# '08 Fantasy Electoral College Game **URL:** \ **Category:** The Game Room\ **Created:** [September 29, 2008, 4:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731 "2008-09-29T16:51:43Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 3
**Author:** ![Knorf](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/58956e/32.png) [@Knorf](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Knorf)\ **Post date:** [October 24, 2008, 7:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/41 "2008-10-24T19:46:26Z")
Alright, I think Obama will pick up every Kerry state, and will also win: West: Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico (NB adding those alone Obama would have 271 EVs) Midwest: Iowa, Missouri, Indiana, Ohio South: Virginia, North Carolina, Florida Total: **Obama 375** , **McCain 163** Popular Vote: **Obama 53%** , **McCain 44%** , Nader 1%, Barr 2% ---
**Author:** ![Chronos](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chronos/32/134_2.png) [@Chronos](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chronos)\ **Post date:** [October 24, 2008, 8:23pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/42 "2008-10-24T20:23:13Z")
FiveThirtyEight currently has 375 EV worth of states where Obama is favored, but I’m going to go out on a limb and also give him Montana (there are a whole lot of “unlikely voters” here that a decent GOTV campaign will pick up easily) and one of Nebraska’s districts (just on a hunch, and there are two of them in play), for a total of 379. For the popular vote, they currently have 52.2% Obama, 46.4% McCain, but again, I think that Obama’s ground game is stronger than expected, so I’ll give him an extra 4%, drawn proportionately from the McCain votes and the indies. So my official entry is Obama 379, McCain 159, with a popular vote split of Obama 56.2%, McCain 42.4%. ---
**Author:** ![MentalGuy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/439d5e/32.png) [@MentalGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MentalGuy)\ **Post date:** [October 24, 2008, 8:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/43 "2008-10-24T20:29:17Z")
Obama 375-163 Obama 52-46 ---
**Author:** ![Chronos](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chronos/32/134_2.png) [@Chronos](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chronos)\ **Post date:** [October 24, 2008, 8:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/44 "2008-10-24T20:29:58Z")
Oh, and if we’re looking at states, I predict that McCain gets AK, AL, AR, AZ, GA, ID, KS, KY, LA, MS, ND, NE, NE-1, NE-3, OK, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, WV, and WY (Obama, of course, gets all the rest). ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [October 25, 2008, 1:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/45 "2008-10-25T01:16:58Z")
> [@Chronos](#): > > …So my official entry is Obama 379, McCain 159, with a popular vote split of Obama 56.2%, McCain 42.4%. That’s crazy talk. But I like it. ---
**Author:** ![threeorange](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/b9e5f3/32.png) [@threeorange](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/threeorange)\ **Post date:** [October 25, 2008, 3:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/46 "2008-10-25T15:27:33Z")
OK, here’s my final prediction: Obama 318 McCain 220 Obama wins: CA CO CT DE DC FL HI IL IA ME (all) MD MA MI MN NV NH NJ NM NY OR PA RI VT VA WA WI McCain wins: AL AK AZ AR GA ID IN KS KY LA MS MO MT NE (all) NC ND OH OK SC SD TN TX UT WV WY My popular vote prediction is: Obama 50.4% McCain 48.2% others 1.4% I must add that I’d love to see some of the more optimistic Blue predictions here come true. ---
**Author:** ![Lawn\_Gnome](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/8491ac/32.png) [@Lawn\_Gnome](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lawn_Gnome)\ **Post date:** [October 27, 2008, 5:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/47 "2008-10-27T05:25:00Z")
Maybe I’m extremely optimistic but of the swing states I predict: Obama - Winning every one of them (NM, CO, NV, MO, FL, NC, IN, VA, and OH) Therfore . . . Obama - 375 McCain - 163 Obama vote - 55% McCain vote - 43% ---
**Author:** ![Captain\_Lance\_Murdoch](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/47e85d/32.png) [@Captain\_Lance\_Murdoch](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Captain_Lance_Murdoch)\ **Post date:** [October 28, 2008, 3:15am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/48 "2008-10-28T03:15:01Z")
Obama 364 McCain 174 Popular Obama 55 McCain 45 ---
**Author:** ![Diogenes\_the\_Cynic](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/e99b99/32.png) [@Diogenes\_the\_Cynic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Diogenes_the_Cynic)\ **Post date:** [October 28, 2008, 3:38am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/49 "2008-10-28T03:38:33Z")
Obama 337 McCain 201 I’m giving Florida to McCain. Popular vote: Obama 51% McCain 48% ---
**Author:** ![Lakai](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/9de0a6/32.png) [@Lakai](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lakai)\ **Post date:** [October 28, 2008, 3:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/50 "2008-10-28T03:40:37Z")
Obama 375 McCain 163. I think Obama will do better than his polls, but I’m not sure whether or not it will be enough to win Georgia. I think he’ll sweep all the toss up states except North Dakota and Montana. Popular vote 57% for Obama and 41 for McCain. ---
**Author:** ![AHunter3](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ahunter3/32/368_2.png) [@AHunter3](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AHunter3)\ **Post date:** [October 28, 2008, 4:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/51 "2008-10-28T16:30:58Z")
Obama wins 373-165, Popular Vote splits 57% Obama / 40% McCain If the polls fails to tighten in the next few days I may come back with a more optimistic revision. ---
**Author:** ![ShibbOleth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/848f3c/32.png) [@ShibbOleth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ShibbOleth)\ **Post date:** [October 29, 2008, 5:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/52 "2008-10-29T17:07:39Z")
> [@ShibbOleth](#): > > I currently have Obama up, just enough to win the EC, 282-256. I’ll guess the popular vote at 53-46, which is a bit extravagant, but what they heh. I’m amending my predictions to: EC 311-227 Popular vote at 51-48 Obama takes the following Bush states: Colorado (CO) Iowa (IA) Nevada (NV) New Mexico (NM) Ohio (OH) Virginia (VA) No Kerry state will flip to McCain, FTR. ---
**Author:** ![Fiddle\_Peghead](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fiddle_peghead/32/3506_2.png) [@Fiddle\_Peghead](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fiddle_Peghead)\ **Post date:** [October 29, 2008, 5:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/53 "2008-10-29T17:46:48Z")
Obama wins 381-157, Popular Votes Splits 52-46 for Obama ---
**Author:** ![zamboniracer](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/z/e9a140/32.png) [@zamboniracer](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/zamboniracer)\ **Post date:** [October 29, 2008, 8:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/54 "2008-10-29T20:07:37Z")
> [@threeorange](#): > > I’m sticking with my official projection, but in keeping with the thread title, in my “Fantasy Electoral College”, it would be **threeorange** 538-0, with 100% of the vote.😃 While I like the way you think fantasywise, I must confess Halle Berry always features prominently in my own personal Fantasy Leagues. 😉 But back on topic, I’m going with Obama 52%, McCain 47%, Other disgruntled malcontents 1% In the EC its gonna be a blowout. Obama 348, McCain 190. ---
**Author:** ![ShibbOleth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/848f3c/32.png) [@ShibbOleth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ShibbOleth)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2008, 4:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/55 "2008-10-31T16:03:10Z")
\*\*LAST REMINDER: You can edit your choices up until today, Halloween, the Witching Hour – MIDNIGHT EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME – Boo!\*\* ---
**Author:** ![Marley23](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/45deac/32.png) [@Marley23](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Marley23)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2008, 4:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/56 "2008-10-31T16:11:34Z")
I’ve got Obama 364-174, and 53%-45%. ---
**Author:** ![Kid\_A\_1](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/ed8c4c/32.png) [@Kid\_A\_1](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kid_A_1)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2008, 4:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/57 "2008-10-31T16:26:36Z")
> [@Kid\_A](#): > > As of right now, I’m thinking it’s going to end up with Obama winning 291-247. He’ll win all of the Kerry states plus Colorado, Iowa, Virginia, Nevada, and New Mexico. > > The popular vote will split 51-47 for Obama. Updating my previous prediction… I think I was being conservative at the time, it’s time to bust it open a bit more. Obama winning 368-170. Popuar vote 53-46. He’ll pick up Colorado, Iowa, Virginia, Nevada, New Mexico, Ohio, North Carolina, Georgia, and Florida. ---
**Author:** ![wonky](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wonky/32/393_2.png) [@wonky](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/wonky)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2008, 6:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/58 "2008-10-31T18:08:08Z")
Electoral vote: Obama: 327 McCain: 211 Popular vote: Obama: 52% McCain: 46.5% Bush states won by Obama: VA, NC, IA, NM, CO, NV, 1 vote from NE, OH ---
**Author:** ![Captain\_Lance\_Murdoch](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/47e85d/32.png) [@Captain\_Lance\_Murdoch](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Captain_Lance_Murdoch)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2008, 8:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/59 "2008-10-31T20:19:39Z")
I’m keeping mine at Obama 364 McCain 174 changing the pop. vote to O - 52% M - 46% Obama wins in NC, FL, OH, NV, NM, IA, CO, VA, MO ---
**Author:** ![jsc1953](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/5daacb/32.png) [@jsc1953](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jsc1953)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2008, 8:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731/60 "2008-10-31T20:50:25Z")
Obama 279, McCain 259. I gave Obama all the Kerry states, plus CO, NM, VA & PA. (It’s going to be a bit of a nail-biter, I’m afraid). Popular vote…52 - 48. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731.md?page=2) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/08-fantasy-electoral-college-game/465731.md?page=4)