# 17th Annual Super Bowl Early Picks Thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/17th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/845687>\
**Category:** The Game Room\
**Created:** [December 31, 2019, 7:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/17th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/845687 "2019-12-31T19:13:41Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 4

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**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\
**Post date:** [January 12, 2020, 4:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/17th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/845687/61 "2020-01-12T16:21:23Z")

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Sigh… I’m gonna have a lot of work to do on Monday.

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**Author:** ![Railer13](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/railer13/32/9742_2.png) [@Railer13](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Railer13)\
**Post date:** [January 12, 2020, 5:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/17th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/845687/62 "2020-01-12T17:08:38Z")

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> [@Bullitt](#):
>
> Unless I missed any, only a handful who picked Chiefs-49ers or Chiefs-Packers are in the running with both teams.

There’s one Chiefs-Seahawks pick:

**eschereal** : Seahawks 20, Chiefs 12

If I counted correctly, there are 8 folks who still have both teams alive.

Nobody has the Texans (or the Titans). If Houston beats KC today, the winner will only have one team in the Super Bowl.

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**Author:** ![Robot\_Arm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/robot_arm/32/18280_2.png) [@Robot\_Arm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Robot_Arm)\
**Post date:** [January 12, 2020, 5:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/17th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/845687/63 "2020-01-12T17:55:10Z")

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> [@Railer13](#):
>
> Nobody has the Texans (or the Titans). If Houston beats KC today, the winner will only have one team in the Super Bowl.

After the Ravens’ loss, I was wondering if it’s possible for this thread not to have a winner. I don’t think that it is; of the Seahawks, Packers, and 49ers, one of them must be in the Super Bowl, and each was picked by somebody.

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**Author:** ![garygnu](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/garygnu/32/2924_2.png) [@garygnu](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/garygnu)\
**Post date:** [January 12, 2020, 7:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/17th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/845687/64 "2020-01-12T19:13:33Z")

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> [@Isosleepy](#):
>
> Ravens loss cut down the field considerably.

They seemed most likely given the AFC field, but damn did they lay an egg.

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**Author:** ![eschereal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/eschereal/32/18939_2.png) [@eschereal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/eschereal)\
**Post date:** [January 13, 2020, 1:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/17th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/845687/65 "2020-01-13T01:52:01Z")

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> [@Robot\_Arm](#):
>
> After the Ravens’ loss, I was wondering if it’s possible for this thread not to have a winner. I don’t think that it is; of the Seahawks, Packers, and 49ers, one of them must be in the Super Bowl, and each was picked by somebody.

The Toilers did beat KC a couple months ago, by 3 points, in Nashville. Probably not going to happen again next Sunday. So, yeah, there will probably be a winner, and, unlike last year, a winner that will not be decided weeks before the SB is actually played.

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**Author:** ![Robot\_Arm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/robot_arm/32/18280_2.png) [@Robot\_Arm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Robot_Arm)\
**Post date:** [January 13, 2020, 3:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/17th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/845687/66 "2020-01-13T03:20:54Z")

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> [@eschereal](#):
>
> The Toilers did beat KC a couple months ago, by 3 points, in Nashville. Probably not going to happen again next Sunday. So, yeah, there will probably be a winner, and, unlike last year, a winner that will not be decided weeks before the SB is actually played.

I was thinking of how it might be possible that no one would win the thread. Like if the Titans and Eagles made it to the Super Bowl, what then? Nobody picked either of those two teams, so every guess in the thread would be eliminated.

But that can’t happen. Of the three (now two) NFC teams remaining, someone has picked each of them, and so somebody will have picked at least one of the Super Bowl teams correctly.

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**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\
**Post date:** [January 13, 2020, 4:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/17th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/845687/67 "2020-01-13T16:59:56Z")

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Unscathed:  
**LoneRhino:** 49ers 24, Chiefs 17  
**Happy Lendervedder:** Chiefs 34, 49ers 17  
**muldoonthief:** Chiefs 31, 49ers 24  
**Railer13:** Chiefs 30, 49ers 24  
**Grits and Hard Toast:** Chiefs 30, Packers 24  
**Hamlet:** Chiefs 24, Packers 27  
**Kimble:** Chiefs 38, Packers 27

One Down (need Titans to win):  
**neofishboy:** 49ers 35, [del]Patriots[/del] 6  
**borschevsky:** 49ers 34, [del]Ravens[/del] 31  
**Bullitt:** 49ers 27, [del]Ravens[/del] 17  
**cgg419:** 49ers 34, [del]Ravens[/del] 26  
**garygnu:** 49ers 31, [del]Ravens[/del] 27  
**MrKnowItAll:** 49ers 52, [del]Ravens[/del] 6  
**Oredigger77:** 49ers 35, [del]Ravens[/del] 21  
**Chisquirrel:** Packers 27, [del]Bills[/del] 24  
**notfrommensa:** Packers 34, [del]Patriots[/del] 27  
**Hal Briston:** [del]Patriots[/del] 23, Packers 14  
**Paintcharge:** [del]Patriots[/del] 24, Packers 17  
**Isosleepy:** [del]Ravens[/del] 27, 49ers 24  
**Jahiegel:** [del]Ravens[/del] 26, 49ers 21  
**minlokwat:** [del]Ravens[/del] 31, 49ers 27  
**TroutMan:** [del]Ravens[/del] 37, 49ers 20  
**Velocity:** [del]Ravens[/del] 34, 49ers 23  
**Enginerd:** [del]Ravens[/del] 31, Packers 17  
**lel:** [del]Ravens[/del] 28, Packers 21  
**MadTheSwine:** [del]Ravens[/del] 44, Packers 21

One down (no chance):  
**AncientHumanoid:** Chiefs 36, [del]Saints[/del] 35  
**asahi:** Chiefs 31, [del]Saints[/del] 28  
**Shoeless:** Chiefs 31, [del]Saints[/del] 21  
**Oakminster:** [del]Saints[/del] 28, Chiefs 27  
**eschereal:** [del]Seahawks[/del] 20, Chiefs 12

Dead in the water:  
**dalej42:** [del]Bills[/del] 41, [del]Seahawks[/del] 10  
**AK84:** [del]Patriots[/del] 33, [del]Saints[/del] 27  
**Fear the Turtle:** [del]Ravens[/del] 27, [del]Saints[/del] 24  
**Great Antibob:** [del]Ravens[/del] 42, [del]Saints[/del] 34  
**Larry Borgia:** [del]Ravens[/del] 27, [del]Saints[/del] 20  
**Ulf the Unwashed:** [del]Ravens[/del] 37, [del]Saints[/del] 21  
**zoog:** [del]Ravens[/del] 37, [del]Saints[/del] 34  
**Justin\_Bailey:** [del]Saints[/del] 31, [del]Patriots[/del] 24  
**enalzi:** [del]Saints[/del] 34, [del]Ravens[/del] 28  
**Gray Ghost:** [del]Saints[/del] 27, [del]Ravens[/del] 23  
**iiandyiiii:** [del]Saints[/del] 31, [del]Ravens[/del] 30  
**racepug:** [del]Saints[/del] 26, [del]Ravens[/del] 24  
**Procrustus:** [del]Seahawks[/del] 30, [del]Ravens[/del] 27

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\
**Post date:** [January 13, 2020, 5:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/17th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/845687/68 "2020-01-13T17:02:03Z")

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> [@Robot\_Arm](#):
>
> I was thinking of how it might be possible that no one would win the thread. Like if the Titans and Eagles made it to the Super Bowl, what then? Nobody picked either of those two teams, so every guess in the thread would be eliminated.

It would go to the “closest to the scores” tiebreaker.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Robot\_Arm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/robot_arm/32/18280_2.png) [@Robot\_Arm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Robot_Arm)\
**Post date:** [January 14, 2020, 4:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/17th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/845687/69 "2020-01-14T04:31:56Z")

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> [@AlsoNamedBort](#):
>
> It would go to the “closest to the scores” tiebreaker.

How would that work, though? Suppose I’d picked “Seahawks 20 Patriots 17” and the actual Super Bowl Score is “Titans 20 Eagles 17”; does that mean I have the score correct? I picked the Seahawks to get 20, not the Titans. Would “Titans 17 Eagles 20” be more correct because I predicted the NFC team to get 20?

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**Author:** ![eschereal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/eschereal/32/18939_2.png) [@eschereal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/eschereal)\
**Post date:** [January 14, 2020, 5:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/17th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/845687/70 "2020-01-14T05:22:23Z")

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It is kind of academic this year, but I think getting the exact score would be enough, if no one else did, conferences notwithstanding, if no one else had that score. Otherwise, we would be arguing into March about what tiebreaker to use. Or the host would just make some sort of ruling. Or call it a tie, if there was no other way to go.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Robot\_Arm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/robot_arm/32/18280_2.png) [@Robot\_Arm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Robot_Arm)\
**Post date:** [January 14, 2020, 12:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/17th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/845687/71 "2020-01-14T12:57:34Z")

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> [@eschereal](#):
>
> It is kind of academic this year,…

Yeah, and it hasn’t been an issue in the previous 15 years, either. It probably won’t happen.

But I also find it interesting to wonder what would happen if it did. People create sporting tournaments and try to account for every possible scenario in advance. But sometimes they miss stuff.

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**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\
**Post date:** [January 14, 2020, 4:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/17th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/845687/72 "2020-01-14T16:44:51Z")

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> [@eschereal](#):
>
> It is kind of academic this year, but I think getting the exact score would be enough, if no one else did, conferences notwithstanding, if no one else had that score. Otherwise, we would be arguing into March about what tiebreaker to use. Or the host would just make some sort of ruling. Or call it a tie, if there was no other way to go.

I already made a ruling two years ago:

> [@15th Annual Superbowl Early Picks thread](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/15th-annual-superbowl-early-picks-thread/805802/107):
>
> And if no clear winner emerges from all of this, a two-man sack race will be held on consecutive Sundays until a champion can be crowned.

Seriously though, I say if you match the final score, you win. If multiple people do, first post wins.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\
**Post date:** [January 20, 2020, 3:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/17th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/845687/73 "2020-01-20T15:29:03Z")

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Thanks to the Chiefs and 49ers for making this simple.

Our four finalists:  
**LoneRhino:** 49ers 24, Chiefs 17  
**Railer13:** Chiefs 30, 49ers 24  
**muldoonthief:** Chiefs 31, 49ers 24  
**Happy Lendervedder:** Chiefs 34, 49ers 17

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![muldoonthief](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/muldoonthief/32/3188_2.png) [@muldoonthief](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/muldoonthief)\
**Post date:** [January 20, 2020, 4:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/17th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/845687/74 "2020-01-20T16:01:46Z")

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Apologies to **Railer13** for picking a score 1 point away from his. In my defense, I make it a point not to read other people’s picks before I make my own.

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**Author:** ![Oredigger77](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/oredigger77/32/3181_2.png) [@Oredigger77](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Oredigger77)\
**Post date:** [January 20, 2020, 4:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/17th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/845687/75 "2020-01-20T16:15:25Z")

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Congratulations to Lonerinho on his victory this year.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![eschereal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/eschereal/32/18939_2.png) [@eschereal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/eschereal)\
**Post date:** [January 20, 2020, 4:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/17th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/845687/76 "2020-01-20T16:19:41Z")

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> [@muldoonthief](#):
>
> Apologies to **Railer13** for picking a score 1 point away from his. In my defense, I make it a point not to read other people’s picks before I make my own.

If the Chiefs were by some weird fold in spacetime to actually manage to win, you are in the worst possible position to win this game.

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**Author:** ![Bullitt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bullitt/32/5725_2.png) [@Bullitt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bullitt)\
**Post date:** [January 20, 2020, 5:56pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/17th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/845687/77 "2020-01-20T17:56:38Z")

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> [@eschereal](#):
>
> If the Chiefs were by some weird fold in spacetime to actually manage to win…

The Chiefs are favored by 1. Frankly I thought my 49ers would be favored, and heavily so.

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**Author:** ![SuntanLotion](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/suntanlotion/32/16165_2.png) [@SuntanLotion](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SuntanLotion)\
**Post date:** [January 20, 2020, 6:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/17th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/845687/78 "2020-01-20T18:06:47Z")

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I don’t think it will be boring. I think it will be a high scoring nail biter.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![SuntanLotion](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/suntanlotion/32/16165_2.png) [@SuntanLotion](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SuntanLotion)\
**Post date:** [January 20, 2020, 6:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/17th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/845687/79 "2020-01-20T18:07:48Z")

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> [@Bullitt](#):
>
> The Chiefs are favored by 1. Frankly I thought my 49ers would be favored, and heavily so.

Its a close call, they are both good, and fighters. Praying for a Chiefs win.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\
**Post date:** [January 20, 2020, 6:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/17th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/845687/80 "2020-01-20T18:37:54Z")

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> [@eschereal](#):
>
> If the Chiefs were by some weird fold in spacetime to actually manage to win, you are in the worst possible position to win this game.

He’s not in that bad of a position. The tiebreak is number of points the prediction was off from winning team score plus the number of points off from the losing team score. If the Chiefs win and score more than 31 points and it’s a particularly close game, he’ll win.

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