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Old 03-26-2020, 10:22 PM
Settimo is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2017
Posts: 78

Estimating the percentage of contagious people walking around


Anyone have any ideas (or cites) for estimating the actual number (a/o %) of contagious people walking around in a given region (that is, those not yet isolating themselves, but out and about)? They would have built up a sufficient viral load to be infectious, and not yet be symptomatic, or symptomatic but not yet removed from circulation, or "asymptomatic"? This seems like it would be a pretty useful number (and for those in the US, estimates like it may part of the county-by-county plan announced by White House today).
 

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