Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 08-17-2018, 04:18 PM
SenorBeef is offline
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 28,271

SDMB Pick 'em and Survival Leagues 2018


Last year's thread

Sorry for the late start, slipped my mind.

Everyone is invited to play - it's not like fantasy football where you have head to head matchups every week, everyone plays against the whole league, so if you end up dropping out mid-season it's not a big deal. So try anything you want.

Pick 'em:
In NFL Pick 'em leagues, each player predicts the outcome of every NFL game. There are three different types, and we run all three. You can join any or all of them.

Straight up: You simply pick the winner of each game, and get a point if correct.

Spread: A spread is determined for a game (like with sports betting), where one team has a certain amount of points given to them, and you have to pick the game with that adjustment taken into account.

Confidence: The most complex one, but in my view also the most fun. There are no spreads, so you pick the winner straight up. But you get a confidence value you can assign to every game, 1 through the number of games being played that weekend, and can only use each number once. So if there are 16 games that weekend, you'll assign the confidence number 16 to the game where the outcome seems most clear to you, 15 for the next one, all the way down to 1 for the one you're least sure of. If you pick correctly, the confidence value of your pick is added to your weekly score. If you only play one league, I suggest the confidence league.

Survival:
Each player picks one team that has to win each week. If your picked team fails to win, you get a strike. You can only use each team once. Three strikes and you're out.

These leagues can hold up to 50 players each, so we're not really at risk for filling up, and you're competing against the whole league, not one other team per week like fantasy football, so it's not a big deal if you end up dropping out. I'd like for everyone to play all the way through the season, but it won't hurt anyone if you don't, so feel free to sign up if you're only a little interested. The more the merrier.

Pick 'em sign up

Password for all leagues is cecil. League numbers are:

Pick em: 17672
Spread Pick em: 17674
Confidence Pick 'em: 17676

And this link for the survival league.
  #2  
Old 08-19-2018, 09:02 AM
RollOutTheBarrel's Avatar
RollOutTheBarrel is online now
Member
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: California
Posts: 77
I signed up for the straight pick 'em league. Woot!
  #3  
Old 08-19-2018, 11:33 AM
dalej42 is offline
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Chicago
Posts: 14,539
I"m in as well. Are they still doing those stupid early morning London games? Those always screw up fantasy and pick em leagues.
  #4  
Old 08-28-2018, 05:17 PM
SenorBeef is offline
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 28,271
Looks like there are 3 London games in consecutive weeks in October. I always forget those too. Of course I have the option of not waiting until right before the games to make my picks. But more likely I'll just forget them again.

Last edited by SenorBeef; 08-28-2018 at 05:17 PM.
  #5  
Old 09-01-2018, 02:06 PM
SenorBeef is offline
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 28,271
Still open to recruits in all the leagues. They won't fill up, so don't worry about taking up a slot if you're not sure you'll be there every week - it won't hurt anything.
  #6  
Old 09-02-2018, 05:20 PM
asterion is online now
Just Some Guy
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Albuquerque, NM
Posts: 11,757
Thanks for setting this up yet again. I swear, one of these years I'm going to win. I can't coast on the one time they had Salary Cap forever.
  #7  
Old 09-04-2018, 11:55 AM
SenorBeef is offline
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 28,271
Get your Thursday picks in.
  #8  
Old 09-04-2018, 05:07 PM
Hal Briston is offline
Charter Member
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: A nice chunk o' NJ
Posts: 14,191
In for Pick 'Em and Survival!
__________________
Smart. Hip. Dipstick.
  #9  
Old 09-05-2018, 12:31 PM
dalej42 is offline
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Chicago
Posts: 14,539
FYI, I just used the Yahoo mobile app (iOS) for pick em. It seems much improved and much more user friendly than in the past.
__________________
Twitter:@Stardales IG:@Dalej42
  #10  
Old 09-06-2018, 11:37 AM
Oakminster is offline
Guest
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Surefall Glade, Antonica
Posts: 19,142
I'm in for Survival and Pick'Em.
__________________
"Yes, but that's because you're a wild human, not a tame human. The likes of you would have to be kept in a zoo, and the keepers would be very careful to never put their tentacles inside the bars"--Lemur866 describing Oak, 11/13/09
Molon labe--Leonidas I

Last edited by Oakminster; 09-06-2018 at 11:37 AM.
  #11  
Old 09-08-2018, 11:21 AM
SenorBeef is offline
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 28,271
Guess who reminded everyone about their Thursday picks and then forgot to get them in.

So... get your Sunday picks in.
  #12  
Old 09-13-2018, 05:15 PM
SenorBeef is offline
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 28,271
I won't hand out reminders like this all year, but just while we're getting in the habit... remember to pick the Thursday game and the tiebreakers.
  #13  
Old 09-17-2018, 12:37 PM
Oakminster is offline
Guest
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Surefall Glade, Antonica
Posts: 19,142
I'm off to an awesome 0-2 start in Survivor. What's this song stuck in my head now..."Hangman is coming down from the gallows and I don't have very long...." Yeah. That one.
Think I'm almost middle of the pack in Pick'em. There's a reason I don't gamble on sports. A good one. I suck at prognostication.
__________________
"Yes, but that's because you're a wild human, not a tame human. The likes of you would have to be kept in a zoo, and the keepers would be very careful to never put their tentacles inside the bars"--Lemur866 describing Oak, 11/13/09
Molon labe--Leonidas I
  #14  
Old 09-17-2018, 12:41 PM
dalej42 is offline
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Chicago
Posts: 14,539
Quote:
Originally Posted by Oakminster View Post
I'm off to an awesome 0-2 start in Survivor. What's this song stuck in my head now..."Hangman is coming down from the gallows and I don't have very long...." Yeah. That one.
Think I'm almost middle of the pack in Pick'em. There's a reason I don't gamble on sports. A good one. I suck at prognostication.
Its Renegade by Styx.

https://youtu.be/rkGQGz7dvTs
  #15  
Old 09-17-2018, 02:34 PM
Hi, Neighbor!'s Avatar
Hi, Neighbor! is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2001
Location: PA
Posts: 1,132
Just pick anyone playing the Bills this year. Like what everyone did with the Browns last year.
  #16  
Old 09-18-2018, 09:44 AM
Fear the Turtle is online now
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: SoCal High Desert
Posts: 817
I have a new technique for the Pick'em Spread League: I do all the research and analysis as usual, then pick all the games. Then just before kickoff, I flip all my picks to the other team. I call this the George Costanza method (if every instinct I have is wrong...) and it worked to perfection in week 2. If only I had used it in week 1 also, I'd be crushing everyone.
  #17  
Old 09-19-2018, 01:01 PM
Oakminster is offline
Guest
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Surefall Glade, Antonica
Posts: 19,142
Quote:
Originally Posted by Oakminster View Post
Think I'm almost middle of the pack in Pick'em.
Nope...wrong there, too. I'm not quite last, but might as well be.
__________________
"Yes, but that's because you're a wild human, not a tame human. The likes of you would have to be kept in a zoo, and the keepers would be very careful to never put their tentacles inside the bars"--Lemur866 describing Oak, 11/13/09
Molon labe--Leonidas I
  #18  
Old 09-20-2018, 09:08 AM
asterion is online now
Just Some Guy
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Albuquerque, NM
Posts: 11,757
Is this the week I take the Browns in survival? It just might be.
  #19  
Old 09-20-2018, 02:38 PM
SenorBeef is offline
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 28,271
You would get a special mention for ballsiest pick.

Or are you trying to get me to do it to match you and then embarass me?

Hmm!
  #20  
Old 09-20-2018, 06:18 PM
asterion is online now
Just Some Guy
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Albuquerque, NM
Posts: 11,757
They're playing the Jets at home on a short week. I think they've actually got a chance, so I actually did pick them. It's a calculated risk.
  #21  
Old 09-20-2018, 10:34 PM
asterion is online now
Just Some Guy
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Albuquerque, NM
Posts: 11,757
So, did you take your Browns in survival too?

Damn it, the pick change didn't save. Well, don't I look stupid. I swear, I really thought I changed it.

Last edited by asterion; 09-20-2018 at 10:36 PM.
  #22  
Old 09-23-2018, 09:28 AM
SenorBeef is offline
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 28,271
Unfortunately I was too cowardly. I know I get overly optimistic about the Browns when it comes to pick 'em and survival so I try to offset it a little bit by deliberately leaning against picking them.

Looks like this week everyone is investing in Minnesota. If there's an upside there about 2/3rds of everyone get a strike.
  #23  
Old 09-23-2018, 12:29 PM
SenorBeef is offline
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 28,271
It's very rare that 60%+ of the yahoo user base picks one team in survival, but that's what happened with Minnesota today. Who are currently getting their ass kicked.

I have confidence the Buffalo can still blow it, but it's looking bad for a lot of us.
  #24  
Old 09-23-2018, 07:02 PM
garygnu is offline
Guest
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Port Orchard, WA
Posts: 11,482
That was as much of a bloodbath as I suspected when I saw the halftime score. I picked the Bears to beat the pathetic Cardinals because I was 'saving' the Vikes for later in the season. (And it took a comeback from down two touchdowns to do it.)
__________________
o
  #25  
Old 09-24-2018, 07:06 AM
Hi, Neighbor!'s Avatar
Hi, Neighbor! is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2001
Location: PA
Posts: 1,132
It was a massacre! I had already used the Vikings in week 1 but figured my Jacksonville over Tennessee pick was solid. Nope! Upset city yesterday.
  #26  
Old 09-24-2018, 01:01 PM
Oakminster is offline
Guest
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Surefall Glade, Antonica
Posts: 19,142
And I'm out. In Week 3. Worse, I think this is the second time I've achieved this inglorious feat.
__________________
"Yes, but that's because you're a wild human, not a tame human. The likes of you would have to be kept in a zoo, and the keepers would be very careful to never put their tentacles inside the bars"--Lemur866 describing Oak, 11/13/09
Molon labe--Leonidas I
  #27  
Old 09-30-2018, 08:01 PM
MadTheSwine is offline
Guest
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Michigan
Posts: 4,053
thread game
  #28  
Old 10-08-2018, 10:12 PM
garygnu is offline
Guest
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Port Orchard, WA
Posts: 11,482
I picked the Redskins over the Saints? WTF did I do that?
__________________
o
  #29  
Old 10-09-2018, 11:09 AM
borschevsky is online now
Guest
 
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: Canada
Posts: 2,119
How can I be second in the confidence league and dead last in spread?
  #30  
Old 10-24-2018, 12:52 AM
SenorBeef is offline
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 28,271
What the hell. Before the Thursday night game last week, I picked Indy as my survival team. Then again when I checked Sunday morning, I double checked that I had made a selection. Now yahoo is saying I didn't pick anyone. That's really damn annoying.

I'm doing pretty well in pick 'em this year, in the top 3 for all leagues.
  #31  
Old 11-11-2018, 05:46 PM
SenorBeef is offline
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 28,271
Our last perfect survivor, BigDadWolf, got a strike today with the Jets over the Bills.
  #32  
Old 11-19-2018, 06:10 AM
SenorBeef is offline
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 28,271
Ugly day in survival, 5 strikes and 3 eliminations - myself, Isotopes, and Bor!

I'm still butthurt that my week 7 winning entry of Indianapolis wasn't saved properly, because I only really should have 2 strikes. Oh well, I'll probably play along unofficially until I get my third real strike.
  #33  
Old 11-25-2018, 11:55 AM
SenorBeef is offline
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 28,271
My make believe playalong pick due to having an erroneous extra strike is New England this week.
  #34  
Old 11-25-2018, 01:59 PM
SenorBeef is offline
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 28,271
Props to Mike's Shitty Set, who actually picked the Browns in survival this week along with 0.06% of the rest of the survivors. That's gotta be the lowest percentage winning pick we've had.
  #35  
Old 11-25-2018, 10:29 PM
Hi, Neighbor!'s Avatar
Hi, Neighbor! is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2001
Location: PA
Posts: 1,132
Definitely bold! Mainly because I'm running out of good teams. And last week I went with Indianapolis over Tennessee which had just a 0.34% pick share. Outdid myself this week, though.
  #36  
Old 12-02-2018, 03:14 AM
SenorBeef is offline
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 28,271
My playalong pick this week would be Seattle.
  #37  
Old 12-09-2018, 11:20 AM
SenorBeef is offline
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 28,271
Playalong pick this week is Pittsburgh.
  #38  
Old 12-09-2018, 06:46 PM
asterion is online now
Just Some Guy
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Albuquerque, NM
Posts: 11,757
Man, two really bad weeks in a row.
  #39  
Old 12-09-2018, 07:12 PM
garygnu is offline
Guest
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Port Orchard, WA
Posts: 11,482
Did I just "win" Survival?
__________________
o
  #40  
Old 12-09-2018, 09:41 PM
SenorBeef is offline
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 28,271
You did. Congratulations. I'll post an order of standings overall later.
  #41  
Old 12-10-2018, 06:35 PM
BigDadWolf is offline
Guest
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Texas
Posts: 249
Quote:
Originally Posted by garygnu View Post
Did I just "win" Survival?
Congrats. The last few weeks were crazy unpredictable.
  #42  
Old 12-11-2018, 01:28 PM
garygnu is offline
Guest
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Port Orchard, WA
Posts: 11,482
I got lucky with my remaining available teams. I probably would have picked the Steelers over the Raiders this last week. Instead I picked a bad team over a terrible team.
__________________
o
  #43  
Old 12-30-2018, 03:00 PM
SenorBeef is offline
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 28,271
I didn't bother to look closely at who had a reason to play week 17 and who didn't, which lead to all sorts of bad choices in pick 'em today.
  #44  
Old 01-05-2019, 05:59 PM
SenorBeef is offline
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 28,271
Reminder: We still pick through the playoffs.

I tried to copy and paste the results through the regular season, but despite trying a few different ways to copy and paste I can't get the damn formatting to work right, even in a code box, so I'll just figure it out later at the end of the playoffs with the final scores.
  #45  
Old 02-06-2019, 08:49 PM
BigDadWolf is offline
Guest
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Texas
Posts: 249
So Jahiegel won the confidence league and I'm pretty sure more or less led throughout the season. Well played and congratulations.
  #46  
Old 09-01-2019, 04:25 PM
SenorBeef is offline
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 28,271
2019 leagues are up. Sorry I'm way late, it totally slipped my mind until Asterion reminded me.
  #47  
Old 09-01-2019, 08:08 PM
asterion is online now
Just Some Guy
Charter Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Albuquerque, NM
Posts: 11,757
Quote:
Originally Posted by SenorBeef View Post
2019 leagues are up. Sorry I'm way late, it totally slipped my mind until Asterion reminded me.
I honestly couldn't remember who normally set them up. The only reason I mentioned it in one of the fantasy threads was that it wasn't very long and seemed better than starting a thread just to ask.
Reply

Bookmarks

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is Off
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:32 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.7
Copyright ©2000 - 2019, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.

Send questions for Cecil Adams to: cecil@straightdope.com

Send comments about this website to: webmaster@straightdope.com

Terms of Use / Privacy Policy

Advertise on the Straight Dope!
(Your direct line to thousands of the smartest, hippest people on the planet, plus a few total dipsticks.)

Copyright 2019 STM Reader, LLC.

 
Copyright © 2017