# 18th Annual Super Bowl Early Picks Thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812>\
**Category:** The Game Room\
**Tags:** football-nfl\
**Created:** [January 6, 2021, 3:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812 "2021-01-06T15:34:20Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 4

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![MrKnowItAll](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mrknowitall/32/87_2.png) [@MrKnowItAll](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MrKnowItAll)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2021, 2:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/61 "2021-01-18T02:48:20Z")

</div>

As a Browns fan, I’m thrilled with this season. This team went winless just three years ago, and now they had a chance almost all the way against the KC Chiefs, who are a strong contender for another championship. They improved all season long. Watch out for them next year.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2021, 3:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/62 "2021-01-18T15:43:14Z")

</div>

Unscathed  
**Atamasama:** Bills 40, Packers 24  
**TroutMan:** Packers 33, Bills 23  
**Telemark:** Buccaneers 34, Chiefs 30  
**Munch:** Chiefs 38, Packers 28  
**Justin\_Bailey:** Bills 34, Packers 20  
**muldoonthief:** Bills 31, Buccaneers 21  
**Hamlet:** Packers 31, Chiefs 30  
**Oredigger77:** Chiefs 27, Packers 24  
**Railer13:** Chiefs 34, Packers 20  
**mikecurtis:** Chiefs 31, Packers 28  
**borschevsky:** Chiefs 37, Packers 31  
**Fear\_the\_Turtle:** Chiefs 31, Packers 27  
**Chisquirrel:** Packers 38, Chiefs 33  
**asahi:** Chiefs 34, Packers 31  
**Hal\_Briston:** Packers 23, Bills 21  
**minlokwat:** Chiefs 38, Packers 31

One Down (but effectively dead)  
**Velocity:** Bills 34, ~~Saints~~ 27  
**iiandyiiii:** ~~Saints~~ 30, Chiefs 27  
**Shoeless:** ~~Saints~~ 34, Chiefs 27  
**USCDiver:** ~~Browns~~ 31, Packers 28  
**zimaane:** Chiefs 33, ~~Saints~~ 26  
**LoneRhino:** Bills 38, ~~Rams~~ 24  
**Redcanoe:** ~~Saints~~ 24, Chiefs 21  
**BippityBoppityBoo:** Chiefs 28, ~~Saints~~ 24  
**MrKnowItAll:** Buccaneers 30, ~~Ravens~~ 13  
**SenorBeef:** ~~Saints~~ 33, Bills 27  
**eschereal:** Bills 32, ~~Saints~~ 15  
**Jahiegel2.0:** ~~Saints~~ 30, Chiefs 26  
**hajario:** Buccaneers 34, ~~Steelers~~ 28  
**Bullitt:** Bills 37, ~~Redskins~~ 28  
**Kimble:** Packers 38, ~~Titans~~ 24  
**madsircool:** Bills 24, ~~Seahawks~~ 10  
**AlsoNamedBort:** ~~Bears~~ 27, Bills 24  
**Procrustus:** ~~Seahawks~~ 28, Chiefs 24  
**dalej42:** ~~FT~~ 31, Chiefs 10  
**Jackknifed\_Juggernaut:** ~~Steelers~~ 31, Packers 25

Dead in the water  
**Ulf\_the\_Unwashed:** ~~Ravens~~ 35, ~~Saints~~ 20  
**TriPolar:** ~~FT~~ 20, ~~Steelers~~ 17  
**Tierce:** ~~Seahawks~~ 28, ~~Steelers~~ 20

Only two people left with the Buccaneers (one with the Chiefs and one with the Bills), so if they win we’ll already know our winner.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Munch](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/munch/32/5281_2.png) [@Munch](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Munch)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2021, 3:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/63 "2021-01-18T15:53:37Z")

</div>

> [@AlsoNamedBort](#):
>
> Only two people left with the Buccaneers (one with the Chiefs and one with the Bills), so if they win we’ll already know our winner.

So how’s the scoring work? Is it more important to pick the winner, or the contestants in the Super Bowl?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![eschereal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/eschereal/32/18939_2.png) [@eschereal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/eschereal)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2021, 3:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/64 "2021-01-18T15:57:47Z")

</div>

Yes, it is more important to pick both teams.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![muldoonthief](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/muldoonthief/32/3188_2.png) [@muldoonthief](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/muldoonthief)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2021, 4:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/65 "2021-01-18T16:01:37Z")

</div>

> [@AlsoNamedBort](#):
>
> Only two people left with the Buccaneers (one with the Chiefs and one with the Bills), so if they win we’ll already know our winner.

Two New Englanders. What a surprise.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2021, 4:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/66 "2021-01-18T16:28:42Z")

</div>

Forgot to post the tiebreakers:

1. Picked both teams, got winner correct
2. Picked both teams, got winner wrong
3. Picked winner correctly
4. Picked loser correctly
5. Closest to individual scores
6. Closest to predicted margin of victory

So yes, if you get both teams you’re ahead of anyone who only picked one team.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Ulf\_the\_Unwashed](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/b4bc9f/32.png) [@Ulf\_the\_Unwashed](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ulf_the_Unwashed)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2021, 4:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/67 "2021-01-18T16:30:32Z")

</div>

I see I’m one of the three who are “dead in the water.”

Told you I don’t know anything about football! 😊

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Munch](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/munch/32/5281_2.png) [@Munch](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Munch)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2021, 4:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/68 "2021-01-18T16:39:45Z")

</div>

Shouldn’t there be one or two other options between #4 and #5? What happens if someone picks the AFC or NFC champ to win the Super Bowl, but they lose? (Or they pick a team to lose the Super Bowl, but they win?)

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2021, 4:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/69 "2021-01-18T16:43:49Z")

</div>

> [@Munch](#):
>
> What happens if someone picks the AFC or NFC champ to win the Super Bowl, but they lose? (Or they pick a team to lose the Super Bowl, but they win?)

That’s what #3 and #4 are. But 3 and 4 only matter if no one picks both teams in the Super Bowl, which won’t happen this year since every possibility is covered.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![TroutMan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/troutman/32/6721_2.png) [@TroutMan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TroutMan)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2021, 5:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/70 "2021-01-18T17:29:37Z")

</div>

> [@Ulf\_the\_Unwashed](#):
>
> I see I’m one of the three who are “dead in the water.”
> 
> Told you I don’t know anything about football! 😊

If it makes you feel better - even though they didn’t work out, your picks still had the faint sheen of reality to them. Your cohorts in the “dead in the water group”…not so much.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Bullitt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bullitt/32/5725_2.png) [@Bullitt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bullitt)\
**Post date:** [January 20, 2021, 5:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/71 "2021-01-20T05:40:12Z")

</div>

What? No sheen of reality in my picking the Bills over the Redskins (yeah, I know) in the Super Bowl?

Yeah, I guess you’re right.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\
**Post date:** [January 24, 2021, 11:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/72 "2021-01-24T23:20:43Z")

</div>

My job just got really easy here.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Telemark](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/telemark/32/372_2.png) [@Telemark](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Telemark)\
**Post date:** [January 24, 2021, 11:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/73 "2021-01-24T23:25:59Z")

</div>

I’m guaranteed a podium.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![asahi](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/asahi/32/8693_2.png) [@asahi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asahi)\
**Post date:** [January 25, 2021, 12:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/74 "2021-01-25T00:07:58Z")

</div>

Well there goes my GB pick – thanks fer nothin’ Packers, lol!

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Telemark](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/telemark/32/372_2.png) [@Telemark](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Telemark)\
**Post date:** [January 25, 2021, 12:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/75 "2021-01-25T00:18:48Z")

</div>

For this competition I want the Chiefs, but in my heart I am rooting for the Bills.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\
**Post date:** [January 25, 2021, 12:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/76 "2021-01-25T00:28:02Z")

</div>

Don’t forget, if it goes Buccaneers/Bills, you’ll be tied with everyone that has the Bills in it.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Telemark](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/telemark/32/372_2.png) [@Telemark](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Telemark)\
**Post date:** [January 25, 2021, 1:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/77 "2021-01-25T01:11:19Z")

</div>

RIght, of course. I still want the Bills in my heart.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Atamasama](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/atamasama/32/12961_2.png) [@Atamasama](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Atamasama)\
**Post date:** [January 25, 2021, 2:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/78 "2021-01-25T02:40:01Z")

</div>

In one weekend I went from totally in to totally out. ☹

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Telemark](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/telemark/32/372_2.png) [@Telemark](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Telemark)\
**Post date:** [January 25, 2021, 3:15am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/79 "2021-01-25T03:15:16Z")

</div>

Um, did I win?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Atamasama](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/atamasama/32/12961_2.png) [@Atamasama](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Atamasama)\
**Post date:** [January 25, 2021, 3:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812/80 "2021-01-25T03:37:05Z")

</div>

You’re the only one with Bucs/Chiefs so I imagine you did. Well done.

[Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812.md?page=3)

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/18th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/929812.md?page=5)
