# 19th Annual Super Bowl Early Picks Thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/19th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/957529>\
**Category:** The Game Room\
**Tags:** football-nfl\
**Created:** [January 10, 2022, 5:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/19th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/957529 "2022-01-10T17:04:44Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 4

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**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\
**Post date:** [January 17, 2022, 9:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/19th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/957529/61 "2022-01-17T21:51:24Z")

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I’ll have the updated list tomorrow. Stupid Monday night playoff game.

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**Author:** ![Zakalwe](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/zakalwe/32/270_2.png) [@Zakalwe](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Zakalwe)\
**Post date:** [January 17, 2022, 11:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/19th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/957529/62 "2022-01-17T23:24:23Z")

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I was bored today… 🙂

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**Author:** ![3AxisCtrl](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/3/ecd19e/32.png) [@3AxisCtrl](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/3AxisCtrl)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2022, 1:43am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/19th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/957529/63 "2022-01-18T01:43:56Z")

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Deleted

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**Author:** ![Bullitt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bullitt/32/5725_2.png) [@Bullitt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bullitt)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2022, 10:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/19th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/957529/64 "2022-01-18T10:51:26Z")

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Here are last weekend’s results:

Winners, NFL 2021 Super Wildcard Weekend

- — Bengals 26 - 19 Raiders
- — Bills 47 - 17 Patriots
- — Buccaneers 31 - 15 Eagles
- — 49ers 23 - 17 Cowboys
- — Chiefs 42 - 21 Steelers
- — Rams 34 - 11 Cardinals

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Bullitt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bullitt/32/5725_2.png) [@Bullitt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bullitt)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2022, 10:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/19th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/957529/65 "2022-01-18T10:56:40Z")

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And here are next weekend’s divisional matchups. Each home team opened as -10 favorites:

NFL 2021 Divisional Round

Sat 22 Jan

- — Bengals @ Titans -10
- — 49ers @ Packers -10

Sun 23 Jan

- — Rams @ Buccaneers -10
- — Bills @ Chiefs -10

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**Author:** ![Jackknifed\_Juggernaut](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/9de053/32.png) [@Jackknifed\_Juggernaut](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jackknifed_Juggernaut)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2022, 12:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/19th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/957529/66 "2022-01-18T12:30:21Z")

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You sure about those? The lines don’t look right at all.

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**Author:** ![Railer13](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/railer13/32/9742_2.png) [@Railer13](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Railer13)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2022, 2:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/19th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/957529/67 "2022-01-18T14:33:15Z")

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> [@Bullitt](#):
>
> NFL 2021 Divisional Round
> 
> Sat 22 Jan
> 
> - — Bengals @ Titans -10
> - — 49ers @ Packers -10
> 
> Sun 23 Jan
> 
> - — Rams @ Buccaneers -10
> - — Bills @ Chiefs -10

No, that’s not right at all. Here is the line this morning from [vegasinsider.com](http://vegasinsider.com):

NFL 2021 Divisional Round

Sat 22 Jan

- — Bengals @ Titans -3.5 (opened at Titans -2.5)
- — 49ers @ Packers -5.5 (opened at Packers -4.5)

Sun 23 Jan

- — Rams @ Buccaneers -3 (opened at Bucs -2.5)
- — Bills @ Chiefs -2 (opened at Chiefs -2.5)

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2022, 3:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/19th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/957529/68 "2022-01-18T15:16:41Z")

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Still Perfect:  
**Justin\_Bailey:** Bills 34, Packers 20  
**pulykamell:** Bills 81, Packers 3  
**AlsoNamedBort:** Buccaneers 31, Bills 24  
**Jahiegel2.0:** Buccaneers 27, Chiefs 26  
**Precambrianmollusc:** Buccaneers 31, Chiefs 27  
**suntanlotiontwo:** Buccaneers 31, Chiefs 28  
**Zakalwe:** Buccaneers 31, Titans 24  
**dirtball:** Chiefs 24, Buccaneers 20  
**PackerMan2:** Chiefs 31, Buccaneers 27  
**Railer13:** Chiefs 31, Packers 27  
**Frosted\_Glass:** Chiefs 31, Packers 28  
**Jasmine:** Chiefs 37, Packers 33  
**Hampshire:** Packers 35, Bengals 23  
**Telemark:** Packers 33, Bills 17  
**ShadowFacts:** Packers 30, Chiefs 27  
**Hamlet:** Packers 30, Chiefs 28  
**FlikTheBlue:** Packers 31, Chiefs 17  
**Jackknifed\_Juggernaut:** Packers 33, Chiefs 24  
**borshevsky:** Packers 34, Chiefs 28  
**Akaj:** Packers 27, Titans 13  
**Bullitt:** Packers 35, Titans 31  
**Velocity:** Packers 36, Titans 27  
**LoneRhino:** Rams 34, Bengals 30  
**Wilson:** Rams 34, Bills 20  
**muldoonthief:** Titans 34, Buccaneers 24  
**Shoeless:** Titans 24, Packers 21  
**Procrustus:** Titans 38, Rams 27

One Down:  
**iiandyiiii:** Bengals 31, ~~Cardinals~~ 24  
**Askance:** 49ers 24, ~~Patriots~~ 18  
**eschereal:** Bills 9, ~~Cowboys~~ 2  
**hajario:** Buccaneers 34, ~~Patriots~~ 17  
**notfrommensa:** Buccaneers 34, ~~Patriots~~ 27  
**AncientHumanoid:** ~~Cardinals~~ 30, Bills 28  
**MadTheSwine:** ~~Cowboys~~ 48, Chiefs 45  
**zimaane:** ~~Cowboys~~ 44, Titans 31  
**Ulf\_the\_Unwashed:** ~~Patriots~~ 35, Buccaneers 24  
**peccavi:** ~~Raiders~~ 34, Buccaneers 31

One Down (No Chance):  
**Hal\_Briston:** Packers 23, ~~Patriots~~ 16

Out   
**Mighty\_Mouse:** ~~Patriots~~ 23, ~~Eagles~~ 17

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Bullitt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bullitt/32/5725_2.png) [@Bullitt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bullitt)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2022, 3:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/19th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/957529/69 "2022-01-18T15:30:50Z")

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I must’ve misread those lines. It was late.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Bullitt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bullitt/32/5725_2.png) [@Bullitt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bullitt)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2022, 3:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/19th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/957529/70 "2022-01-18T15:32:48Z")

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Thanks for the correction.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2022, 3:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/19th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/957529/71 "2022-01-18T15:33:50Z")

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Super Bowl options not picked:  
49ers vs Everyone  
Buccaneers vs Bengals  
Rams vs Chiefs

If you’re a One Down pick, this is what you’re rooting for.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Telemark](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/telemark/32/372_2.png) [@Telemark](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Telemark)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2022, 5:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/19th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/957529/72 "2022-01-18T17:15:57Z")

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> [@AlsoNamedBort](#):
>
> **Hal\_Briston:** Packers 23, ~~Patriots~~ 16

I assume this is because all remaining combinations of Packers vs AFC Champs are selected, and they would always win out over just picking one team in the Superbowl.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2022, 5:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/19th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/957529/73 "2022-01-18T17:17:24Z")

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> [@Telemark](#):
>
> I assume this is because all remaining combinations of Packers vs AFC Champs are selected, and they would always win out over just picking one team in the Superbowl.

Correct.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Telemark](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/telemark/32/372_2.png) [@Telemark](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Telemark)\
**Post date:** [January 18, 2022, 5:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/19th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/957529/74 "2022-01-18T17:28:27Z")

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Packers and Chiefs are the most popular picks, and the two of them in the Superbowl has the highest number of picks.

Bills vs Packers – 3  
Bills vs Bucs – 1  
Bills vs Rams – 1  
Bills vs 49ers – 0

Chiefs vs Packers – 8  
Chiefs vs Bucs – 5  
Chiefs vs Rams – 0  
Chiefs vs 49ers – 0

Bengals vs Packers – 1  
Bengals vs Bucs – 0  
Bengals vs Rams – 1  
Bengals vs 49ers – 0

Titans vs Packers - 4  
Titans vs Bucs - 2  
Titans vs Rams - 1  
Titans vs 49ers - 0

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![eschereal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/eschereal/32/18939_2.png) [@eschereal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/eschereal)\
**Post date:** [January 23, 2022, 4:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/19th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/957529/75 "2022-01-23T04:32:12Z")

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15 players knocked into one-down territory, 4 already out, and we still have half the weekend to go.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Bullitt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bullitt/32/5725_2.png) [@Bullitt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bullitt)\
**Post date:** [January 23, 2022, 11:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/19th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/957529/76 "2022-01-23T11:14:53Z")

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I picked #1 vs #1, the Titans vs the Packers. Well that’s now out but I’m happy that my 49ers have advanced to the NFC Championship game!

Woo-hoo!

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\
**Post date:** [January 23, 2022, 11:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/19th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/957529/77 "2022-01-23T11:49:55Z")

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I think I’m the only one who picked the Bengals to win. If they win the SB, does that mean I win the contest?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Zakalwe](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/zakalwe/32/270_2.png) [@Zakalwe](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Zakalwe)\
**Post date:** [January 23, 2022, 12:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/19th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/957529/78 "2022-01-23T12:26:43Z")

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Depends on who they play: LoneRhino has the Rams/Bengals and the tie-breaker is:

1. Picked both teams, got winner correct  
**2. Picked both teams, got winner wrong**
2. Picked winner correctly
3. Picked loser correctly
4. Closest to individual scores
5. Closest to predicted margin of victory

So if it’s Bengals/Rams, you’re dead in the water before the game is played.

FYI, I’m essentially dead - my only hope is that the Bucs play someone OTHER than the Chiefs or Bills and I get the score right.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Shoeless](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/shoeless/32/7099_2.png) [@Shoeless](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Shoeless)\
**Post date:** [January 23, 2022, 2:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/19th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/957529/79 "2022-01-23T14:57:03Z")

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Me too. Both #1s lost on last second field goals. Oh well - even though I picked GB in the Super Bowl, I’m glad they’re out.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![ShadowFacts](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/shadowfacts/32/2934_2.png) [@ShadowFacts](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ShadowFacts)\
**Post date:** [January 23, 2022, 3:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/19th-annual-super-bowl-early-picks-thread/957529/80 "2022-01-23T15:22:39Z")

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> [@Shoeless](#):
>
> ven though I picked GB in the Super Bowl, I’m glad they’re out.

Same. I think I still have a great chance to win: I just need either the Rams or 49ers get to the SB, beat the Chiefs, and I get the score exactly right. No problem! 🤣

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