# 2010 American Idol Top 12 Prediction Game

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-american-idol-top-12-prediction-game/532287>\
**Category:** The Game Room\
**Created:** [March 12, 2010, 7:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-american-idol-top-12-prediction-game/532287 "2010-03-12T19:53:14Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![Hal\_Briston](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/a9a28c/32.png) [@Hal\_Briston](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hal_Briston)\
**Post date:** [March 12, 2010, 7:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-american-idol-top-12-prediction-game/532287/1 "2010-03-12T19:53:14Z")

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Ok, let’s see just how much interest there is in this. We did it this way for a couple of years before moving over to the [Fun Office Pools version](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=548425) last season. But there were a couple of requests that we run _both_ pools this year, so let’s give it a shot.

We’ll be running this one the same way as was done in the [2008 pool](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=458773). You pick who you think will go home in which position (#12 goes home first, #1 wins _AI_). If you pick the a particular contestant’s exit week exactly right, you get zero points. If you’re off by one week, you get one point; off by two weeks, you get two points; etc…at the end, the person with the lowest total score wins.

Any questions, let me know or check the thread linked in the previous paragraph for any minor rulings. Ok, here’s how I see it coming down:

1. Lacey Brown
2. Tim Urban
3. Aaron Kelly
4. Paige Miles
5. Didi Benami
6. Andrew Garcia
7. Katie Stevens
8. Casey James
9. Siobhan Magnus
10. Michael Lynche
11. Crystal Bowersox
12. Lee Dewyze

All right then, the deadline will be the opening credits for the Top 12 show, so get the picks in here by make sure you’ve got your picks in before 8:00 Eastern on Tuesday, March 16th. Good luck!

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**Author:** ![infinitii](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/e8c25b/32.png) [@infinitii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/infinitii)\
**Post date:** [March 12, 2010, 9:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-american-idol-top-12-prediction-game/532287/2 "2010-03-12T21:24:20Z")

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OK, so this is a one-and-done deal then? I was actually leaning toward Katelyn getting to top 3 before last night, so I’m completely dumbfounded. What the heck, here goes:

1. Paige Miles
2. Andrew Garcia
3. Aaron Kelly
4. Didi Benami
5. Tim Urban
6. Casey James
7. Katie Stevens
8. Michael Lynch
9. Lacey Brown
10. Crystal Bowersox
11. Lee Dweyze
12. Siobhan Magnus

(By the by, I looked at that old thread – so no one picked David Cook to win it all?)

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**Author:** ![Rachael\_Rage](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/71c47a/32.png) [@Rachael\_Rage](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Rachael_Rage)\
**Post date:** [March 12, 2010, 9:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-american-idol-top-12-prediction-game/532287/3 "2010-03-12T21:49:48Z")

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I was hoping this game would be revived this year. Too bad I just deleted the rest of the season from my DVR in utter disgust. BUT since this is a “one and done” deal there’s no harm in playing. Most of my top 12 picks this year have been booted and in '07 I think I picked David Cook for 6th place or something, so who the hell knows?

I’ll send my picks in later but I’m definitely interested!

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**Author:** ![Sam\_Stone](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/ecccb3/32.png) [@Sam\_Stone](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sam_Stone)\
**Post date:** [March 13, 2010, 6:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-american-idol-top-12-prediction-game/532287/4 "2010-03-13T06:03:22Z")

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1. Paige Miles
2. Aaron Kelly
3. Lacey Brown
4. Tim Urban
5. Katie Stevens
6. Michael Lynche
7. Didi Benami
8. Andrew Garcia
9. Lee Dewyze
10. Siobhan Magnus
11. Casey James
12. Crystal Bowersox

I would have picked both Katelyn and Lilly for the top five, so I’m likely to be horribly, tragically wrong.

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**Author:** ![Gorgonzola](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/e480ec/32.png) [@Gorgonzola](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gorgonzola)\
**Post date:** [March 13, 2010, 6:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-american-idol-top-12-prediction-game/532287/5 "2010-03-13T06:13:27Z")

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1. Aaron Kelly
2. Lacey Brown
3. Katie Stevens
4. Tim Urban
5. Paige Miles
6. Didi Benami
7. Michael Lynche
8. Andrew Garcia
9. Crystal Bowersox
10. Casey James
11. Lee Dewyze
12. Siobhan Magnus

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**Author:** ![Tangent](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tangent/32/3098_2.png) [@Tangent](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tangent)\
**Post date:** [March 13, 2010, 6:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-american-idol-top-12-prediction-game/532287/6 "2010-03-13T06:54:59Z")

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1. Tim Urban
2. Paige Miles
3. Aaron Kelly
4. Katie Stevens
5. Andrew Garcia
6. Lacey Brown
7. Lee Dewyze
8. Michael Lynche
9. Didi Benami
10. Crystal Bowersox
11. Casey James
12. Siobhan Magnus

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**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\
**Post date:** [March 13, 2010, 3:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-american-idol-top-12-prediction-game/532287/7 "2010-03-13T15:50:56Z")

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Oh, I remember this! Cool, I’ll enter in a bit.

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**Author:** ![Drain\_Bead](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/e47774/32.png) [@Drain\_Bead](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Drain_Bead)\
**Post date:** [March 13, 2010, 5:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-american-idol-top-12-prediction-game/532287/8 "2010-03-13T17:59:55Z")

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1. Lacey Brown
2. Tim Urban
3. Paige Miles
4. Aaron Kelly
5. Katie Stevens
6. Lee Dewyze
7. Didi Benami
8. Andrew Garcia
9. Casey James
10. Michael Lynche
11. Crystal Bowersox
12. Siobhan Magnus

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**Author:** ![judikium](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/a9adbd/32.png) [@judikium](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/judikium)\
**Post date:** [March 15, 2010, 1:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-american-idol-top-12-prediction-game/532287/9 "2010-03-15T01:04:50Z")

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1. Didi Benami
2. Lacey Brown
3. Aaron Kelly
4. Paige Miles
5. Tim Urban
6. Lee Dewyze
7. Andrew Garcia
8. Katie Stevens
9. Michael Lynche
10. Siobhan Magnus
11. Casey James
12. Crystal Bowersox

I’m a little scared that I might be right, but I think we’ll be seeing a lot more Tim Urban and Katie Stevens than we can handle…and Siobhan and Crystal might have a bit of trouble connecting personality-wise - Allison definitely had that problem last year. Hopefully they’ll both manage to get deep in; they are really the only worthy vocalists, imo.

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**Author:** ![Pleonast](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pleonast/32/1183_2.png) [@Pleonast](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pleonast)\
**Post date:** [March 15, 2010, 4:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-american-idol-top-12-prediction-game/532287/10 "2010-03-15T16:08:57Z")

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Good idea, **Hal**!

Here’s my lousy guess:  
12. Paige Miles  
11. Tim Urban  
10. Katie Stevens  
09. Aaron Kelly  
08. Lacey Brown  
07. Lee DeWyze  
06. Andrew Garcia  
05. Siobhan Magnus  
04. Michael Lynche  
03. Didi Benami  
02. Crystal Bowersox

1. Casey James

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**Author:** ![It\_s\_Not\_Rocket\_Surgery](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/it_s_not_rocket_surgery/32/312_2.png) [@It\_s\_Not\_Rocket\_Surgery](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/It_s_Not_Rocket_Surgery)\
**Post date:** [March 15, 2010, 4:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-american-idol-top-12-prediction-game/532287/11 "2010-03-15T16:13:01Z")

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1. Lacey Brown
2. Tim Urban
3. Paige Miles
4. Aaron Kelly
5. Katie Stevens
6. Didi Benami
7. Andrew Garcia
8. Siobhan Magnus
9. Casey James
10. Lee Dewyze
11. Crystal Bowersox
12. Michael Lynche

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**Author:** ![Pleonast](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pleonast/32/1183_2.png) [@Pleonast](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pleonast)\
**Post date:** [March 15, 2010, 4:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-american-idol-top-12-prediction-game/532287/12 "2010-03-15T16:58:27Z")

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Here’s a scoring spreadsheet like I did last time: [SDMB American Idol 2010 Ranking Game](http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tJfnVQ4EyfiJYNGMkRLvyww&output=html). It should be publicly viewable. Let me know if it’s not, or if I have your entry wrong.

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**Author:** ![Hal\_Briston](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/a9a28c/32.png) [@Hal\_Briston](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hal_Briston)\
**Post date:** [March 15, 2010, 5:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-american-idol-top-12-prediction-game/532287/13 "2010-03-15T17:44:58Z")

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Woohoo! Thanks much, **Pleonast**! I had taken a couple of Excel courses recently, one of which was on formulas, so I had it in mind that I’d see if I could replicate what you had done in previous years. I’m very relieved that I can continue my practice with non-public spreadsheets for awhile yet. 🙂

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**Author:** ![Sternvogel](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/bc79bd/32.png) [@Sternvogel](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sternvogel)\
**Post date:** [March 15, 2010, 7:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-american-idol-top-12-prediction-game/532287/14 "2010-03-15T19:19:23Z")

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I haven’t been following the show this year, but what the heck – maybe I’ll be the equivalent of the office secretary who knows nothing about basketball but wins the NCAA pool based on which schools’ mascots are deemed cuter.

1. Tim Urban
2. Lacey Brown
3. Aaron Kelly
4. Didi Benami
5. Andrew Garcia
6. Katie Stevens
7. Michael Lynche
8. Paige Miles
9. Casey James
10. Crystal Bowersox
11. Lee DeWyze
12. Siobhan Magnus

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**Author:** ![Winston\_Bongo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/a9adbd/32.png) [@Winston\_Bongo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Winston_Bongo)\
**Post date:** [March 16, 2010, 12:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-american-idol-top-12-prediction-game/532287/15 "2010-03-16T12:41:45Z")

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Never played before, plus I have a terrible track record for picking who’s going and who wins, but as they say, what the hell . . .

1. Paige Miles
2. Katie Stevens
3. Lacey Brown
4. Aaron Kelly
5. Tim Urban
6. Andrew Garcia
7. Lee DeWyze
8. Didi Benami
9. Casey James
10. Crystal Bowersox
11. Siobhan Magnus
12. Mike Lynch

I haven’t looked at others’ predictions in detail, so my apologies if I duplicated someone else’s guesses. Apologies also to my girl Siobhan, who I am personally rooting for to win, but I don’t think she will; the quirkiness I love about her may be her undoing. Big Mike, on the other hand, has a dramatic back-story, good personality, and the voice to take it all, I think. But if I’m proven wrong and Siobhan wins, hey, that’s okay too. 😃

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**Author:** ![Invisible\_Chimp](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/f05b48/32.png) [@Invisible\_Chimp](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Invisible_Chimp)\
**Post date:** [March 16, 2010, 3:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-american-idol-top-12-prediction-game/532287/16 "2010-03-16T15:52:27Z")

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1. Didi Benami
2. Paige Miles
3. Andrew Garcia
4. Aaron Kelly
5. Lacey Brown
6. Tim Urban
7. Lee DeWyze
8. Katie Stevens
9. Siobhan Magnus
10. Casey James
11. Mike Lynche
12. Crystal Bowersox

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**Author:** ![RachelChristine](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/7ab992/32.png) [@RachelChristine](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RachelChristine)\
**Post date:** [March 16, 2010, 11:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-american-idol-top-12-prediction-game/532287/17 "2010-03-16T23:11:19Z")

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1. Lacey Brown
2. Paige Miles
3. Andrew Garcia
4. Didi Benami
5. Katie Stevens
6. Aaron Kelly
7. Tim Urban
8. Siobhan Magnus
9. Casey James
10. Lee DeWyze
11. Crystal Bowersox
12. Mike Lynche

Notoriously bad, and I’m hoping that Siobhan goes farther than I think she will, but we will see. Then again, I put David Cook low, because I loved him and didn’t think he’d have enough appeal. Maybe I’ll be wrong about my sweetie Siobhan too!

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**Author:** ![Rachael\_Rage](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/71c47a/32.png) [@Rachael\_Rage](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Rachael_Rage)\
**Post date:** [March 17, 2010, 6:43am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-american-idol-top-12-prediction-game/532287/18 "2010-03-17T06:43:46Z")

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My picks in vote-off order:

1. Andrew Garcia
2. Lacey Brown
3. Michael Lynche
4. Tim Urban
5. Katie Stevens
6. Paige Miles
7. Didi Benami
8. Aaron Kelly
9. Lee Dewyze
10. Casey James
11. Crystal Bowersox
12. Siobhan Magnus

This was tough, I am not even very confident about my top 3. At this time last year the winner wasn’t even on my radar and my favorite to win got 11th place, so what do I know? On the other hand, I’ve gotten freakishly lucky on these pools in the past.

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**Author:** ![Rachael\_Rage](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/71c47a/32.png) [@Rachael\_Rage](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Rachael_Rage)\
**Post date:** [March 17, 2010, 6:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-american-idol-top-12-prediction-game/532287/19 "2010-03-17T06:45:57Z")

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wait, what? I thought the deadline was WEDNESDAY’S show? Well, shit!

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**Author:** ![Face\_Intentionally\_Left\_Blank](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/face_intentionally_left_blank/32/288_2.png) [@Face\_Intentionally\_Left\_Blank](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Face_Intentionally_Left_Blank)\
**Post date:** [March 17, 2010, 7:39am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-american-idol-top-12-prediction-game/532287/20 "2010-03-17T07:39:59Z")

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Bah, I never see these things in time. I’ll post my list for giggles anyway.

1. Didi Benami
2. Paige Miles
3. Tim Urban
4. Andrew Garcia
5. Katie Stevens
6. Aaron Kelly
7. Lacey Brown
8. Casey James
9. Lee Dewyze
10. Crystal Bowersox
11. Michael Lynche
12. Siobhan Magnus

I think Crystal’s gonna be solid throughout, but Siobhan has the greater capacity to crowd-please, and only one girl will survive the top 3 showdown. Casey’s gonna ride the teen girl vote, but Lee’s “Danny Gokey” voice will win him a top-4 slot. Big Mike’s backstory, voice, and likability will serve him well, but Siobhan will give the bigger “wow” to win it all.

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-american-idol-top-12-prediction-game/532287.md?page=2)
