# '08 Fantasy Electoral College Game

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731>\
**Category:** The Game Room\
**Created:** [September 29, 2008, 4:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731 "2008-09-29T16:51:43Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![ShibbOleth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/848f3c/32.png) [@ShibbOleth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ShibbOleth)\
**Post date:** [September 29, 2008, 4:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/1 "2008-09-29T16:51:43Z")

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Okay, this is just for fun. I don’t care who you like or don’t like in the election race. This is all about winning and bragging rights.

The Game: Doper closest to the actual Electoral College split wins it all. Tiebreaker will be based on the popular vote. Don’t have a second tie breaker yet, so feel to propose one.

The MAP: You can [use this electoral map](http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/calculator/) (from CNN) to help you gauge how many electoral votes each candidate should get. Note that you can configure this map by clicking on a state and assigning it to a candidate.

The Rules: each Doper gets only one guess. Include number of electoral votes for each candidate, plus the split in the General Election. You may guess multiple times, but only your final guess counts (so you can sort of “think out loud” and refine things as the race winds down).

Example 1: McCain wins 298-240, Popular Vote splits 55-43 for McCain.  
Example 2: Obama wins 297-241, Popular Votes Splits 51-47 for Obama.

Deadline: your guess must be cast by October 31st, midnight Hawaii time zone (whatever that is). Any predictions after that will not be included.

Remember, this is only for fun. Unless I decide to award a prize. Side wagers are encouraged but should be self-enforced. Leave any hardcore partisan bickering for GD or the BBQ, just put your predictions here.

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**Author:** ![Kid\_A\_1](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/ed8c4c/32.png) [@Kid\_A\_1](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kid_A_1)\
**Post date:** [September 29, 2008, 5:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/2 "2008-09-29T17:17:04Z")

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As of right now, I’m thinking it’s going to end up with Obama winning 291-247. He’ll win all of the Kerry states plus Colorado, Iowa, Virginia, Nevada, and New Mexico.

The popular vote will split 51-47 for Obama.

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**Author:** ![Hawkeyeop](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/958977/32.png) [@Hawkeyeop](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hawkeyeop)\
**Post date:** [September 29, 2008, 5:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/3 "2008-09-29T17:30:47Z")

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Obama 364-174. 52-45.

Yeah, i’m not thinking it will be close.

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**Author:** ![Cyberhwk](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/7993a0/32.png) [@Cyberhwk](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Cyberhwk)\
**Post date:** [September 29, 2008, 9:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/4 "2008-09-29T21:52:37Z")

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Obama 286-252. Popular vote 51/48

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**Author:** ![want2know](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/50afbb/32.png) [@want2know](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/want2know)\
**Post date:** [September 30, 2008, 12:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/5 "2008-09-30T00:06:24Z")

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304-234 Obama; popular vote 53-46.

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**Author:** ![Kent\_Clark](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kent_clark/32/105_2.png) [@Kent\_Clark](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kent_Clark)\
**Post date:** [September 30, 2008, 12:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/6 "2008-09-30T00:36:56Z")

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Obama 311, McCain 227. Popular vote Obama 50%, McCain 47% (3% other).

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**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [September 30, 2008, 6:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/7 "2008-09-30T18:01:55Z")

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I wish I was as confident as my fellow Obama supporters. The way I see the map, and being a little more optimistic than I feel right now, Obama wins, 278-260. In the popular vote, he wins 50-47%.

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**Author:** ![threeorange](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/b9e5f3/32.png) [@threeorange](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/threeorange)\
**Post date:** [September 30, 2008, 6:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/8 "2008-09-30T18:37:53Z")

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At this point, I’m guessing Obama takes the EC 276-262, with the popular vote at 50-49. There’s still time for events to refine my thinking, though.

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**Author:** ![ShibbOleth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/848f3c/32.png) [@ShibbOleth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ShibbOleth)\
**Post date:** [October 1, 2008, 12:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/9 "2008-10-01T12:27:46Z")

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I currently have Obama up, just enough to win the EC, 282-256. I’ll guess the popular vote at 53-46, which is a bit extravagant, but what they heh.

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**Author:** ![Happy\_Lendervedder](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/happy_lendervedder/32/8488_2.png) [@Happy\_Lendervedder](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Happy_Lendervedder)\
**Post date:** [October 1, 2008, 3:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/10 "2008-10-01T15:54:18Z")

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Obama 273  
McCain 265

Popular vote: Obama 50-49

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Hawkeyeop](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/958977/32.png) [@Hawkeyeop](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hawkeyeop)\
**Post date:** [October 1, 2008, 4:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/11 "2008-10-01T16:44:58Z")

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> [@ShibbOleth](#):
>
> I currently have Obama up, just enough to win the EC, 282-256. I’ll guess the popular vote at 53-46, which is a bit extravagant, but what they heh.

If the popular vote is 53-46 the EC will be a blowout

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**Author:** ![peekercpa](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/8baadc/32.png) [@peekercpa](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/peekercpa)\
**Post date:** [October 1, 2008, 4:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/12 "2008-10-01T16:45:41Z")

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> [@Happy\_Lendervedder](#):
>
> Obama 273  
> McCain 265
> 
> Popular vote: Obama 50-49

Obama 351 - 187  
Vote 52 - 46

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**Author:** ![MsWhatsit](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/eb8c5e/32.png) [@MsWhatsit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MsWhatsit)\
**Post date:** [October 1, 2008, 5:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/13 "2008-10-01T17:03:31Z")

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Obama, 293-245.  
Popular vote, 51-49.

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**Author:** ![Pleonast](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pleonast/32/1183_2.png) [@Pleonast](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pleonast)\
**Post date:** [October 1, 2008, 9:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/14 "2008-10-01T21:28:14Z")

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Obama over McCain, 306-232, 53%-45%.

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**Author:** ![Santo\_Rugger](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/e95f7d/32.png) [@Santo\_Rugger](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Santo_Rugger)\
**Post date:** [October 1, 2008, 9:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/15 "2008-10-01T21:40:53Z")

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A good tiebreaker would be predicting which Bush states Obama gets.

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**Author:** ![threeorange](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/b9e5f3/32.png) [@threeorange](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/threeorange)\
**Post date:** [October 2, 2008, 3:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/16 "2008-10-02T15:35:37Z")

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> [@threeorange](#):
>
> At this point, I’m guessing Obama takes the EC 276-262, with the popular vote at 50-49. There’s still time for events to refine my thinking, though.

I’m sticking with my official projection, but in keeping with the thread title, in my “Fantasy Electoral College”, it would be **threeorange** 538-0, with 100% of the vote.😃

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**Author:** ![ShibbOleth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/848f3c/32.png) [@ShibbOleth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ShibbOleth)\
**Post date:** [October 23, 2008, 1:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/17 "2008-10-23T13:57:53Z")

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Just about a week to go on this one.

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**Author:** ![Jack\_Batty](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jack_batty/32/3201_2.png) [@Jack\_Batty](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jack_Batty)\
**Post date:** [October 23, 2008, 2:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/18 "2008-10-23T14:00:43Z")

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My picks: Obama - 295 / McCain - 243.  
Popular vote - Obama 53% / McCain 46%

I threw FL McCain’s way and OH Obama’s way. For all the other tossup states I went with precedents so NC, CO and MO all go to McCain. I even threw VA to McCain, although CNN has it leaning Democratic (Republicans have won Virginia the last 4 elections) but Obama still squeaks it out in the end.

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**Author:** ![ShibbOleth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/848f3c/32.png) [@ShibbOleth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ShibbOleth)\
**Post date:** [October 23, 2008, 4:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/19 "2008-10-23T16:42:26Z")

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I voted this morning and there was a one hour long wait to get inside. Big turn out will bode well for Obama, I think. I doubted before he could take Florida, but I definitely think it’s possible now. I won’t believe it until I see it, but it is not unimaginable.

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**Author:** ![Wilson](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/96bed5/32.png) [@Wilson](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Wilson)\
**Post date:** [October 23, 2008, 4:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/20 "2008-10-23T16:57:40Z")

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Obama 320, McCain 218. Popular vote Obama 51-48

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