Not arguing, just pointing out that the people clamoring to bring manufacturing back aren’t going to get some sort of 1950s/1960s style large scale, highly paid blue collar employment out of it like they’re imagining.
They think back to the days of a big steel mill that employed 20,000 men in 1960, and don’t really realize the same size steel mill takes ~1800 these days. And largely our higher pay relative to other countries drives automation even harder.
I was Googling for the largest single-site employers in each state. As you might expect, one of the biggest is Disney World, with tens of thousands of direct employees (and thousands more in related hospitality businesses). But in other states, often the largest employer is a big hospital system. Universities also can be large employers. IOW there are few places where you’re going to see 10,000 people going to work in the same plant.
True. But all those 10,000 people still need some job. And they vote.
They’ve been lied to, and they believe the lies. But they’re sincerely voting that they want to be able to get good paying low education required jobs in the current and future economy.
The pol who can dangle that reward in front of those folks w a straight face will get a lot of votes. A lot.
With increased automation even in steel plants and coal mines, I suspect low-education jobs of the past now require some computer expertise or training.
Linking to a CNN article that covers this And the South Korean promised “investments” and shows how badly Trump is overpromising on this:
“I think this deal is done. This deal is done,” Lutnick said. “They’ve already worked it out. That’s why we’re all together with the president. The president doesn’t bring people together unless it’s a done deal. You guys know that already.”
Trump then jumped in, claiming: “They’ve already started building.”
That’s not true.
Indeed, just a day later, Republican Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds called an emergency special session of the state legislature focused on tax incentives for the project — exactly the issue that Lutnick was asked about when he declared the deal done .
The same day, local TV station KWQC reported that the project still hadn’t acquired land or applied for permits, and Lee County officials said they didn’t have details about the project.
For the steel mill specifically.
So promise the world (again) before the midterms, and blame Democrats for when it bogs down for years while getting plans built, permits, and everything else imaginable.
The article suggests this, and the Alaskan pipeline over-investment are less blatant attempts than the $5000 checks to shore up support in states where the GOP is risking losses they didn’t plan for in the midterms.
The residents of Lee County, Iowa can talk to the residents of Wisconsin where a massive Foxconn plant was promised. That never happened though millions of public money was spent.
Just for reference, about a year and a half ago, my billionaire employer promised Trump $20B of investment in US shipping logistics. Port investment, ship building, etc.
Hardly any of it has happened. Ships are too expensive to build here, they’re too expensive to operate under a US flag. They’re making some port investment, granted, but the portion I know about they are contractually obligated to make as a condition of their lease extension agreement.
Trump stood there and touted his ability to bring investment here, and the only investment being made is what happened before Trump got elected.