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#101
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The GND needs to explicitly endorse nuclear energy, and make it clear that solar and wind and geothermal will not scale up to meet the world's energy needs in the 21st century. If it doesn't do that, it isn't worth anything. If Bernie and AOC think it can be scaled up, in ten years, to meet 100% of the energy needs of the US, then they haven't changed their position. Quote:
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They put forth a resolution to see who will support it in principle. McConnell calls for a floor vote to see who will support it in principle. "NO FAIR!!!!" ![]() Regards, Shodan |
#102
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I may point out that interstates cost 7 to 11 million a mile, assuming you are not talking about mountainous terrain. |
#103
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Some might say that the California cost is inflated because of the mountains but the land cost in the east coast would likely be much higher because the population density in the east coast is much higher. High speed rail would need to purchase land in the most expensive part of the country or go underground in an area where tunnel diggers make over $100 per hour. I think a better estimate of the NYC to LA line would be at least a trillion dollars. |
#104
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#105
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Better would be to first focus only on the heavily populated Northeast for high speed rail. A big problem there is that Amtrak doesn't control the tracks it uses.
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Does your circle find Senator James Inhofe amusing? He's been in Congress for over 30 years and knows less about climate change than a 5th-grader. How about Congressman Mo Brooks? The list goes on and on. Far from laughter, I think your circles are breathing a sigh of relief that there may be one young D who's almost as ignorant as a majority of R's. Aren't you afraid though, that in a few years she'll be a bit smarter and the R's will be even more ignorant than they already are? |
#106
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The most recent estimate for this project that I see claims 82 per mile, do you have a more recent cite? Quote:
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#107
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People will not tolerate those kind of fuel price increases over short periods. They just won't. The GND is not happening. Not in it's current form. |
#108
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QFT.
This "argument" keeps appearing on this message board. First about the minimum wage--paraphrasing, if people talk about making only the minimum wage, they really mean making more than the minimum wage. Now it's some politicians' positions regarding nuclear power. They didn't really mean it. BS, indeed. |
#109
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#110
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Inhofe and Brooks are either ignorant or pretending to be ignorant about global warming because it is in their political best interests to be. Neither would be so ignorant as to propose a solution to the problem they claim to be the most important in the world that not only has no chance of passing but makes the issue harder to solve because it poisons the well and makes convincing skeptics harder. I don't agree with Pelosi on just about anything but at least she is politically savvy enough to drop the GND like a hot rock. |
#111
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#112
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The latest cost estimate for the Bakersfield to Merced high speed rail is 89 million per mile. That is the best case scenario for costs. That is a flat route that goes through mostly empty land. The problem with new rail is that it can either be useful or easy to build. NYC to LA would be useful but it would pass through three mountain ranges, and New Jersey the most densely populated state. In 2012 Amtrak estimated that building high speed rail from DC to Boston would cost 345 million per mile. That plan was dropped because residents in the areas that the train would go through objected. |
#113
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Your post would seem to indicate you don't know the difference between a bill and a simple resolution.
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#114
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Do those of you advocating for high speed rail have any idea how 'green' it atually is? Why do you want it? Given the crazy high expense of the things and their inflexibility, just what is so appealing?
Amtrak, for example, uses about 2700 BTU of energy per passenger mile. A Toyota Prius uses about 1700 BTU per passenger mile. Jet aircraft travel is about 3300, so not even that much more than Amtrak. And Amtrak is a pretty busy train. Put a train out in the midwest somewhere where it's getting 50% passenger loads, and it will be a disaster for the environment. Make it go 200 MPH, and it will cost even more in energy. Furthermore, cars are still gaining in energy efficiency every year, and it looks to me like electric vehicles are about ready for prime time and will start making big sales increases over the next decade. It's entirely possible that in the 20-30 years it would take to build a high speed rail link across the country, cars will completely surpass trains in efficiency. Add in self-driving, 'car trains' and other ways to make car transport even more efficient, and it could be that in 20 years passenger trains will be the bad guys that need to be destroyed to save the planet. Then there's the lesson of California, which is that new rail lines are a cornucopia of graft, as land has to be purchased or taken, cities rise and fall based on whether the train stops there or not, etc. California's high speed rail project was a complete boondoggle, and the end result after 11 years and billions of dollars spent is that the train will now only run between Merced and Bakersfield. And the ticket prices will be so high that the train will need to be subsidized or risk not having anyone ride it, since you can fly from San Fransisco to LA for $149. No one is going to pay $150 for a train ticket from Merced to Bakersfield. Wow, what a huge gain for the state. And if it had continued, the project was recently estimated to not be finished until 2033, fully 25 years after it was approved, and about TWICE the time originally estimated. And most experts thought it would never be done in that time frame, either. And just one little part of the Green New Deal was to crisscross the country with so many high speed rail lines that domestic air travel could be eliminated. And to do it in ten years, while also refurbishing every building in America and completely rebuilding the energy infrastructure with wind and solar. The high speed rail project alone would cost trillions of dollars, disrupt commerce everywhere, require 20 hour trips across the country, and in the end might save you 10% in energy over the current auto fleet (and likely be actually be less energy efficient than the auto fleet by the time it's finished). Is there anyone in the Democratic party who can do math? Because clearly AOC with her economics degree cannot. |
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#115
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AOC has been a Representative for one month. Senator James Inhofe has served in Congress for over 30 years and served as Chairman (yes, Chairman with a C) of the U.S. Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works — yet he doesn't know as much about climate change as a 5th-grader. Some GOP Congressmen are even stupider than him. Can you point to the SDMB posts you've made complaining about Senator Inhofe?
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#116
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__________________
-XT That's what happens when you let rednecks play with anti-matter! |
#117
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This is one of the reasons you don't as many responses from me as you'd like - I know you aren't arguing in good faith, but continually looking for 'gotcha' moments you can use to attack me personally. Stop with the ad-hominem bullshit and debate the actual issues. For the record, James Inhofe is a moron. The stuff he says about climate change is ignorant prattle. And Trump is no better. But the Republicans have yet to put out something as jaw-droppingly stupid as the Green New Deal, and yet Democrats rushed to sign onto it, including most or all of the current crew running for President. Now, I'm guessing that a bunch of them just hopped on the bandwagon without bothering to read what's in it, but that doesn't absolve AOC or Sen Markey who co-sponsored it. The other difference is that AOC and her crew are actually proposing legislation on issues they clearly have no freaking clue about. There are lots of stupid people in Congress, but most of them know when to lay low when they don't have facts or talking points. When Inhofe comes forward with a serious proposal to build an Ark or to build a bridge to Hawaii or something else as stupid as the Green New Deal, I'll be happily mocking him. |
#118
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I actually do agree with you to some extent, Sam ! I'm no expert on transportation, but massive investment in rail lines through areas of low population seems likely to be a poor idea. I do hope there will be some mechanism for perfecting these progressive plans before serious legislation is proposed. (This is why McConnells' move to force an immediate vote without amendments or hearings is just despicable politics.)
But give some credit to the young progressive people who have suddenly found their voice! Those who've been paying attention understand that the other Party is now completely dominated by criminals, liars and kleptocrats. The political battles in the U.S.A. are now often literally between Good and Evil. When people say "I also oppose Evil; let me help you improve your ideas for Good," we listen and applaud. However when we sense that the goal is just to find something to deprecate, in a hope to improve the electoral chances of the criminals, liars, hypocrites and kleptocrats, we aren't so happy. The dollar figures bandied about for a progressive program may seem large. But let us not forget that Cheney and the Warmongers wasted Two Trillion dollars on their Iraqi adventure — an adventure so stupid that the money would have been better spent breaking two trillion dollars worth of windows and then repairing them! Now, when debt was already soaring while the economy was booming, the kleptocrats execute a massive tax cut for the rich. Deficits of One Trillion dollars annually or more are projected for the foreseeable future. This massive debt severely impacts the future of today's youth (and, not by coincidence, makes it all the more difficult for expensive progressive programs to work). Trillion dollar deficits! With a T. I know you're on record, Sam, as stating that a trillion dollars is "chump change", a "rounding error'" but I daresay that's a minority view. Trillions of dollars wasted or stolen by criminals like Trump and the despicable Party which supports him. But AOC is where you direct your attention? Where you assign blame? ![]() Which side are you on? |
#119
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Of course, it's not despicable politics to put forth a dramatic resolution, the main purpose of which seems to be to garner media attention and allow for an orgy of virtue signaling. |
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#120
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Do you -- all of you -- understand that arguing the cost of specific elements of a utopian set of goals makes as much sense as arguing about the cost of implementing the Futurist Manifesto?
Yes, the GND in its entirety is unrealistic. So was the Civil Rights movement in 1954. It's been 60 years and that's still going on. I don't know how much it cost, but I think the price was worth the benefits. BTW, the same people who are screaming about the GND are the people who screamed about civil rights. They were wrong then and you are wrong now. I admit that conservatives won out against civil rights a lot of the time. You're probably very proud of that. But my guess is that we've learned some lessons from that and we'll make it much harder for you this time. |
#121
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__________________
-XT That's what happens when you let rednecks play with anti-matter! |
#122
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#123
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So, goals we can't achieve, at a cost we can't determine. And we have to sign on, or we are against civil rights or something. Do you recognize, at all, how that sounds to someone other than a True Believer?
Regards, Shodan |
#124
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I just read Gail Collins' latest column in the N.Y. Times. It contains an amazing example of Republican hyperbole.
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#125
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Now here's a mere feel-good resolution - not a law, or even a proposed bill - that finally steps up and says that we can tackle the current problems and looming crisis. Something whose possible solutions and ameliorations, may I remind you, conservatives have been actively retarding and voting down for decades. And your response is to basically call anyone in favor of making a better future an enemy of the country. Nope. Not this time. This time we're going to switch it around and call conservatives the enemy of the country, as they are and have been since forever. You don't like being reminded you're the same people who tried to crush civil rights? Well, maybe that will help you to think straight about what you're opposing now, which is as big and important and overdue as civil rights was. |
#126
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I like being reminded of it because it shows that I am powerful enough to affect things even before I was born. |
#127
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At first she tried to claim it was a nefarious Republican hack that changed the text. When the evidence showed that wasn't the case, she fell back on, 'it was an old draft'. Now it's just an 'accident'. In fact, what likely happened is that she sent out exactly what she intended to, and it only became an 'accident' after she was blindsided by the response to it. I find it hard to trust someone to coordinate the economy when they can't even coordinate a campaign mailer. |
#128
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The point is, nobody cares about your sympathy or lack of it. This isn't about conservatives at all - it is about the garbage AOC and her compatriots think is a valid response to AGW.
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Good luck with that. Regards, Shodan |
#129
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I think conservatives lost all credibility to scorn feel-good tactics many years ago. I, along with many others, have been saying for years that we should adopt some of these tactics. People do want to feel good. They want to hear that the future will be better. And they don't really care about the fine details. Well, now it's happening. You don't care about views on conservatives? So what? They're not aimed at you but to remind progressives that conservatives have written themselves out of the conversation. My aim in post #120 was not to blast conservative posters but to remind the progressive posters that arguing with conservatives is a lost cause. The GND resolution is particularly silly to defend in terms of dollars and cents because the actual projects that will be building blocks will be tiny and limited in the beginning. We'll find out what works and what doesn't and adjust appropriately. All that matters is doing something rather than letting conservatives drag us backward to doom. Conservatives have spent decades refusing to discuss the future. They realized they got more votes by spreading fear about the present. And they know the demographic clock is ticking, ultimately dooming them to minority status, so they don't want to think about the future in the first place. And most of all, conservatives don't want to be confronted with the realization that progressives have finally grown a spine and are standing up and willing to do whatever it takes to move the country to a saner future. The only thing people should be hearing from progressives for the next two years is "we have a plan for a better future" and "jobs, jobs, jobs." Here's a slogan for you: "Tax the wealthy: Life will be better and the conservatives will pay for it!" |
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#130
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I guess you don't get high then, as this was a major fail IMHO. I seriously don't know what you were thinking. I was going to go with a more heated response, but you are one of the posters I usually read as thoughtful and insightful, so I'm going to chalk this up to an anomaly and move on. I hope you do as well and you don't try in the future to use that sort of ridiculous strawman association to make your non-point. There are so many GOOD points, like the one you made earlier you could use that you don't need to resort to that sort of horseshit. YMMV of course.
__________________
-XT That's what happens when you let rednecks play with anti-matter! |
#131
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And where has thoughtfulness and insight ever gotten me, or the progressives? It's Trump style for now on. Except we're substituting hope for fear. And that makes all the difference. |
#132
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AOC ... AOC ... AOC. The President is a criminal jackass who has surrounded himself with sycophants and other criminals. Ross, Chief Criminal of the Commerce Dept., who has used his position in illegal trading, is, as recently posted here, alleged by a federal judge to be trying to subvert the upcoming census. Even the very post you quoted mentioned Gopster Cotton's spouting of “complicit in the Stalin-like or 1984 technique of disappearing it, sending it down the memory hole.” But no mention of Cotton's absurd spoutings. No mention of criminals like Wilbur Ross who are turning the U.S.A. into a banana republic. All we want to talk about is .... AOC. Got it. |
#133
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If the GND is a stupid idea, it does not become less stupid no matter what you think Trump did. Even if you get your wish, and Trump is dragged off in handcuffs and sent to Gitmo, solar and wind will not scale up to meet the needs of the world economy. High speed rail does not become economically viable when a Republican goes to prison. "Trump is bad" is not evidence that the GND is anything more than a fantasy. :shrugs: At least, if the word comes to an end in twelve years, we will have a definite end to the Mueller investigation. I'm not sure anything else will do it. Regards, Shodan |
#134
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This is a stupid and incorrect statement The solar and wind production are indeed on the way to scale up to meet the needs of the world economy - not solo but that is not the fundamental question, but certainly on the market basis competing with and replacing the hydrocarbon generation of the electricty and in specific industrial power provision (thus the heavy capital investment of many cement producers in new production facilities in the wind plants to go with the cement production.) It is not disagreed that the GND sketch as it is described in the press is a stupid idea, but that does not make the bolded statement less incorrect and stupid itself as asserted like that. |
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#135
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No, it isn't stupid or incorrect. The GND wants to convert 100% to "alternative" in ten years. "Alternative" will not scale up to meet 100%, or anywhere close. Wind and solar will be niche technologies, as in your example of a cement company building a wind farm.
Regards, Shodan |
#136
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One more time. That's the official position of the Republican Party on everything. And it worked.
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#137
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Alternative is rapidly scaling up to be within reach of 70% of the new installation of electric generation and absolutely is scaling up with actual current unsubsidized capital investment (although less so in the USA land trapped in its 1950s nostalgie moment). While it is not 100% of the energy generation, it is very beyond "niche technologies", a statement dragged from 1995 it would seems. The major ciment company examples (as in the investment plans of Lafarge Holcim, with the gigawatts of the direct energy consumption for the production the ciment (among the most energy intenstive industrial processes )) is the example of the Renewable penetrating on the own-capital investment for non electrict energy generation usages. But what is Lafarge Holcim, just some niche little foreign company with some small 20 billions of revenue... anyway they speak funny languages. But of course this is only the view point of the global capital investors, not the American conservatives bolsheviks stuck in their 1950s view of the world. Continue as they want, it is how it was built the USA global car company success, the inwards looking 1950s view of the evolution of the economies. Disdain, Ramira Last edited by Ramira; 02-15-2019 at 11:56 AM. |
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