# 2008 NFL Prop Bet Extravaganza (Cash Prizes!) **URL:** \ **Category:** The Game Room\ **Created:** [August 1, 2008, 11:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2008-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza-cash-prizes/458553 "2008-08-01T23:44:42Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 1
**Author:** ![VarlosZ](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/v/d78d45/32.png) [@VarlosZ](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/VarlosZ)\ **Post date:** [August 1, 2008, 11:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2008-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza-cash-prizes/458553/1 "2008-08-01T23:44:42Z")
Welcome, friends, to the 1st Annual SDMB NFL Prop Bet Extravaganza! Below are 31 proposition bets and/or futures bets about the 2008 NFL regular season (a separate playoff version when the time comes is a possibility). Most of the wagers and odds are taken from various online sports books, but some are of my own design. Notes: – [Vigorish](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vigorish) is factored into the odds; in part, this is because I want to track my “winnings” as the bookmaker. Keep in mind that the vigorish will not be the same size for all wagers. – Every wager will have odds associated with it. The odds will be listed in “[moneyline](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fixed-odds_gambling#Moneyline_odds)” (+/-) style. So, for example: _Will Andy Reid shave his mustache on or before December 31st, 2008? Yes +1200 No -1500_ In this case, a “Yes” wager of $100 will pay $1,200 if it wins, while betting “No” requires you to risk $1,500 in order to win $100. Note that some bets will involve a point spread or an Over/Under line in addition to the moneyline odds. If at any time you’re confused by the odds listed, please ask for a clarification. – For some of the questions, the options will not be comprehensive. For reasons of space it’s just not practical to offer odds on, say, all 32 starting QBs, in which case I just picked the options I found most interesting. **RULES:** 1. Each contestant has $5,000 with which to gamble. The minimum wager is $100, the maximum wager is $500, and all wagers must be in multiples of $100 (so there are only five possible sizes for any given bet). At least 60% ($3,000) of the $5,000 bankroll must be put at risk. Within those limits, players may make as few or as many bets as they wish, on whichever questions they choose. They may, if they desire, place more than one wager on a single question (e.g., wagering on both the Colts and the Jaguars to win the AFC South), but they may not exceed the $500 bet limit by this method (e.g. betting on the Colts to win the AFC South two separate times). If there’s a tie in a _“Which X will finish the season with the most/fewest Y?”_ question, both of the qualifying options will pay out; this possibility will be factored into the vigorish. 2) As in the real world, **the odds will change from time to time** in response to both real world developments (e.g. injuries) and unbalanced wagering. Just like an actual sportsbook, I will seek to limit the degree to which my profits depend on particular outcomes. So, in the example above, if 90% of the early action came in on Andy Reid **not** shaving his mustache, I would probably alter the odds to make “Yes” a more attractive option. **Therefore, it is extremely important that you scan the thread for the latest odds before placing your wagers.** When I change the odds, I will say so in **BIG RED LETTERS** at the top of a post listing the latest information for all wagers (not just the ones that have been altered). In all likelihood, new odds will be posted every 4-8 days, roughly. Naturally, changes in the odds only affect future wagers; once you place your bets, they are locked in at the odds that were current at the time of the wager. 3) Each player may submit up to three “Bet Sheets” – that is, you don’t have to wager all of your $5,000 in one post, but may instead spread it out over two or three posts . This may be a useful option if you anticipate the odds moving in one direction or another and want to lock in one set of odds while waiting for others to become more favorable. Players may “add on” to a previous wager so long as the combined amount does not exceed the $500 limit. Players may also bet opposing sides of a given wager, either because they want to take advantage of changes in the odds, or simply because they’ve had a change of heart and want to “buy back” a previous bet. Any player submitting a second or third Bet Sheet must clearly identify it as such at the top their post. Players are responsible for keeping track of how much money they have left to risk. Any player who accidentally wagers more than $5,000 will have his or her most profitable bets voided until the total amount risked is back within the limit. 4) All bets are final – once you can no longer edit your post, you can no longer edit your wagers. 5) Format: Deviations from the proper format for listing wagers will not be penalized so long as the particulars of the wager are clearly discernible, but try to stick to the following boilerplate: Question#) Question **$Wager Amount – Answer, Odds** Sample: #3) Which bird-themed team will finish with the best record? **$300 – Baltimore Ravens, +225** . . . Or, for multiple wagers on the same question: #7) Which QB will throw for the most yards? **$500 – Peyton Manning, +400 $100 – Jason Campbell, +5000** 6) Deadline: All Bet Sheets must be posted no later than **Thursday, September 4th, at 7:00 PM EST**. 7) Prizes: The aim of the contest is to finish with the most money. 1st Place wins $40, 2nd Place wins $20, 3rd Place wins $10. Anyone who wants to donate $5 to the contest to help pay for the prize pool is welcome to do so, but donations are **not** expected (let alone required). If donations were to somehow exceed the prize pool, I would increase the prizes by 50% (so that I can’t theoretically turn a profit). The initial odds will be listed below. Good luck everyone! ---
**Author:** ![VarlosZ](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/v/d78d45/32.png) [@VarlosZ](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/VarlosZ)\ **Post date:** [August 1, 2008, 11:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2008-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza-cash-prizes/458553/2 "2008-08-01T23:45:50Z")
INITIAL ODDS – 8/01, 19:45 EST #1) Which conference will have a better record in inter-conference games? AFC -200 NFC +150 #2) Which division will have the best cumulative record? AFC South +240 NFC East +240 NFC North +450 AFC North +540 NFC South +720 AFC East +920 AFC West +3900 NFC West +3900 #3) Which division will have the worst cumulative record? NFC West +300 AFC West +300 AFC East +450 AFC North +530 NFC South +580 NFC North +720 NFC East +1900 AFC South +1900 #4) Name **six** teams that will not make the playoffs (all six must be correct). -140 #5) Name **three** teams that will win their division (all three must be correct). -120 #6) Name **four** teams that will win their division (all four must be correct). +160 #7) Will a Head Coach be fired before the start of Week 17? Yes -250 No +150 #8) Will the largest point spread of the season by OVER or UNDER 19.0 (as per the Friday NY Post)? OVER 19.0 -120 UNDER 19.0 -130 #9) Will the average number of total points scored in 2008 regular season games be OVER or UNDER 43.4? OVER 43.4 -105 UNDER 43.4 -130 #10) Will the number of **TD Passes** thrown by LaDanian Tomlinson be OVER or UNDER 0.5? OVER 0.5 -125 UNDER 0.5 -125 #11) Who will win the AFC East? New England -1000 Buffalo +850 NY Jets +1200 Miami +2500 #12) Who will win the AFC North? Pittsburgh +110 Cleveland +175 Cincinnati +500 Baltimore +800 #13) Who will win the AFC South? Indianapolis -160 Jacksonville +220 Tennessee +700 Houston +1600 #14) Who will win the AFC West? San Diego -400 Denver +500 Oakland +1000 Kansas City +1100 #15) Who will win the NFC East? Dallas -110 NY Giants +275 Philadelphia +325 Washington +600 #16) Who will win the NFC North? Minnesota +150 Green Bay +190 Chicago +325 Detroit +650 #17 Who will win the NFC South? New Orleans +120 Tampa Bay +200 Carolina +250 Atlanta +1800 #18) Who will win the NFC West? Seattle -135 Arizona +250 St. Louis +550 San Francisco +750 #19) Where will the New York Giants finish in their division? 1st +275 2nd +250 3rd +225 4th 275 #20) Where will the Pittsburgh Steelers finish in their division? 1st +110 2nd +220 3rd +330 4th +600 #21) Where will the Arizona Cardinals finish in their division? 1st +250 2nd +185 3rd +250 4th +350 #22) Week 1, Washington @ NY Giants; who wins? Washington **+3.5** -115 NY Giants **-3.5** -115 #23) Week 9, New England @ Indianapolis; who wins? New England **-2.5** -115 Indianapolis **+2.5** -115 #24) Who will have the most passing yards in the NFL? Tom Brady +250 Peyton Manning +400 Carson Palmer +450 Drew Brees +500 Tony Romo +650 Jon Kitna +1500 Derek Anderson +2000 Matt Leinart +3000 David Garrard +6000 Any Other -110 #25) Who will have the most rushing yards in the NFL? Adrian Peterson +220 LaDanian Tomlinson +250 Steven Jackson +700 Jamal Lewis +900 Willie Parker +1200 Joseph Addai +1400 Marion Barber +1400 Brian Westbrook +1500 Ryan Grant +1500 Larry Johnson +1800 Frank Gore +2000 Marshawn Lynch +2500 Darren McFadden +4000 Any Other -180 #26) Who will have the most receiving yards in the NFL? Randy Moss +400 Reggie Wayne +450 Larry Fitzgerald +500 Terrell Owens +550 Steve Smith +600 Braylon Edwards +900 Chad Johnson +1000 Marques Colston +1000 Andre Johnson +1200 Anquan Boldin +1600 Santonio Holmes +2700 Dwayne Bowe +2800 Calvin Johnson +3500 Any Other -300 #27) Which team will have more regular season wins, NE or NYG? New England -3.5 wins -115 NY Giants +3.5 wins -125 #28) Odds to make the playoffs: Baltimore +350 Buffalo +300 Chicago +175 Cleveland +110 Jacksonville -120 Minnesota +100 New Orleans -150 NY Giants +135 Tampa Bay +100 #29) Which team will win the most regular season games? New England +180 Indianapolis +500 San Diego +900 Dallas +900 Green Bay +950 Jacksonville +1050 NY Giants +1350 Tennessee +1400 Philadelphia +2400 Any Other +200 #30) Which team will win the fewest regular season games? Miami +475 Atlanta +475 San Francisco +660 St. Louis +660 Oakland +900 Detroit +900 Kansas City +1150 NY Jets +1350 Any Other +140 #31) What will be the average amount of “money” **lost** by the participants in this contest? OVER $450 -125 UNDER $450 -125 ---
**Author:** ![VarlosZ](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/v/d78d45/32.png) [@VarlosZ](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/VarlosZ)\ **Post date:** [August 1, 2008, 11:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2008-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza-cash-prizes/458553/3 "2008-08-01T23:53:30Z")
EDIT: Question #19, “Where will the NY Giants finish in their division” – the odds of a 4th place finish are \*\*+\*\*275. ---
**Author:** ![Jules\_Andre](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jules_andre/32/9334_2.png) [@Jules\_Andre](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jules_Andre)\ **Post date:** [August 2, 2008, 2:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2008-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza-cash-prizes/458553/4 "2008-08-02T02:05:32Z")
Yay fun! I’m going for broke! #2) Which division will have the best cumulative record? **$200 – NFC East, +240** #3) Which division will have the worst cumulative record? **$100 – AFC West, +300** #6) Name four teams that will win their division (all four must be correct). **$500 – SD, Sea, NE, Dal; +160** #12) Who will win the AFC North? **$200 – Cleveland, +175** #17 Who will win the NFC South? **$100 – Carolina, +250** #19) Where will the New York Giants finish in their division? **$100 – 3rd, +225** #20) Where will the Pittsburgh Steelers finish in their division? **$200 – 2nd, +220** #24) Who will have the most passing yards in the NFL? **$200 – Drew Brees, +500** #25) Who will have the most rushing yards in the NFL? **$200 – Adrian Peterson, +220 $200 – Marion Barber, +1400** #28) Odds to make the playoffs: **$500 – Cleveland, +110** #29) Which team will win the most regular season games? **$300 – Dallas, +900** #30) Which team will win the fewest regular season games? **$200 – Miami, +475** (Btw, for props 24-26, did you mean to make the “any other” option an unfavorable bet? Is it really a “favorite” that someone other than the best at each position will win the yardage crown? Just curious) ---
**Author:** ![VarlosZ](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/v/d78d45/32.png) [@VarlosZ](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/VarlosZ)\ **Post date:** [August 2, 2008, 2:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2008-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza-cash-prizes/458553/5 "2008-08-02T02:37:53Z")
> [@](#): > > (Btw, for props 24-26, did you mean to make the “any other” option an unfavorable bet? Is it really a “favorite” that someone other than the best at each position will win the yardage crown? Just curious) Yeah, that’s right. I mean, it’s possible the odds are “off,” but they’re listed as I intended. There are a lot more players included in “Other” than those that are listed individually, and not all of the Others are huge longshots – a lot of them are middle of the pack as far as the odds are concerned, I just chose not to list them in favor of some (IMO) interesting longshots. For WRs, for instance, “Any Other” includes 51 of the 64 starters, as well as the odd breakout rookie or 2nd stringer who takes over due to injury. ---
**Author:** ![MadTheSwine](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/9fc29f/32.png) [@MadTheSwine](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MadTheSwine)\ **Post date:** [August 2, 2008, 2:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2008-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza-cash-prizes/458553/6 "2008-08-02T14:48:59Z")
#2) Which division will have the best cumulative record? $500 NFC West +3900 #3) Which division will have the worst cumulative record? $500 NFC North +720 #11) Who will win the AFC East? $500 NY Jets +1200 #13) Who will win the AFC South? $500 Houston +1600 #16) Who will win the NFC North? $500 Chicago +325 #18) Who will win the NFC West? $ 500 St. Louis +550 #21) Where will the Arizona Cardinals finish in their division? $500 4th +350 #25) Who will have the most rushing yards in the NFL? $500 Steven Jackson +700 #28) Odds to make the playoffs: $500 Chicago +175 #30) Which team will win the fewest regular season games? $500 Detroit +900 ---
**Author:** ![MadTheSwine](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/9fc29f/32.png) [@MadTheSwine](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MadTheSwine)\ **Post date:** [August 8, 2008, 2:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2008-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza-cash-prizes/458553/7 "2008-08-08T14:55:36Z")
I thought there would be more interest in this…or are ya’ll waiting til the season gets closer? ---
**Author:** ![Taber](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/ac91a4/32.png) [@Taber](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Taber)\ **Post date:** [August 8, 2008, 5:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2008-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza-cash-prizes/458553/8 "2008-08-08T17:55:14Z")
#2) Which division will have the best cumulative record? $500 – AFC South, +240 #3) Which division will have the worst cumulative record? $500 – NFC West, +300 #5) Name **three** teams that will win their division (all three must be correct). $100 – Patriots Colts Chargers, -120 #6) Name **four** teams that will win their division (all four must be correct). $100 – Patriots, Colts, Chargers, Green Bay, +160 #10) Will the number of **TD Passes** thrown by LaDanian Tomlinson be OVER or UNDER 0.5? $100 – UNDER 0.5, -125 #13) Who will win the AFC South? $100 – Jacksonville, +220 #16) Who will win the NFC North? $500 – Green Bay, +190 #17 Who will win the NFC South? $100 – New Orleans, +120 #24) Who will have the most passing yards in the NFL? $300 – Tom Brady, +250 #28) Odds to make the playoffs: $100 – Jacksonville, -120 $100 – Minnesota, +1000 #29) Which team will win the most regular season games? $100 – New England, +180 #30) Which team will win the fewest regular season games? $500 – Miami, +475 ---
**Author:** ![VarlosZ](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/v/d78d45/32.png) [@VarlosZ](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/VarlosZ)\ **Post date:** [August 8, 2008, 7:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2008-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza-cash-prizes/458553/9 "2008-08-08T19:55:13Z")
[QUOTE=MadTheSwine] I thought there would be more interest in this…or are ya’ll waiting til the season gets closer? [/QUOTE] Me too, actually, but (A) there’s a built in motivation for people to maybe wait, (B) interest will pick up as fantasy leagues start getting ready in earnest (and as I start spamming them in earnest), and (C) the SDMB doesn’t have a huge population of sports fans, and among them the football fans seem less numerous than, say, baseball fans. I always forget this when I start a sports-themed thread and expect it to get a lot of responses. (Oh, and there aren’t a whole lot of gamblers, either). OTOH, free equity, you know? If you just pick 10 bets that are close to even money and bet the max on each one, you’re volatility is such that you definitely have a shot, even if you know nothing about football. Speaking of which, a word on strategy: Most of the questions are negative EV no matter what you choose, so the way to maximize your expected value is obviously to risk the minimum ($3000). However, maximizing your $EV is probably **not** the same as maximizing your chance of finishing in the top 3. I could certainly be wrong, but I think that the person who wins is probably not going to be someone who keeps $2000 in his bank and stays as close as he can to break-even. The person who wins is going to be outlier, someone who gets lucky on a large number of bets and winds up with an improbable total. If we were placing bets and then running the football season a thousand times, the former strategy would dominate. Since we’re only running the season once, however, volatility is at least as important as EV. IMO. I don’t do this for a living, so if you have a different idea, you may want to run with it. ---
**Author:** ![Cyberhwk](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/7993a0/32.png) [@Cyberhwk](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Cyberhwk)\ **Post date:** [August 8, 2008, 10:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2008-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza-cash-prizes/458553/10 "2008-08-08T22:57:34Z")
I am so DEFINITELY in! However, every season some start gets injured in a meaningless pre-season game, so count me among those that are going to wait. Good luck **VarlosZ** …this could end up being a major undertaking. ---
**Author:** ![Leaper](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/4bbf92/32.png) [@Leaper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Leaper)\ **Post date:** [August 9, 2008, 12:44am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2008-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza-cash-prizes/458553/11 "2008-08-09T00:44:46Z")
I am intrigued. However, I was hoping (this being prop bets) for more weird stuff, like the mustache shaving example. 🙂 ---
**Author:** ![Taber](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/ac91a4/32.png) [@Taber](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Taber)\ **Post date:** [August 11, 2008, 5:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2008-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza-cash-prizes/458553/12 "2008-08-11T05:37:50Z")
Say, for the ‘most wins’ and ‘least wins’ questions, what happens in case of a tie? Do we do NFL play-off tiebreakers? no winners? multiple correct winners? ---
**Author:** ![Omniscient](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/omniscient/32/3290_2.png) [@Omniscient](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Omniscient)\ **Post date:** [August 11, 2008, 6:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2008-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza-cash-prizes/458553/13 "2008-08-11T06:22:24Z")
Just wanted to chime in and let you know I’m going to be all over this but I am waiting until the deadline to make my bets. Being limited to 3 wager sheets makes me not want to shoot my wad. ---
**Author:** ![VarlosZ](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/v/d78d45/32.png) [@VarlosZ](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/VarlosZ)\ **Post date:** [August 11, 2008, 9:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2008-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza-cash-prizes/458553/14 "2008-08-11T09:52:28Z")
[QUOTE=Taber] Say, for the ‘most wins’ and ‘least wins’ questions, what happens in case of a tie? Do we do NFL play-off tiebreakers? no winners? multiple correct winners? [/QUOTE] From the OP: > [@](#): > > If there’s a tie in a “_Which X will finish the season with the most/fewest Y?_” question, both of the qualifying options will pay out; this possibility will be factored into the vigorish. ---
**Author:** ![Omniscient](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/omniscient/32/3290_2.png) [@Omniscient](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Omniscient)\ **Post date:** [August 11, 2008, 6:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2008-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza-cash-prizes/458553/15 "2008-08-11T18:24:51Z")
Another question. For the “Team A Will Win The Division” bets will you be basing it solely on record and paying out for ties or will you base it on the NFL’s tie breaker system and only pay out the team seeded higher in the playoffs? ---
**Author:** ![VarlosZ](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/v/d78d45/32.png) [@VarlosZ](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/VarlosZ)\ **Post date:** [August 12, 2008, 12:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2008-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza-cash-prizes/458553/16 "2008-08-12T00:23:48Z")
No ties in division winner bets; only teams that officially win their divisions will pay out. ---
**Author:** ![RetroVertigo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/b38774/32.png) [@RetroVertigo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RetroVertigo)\ **Post date:** [August 12, 2008, 4:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2008-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza-cash-prizes/458553/17 "2008-08-12T04:52:40Z")
**VarlosZ** I sent you a private message. I plan on placing a few bets but not until closer to the start of the season. ---
**Author:** ![VarlosZ](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/v/d78d45/32.png) [@VarlosZ](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/VarlosZ)\ **Post date:** [August 22, 2008, 12:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2008-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza-cash-prizes/458553/18 "2008-08-22T00:02:56Z")
ODDS REVISION #1 – 8/21, 20:05 EDT \*Not many big changes, but I did tamp down the vig on some bets to encourage action. The few significant shifts almost all have to do do with Favre moving to the Jets. In addition, Favre and the Jets have been added as options to questions 24 and 28, respectively, and I’ve added two news questions (numbers 32 and 33) which are now a lot more interesting. - = The odds have been revised in this post.\* - #1) Which conference will have a better record in inter-conference games? AFC -195 NFC +160 - #2) Which division will have the best cumulative record? AFC South +225 NFC East +225 NFC North +460 AFC North +550 NFC South +730 AFC East +900 AFC West +4000 NFC West +3900 - #3) Which division will have the worst cumulative record? NFC West +280 AFC West +280 AFC East +480 AFC North +540 NFC South +590 NFC North +710 NFC East +2000 AFC South +2000 - #4) Name **six** teams that will not make the playoffs (all six must be correct). -130 #5) Name **three** teams that will win their division (all three must be correct). -120 #6) Name **four** teams that will win their division (all four must be correct). +160 - #7) Will a Head Coach be fired before the start of Week 17? Yes -230 No +160 - #8) Will the largest point spread of the season by OVER or UNDER 19.0 (as per the Friday NY Post)? OVER 19.0 -115 UNDER 19.0 -125 - #9) Will the average number of total points scored in 2008 regular season games be OVER or UNDER 43.4? OVER 43.4 -105 UNDER 43.4 -125 - #10) Will the number of **TD Passes** thrown by LaDanian Tomlinson be OVER or UNDER 0.5? OVER 0.5 -120 UNDER 0.5 -125 - #11) Who will win the AFC East? New England -850 Buffalo +950 NY Jets +900 Miami +2500 #12) Who will win the AFC North? Pittsburgh +110 Cleveland +175 Cincinnati +500 Baltimore +800 - #13) Who will win the AFC South? Indianapolis -130 Jacksonville +190 Tennessee +800 Houston +1400 #14) Who will win the AFC West? San Diego -400 Denver +500 Oakland +1000 Kansas City +1100 - #15) Who will win the NFC East? Dallas -110 NY Giants +275 Philadelphia +350 Washington +600 #16) Who will win the NFC North? Minnesota +150 Green Bay +190 Chicago +325 Detroit +650 #17 Who will win the NFC South? New Orleans +120 Tampa Bay +200 Carolina +250 Atlanta +1800 #18) Who will win the NFC West? Seattle -135 Arizona +250 St. Louis +550 San Francisco +750 #19) Where will the New York Giants finish in their division? 1st +275 2nd +250 3rd +225 4th +275 #20) Where will the Pittsburgh Steelers finish in their division? 1st +110 2nd +220 3rd +330 4th +600 #21) Where will the Arizona Cardinals finish in their division? 1st +250 2nd +185 3rd +250 4th +350 #22) Week 1, Washington @ NY Giants; who wins? Washington **+3.5** -115 NY Giants **-3.5** -115 #23) Week 9, New England @ Indianapolis; who wins? New England **-2.5** -115 Indianapolis **+2.5** -115 - #24) Who will have the most passing yards in the NFL? Tom Brady +240 Peyton Manning +450 Carson Palmer +450 Drew Brees +500 Tony Romo +650 **Brett Favre +850** Jon Kitna +1500 Derek Anderson +2000 Matt Leinart +3000 David Garrard +6000 Any Other +100 - #25) Who will have the most rushing yards in the NFL? Adrian Peterson +210 LaDanian Tomlinson +250 Steven Jackson +650 Jamal Lewis +900 Willie Parker +1200 Joseph Addai +1400 Marion Barber +1350 Brian Westbrook +1500 Ryan Grant +1500 Larry Johnson +1800 Frank Gore +2000 Marshawn Lynch +2500 Darren McFadden +4000 Any Other -140 - #26) Who will have the most receiving yards in the NFL? Randy Moss +400 Reggie Wayne +450 Larry Fitzgerald +500 Terrell Owens +550 Steve Smith +600 Braylon Edwards +900 Chad Johnson +1000 Marques Colston +1000 Andre Johnson +1200 Anquan Boldin +1600 Santonio Holmes +2700 Dwayne Bowe +2800 Calvin Johnson +3500 Any Other -275 - #27) Which team will have more regular season wins, NE or NYG? New England -3.5 wins -110 NY Giants +3.5 wins -120 - #28) Odds to make the playoffs: Baltimore +350 Buffalo +300 Chicago +160 Cleveland +105 Jacksonville -120 Minnesota +100 New Orleans -150 NY Giants +135 Tampa Bay +100 **NY Jets +250** #29) Which team will win the most regular season games? New England +180 Indianapolis +500 San Diego +900 Dallas +900 Green Bay +950 Jacksonville +1050 NY Giants +1350 Tennessee +1400 Philadelphia +2400 Any Other +200 - #30) Which team will win the fewest regular season games? Miami +420 Atlanta +475 San Francisco +660 St. Louis +660 Oakland +900 Detroit +825 Kansas City +1150 NY Jets +1350 Any Other +140 - #31) What will be the average amount of “money” **lost** by the participants in this contest? OVER $450 -120 UNDER $450 -120 **#32) Where will the New York Jets finish in their division?** 1st +900 2nd +165 3rd +180 4th +270 **#33) Who will finish the season with more passing yards: Brett Favre or Aaron Rodgers?** Brett Favre -150 Aaron Rodgers +120 ---
**Author:** ![Hamlet](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hamlet/32/2818_2.png) [@Hamlet](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hamlet)\ **Post date:** [August 22, 2008, 1:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2008-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza-cash-prizes/458553/19 "2008-08-22T01:32:26Z")
Great Idea, Varlozzzz. I’ll be more than happy to give this a shot. Here you go: - #2) Which division will have the best cumulative record? $200 AFC South +225 $200 NFC North +460 - #3) Which division will have the worst cumulative record? $100 NFC East +2000 #6) Name **four** teams that will win their division (all four must be correct). $200 Patriots, Chargers, Seahawks, Colts +160 - #7) Will a Head Coach be fired before the start of Week 17? $230 Yes -230 - #10) Will the number of **TD Passes** thrown by LaDanian Tomlinson be OVER or UNDER 0.5? $240 OVER 0.5 -120 #12) Who will win the AFC North? $100 Cincinnati +500 - #13) Who will win the AFC South? $100 Jacksonville +190 #16) Who will win the NFC North? $500 Green Bay +190 #18) Who will win the NFC West? $200 St. Louis +550 #21) Where will the Arizona Cardinals finish in their division? $200 3rd +250 #22) Week 1, Washington @ NY Giants; who wins? $230 Washington **+3.5** -115 #23) Week 9, New England @ Indianapolis; who wins? $460 Indianapolis **+2.5** -115 - #24) Who will have the most passing yards in the NFL? $100 Drew Brees +500 - #25) Who will have the most rushing yards in the NFL? $100 Steven Jackson +650 - #26) Who will have the most receiving yards in the NFL? $100 Andre Johnson +1200 - #28) Odds to make the playoffs: $100 Buffalo +300 - #30) Which team will win the fewest regular season games? $100 Oakland +900 - #31) What will be the average amount of “money” **lost** by the participants in this contest? $720 OVER $450 -120 **#33) Who will finish the season with more passing yards: Brett Favre or Aaron Rodgers?** $240 Aaron Rodgers ---
**Author:** ![VarlosZ](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/v/d78d45/32.png) [@VarlosZ](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/VarlosZ)\ **Post date:** [August 22, 2008, 3:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2008-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza-cash-prizes/458553/20 "2008-08-22T03:21:53Z")
**Hamlet** , re-read Rule #1 in the OP: > [@](#): > > 1. Each contestant has $5,000 with which to gamble. The minimum wager is $100, the maximum wager is $500, and all wagers must be in multiples of $100 (so there are only five possible sizes for any given bet). The bets that have invalid amounts are each going to be rounded **down** to the nearest hundred (so your bet for #23 becomes $400, for #31 becomes $500, etc.). If my count is correct, you still have $1,000 with which to wager (but be sure to double-check yourself before making additional bets). [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2008-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza-cash-prizes/458553.md?page=2)