# 2010 Masters Pool

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-masters-pool/535087>\
**Category:** The Game Room\
**Created:** [April 5, 2010, 11:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-masters-pool/535087 "2010-04-05T23:06:52Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 2

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**Author:** ![phungi](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/phungi/32/395_2.png) [@phungi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/phungi)\
**Post date:** [April 8, 2010, 4:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-masters-pool/535087/21 "2010-04-08T16:44:41Z")

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> [@notfrommensa](#):
>
> phungi nearly went with chalk on his bet. He bet on ten players, no one at longer odd than 40/1.

I prefer _“phungi opted for actuarial decision making”_

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**Author:** ![notfrommensa](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/n/f14d63/32.png) [@notfrommensa](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/notfrommensa)\
**Post date:** [April 8, 2010, 4:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-masters-pool/535087/22 "2010-04-08T16:48:56Z")

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> [@phungi](#):
>
> I prefer _“phungi opted for actuarial decision making”_

_ **smile** _ Ok, I will call it that.

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**Author:** ![Dinsdale](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/97f17d/32.png) [@Dinsdale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dinsdale)\
**Post date:** [April 8, 2010, 9:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-masters-pool/535087/23 "2010-04-08T21:08:57Z")

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They just said that over the last 12 years Mick finished out of the top 12 only once. So despite the low-ish odds, looks like he is pretty sure money.  
Kicking myself for not putting anything on Watney…

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**Author:** ![UltraVires](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/ecccb3/32.png) [@UltraVires](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/UltraVires)\
**Post date:** [April 8, 2010, 9:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-masters-pool/535087/24 "2010-04-08T21:40:04Z")

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Latest News From Masters:

TIGER MAKES HIS 4 FOOT PAR PUTT!!!

btw Watson, Mickelson lead

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**Author:** ![notfrommensa](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/n/f14d63/32.png) [@notfrommensa](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/notfrommensa)\
**Post date:** [April 8, 2010, 11:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-masters-pool/535087/25 "2010-04-08T23:57:14Z")

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Round 1 scores:

ShibbOleth 644  
phungi 504  
Dinsdale 488  
Gray Ghost 480  
drm 466  
NFM 264  
peekercpa 40  
Lamar Mundane 0  
As a group, we left a lot of money on the table. No one picked Couples or Watson.  
Please let me know if you think I made an error with the scores.

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**Author:** ![Lamar\_Mundane](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/85f322/32.png) [@Lamar\_Mundane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lamar_Mundane)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2010, 12:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-masters-pool/535087/26 "2010-04-09T00:29:48Z")

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I think mine is correct.

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**Author:** ![ShibbOleth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/848f3c/32.png) [@ShibbOleth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ShibbOleth)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2010, 5:15am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-masters-pool/535087/27 "2010-04-09T05:15:09Z")

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> [@notfrommensa](#):
>
> Round 1 scores:
> 
> ShibbOleth 644  
> phungi 504  
> Dinsdale 488  
> Gray Ghost 480  
> drm 466  
> NFM 264  
> peekercpa 40  
> Lamar Mundane 0

Wow, how’d that happen? I thought that the guys I’d picked were suckin’ it. Now I need to go check results somewhere.

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**Author:** ![notfrommensa](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/n/f14d63/32.png) [@notfrommensa](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/notfrommensa)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2010, 2:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-masters-pool/535087/28 "2010-04-09T14:57:52Z")

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> [@ShibbOleth](#):
>
> Wow, how’d that happen? I thought that the guys I’d picked were suckin’ it. Now I need to go check results somewhere.

You picked “KC Choi” for $10. I gave you KJ Choi at 66-1 and he was T2 after yesterdays round. 2nd place = 90% return \* $10 \* 66 = 594.

Plus you you got a 40% return on your $25 bet on Tiger at 5/1. $25\*40%\*5 = $50

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**Author:** ![Dinsdale](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/97f17d/32.png) [@Dinsdale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dinsdale)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2010, 3:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-masters-pool/535087/29 "2010-04-09T15:18:17Z")

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Just thought I’d post the top of the leaderboard following rd 1.  
The number in parens represents the number of people with money on a particular player.

Looks like Boom boom has already added another stroke to his lead.

1 Couples -6  
2 Choi -5 (1)  
Mick -5 (3)  
Watson -5  
Westwood -5 (3)  
Yang -5  
7 Barnes -4  
Kim -4 (2)  
Poulter -4 (2)  
Schwartzel -4  
Watney -4  
Woods -4 (6)

13 Schwartzel -3 (1)  
Scott -3  
Toms -3  
Immelman -3  
17 Kuchar -2  
Molinari -2 (1)  
Kjeldsen -2  
Ikeda -2 (1)  
Johnson -2 (1)

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**Author:** ![ShibbOleth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/848f3c/32.png) [@ShibbOleth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ShibbOleth)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2010, 4:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-masters-pool/535087/30 "2010-04-09T16:11:06Z")

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> [@notfrommensa](#):
>
> You picked “KC Choi” for $10. I gave you KJ Choi at 66-1 and he was T2 after yesterdays round. 2nd place = 90% return \* $10 \* 66 = 594.
> 
> Plus you you got a 40% return on your $25 bet on Tiger at 5/1. $25\*40%\*5 = $50

It was sort of a rhetorical question, but thanks for the breakdown. Can I cash that out now or do I need to keep playing?

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**Author:** ![Dinsdale](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/97f17d/32.png) [@Dinsdale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dinsdale)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2010, 4:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-masters-pool/535087/31 "2010-04-09T16:18:15Z")

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I dunno - KJ could easily stick near the top of the leader board, and those odds will continue to pay off for you. And Zach Johnson might give you some return.

Anyone in the top 10 at this point can likely stay there with 3 more rounds of around par.

Me, I’ve got 3 in scoring position - Tiger,Mick, Westwood - but they are all paying short odds.

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**Author:** ![notfrommensa](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/n/f14d63/32.png) [@notfrommensa](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/notfrommensa)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2010, 4:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-masters-pool/535087/32 "2010-04-09T16:33:45Z")

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It looks like conditions are much tougher today. No one is going deep today. Ricky Barnes and Kenny Perry are the best scores at -2. Poulter, Kjedlson and O’Hair is one under.

Anyone taken a close look at Soren Kjeldson? He looks like he should be making toys for Santa at the North Pole.

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**Author:** ![ShibbOleth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/848f3c/32.png) [@ShibbOleth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ShibbOleth)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2010, 5:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-masters-pool/535087/33 "2010-04-09T17:55:47Z")

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> [@ShibbOleth](#):
>
> Martin Kaymer - $30  
> Tiger Woods - $25  
> Ernie Els - $20  
> KC Choi - $10  
> Thongchai Jaidee - $10  
> Zach Johnson - $5
> 
> Alternate - Phil Mickelson

I see that Thongchai withdrew… how does that work with Mickelson?

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**Author:** ![Dinsdale](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/97f17d/32.png) [@Dinsdale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dinsdale)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2010, 7:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-masters-pool/535087/34 "2010-04-09T19:06:54Z")

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> [@ShibbOleth](#):
>
> I see that Thongchai withdrew… how does that work with Mickelson?

Interesting question. If you get $10 on Mick, we might as well call it right now.

Not much movement among those in scoring position. Zack dropped a tad, and Els, O’Hair, and Mahan might be moving into top 10 contention.

What the HELL happened to Sandy Lyle today?! :eek: That’s gotta be close to a record for biggest gap between 2 rounds, or biggest drop after round 1.

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**Author:** ![Dinsdale](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/97f17d/32.png) [@Dinsdale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dinsdale)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2010, 7:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-masters-pool/535087/35 "2010-04-09T19:12:17Z")

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How’d I miss that Ian Poulter is gonna mix things up a bit!

What’s he wearing today? Yesterday I thought his shoes clashed with the rest of his ensemble!

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**Author:** ![Dinsdale](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/97f17d/32.png) [@Dinsdale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dinsdale)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2010, 8:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-masters-pool/535087/36 "2010-04-09T20:10:46Z")

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Just finished up all the work I need to send out this week and don’t really feel like starting anything new.

As of now the only guys in scoring position are:  
Woods  
Mick  
Westwood  
Kim  
Poulter  
and Choi

Possibles still on the course are Mahan and Els.

8 out of the 31 golfers picked. The same number as chosen golfers predicted to miss the cut!

Guys - allow me to be the first to observe that we pretty much suck at picking winners here! 😛

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**Author:** ![notfrommensa](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/n/f14d63/32.png) [@notfrommensa](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/notfrommensa)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2010, 11:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-masters-pool/535087/37 "2010-04-09T23:42:00Z")

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> [@ShibbOleth](#):
>
> I see that Thongchai withdrew… how does that work with Mickelson?

I wanted to pick an alternate just in case one your players WD before the tournament started and you weren’t able to make a replacement pick at the last minute. And it works against me too as I had Thongchai.

Anyways here are the Round 2 (only) results:

Gray Ghost 800  
ShibbOleth 628  
phungi 734  
drm 692  
Dinsdale 536  
NFM 660  
peekercpa 80  
Lamar Mundane 0

Here are cumulative results:

Gray Ghost 1280  
ShibbOleth 1272  
phungi 1238  
drm 1158  
Dinsdale 1024  
NFM 924  
peekercpa 120  
Lamar Mundane 0

Fairly Close, at least amongst the top 6.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![notfrommensa](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/n/f14d63/32.png) [@notfrommensa](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/notfrommensa)\
**Post date:** [April 9, 2010, 11:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-masters-pool/535087/38 "2010-04-09T23:48:00Z")

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I picked Bill Haas (200/1) and he is T12 right now. I figured Daddy (Jay Haas) and his Great Uncle Bob Goalby (1968 Masters Champ) would give him some pointers on playing the course. If he can sneak into the top 10, that will be some big buck for me.

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**Author:** ![peekercpa](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/8baadc/32.png) [@peekercpa](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/peekercpa)\
**Post date:** [April 10, 2010, 5:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-masters-pool/535087/39 "2010-04-10T17:43:01Z")

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durn, i am dominating this about as much as i do the thursday night dope poker get together.

hey, **lamar** , play poker?

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**Author:** ![notfrommensa](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/n/f14d63/32.png) [@notfrommensa](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/notfrommensa)\
**Post date:** [April 10, 2010, 11:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-masters-pool/535087/40 "2010-04-10T23:40:41Z")

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Round 3 results, by themselves:

peekercpa 740  
ShibbOleth 628  
phungi 587  
Dinsdale 548  
Gray Ghost 545  
drm 401  
NFM 330  
Lamar Mundane 0

Standings including all rounds:

ShibbOleth 1900  
Gray Ghost 1825  
phungi 1825  
Dinsdale 1572  
drm 1559  
NFM 1254  
peekercpa 860  
Lamar Mundane 0  
Wow, only $75 separates the top 3 players, I think that is really close.

Round 4 counts double so I think anyone in the top 6 can win it. I need Bill Haas to have a good round for me to win. Peeker might behind the 8-ball because he is relying on Mahan, who I also have.

Sorry, **LamarMundane** , I think you are out of it.

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