# 2009 NFL Prop Bet Extravaganza **URL:** \ **Category:** The Game Room\ **Created:** [August 9, 2009, 9:56pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2009-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza/505871 "2009-08-09T21:56:03Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 2
**Author:** ![Cyberhwk](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/7993a0/32.png) [@Cyberhwk](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Cyberhwk)\ **Post date:** [September 10, 2009, 10:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2009-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza/505871/21 "2009-09-10T22:53:07Z")
- #2) Which division will have the best cumulative record? NFC East +300 **($200 - NFC East)** #4) Name **six** teams that will not make the playoffs (all six must be correct). -130 **($400 - Rams, 49ers, Browns, Bengals, Raiders, Chiefs)** #7) Will a Head Coach be fired before the start of Week 17? Yes -330 **($400 - Yes)** #8) Will the largest point spread of the season by OVER or UNDER 17.25 (as per [goldsheet.com](http://www.goldsheet.com/08nflog.php))? UNDER 17.25 -110 **($400 - Under)** #10) Will the number of **TD Passes** thrown by LaDanian Tomlinson be OVER or UNDER 0.5? UNDER 0.5 -135 **($200 - Under)** #15) Who will win the NFC East? Dallas +275 **($100 - Dallas)** \*#16) Who will win the NFC North? Green Bay +230 **($100 - Green Bay)** #17 Who will win the NFC South? Atlanta +225 **($100 - Atlanta)** #18) Who will win the NFC West? Seattle +210 **($400 - Seattle)** #20) Who will have the most rushing yards in the NFL? Matt Forte +2500 **($100 - Matt Forte)** #29) Which team will win more regular season games? Pittsburgh -2, -110 **($400 - Pittsburgh)** #31) Which team will win more regular season games? New England -7, -125 **($200 - New England -7)** #33) Which player will throw more TD passes? Tom Brady -5.5, -120 **($200 - Tom Brady)** #36) Who will be the Offensive Rookie of the Year? Mark Sanchez +700 **($100 - Mark Sanchez)** Matthew Stafford +800 **($100 - Matt Stafford)** Percy Harvin +1000 **($100 - Percy Harvin)** #37) Who will be the Defensive Rookie of the Year? Brian Arakpo +1000 **($100 - Brian Arakpo)** #42) What will be the average amount of “money” **lost** by the participants in this contest (not including money won or lost on this question)? OVER $1000 -120 **($400 - Over $1000)** 😉 Should be **$4000** on the money. ---
**Author:** ![VarlosZ](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/v/d78d45/32.png) [@VarlosZ](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/VarlosZ)\ **Post date:** [September 10, 2009, 11:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2009-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza/505871/22 "2009-09-10T23:01:28Z")
- #2) Which division will have the best cumulative record? $200 NFC North +750 \*#3) Which division will have the worst cumulative record? $200 AFC East +1175 #4) Name **six** teams that will not make the playoffs (all six must be correct). -130 $400 Det, Buf, KC, SF, NYJ, Oak #7) Will a Head Coach be fired before the start of Week 17? $300 Yes -330 #9) Will the average number of total points scored in 2009 regular season games be OVER or UNDER 44.06 (i.e., last year’s average)? $300 UNDER 44.06 -125 #10) Will the number of **TD Passes** thrown by LaDanian Tomlinson be OVER or UNDER 0.5? $400 UNDER 0.5 -135 #14) Who will win the AFC West? $300 San Diego -350 #17 Who will win the NFC South? $100 New Orleans +200 #18) Who will win the NFC West? $200 Seattle +210 \*#19) Who will have the most passing yards in the NFL? $100 Tom Brady +600 $200 Phillip Rivers +1400 #20) Who will have the most rushing yards in the NFL? $100 Steve Slaton +1420 $100 Brandon Jacobs +2000 #21) Who will have the most receiving yards in the NFL? $200 Any Other +100 \*#23) Which team will win the **most** regular season games? (In the event of a tie, all qualifying teams will pay out, including “Any Other.”) $200 San Diego +500 #28) Which team will score more points during the regular season? $200 Detroit -125 #29) Which team will win more regular season games? $200 Pittsburgh -2, -110 #35) Which QB drafted in 2004 will throw for the most yards? $100 Matt Schaub +950 #37) Who will be the Defensive Rookie of the Year? $200 Any Other +400 #38) Will the player who scores the most total fantasy points be a QB, RB, or WR, given the following settings: _25/10/10, 0.5 points per reception, Passing TD = 4 points, Rushing/Receiving TDs = 6 points, fumbles lost/interceptions = -2 points_? $200 Quarterback -200 #42) What will be the average amount of “money” **lost** by the participants in this contest (not including money won or lost on this question)? $400 OVER $1000 -120 ---
**Author:** ![Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/e8c25b/32.png) [@Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Really_Not_All_That_Bright)\ **Post date:** [September 10, 2009, 11:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2009-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza/505871/23 "2009-09-10T23:20:15Z")
> [@](#): > > #3) Which division will have the worst cumulative record? > AFC West +265 > NFC West +290 > NFC North +525 > AFC North +950 > NFC South + 1050 > AFC East +1200 > AFC South +2500 > NFC East +2500 I’ll take the NFC South for $2000. > [@](#): > > #41) Week 10, New England @ Indianapolis, who wins? > New England -2.5, -105 > Indianapolis +2.5, -125 $500 on Indy. > [@](#): > > #22) Which player will record the most sacks? > DeMarcus Ware +500 > Joey Porter +600 > John Abraham +700 > James Harrison +900 > Jared Allen +900 > Julius Peppers +900 > Justin Tuck +900 > Mario Williams +900 > Osi Umenyiora +900 > Shawne Merriman +1200 > Dwight Freeney +1400 > Trent Cole +1800 > Mathias Kiwanuka +3000 > Terrell Suggs +3000 > Any Other -200 $500 on Freeney. > [@](#): > > #21) Who will have the most receiving yards in the NFL? > Andre Johnson +500 > Larry Fitzgerald +600 > Reggie Wayne +700 > Steve Smith +700 > Randy Moss +800 > Calvin Johnson +1000 > Greg Jennings +1400 > Marques Colston +1600 > Roddy White +1600 > Dwayne Bowe +1800 > Wes Welker +2000 > Braylon Edwards +3000 > Santonio Holmes +3000 > Any Other +100 $500 on Colston. > [@](#): > > #36) Who will be the Offensive Rookie of the Year? > Knowshon Moreno +150 > Chris Wells +250 > Donald Brown +500 > Mark Sanchez +700 > Matthew Stafford +800 > Percy Harvin +1000 > LeSean McCoy +1200 > Michael Crabtree +1300 > Shonn Green +1400 > Josh Freeman +1400 > Jeremy Macklin +1800 > Hakeem Nicks +1800 > Darrius Heyward-Bay +1800 > Andre Brown +2000 > Brian Robiskie +2000 > Kenny Britt +2000 > Mike Thomas +2500 > Pat White +3000 > Mohamed Massaquoi +3000 > Brandon Pettigrew +3000 > Any Other +500 $500 on Pettigrew. With my remaining $1000: > [@](#): > > #18) Who will win the NFC West? > Arizona +140 > Seattle +210 > San Francisco +240 > St. Louis +1100 St. Louis. ---
**Author:** ![Omniscient](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/omniscient/32/3290_2.png) [@Omniscient](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Omniscient)\ **Post date:** [September 10, 2009, 11:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2009-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza/505871/24 "2009-09-10T23:32:22Z")
#4) Name **six** teams that will not make the playoffs (all six must be correct). -130 **$400 – Detroit, Kansas City, St. Louis, Oakland, Buffalo, Tampa Bay -130** #5) Name **three** teams that will win their division (all three must be correct). -120 **$400 – San Diego, New England, Arizona** , -120 #6) Name **four** teams that will win their division (all four must be correct). +160 **$100 – San Diego, New England, Arizona, Green Bay** , -160 **$100 – San Diego, New England, Arizona, Baltimore** , -160 #7) Will a Head Coach be fired before the start of Week 17? **$100 – Yes -330** #11) Who will win the AFC East? New England -450 New York Jets +800 Miami +800 Buffalo +900 **$100 – New York Jets, +800** #12) Who will win the AFC North? Pittsburgh -250 Baltimore +300 Cincinnati +900 Cleveland +1200 **$100 – Baltimore, +300** #15) Who will win the NFC East? New York Giants +165 Philadelphia +200 Dallas +275 Washington +600 **$100 – Washington, +600** \*#16) Who will win the NFC North? Minnesota +150 Chicago +165 Green Bay +230 Detroit +1800 **$100 – Green Bay, +230** \*#19) Who will have the most passing yards in the NFL? Drew Brees +225 Tom Brady +600 Kurt Warner +700 Peyton Manning +700 Aaron Rodgers +1400 Phillip Rivers +1400 Tony Romo +1600 Matt Ryan +1800 Eli Manning +4000 **Brett Favre +4500** Matt Hasselbeck +5000 Matt Cassell +5000 Any Other +250 **$100 – Aaron Rodgers, +1400** **$100 – Philip Rivers, +1400** #20) Who will have the most rushing yards in the NFL? Adrian Peterson +210 Michael Turner +460 DeAngelo Williams +815 Clinton Portis +1220 LaDanian Tomlinson +1420 Steve Slaton +1420 Maurice Jones-Drew +1520 Chris Johnson +1600 Steven Jackson +1600 Brandon Jacobs +2000 Matt Forte +2500 Ronnie Brown +3500 Marion Barber +3500 Derrick Ward +5000 Joseph Addai +6000 Any Other +155 **$100 – Chris Johnson, +1600** **$100 – Steve Slaton, +1420** **$100 – DeAngelo Williams +815** #21) Who will have the most receiving yards in the NFL? Andre Johnson +500 Larry Fitzgerald +600 Reggie Wayne +700 Steve Smith +700 Randy Moss +800 Calvin Johnson +1000 Greg Jennings +1400 Marques Colston +1600 Roddy White +1600 Dwayne Bowe +1800 Wes Welker +2000 Braylon Edwards +3000 Santonio Holmes +3000 Any Other +100 **$100 – Calvin Johnson, +1000** **$100 – Any Other, +100** \*#23) Which team will win the **most** regular season games? (In the event of a tie, all qualifying teams will pay out, including “Any Other.”) New England +195 Pittsburgh +240 Indianapolis +270 New York Giants +450 San Diego +500 Philadelphia +500 Tennessee +600 Dallas +600 Minnesota +600 Chicago +750 Arizona +800 Jacksonville +1000 Any Other +100 **$200 – San Diego, +500** #25) How many regular season games will the New England Patriots win? 16 +2500 15 +800 14 +500 13 +450 12 +450 11 +450 10 +600 9 +1000 8 +1800 \< 8 +1500 **$100 – 11, +450** **$100 – 12, +450** **$100 – 13, +450** Cash remaining $2300 ---
**Author:** ![VarlosZ](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/v/d78d45/32.png) [@VarlosZ](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/VarlosZ)\ **Post date:** [September 10, 2009, 11:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2009-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza/505871/25 "2009-09-10T23:52:08Z")
Max bet is $400 **RNATB**. Obviously I’ll still tally the bet sheet, but if you want to be in the running for our extravagant cash prizes, you should redo it. ---
**Author:** ![Omniscient](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/omniscient/32/3290_2.png) [@Omniscient](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Omniscient)\ **Post date:** [September 10, 2009, 11:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2009-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza/505871/26 "2009-09-10T23:53:10Z")
#26) Which team will score more points during the regular season? New England -125 New Orleans +105 **$100 – New Orleans, +105** #27) Which team will score more points during the regular season? Philadelphia -115 New York Giants -115 **$100 – Philadelphia, -115** #28) Which team will score more points during the regular season? Detroit -125 Oakland -105 **$100 – Detroit, 125** #30) Which team will win more regular season games? Chicago -2, -130 Denver +2, +100 **$200 – Chicago, -130** #36) Who will be the Offensive Rookie of the Year? Knowshon Moreno +150 Chris Wells +250 Donald Brown +500 Mark Sanchez +700 Matthew Stafford +800 Percy Harvin +1000 LeSean McCoy +1200 Michael Crabtree +1300 Shonn Green +1400 Josh Freeman +1400 Jeremy Macklin +1800 Hakeem Nicks +1800 Darrius Heyward-Bay +1800 Andre Brown +2000 Brian Robiskie +2000 Kenny Britt +2000 Mike Thomas +2500 Pat White +3000 Mohamed Massaquoi +3000 Brandon Pettigrew +3000 Any Other +500 \*\*$100 – Kenny Britt, +2000 #37) Who will be the Defensive Rookie of the Year? Aaron Curry +500 Tyson Jackson +700 B.J. Raji +700 Rey Maualuga +1000 Brian Arakpo +1000 Peria Jerry +1000 Robert Ayers +1200 Brian Cushing +1200 Clay Matthews +1200 Larry English +1500 Aaron Maybin +1500 Everette Brown +1600 David Verkune +2000 Roy Miller +2000 Sen’Derrick Marks +2000 Ron Brace +2500 Evander Hood +2500 Malcolm Jenkins +2500 Vontae Davis +3000 Clint Sintim +3500 Any Other +400 **$100 – Larry English, +1500** #38) Will the player who scores the most total fantasy points be a QB, RB, or WR, given the following settings: _25/10/10, 0.5 points per reception, Passing TD = 4 points, Rushing/Receiving TDs = 6 points, fumbles lost/interceptions = -2 points_? Quarterback -200 Running Back +150 Wide Receiver +1700 **$100 – Wide Receiver, +1700** #40) Opening night, Tennessee @ Pittsburgh, who wins? Tennessee +4.5, -125 Pittsburgh -4.5, -105 **$400 – Tennessee, -125** #41) Week 10, New England @ Indianapolis, who wins? New England -2.5, -105 Indianapolis +2.5, -125 **$400 – New England, -105** #42) What will be the average amount of “money” **lost** by the participants in this contest (not including money won or lost on this question)? OVER $1000 -120 UNDER $1000 -120 **$400 - UNDER $1000, -120** Cash remaining $300 ---
**Author:** ![Taber](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/ac91a4/32.png) [@Taber](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Taber)\ **Post date:** [September 11, 2009, 12:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2009-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza/505871/27 "2009-09-11T00:00:54Z")
> [@Omniscient](#): > > #25) How many regular season games will the New England Patriots win? > 16 +2500 > 15 +800 > 14 +500 > 13 +450 > 12 +450 > 11 +450 > 10 +600 > 9 +1000 > 8 +1800 > \< 8 +1500 > **$100 – 11, +450** > **$100 – 12, +450** > **$100 – 13, +450** > > Cash remaining $2300 That’s clever ---
**Author:** ![Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/e8c25b/32.png) [@Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Really_Not_All_That_Bright)\ **Post date:** [September 11, 2009, 12:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2009-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza/505871/28 "2009-09-11T00:19:05Z")
Oops. Did the same thing last year. I bet on the NFC South for #3 but that was supposed to be in #2, so good thing I screwed up. **Corrected Sheet 1** 1. **$400 on NFC South @ +$630** 2. **$400 on Indy + 2.5 @ -$125** 3. **$400 on St. Louis @ +1100** 4. **$400 on Hasselbeck @ +5000** 5. **$400 on Ronnie Brown @ +3500** **$200 on Michael Turner @ +460** 6. \*\* $400 on Colston @ +1600\*\* \*\* $400 on Braylon Edwards @ +3000\*\* **$400 on Santonio Holmes @ +3000** 7. **$400 on Freeney @ +1400** 8. **$400 on Oakland @ -105** 9. **$400 on Pettigrew @ +3000** 10. **$400 on Malcolm Jenkins @ +2500** Exactly $5k spent. ---
**Author:** ![Taber](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/ac91a4/32.png) [@Taber](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Taber)\ **Post date:** [September 11, 2009, 6:56pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2009-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza/505871/29 "2009-09-11T18:56:39Z")
> [@Taber](#): > > #40) Opening night, Tennessee @ Pittsburgh, who wins? > $400 - Tennessee +4.5, -115 Woot, I’m up already. Though I think everyone who bet on this got it right. (At least I got better odds than Omniscient on it) ---
**Author:** ![SenorBeef](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/senorbeef/32/2220_2.png) [@SenorBeef](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SenorBeef)\ **Post date:** [September 11, 2009, 7:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2009-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza/505871/30 "2009-09-11T19:07:08Z")
Crap, I had this on my to do list yesterday and totally forgot. Now I missed the deadline. Oh well, I’m going to post some answers and play along unofficially if no one minds. ---
**Author:** ![SenorBeef](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/senorbeef/32/2220_2.png) [@SenorBeef](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SenorBeef)\ **Post date:** [September 13, 2009, 8:43am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2009-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza/505871/31 "2009-09-13T08:43:41Z")
Entering unofficially since I dragged my ass on this one: #2) Which division will have the best cumulative record? $200 AFC North +630 #3) Which division will have the worst cumulative record? $400 AFC West +250 #4) Name six teams that will not make the playoffs (all six must be correct). -130 $100 Buffalo, St. Louis, Oakland, Detroit, Denver, Kansas City #5) Name three teams that will win their division (all three must be correct). -120 $400 New England, San Diego, Indianapolis #9) Will the average number of total points scored in 2009 regular season games be OVER or UNDER 44.06 (i.e., last year’s average)? $300 OVER -105 #12) Who will win the AFC North? $100 cleveland +1200 (yeah, yeah) #16) Who will win the NFC North? $400 Green Bay +230 #19) Who will have the most passing yards in the NFL? $100 Aaron Rodgers +1400 $100 Matt Hasselbeck +5000 $100 Tom Brady +600 #20) Who will have the most rushing yards in the NFL? $100 Ronnie Brown +3500 $100 DeAngelo Williams +815 #21) Who will have the most receiving yards in the NFL? $100 Calvin Johnson +1000 $100 Marques Colston +1600 #22) Which player will record the most sacks? $100 Jared Allen +900 $100 Shawne Merriman +1200 #23) Which team will win the most regular season games? $200 San Diego +500 #24) Which team will win the fewest regular season games? $100 Denver +500 #28) Which team will score more points during the regular season? $400 Detroit -125 #30) Which team will win more regular season games? $400 Chicago -2, -130 #31) Which team will win more regular season games? $400 Detroit +7, -110 #32) Which player will throw more TD passes? $200 Peyton Manning -6.5, -120 #33) Which player will throw more TD passes? $200 Tom Brady -5.5, -120 #35) Which QB drafted in 2004 will throw for the most yards? $100 Matt Schaub +950 #36) Who will be the Offensive Rookie of the Year? $100 Kenny Britt +2000 #37) Who will be the Defensive Rookie of the Year? $100 Rey Maualuga +1000 (undeserved, but I think he’ll have a big highlight reel that’ll get votes) ---
**Author:** ![Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/e8c25b/32.png) [@Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Really_Not_All_That_Bright)\ **Post date:** [September 13, 2009, 3:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2009-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza/505871/32 "2009-09-13T15:49:50Z")
Hey, no fair on Kenny Britt! He looked really good in that Steelers game. ---
**Author:** ![SenorBeef](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/senorbeef/32/2220_2.png) [@SenorBeef](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SenorBeef)\ **Post date:** [September 13, 2009, 3:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2009-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza/505871/33 "2009-09-13T15:51:37Z")
You’re right. I tried to avoid making any bets related to that game and I probably would’ve picked Britt anyway, but let me remove that one and replace him with $100 Jeremy Macklin +1800 ---
**Author:** ![Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/e8c25b/32.png) [@Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Really_Not_All_That_Bright)\ **Post date:** [October 5, 2009, 1:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2009-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza/505871/34 "2009-10-05T13:27:33Z")
> [@Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](#): > > Oops. Did the same thing last year. > > I bet on the NFC South for #3 but that was supposed to be in #2, so good thing I screwed up. > > **Corrected Sheet 1** > > 1. **$400 on NFC South @ +$630** - _D’oh!_ > > 2. **$400 on Indy + 2.5 @ -$125** > > 3. **$400 on St. Louis @ +1100** - _D’oh!_ > > 4. **$400 on Hasselbeck @ +5000** - _D’oh!_ > > 5. **$400 on Ronnie Brown @ +3500** - _Not too far off…_ > **$200 on Michael Turner @ +460** > > 6. \*\* $400 on Colston @ +1600\*\* - _Meh_. > \*\* $400 on Braylon Edwards @ +3000\*\* - _D’oh!_ > **$400 on Santonio Holmes @ +3000** - _Woot_! _Shoulda sprung for Weggie Wayne too though._ > > 7. **$400 on Freeney @ +1400** - _Bah._ > > 8. **$400 on Oakland @ -105** - _Might still win this one._ > > 9. **$400 on Pettigrew @ +3000** - _This too._ > > 10. **$400 on Malcolm Jenkins @ +2500** - _Probably not this one sice he isn’t starting yet._ > > Exactly $5k spent. > [@On another topic](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/550136/1): > > Hey I want to tell all the forum members about a award winning NFL picks service. They had success rate of 84% last year. I made close to $200k using their picks. You can subscribe for only $2.99. Check out the website [www.247nflpicks.com](http://www.247nflpicks.com) > > * * * > > Shelly Smith Reported. ---
**Author:** ![SenorBeef](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/senorbeef/32/2220_2.png) [@SenorBeef](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SenorBeef)\ **Post date:** [October 5, 2009, 1:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2009-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza/505871/35 "2009-10-05T13:31:07Z")
You reported your own bad bets?! ---
**Author:** ![Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/e8c25b/32.png) [@Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Really_Not_All_That_Bright)\ **Post date:** [October 5, 2009, 1:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2009-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza/505871/36 "2009-10-05T13:52:03Z")
Probably should have. Not like _you_ had money on Elvis Dumervil, though… ---
**Author:** ![VarlosZ](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/v/d78d45/32.png) [@VarlosZ](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/VarlosZ)\ **Post date:** [January 7, 2010, 4:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2009-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza/505871/37 "2010-01-07T16:46:58Z")
Bump. Results to come today, I would imagine. ---
**Author:** ![Hamlet](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hamlet/32/2818_2.png) [@Hamlet](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hamlet)\ **Post date:** [January 7, 2010, 5:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2009-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza/505871/38 "2010-01-07T17:10:00Z")
Whew. I don’t think I’ll be too happy with the results this year. ---
**Author:** ![Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/e8c25b/32.png) [@Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Really_Not_All_That_Bright)\ **Post date:** [January 7, 2010, 7:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2009-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza/505871/39 "2010-01-07T19:16:10Z")
This is going to by ooogly. ---
**Author:** ![VarlosZ](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/v/d78d45/32.png) [@VarlosZ](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/VarlosZ)\ **Post date:** [January 7, 2010, 8:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2009-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza/505871/40 "2010-01-07T20:13:36Z")
#1) Which conference will have a better record in inter-conference games? **AFC -185** – The AFC was 37-27 in inter-conference games this year, improving on last year’s 34-29-1 mark. #2) Which division will have the best cumulative record? **AFC South +300** – The AFC South finished 38-26 (26-14 in inter-division play). In second place was the NFC East at just 34-30 (22-18); most divisions were clumped tightly around the middle this year (all but two had between 30-34 total wins). #3) Which division will have the worst cumulative record? **NFC West +270** – The NFC West was the only team to miss .500 by a mile in either direction, finishing with a 24-40 mark (12-28 excluding divisional play). They were, at least, two games better than they were last year. #7) Will a Head Coach be fired before the start of Week 17? **Yes -330** – The Bills fired Dick Jauron after Week 10. He was the only coach to be fired in-season this year. #8) Will the largest point spread of the season by OVER or UNDER 17.25 (as per [goldsheet.com](http://www.goldsheet.com/08nflog.php))? **UNDER 17.25 -110** – Oak @ SD (Week 8) and Det @ Min (Week 10) both yielded spreads of 16.5. Oak @ NYG (Week 5) was 15.5. The favorites covered two out of the three games. #9) Will the average number of total points scored in 2009 regular season games be OVER or UNDER 44.06 (i.e., last year’s average)? **UNDER 44.06 -125** – The average fell by more than a full point, to 42.93. #10) Will the number of **TD Passes** thrown by LaDanian Tomlinson be OVER or UNDER 0.5? **UNDER 0.5 -135** – LdT was 0-1 with 0 TDs this year. This question may have to be retired after this season. #12) Who will win the AFC North? **Cincinnati +900** #15) Who will win the NFC East? **Dallas +275** – The other six divisions were all won by the preseason favorites. #19) Who will have the most passing yards in the NFL? **Any Other +250** – Matt Schaub, 4,770. Peyton Manning was 2nd, with an even 4,500 yards. Only 3 of the top ten in passing yards were not listed as options. #20) Who will have the most rushing yards in the NFL? **Chris Johnson +1600** – 2006 yards. 6 of the top ten were not listed as options, but only one out of the top five (Thomas Jones, 3rd). #21) Who will have the most receiving yards in the NFL? **Andre Johnson +500** – The favorite going in, leads the league in yards for the second straight season. 11 of the top 16 in yards were not listed as options, but only 2 of the top 5 (Austin, S. Rice). #22) Which player will record the most sacks? **Any Other -200** – Elvis Dumervil comes out of nowhere to finish with 17.0 sacks. Five out of the top ten were not listed as options. #26) Which team will score more points during the regular season [New England or New Orleans]? **New Orleans +105** – The Saints outscored the Pats by a total of 510-427. #27) Which team will score more points during the regular season [Philadelphia or the Giants]? **Philadelphia -115** – By a score of 429-402. #28) Which team will score more points during the regular season [Detroit or Oakland]?\*\* Detroit -125\*\* – By a score of 262-197. Oakland scored the second fewest points in the league, behind only St. Louis (175). #31) Which team will win more regular season games [New England (-7) or Detroit]? **New England -7, -125** – Despite failing to match expectations, the Pats just beat the spread, 10 wins vs. 2, thanks to Detroit’s failure to regress to the mean. #32) Which player will throw more TD passes [Peyton Manning (-6.5) or Eli]? **Eli Manning +6.5, -110** – Eli just covers the spread by (quietly) having a career year (27 TD passes vs. Peyton’s 33). #33) Which player will throw more TD passes [Tom Brady (-5.5) or Matt Cassel]? **Tom Brady -5.5, -120** – Brady in a blowout, 28-16. In retrospect kind of a silly line, but I’m not the one who set it. #34) Which player will throw more TD passes [Drew Brees (-2.5) or Philip Rivers]? **Drew Brees -2.5, -115** – 34-28. #35) Which QB drafted in 2004 will throw for the most yards? **Matt Schaub +950** – 4770 Ben Roethlisberger +515 – 4328 Philip Rivers -195 – 4254 Eli Manning +480 – 4021 Any Other +10000 – 2 (Losman 0/1, 0 yards; McCown 1/3, 2 yards) #36) Who will be the Offensive Rookie of the Year? **Percy Harvin +1000** – Michael Oher was a distant second. #37) Who will be the Defensive Rookie of the Year? **Brian Cushing +1200** – Jairus Byrd was a distant second. #38) Will the player who scores the most total fantasy points be a QB, RB, or WR, given the following settings: _25/10/10, 0.5 points per reception, Passing TD = 4 points, Rushing/Receiving TDs = 6 points, fumbles lost/interceptions = -2 points_? **Running Back +150** – Chris Johnson’s greatest achievement, obviously. The top five were Johnson (365.9), Aaron Rodgers (337), MJD (301.7), ADP (299.4), and Drew Brees (292.4). The highest scoring WR was Andre Johnson, who was a ways back with 264.4. #39) Which Defense/Special Teams will score the most fantasy points, given the settings detailed in [this post](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showpost.php?p=11427421&postcount=39) (it’s pretty close to standard)? **Any Other +120** – The Jets win this one with 261 fantasy points scored. The 8 teams I felt had the best shot were listed; only 3 finished in the top 10 in fantasy scoring, none higher than 5th. Starting with the favorite (Pittsburgh) and working down, their ranks were: 16th, 28th, 6th, 22nd, 5th, 12th, 8th, and 24th. That is, as a group, they were just barely better than average. #41) Week 10, New England @ Indianapolis, who wins? **Indianapolis +2.5, -125** – By game-time, this had flipped to Indy -3. #43 Which Quarterback will throw for more yards [Favre or Rodgers]? **Aaron Rodgers -400** – 4434 vs. 4202. Favre puts in a surprisingly good performance. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2009-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza/505871.md?page=1) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2009-nfl-prop-bet-extravaganza/505871.md?page=3)