'll come back down. But he seems to be the real deal.
There is usually a dominant team in this format; Hamlet is scoring more than anyone else ever has through five games (at least that I can recall), but the excess points don't mean a great deal at season's end. Injuries, roster changes, something always intervenes to slow down production. Heck, Hamlet and I had the highest-scoring teams last season and neither of us even made the championship game. I scored 186 in the first round of the 2017 playoffs and didn't even break 100 in the championship game (and lost to Varlos who wasn't even playing).

The Fantasy Talking Heads are all saying Chark's efficiency-per-target is unsustainable (he's the only guy in the top 5 with fewer than 40 targets, per PFF Radio this morning). But if the train is rolling, you may as well ride until it stops.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ellis Dee View Post
Seriously, though, Christian McCaffrey is the fucking man. I don't know if 44.70 points in a game is a record or anything, but Jesus Christ that guy is carrying my team almost single-handedly.
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  #302  
Old 10-07-2019, 09:38 AM
Really Not All That Bright is online now
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Incidentally, Hamlet is projected to finish with 1986 points. He had 1959 in 2018. Prior top scores include:

2017 Me 1811
2016 Petey 1768
2015 Varlos 1885
2014 Stringer 1857
2013 Justin 1876
2012 Stringer 1859
2011 Stringer 1921
2010 Stringer 1837
2009 Hamlet 1935

So he's probably going to break his own record from last season, which itself broke a record that had stood since the first season of the league. But I'm not sure if he's going to keep scoring even at the rate that Yahoo projects, as the league seems to have caught up with Mahomes, Keenan Allen is at least two weeks overdue for an ACL tear, and Austin Ekeler is going to be relegated to a change-of-pace role now. He's got amazing depth but his bench guys are 15-point-per-week guys rather than 20-point-per-week guys.
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  #303  
Old 10-07-2019, 10:25 PM
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151.30 fantasy points and I lose. Maddening. I’m well aware I’ve got a roster with no room for error this season as I loaded up on 2020 draft picks, but I still expect to win with that many fantasy points on a given week.
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  #304  
Old 10-07-2019, 11:05 PM
Ellis Dee is offline
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-4 points from Baker Mayfield loses me the game. I only needed 8.07 points from the QB position to win. Gah!

On a related note, it's pretty clear that the Browns' season is already over. The only question now is whether Mayfield's career is already over too.
  #305  
Old 10-07-2019, 11:26 PM
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It's actually not that clear. They just kicked the shit out of Baltimore in Baltimore last week. The division is up for grabs.
  #306  
Old 10-08-2019, 07:01 AM
Ellis Dee is offline
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It depends on how bad the implosion is after losing next week vs Seattle and again the following week @ New England to go 2-5. Will they be able to "get right" the following week in Denver? I dunno, and if not, 2-6 is just about "have to win every game from here on out" territory.
  #307  
Old 10-08-2019, 10:44 AM
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Whatever happens to the Browns, I think we can agree that the end of last season was just the "teams not having any film" success that sometimes happens with young quarterbacks (see: Bruce Gradkowski), and that Mayfield's really not very good, right?
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  #308  
Old 10-08-2019, 11:13 AM
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I don't agree with that either. I think it's mostly on a poorly designed offensive scheme, which I talk about here and here.
  #309  
Old 10-08-2019, 07:31 PM
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The first of the early morning London games is next Sunday. Bucs vs Panthers.
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  #310  
Old 10-09-2019, 07:18 AM
Ellis Dee is offline
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SDMB-Dynasty League - Week 5

Rnk Week 5.......Actual....Rnk Season.......Actual
01. Retro +11....176.98....01. Hamlet.......790.25
02. Justin +6....162.55....02. RNATB +2.....645.41
03. Hamlet.......161.85....03. Beef.........632.65
04. dale +7......151.30....04. Retro +6.....624.59
05. RNATB +4.....141.38....05. dale +2......616.15
06. Omni +1......116.46....06. Gaffer -4....615.66
07. Jules -3.....108.85....07. Justin +4....605.25
08. Overly -2....104.80....08. Petey -3.....593.65
09. Ellis -7.....104.40....09. Ellis -3.....578.02
10. Beef -9......102.92....10. Omni -2......575.04
11. Petey -1.....102.55....11. Overly -2....559.90
12. Gaffer -7.....76.46
....12. Jules........533.70


Rnk Week 5....Potential....Rnk Season....Potential
01. Hamlet +3....194.81....01. Hamlet.......900.12
02. Justin +3....183.95....02. RNATB +3.....779.95
03. Retro +9.....178.18....03. Ellis -1.....775.12
04. RNATB -1.....165.18....04. Beef.........771.85
05. Beef -4......156.37....05. Justin +4....758.16
06. dale +5......154.80....06. Petey........741.65
07. Omni +2......143.48....07. Gaffer -4....735.97
08. Petey +2.....134.55....08. dale.........732.78
09. Ellis -7.....126.00....09. Overly -2....709.69
10. Jules -4.....117.95....10. Retro +1.....705.82
11. Overly -3....116.68....11. Jules -1.....664.00
12. Gaffer -5....103.67
....12. Omni.........657.33


Rnk Week 5.......Coach.....Rnk Season.......Coach.
01. Retro +4.....99% A+....01. Retro +4.....88% B+
02. dale +4......98% A+....02. Hamlet.......88% B+
03. Jules +1.....92% A-....03. Omni -2......87% B+
04. Overly +4....90% B+....04. dale +4......84% B
05. Justin +6....88% B+....05. Gaffer -1....84% B
06. RNATB +6.....86% B.....06. RNATB........83% B-
07. Hamlet -5....83% B.....07. Beef -4......82% B-
08. Ellis -1.....83% B-....08. Jules +1.....80% B-
09. Omni.........81% B-....09. Petey -2.....80% B-
10. Petey........76% C.....10. Justin.......80% C+
11. Gaffer -8....74% C.....11. Overly.......79% C+
12. Beef -11.....66% D
.....12. Ellis........75% C


SPOILER:

Rnk Week 5.......Actual....Rnk Season.......Actual
01. Retro +11....11-0......01. Hamlet.......50-5
02. Justin +6....10-1......02. RNATB +1.....31-24
03. Hamlet........9-2......03. Gaffer -1....31-24
04. dale +7.......8-3......04. Justin +3....30-25
05. RNATB +4......7-4......05. dale +1......28-27
06. Omni +1.......6-5......06. Retro +6.....26-29
07. Jules -3......5-6......07. Beef -3......25-30
08. Overly -2.....4-7......08. Petey -3.....23-32
09. Ellis -7......3-8......09. Overly -1....23-32
10. Beef -9.......2-9......10. Omni.........22-33
11. Petey -1......1-10.....11. Jules........21-34
12. Gaffer -7.....0-11
.....12. Ellis -3.....20-35


Rnk Week 5....Potential....Rnk Season....Potential
01. Hamlet +3....11-0......01. Hamlet.......51-4
02. Justin +3....10-1......02. RNATB +4.....30-25
03. Retro +9......9-2......03. Ellis........30-25
04. RNATB -1......8-3......04. Beef +1......30-25
05. Beef -4.......7-4......05. Gaffer -3....30-25
06. dale +5.......6-5......06. Justin +3....29-26
07. Omni +2.......5-6......07. Petey -3.....29-26
08. Petey +2......4-7......08. dale -1......28-27
09. Ellis -7......3-8......09. Retro +2.....22-33
10. Jules -4......2-9......10. Overly -2....20-35
11. Overly -3.....1-10.....11. Jules -1.....17-38
12. Gaffer -5.....0-11
.....12. Omni.........14-41


  #311  
Old 10-10-2019, 10:51 PM
Overly Sentimental is offline
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Would you guys be ok with me changing my lineup retroactively? I didn't get a chance to check, and I only ask because gallman was listed out before the game.
I'd appreciate it. Give me a chance to try to stay alive...
  #312  
Old 10-10-2019, 11:22 PM
Ellis Dee is offline
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I have no objection, but really it's up to Justin.

He was ruled out days ago, btw. It's not like he was a last minute scratch. As in, maybe check in Tuesday or Wednesday to be sure you don't mess up for Thursday games.
  #313  
Old 10-11-2019, 01:26 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ellis Dee View Post
I have no objection, but really it's up to Justin.
I'm OK with it.

Last edited by Justin_Bailey; 10-11-2019 at 01:26 AM.
  #314  
Old 10-11-2019, 05:35 AM
Overly Sentimental is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ellis Dee View Post
As in, maybe check in Tuesday or Wednesday to be sure you don't mess up for Thursday games.
I take your point. I admit my initial enthusiasm has been somewhat tempered by my how you say "everything turning into a pile of shit".
I don't suppose you guys have any data on teams starting 1-4 making the playoffs? I wouldn't expect them to be favorable.
So you guys can start sending the fire sale offers. Everybody but Watson is available.
  #315  
Old 10-11-2019, 07:34 AM
Ellis Dee is offline
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I get it, having been there many years myself.

To your question about has anyone gone 1-4 and made the playoffs, I don't know but I'm interested in learning how to check, or if it's even possible. If it is, I'd kind of like to gather all of the historical matchup data for potential later use in my program. Not sure how I'd use it, but I'd like to have it.

Anyone know how to get previous season weekly matchup & score data?
  #316  
Old 10-11-2019, 08:18 AM
Really Not All That Bright is online now
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I've gone 7-0 to start the season and not made the playoffs, so there's that.
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  #317  
Old 10-11-2019, 12:43 PM
SenorBeef is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Overly Sentimental View Post
Would you guys be ok with me changing my lineup retroactively? I didn't get a chance to check, and I only ask because gallman was listed out before the game.
I'd appreciate it. Give me a chance to try to stay alive...
Normally I try to work with people in this way - maybe there was a big storm and they lost power for the day, or someone was a game time call and they have to work all day (although in this case their intent has to be declared beforehand) but in this case it's unusual in that he was out for a long time, so normally I'd be inclined to say no.

But... since it was a Thursday game and your potential replacements haven't played yet, and there's no strategic advantage to be gained by doing this, and Justin says he's fine with it, sure, I'll move him to the bench.
  #318  
Old 10-11-2019, 03:36 PM
Ellis Dee is offline
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I like the everyone-vs-everyone records this week, particularly season totals for potential. if everyone played perfectly: Hamlet has a twenty-one win lead over 2nd place (!!!), and then 4 teams tied for 2nd with another three teams within two. So for those seven teams with comparable potential, coaching is make or break. As I can personally attest, being dead last in season coaching grades.

I suppose the score total tables show the same thing, but it wouldn't have stood out to me as much.
  #319  
Old 10-13-2019, 01:06 PM
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I’m curious, did anyone else consider picking up the Redskins D/ST? I already had a pretty decent matchup with the Cowboys D/ST vs the Jets, but knowing how horrible the Dolphins are made the ‘Skins D/ST a must start this week.
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  #320  
Old 10-13-2019, 03:19 PM
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So, let’s see how this works out: I made sure to start Ridley and Sanu to counter the points that Ryan might put up against me.
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  #321  
Old 10-13-2019, 10:04 PM
dalej42 is offline
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The Amari Cooper injury ruined me today, I really thought I was on my to a win today. It’s funny, I’m kicking butt in my money league but losing today doesn’t make me feel good about that.
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  #322  
Old 10-14-2019, 09:35 AM
Really Not All That Bright is online now
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You're losing by 1 point less than Cooper's season average, so you were basically 50/50 to win even if he hadn't been injured.
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  #323  
Old Yesterday, 01:45 PM
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I honestly can't believe my luck through the first six games. Kyler Murray is just slinging it everywhere. Aaron Jones is putting up big numbers. Alshon Jeffery has come alive. And Austin Hooper has turned into a great TE.

It might all crash and burn next week, but I'm going to ride this streak for as long as I can.
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