# 18th Annual Super Bowl Early Picks Thread **URL:** \ **Category:** The Game Room\ **Tags:** football-nfl\ **Created:** [January 6, 2021, 3:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812 "2021-01-06T15:34:20Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 3
**Author:** ![minlokwat](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/minlokwat/32/2844_2.png) [@minlokwat](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/minlokwat)\ **Post date:** [January 9, 2021, 2:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/41 "2021-01-09T14:26:37Z")
Chiefs 38, Packers 31 ---
**Author:** ![eschereal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/eschereal/32/18939_2.png) [@eschereal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/eschereal)\ **Post date:** [January 9, 2021, 4:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/42 "2021-01-09T16:10:19Z")
Bills 32 Saints 15 ---
**Author:** ![madsircool](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/madsircool/32/3432_2.png) [@madsircool](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/madsircool)\ **Post date:** [January 9, 2021, 4:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/43 "2021-01-09T16:24:46Z")
Bills 24 Seahawks 10 ---
**Author:** ![Jahiegel2.0](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/3bc359/32.png) [@Jahiegel2.0](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jahiegel2.0)\ **Post date:** [January 9, 2021, 5:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/44 "2021-01-09T17:17:21Z")
Saints 30, Chiefs 26 ---
**Author:** ![Bullitt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bullitt/32/5725_2.png) [@Bullitt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bullitt)\ **Post date:** [January 10, 2021, 6:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/45 "2021-01-10T06:31:06Z")
Well, so much for Washington. Tom Brady is truly amazing. And I’m a Joe Montana fan. Also, I’m old enough (at 59) to remember George Blanda playing. Brady truly is the GOAT. ---
**Author:** ![Tierce](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/ea5d25/32.png) [@Tierce](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tierce)\ **Post date:** [January 11, 2021, 8:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/46 "2021-01-11T08:29:04Z")
> [@Tierce](#): > > OK, why not. Optimism says: > > Seahawks 28, Steelers 20 Boy, I sure called that one… ---
**Author:** ![eschereal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/eschereal/32/18939_2.png) [@eschereal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/eschereal)\ **Post date:** [January 11, 2021, 10:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/47 "2021-01-11T10:09:15Z")
Wow, Rothlis Benburger really shit the bed Sunday night. 4 picks is not a good look. Against Cleveland, no less. ---
**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\ **Post date:** [January 11, 2021, 4:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/48 "2021-01-11T16:18:39Z")
Let me know if I missed anyone or got the picks wrong. Unscathed **Atamasama:** Bills 40, Packers 24 **Velocity:** Bills 34, Saints 27 **TroutMan:** Packers 33, Bills 23 **Telemark:** Buccaneers 34, Chiefs 30 **Munch:** Chiefs 38, Packers 28 **Justin\_Bailey:** Bills 34, Packers 20 **muldoonthief:** Bills 31, Buccaneers 21 **iiandyiiii:** Saints 30, Chiefs 27 **Hamlet:** Packers 31, Chiefs 30 **Oredigger77:** Chiefs 27, Packers 24 **Shoeless:** Saints 34, Chiefs 27 **USCDiver:** Browns 31, Packers 28 **zimaane:** Chiefs 33, Saints 26 **Railer13:** Chiefs 34, Packers 20 **LoneRhino:** Bills 38, Rams 24 **Redcanoe:** Saints 24, Chiefs 21 **mikecurtis:** Chiefs 31, Packers 28 **BippityBoppityBoo:** Chiefs 28, Saints 24 **MrKnowItAll:** Buccaneers 30, Ravens 13 **borschevsky:** Chiefs 37, Packers 31 **Fear\_the\_Turtle:** Chiefs 31, Packers 27 **Chisquirrel:** Packers 38, Chiefs 33 **Ulf\_the\_Unwashed:** Ravens 35, Saints 20 **asahi:** Chiefs 34, Packers 31 **Hal\_Briston:** Packers 23, Bills 21 **SenorBeef:** Saints 33, Bills 27 **minlokwat:** Chiefs 38, Packers 31 **eschereal:** Bills 32, Saints 15 **Jahiegel2.0:** Saints 30, Chiefs 26 One Down **hajario:** Buccaneers 34, ~~Steelers~~ 28 **Bullitt:** Bills 37, ~~Redskins~~ 28 **Kimble:** Packers 38, ~~Titans~~ 24 **madsircool:** Bills 24, ~~Seahawks~~ 10 **AlsoNamedBort:** ~~Bears~~ 27, Bills 24 **Procrustus:** ~~Seahawks~~ 28, Chiefs 24 **dalej42:** ~~FT~~ 31, Chiefs 10 **Jackknifed\_Juggernaut:** ~~Steelers~~ 31, Packers 25 Dead In The Water **TriPolar:** ~~FT~~ 20, ~~Steelers~~ 17 **Tierce:** ~~Seahawks~~ 28, ~~Steelers~~ 20 ---
**Author:** ![MadTheSwine](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/9fc29f/32.png) [@MadTheSwine](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MadTheSwine)\ **Post date:** [January 11, 2021, 8:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/49 "2021-01-11T20:15:30Z")
Shoot, missed the thread. But will pick Rams over Chefs 38-35 ---
**Author:** ![Bullitt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bullitt/32/5725_2.png) [@Bullitt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bullitt)\ **Post date:** [January 11, 2021, 10:23pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/50 "2021-01-11T22:23:30Z")
The Browns are 10 point underdogs at Kansas City next weekend. It’d be a tall order if they won it. ---
**Author:** ![Procrustus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/procrustus/32/2994_2.png) [@Procrustus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Procrustus)\ **Post date:** [January 11, 2021, 10:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/51 "2021-01-11T22:35:50Z")
How much were they underdogs last week to the Steelers? ---
**Author:** ![Atamasama](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/atamasama/32/12961_2.png) [@Atamasama](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Atamasama)\ **Post date:** [January 11, 2021, 10:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/52 "2021-01-11T22:47:26Z")
The Chiefs were undefeated until the Raiders beat them. _The Raiders._ I don’t pick the Browns to beat them, but I’m not calling it impossible. The Chiefs beat some really good teams this year, like the Ravens, Bills, Saints, and Bucs. But they lost to a team you might best call mediocre (a division rival, true, and those games can be funny). I am saying there’s like a 5% chance of the Browns beating the Chiefs (who should be well-rested and playing at home, with the best record in the regular season), but if they win this game I’d give them a more than 50% chance of going to the Super Bowl. > [@Procrustus](#): > > How much were they underdogs last week to the Steelers? I missed this, they were 6 point underdogs going into the last game. ---
**Author:** ![Railer13](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/railer13/32/9742_2.png) [@Railer13](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Railer13)\ **Post date:** [January 11, 2021, 11:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/53 "2021-01-11T23:27:59Z")
> [@Atamasama](#): > > The Chiefs were undefeated until the Raiders beat them. > > _The Raiders._ By this logic, then, the Browns should have no shot at winning in Arrowhead on Sunday. After all, they lost to the Jets this year. _The Jets._ ---
**Author:** ![SenorBeef](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/senorbeef/32/2220_2.png) [@SenorBeef](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SenorBeef)\ **Post date:** [January 11, 2021, 11:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/54 "2021-01-11T23:30:42Z")
No, that’s not applying his logic at all. He’s not saying “KC is bad because they got beat by the raiders”, he’s saying “any given Sunday an underdog can pull out an unexpected win”, which applies to both the Raiders vs Chiefs, and the Jets vs Browns, and… importantly… also the Browns vs Chiefs. ---
**Author:** ![Atamasama](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/atamasama/32/12961_2.png) [@Atamasama](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Atamasama)\ **Post date:** [January 11, 2021, 11:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/55 "2021-01-11T23:46:47Z")
Thank you, that’s pretty much my logic, yes. 🙂 I also gave a “totally out of my rear end” suggestion of a 95% chance that the Chiefs win the game, and if you equate that to “no shot at winning” then I don’t know what to tell you. ---
**Author:** ![Railer13](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/railer13/32/9742_2.png) [@Railer13](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Railer13)\ **Post date:** [January 11, 2021, 11:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/56 "2021-01-11T23:53:02Z")
Fair enough. I’d actually give the Browns a better than 5% chance of winning the game on Sunday. Chiefs have not exactly looked dominant the last half of the season, although they won all the games except the last one. And for anybody that’s interested, they haven’t covered the spread in the past 8 games (one was a push). ---
**Author:** ![Atamasama](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/atamasama/32/12961_2.png) [@Atamasama](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Atamasama)\ **Post date:** [January 12, 2021, 12:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/57 "2021-01-12T00:34:22Z")
Hmm, so that suggests that the Chiefs are unlikely to blow out the Browns if they do win. (“Blowing out the Browns” sounds like a crude bathroom reference.) ---
**Author:** ![LSLGuy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lslguy/32/5813_2.png) [@LSLGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/LSLGuy)\ **Post date:** [January 12, 2021, 3:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/58 "2021-01-12T15:05:34Z")
I suppose that one blessing of COVID is that it doesn’t usually include violent gastrointestinal ructions. 100 million Americans infected with sudden unpredictable diarrhea could give “Blowin’ out the Browns” a whole new meaning. I’m imagining a new Weird Al Yankovic song to the tune of **Talking Head** ’s _Burning Down the House_. [![]( "YouTube") ](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_3eC35LoF4U) ---
**Author:** ![eschereal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/eschereal/32/18939_2.png) [@eschereal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/eschereal)\ **Post date:** [January 17, 2021, 11:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/59 "2021-01-17T23:38:42Z")
> [@Atamasama](#): > > Hmm, so that suggests that the Chiefs are unlikely to blow out the Browns if they do win. > > (“Blowing out the Browns” sounds like a crude bathroom reference.) It looked kinda close. Almost as if the Chiefs were only able to squeeze out the Browns. ---
**Author:** ![Atamasama](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/atamasama/32/12961_2.png) [@Atamasama](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Atamasama)\ **Post date:** [January 18, 2021, 12:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/60 "2021-01-18T00:32:02Z")
The Browns couldn’t establish the run, the Chiefs were able to stuff them in the backfield. When you force the Browns to back up often enough they will never make it through. The key is to prevent them from being able to get through a hole when they start moving. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812.md?page=2) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812.md?page=4)