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Old 02-25-2020, 12:34 PM
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I predict that Bernie Sanders will win the 2020 US Presidential election


Not much more to say; IMO Bernie's gonna win. I'll predict at least a 4% spread, too, but I think it'll be likely more than that.
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Old 02-25-2020, 12:37 PM
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Gotta get there first, eh, Bo?
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Old 02-25-2020, 12:46 PM
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Being that starting a thread about it is a bold statement indeed, I will not try and pretend that I got there first. But I too believe Bernie will win, assuming he gets the nomination, a step I am not 100% prepared to believe will happen as of now.
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Old 02-25-2020, 01:00 PM
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Do I have to start a new thread saying I predict he will lose or do I just post it here?
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Old 02-25-2020, 01:01 PM
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I like the optimism!
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Old 02-25-2020, 01:01 PM
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And I hereby predict that Sanders will not win the election. In fact, if he is the Dem nominee, I predict Trump wins another term.
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Old 02-25-2020, 01:05 PM
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Well, gee, with a 4% spread there’s no need for me to bother voting. Confidently predicting who will win is what got us Trump in the first place.
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Old 02-25-2020, 01:09 PM
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It's the most economical prediction. The D's are favored to beat the R's, and Sanders is the leading (D), ergo, Sanders is favored to win the presidency.
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Old 02-25-2020, 01:12 PM
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I can comfortably predict that whoever is the nominee for the Democratic Party will win in my state. Now I just have to find someone who will take the bet....
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Old 02-25-2020, 01:13 PM
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He could win by 4% and still lose the electoral college. Which is actually what I think will happen.
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Old 02-25-2020, 01:14 PM
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I've gone on record with my prediction:

Quote:
Hillary Clinton got three million votes more than Donald Trump got in 2016 and lost in the EC vote. I predict that Sanders will get at least three million votes less than Donald Trump and will get fewer EC votes than Clinton got.

I'm not happy about this. I really don't want to see four more years of Trump as President.
  #12  
Old 02-25-2020, 01:19 PM
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I predict that Bloomberg will run the best funded third party campain since Perot, and Trump will win with < 40% of the vote. My predictions are always wrong, but if I'm right it will be dead impressive.
  #13  
Old 02-25-2020, 01:39 PM
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Bernie Sanders would have beaten Trump in 2016. He will be the nominee this year. He will beat him in this election.
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Old 02-25-2020, 01:59 PM
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The only way Sanders has a chance is if Putin releases the pee-pee tapes; it still wouldn't be a sure thing. But, as much as Putin would love the chaos of a Sanders Presidency, he'd prefer to get another 4 years of blackmailing his Orange Puppet.

What are the rules here? If I become a paid-up Member will I be allowed to solicit bets in Marketplace?
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Old 02-25-2020, 02:05 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blindboyard View Post
I predict that Bloomberg will run the best funded third party campain since Perot, and Trump will win with < 40% of the vote. My predictions are always wrong, but if I'm right it will be dead impressive.
I agree with you. Your predictions are wrong.

My feelings are that Bloomberg is sincere. He believes the most important thing is to beat Trump. He believes he is the best one to do it but he knows he won’t be able to as a 3rd party candidate. If he did he wouldn’t have tried to get the Democratic nomination. He would have gone in as a third party nominee from the beginning
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Old 02-25-2020, 02:07 PM
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Boy, I hate to rain on this parade but this article has me worried.

Quote:
We found that nominating Sanders would drive many Americans who would otherwise vote for a moderate Democrat to vote for Trump, especially otherwise Trump-skeptical Republicans. Republicans are more likely to say they would vote for Trump if Sanders is nominated: Approximately 2 percent of Republicans choose Trump over Sanders, but desert Trump when we pit him against a more moderate Democrat like Buttigieg, Biden, or Bloomberg.

Sanders’s electability case requires this 11 percentage point turnout increase among young voters in 2020 to occur on top of any turnout increase that would otherwise occur if another Democrat were nominated.
I feel like Republicans did in 2016 when they saw the nomination going to someone they didn't think could win. But then again, DJT didn't have a socialist label attached to him.
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Old 02-25-2020, 02:11 PM
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On this planet?
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Old 02-25-2020, 02:14 PM
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Do I have to start a new thread saying I predict he will lose or do I just post it here?
No shit. There's another thread at the very top of the forum specifically titled "Do you believe that Bernie will beat Trump?"

Last edited by CarnalK; 02-25-2020 at 02:15 PM.
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Old 02-25-2020, 02:31 PM
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Bernie Sanders would have beaten Trump in 2016. He will be the nominee this year. He will beat him in this election.
I think you’re wrong on both accounts
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Old 02-25-2020, 02:35 PM
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I think you’re wrong on both accounts
There are three.
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Old 02-25-2020, 02:53 PM
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LOL!
  #22  
Old 02-25-2020, 03:31 PM
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There are three.
The third one will happen. Even without the second.

Last edited by drad dog; 02-25-2020 at 03:31 PM.
  #23  
Old 02-25-2020, 05:04 PM
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I predict that Bloomberg will run the best funded third party campain since Perot
I don't think so. Bloomberg must know that third party campaigns always lose. And I don't think he has the ego to think he will be the exception or that he needs to validate himself just by running. Plus, he's made getting Trump out of office a central issue of his campaign and he would have to reverse everything he's said and done if he ran as an independent.
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Old 02-25-2020, 05:45 PM
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I like the call, but there are still too many unknown unknowns. Chief among them is the coronavirus outbreak. The stock market is down two days in a row now. IMHO there’s a fair chance that we could be looking at the beginning of a recession triggered by the outbreak. That would seem to favor Bernie. But if we do end up with a true pandemic what happens if Bernie himself catches the damn thing? His health in general is another concern. He needs to name a running mate as soon as it becomes clear he is likely to win the nomination to help calm people’s nerves.
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Old 02-25-2020, 06:14 PM
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No he won't win. He will get coronavirus.

Just kidding.

Anyone else look forward to debates between bernie and trump?
  #26  
Old 02-25-2020, 06:20 PM
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No he won't win. He will get coronavirus.
Or we all will and the ten immune people will just pick lots to see who is leader.
  #27  
Old 02-25-2020, 06:49 PM
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No he won't win. He will get coronavirus.

Just kidding.

Anyone else look forward to debates between bernie and trump?
Debates? Individual 1 will refuse debates no matter the nominee, then claim that it was the opponent who was afraid to debate them.
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Old 02-25-2020, 07:12 PM
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Sanders is paying $3.60. Pretty sweet if you wanna plonk something down.
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Old 02-25-2020, 07:34 PM
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Debates? Individual 1 will refuse debates no matter the nominee, then claim that it was the opponent who was afraid to debate them.
OK if that happens I will have had enough. I'm writing a letter to the times.

Seriously what happens when or it treonp refuses to debate? Is there a thread about it already? There should be.
  #30  
Old 02-25-2020, 07:58 PM
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OK if that happens I will have had enough. I'm writing a letter to the times.
Now let's not be rash...

Quote:
Seriously what happens when or it treonp refuses to debate?
Same as when he refused to show his taxes.
  #31  
Old 02-25-2020, 10:49 PM
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Seriously what happens when or it treonp refuses to debate? Is there a thread about it already? There should be.
My prediction: If Trump decides a debate will not help him, he will refuse. And then he will loudly claim that he wanted to debate and would have, of course, won easily. But the organization conducting the debates was trying to impose unfair rules on him because they're part of the liberal conspiracy that wants him to fail. And he refused to endorse their unfair rules with honoring their debate with his presence.
  #32  
Old 02-25-2020, 10:51 PM
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Bernie Sanders would have beaten Trump in 2016. He will be the nominee this year. He will beat him in this election.
I agree that Sanders will be the nominee this year.
  #33  
Old 02-26-2020, 12:19 AM
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If he is nominated, I will vote for him. I would not bet on his victory however.
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  #34  
Old 02-26-2020, 12:23 AM
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My prediction: If Trump decides a debate will not help him, he will refuse. And then he will loudly claim that he wanted to debate and would have, of course, won easily. But the organization conducting the debates was trying to impose unfair rules on him because they're part of the liberal conspiracy that wants him to fail. And he refused to endorse their unfair rules with honoring their debate with his presence.
In an uncontested dictatorship that could happen.
  #35  
Old 02-26-2020, 12:35 AM
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No he won't win. He will get coronavirus.

Just kidding.

Anyone else look forward to debates between bernie and trump?
There won't be any. Trump will never agree to debate Sanders.
  #36  
Old 02-26-2020, 12:46 AM
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In an uncontested dictatorship that could happen.
What? Trump will lie? Trump will blame other people for his faults? Trump will accuse people of conspiring against him?

I think we're already living in that world.
  #37  
Old 02-26-2020, 01:13 AM
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I predict that Bo will subsequently make the opposite prediction, a few months from now. I further predict that when the election results are finalized, he will refer back to whichever prediction matches (while ignoring the other) and crow about his prescience. Just a hunch.
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  #38  
Old 02-26-2020, 06:54 AM
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Given i just heard a 'pundit; say the race is down to "Bernie, Bloomberg and Sanders"....I'd say Bernie has an excellent chance!! Just win the Dem nom and he gets twice the votes!
  #39  
Old 02-27-2020, 04:36 AM
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Boy, I hate to rain on this parade but this article has me worried.







I feel like Republicans did in 2016 when they saw the nomination going to someone they didn't think could win. But then again, DJT didn't have a socialist label attached to him.
11 percent increases in youth turnout are relatively routine: https://fair.org/home/bernie-sanders...-recently-has/

Happened from 00 to 04 and 14 to 18 (and the latter especially was far bigger than just 11). Not exactly unprecedented - if Kerry could do it, I think Bernie might be able to as well. Especially if he campaigns in legal weed.
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