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Old 12-15-2019, 03:16 PM
Wesley Clark is offline
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Democrat Jaime Harrison within 2 point margin of Lindsay Graham in SC Senate poll (47-45)


https://www.newsweek.com/lindsey-gra...n-poll-1477336

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Graham, who was first elected to the U.S. Senate in 2002, is clinging to a 2-percentage point lead over Harrison, 47 to 45 percent, with nearly 10 percent of voters surveyed still remaining undecided about their 2020 vote.
This is good news. if both McConnell and Graham lose their elections in 2020 to McGrath and Harrison respectively (not likely, but a boy can dream), that would be a wonderful thing.
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Old 12-15-2019, 03:32 PM
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Hate Lindsey, but he will win easily. ‘He’s an asshole but he’s our asshole.’ Same thing for McConnell.

There’s an R next to his name and it’s South Carolina.
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Old 12-15-2019, 03:35 PM
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I think he'll probably win, but if it means Republicans are having to divert resources to his campaign, that's better for other races. Anyone feel like looking up the margins of victory in SC senate races over the last few cycles?
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Old 12-15-2019, 03:52 PM
Wesley Clark is offline
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2014 - 55 to 39
2008 - 57 to 42

2016 - 60 to 37
2014 - 61 to 37


So yeah, the democrats normally lose by gigantic margins.
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Old 12-15-2019, 04:50 PM
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Graham could worship Satan and marry a man and still win. Same is pretty much true for anybody with an R next to their name in the South. I guess Roy Moore proved chasing teenage girls when you are an adult is rare case of being over the line.

Last edited by Bijou Drains; 12-15-2019 at 04:52 PM.
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Old 12-15-2019, 05:02 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bijou Drains View Post
Graham could worship Satan and marry a man and still win. Same is pretty much true for anybody with an R next to their name in the South. I guess Roy Moore proved chasing teenage girls when you are an adult is rare case of being over the line.
This is actually the truth. Graham (or Trump) could BBQ my mom’s grandson on a spit right in front of her and she’d still push the R button in SC.
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Last edited by dalej42; 12-15-2019 at 05:02 PM.
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Old 12-15-2019, 06:08 PM
Wesley Clark is offline
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I'm not denying that there is a base that has no morals other than tribalism and identity politics, and they make up 20-40% of the electorate.

But in a perfect storm, its possible for a democrat to win senate races in the south.

Nonetheless the fact that a black democrat is within 2 points of Graham is a good sign.
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Last edited by Wesley Clark; 12-15-2019 at 06:10 PM.
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Old 12-15-2019, 09:25 PM
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I'm here on the ground in South Carolina. Along with the others, me and my resistance group will be working on Harrison's campaign.

Is it a heavy lift? Yep, sure is. But it's the best chance we've had in a long time. If we don't go to bat now, we never will.

It'll come down to two things, really.

First, GOTV. Can Harrison forge an effective coalition of white lefties and the black vote?

Second, POTUS. Does the Democratic presidential candidate have coattails here in South Carolina?

That last is a heavy lift. South Carolina's voting tendency is very inelastic. There are not a lot of undecided voters and if they vote for one party for president they vote for that same party downballot. If the POTUS candidate does flip some voters, though, it'll mean more votes for Harrison.
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Old 12-15-2019, 09:56 PM
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Thank you for volunteering like that. I may volunteer for one of the districts in my state that may go blue due to all the suburbs becoming purple.
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Old 12-15-2019, 10:34 PM
Jonathan Chance is offline
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I'd certainly encourage you to do so. I find it rewarding and I get to meet similarly-minded people here in Charleston.

We've worked on campaigns around the country as well as local ones. We worked on Joe Cunningham's campaign as well as sending notes and cards to democrats in Alabama as a GOTV effort in Alabama. I bet we do that next year, too.
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