# 2010 MLB Home Run Pool **URL:** \ **Category:** The Game Room\ **Created:** [March 29, 2010, 1:42am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-mlb-home-run-pool/534167 "2010-03-29T01:42:18Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 7
**Author:** ![Incensed](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/eb8c5e/32.png) [@Incensed](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Incensed)\ **Post date:** [June 14, 2010, 3:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-mlb-home-run-pool/534167/121 "2010-06-14T15:44:05Z")
1 Michael Cuddyer 2 Evan Longoria 3 Miguel Cabrera 4 Mark Reynolds 5 Albert Pujols 6 Dan Uggla 7 Ryan Zimmerman 8 Ben Zobrist 9 Robinson Cano 10 Lance Berkman **Week 11, Prince Fielder, Milwaukee** **Bootis** , there are a few reasons we’re laggin so bad, but foremost (and it took me playing this game to really grasp this) is the fact that sluggers are streaky. Looking at the league leaders-Cabrera has hit 11 of his 19 HR’s in the last 20 games, leaving only 8 for his other 40 games. Jose Bautista hit 11 of his HR’s in a 19 game stretch, leaving only 7 for his other 45 games. Likewise, Corey Hart hit 11 HR’s in a 17 game stretch, leaving only 6 for his other 38 games. If you happened to pick one of those guys during a hot streak, you’d get about 3.5 HR’s a week; if you picked them during a cool streak (which it appears is roughly twice as likely) you’d get only 1 per week. Even the league leaders are going to be relative busts 2 times in 3. These guys’ streaks are obviously amplified, but I’ve noticed the same thing all year-sluggers seem to go on a tear for 1-2 weeks then cool off again, at least as far as HR’s are concerned. ---
**Author:** ![FoieGrasIsEvil](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/foiegrasisevil/32/16638_2.png) [@FoieGrasIsEvil](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FoieGrasIsEvil)\ **Post date:** [June 14, 2010, 5:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-mlb-home-run-pool/534167/122 "2010-06-14T17:24:41Z")
I’ll go with roid boy Arod this week… ---
**Author:** ![Ambihelical\_Hexnut](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/4491bb/32.png) [@Ambihelical\_Hexnut](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ambihelical_Hexnut)\ **Post date:** [June 14, 2010, 5:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-mlb-home-run-pool/534167/123 "2010-06-14T17:39:17Z")
Standings after week 10: ```auto |Season| Week |Rank| Participant |HR AB|Player HR AB|Chng| --------------------------+------+-------------------+----+ Hawkeyeop |15 235|C. Utley 19| | Ambihelical Hexnut |13 231|V. Guerrero 2 25| | Incensed |11 257|L. Berkman 23| | Bootis |10 222|V. Guerrero 2 25| | The Other Jeffrey Lebowski| 8 140|T. Glaus 2 27|Up 1| wolfman | 7 223|I. Stewart 13|Dn 1| FoieGrasIsEvil | 4 155|J. Bautista 20| | Munch | 3 202| | | storyteller0910 | 1 42| | | In total, our picks have hit 72 HR in 1707 AB (4.22 HR/100 AB) Last week, our picks hit 6 HR in 152 AB (3.95 HR/100 AB) ``` For the second time in 3 weeks, we collectively recorded 6 HR in 152 AB. Vlad’s homers enabled me to cut **Hawkeyeop** ’s lead in half, and also meant that **Bootis** became the fourth participant to reach double digits. Elsewhere, Troy Glaus’s 2 HR game yesterday moved **The Other Jeffrey Lebowski** ahead of **wolfman** into 5th place. ---
**Author:** ![Ambihelical\_Hexnut](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/4491bb/32.png) [@Ambihelical\_Hexnut](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ambihelical_Hexnut)\ **Post date:** [June 21, 2010, 12:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-mlb-home-run-pool/534167/124 "2010-06-21T00:51:20Z")
Week 1: Alex Rodriguez (NYY) Week 2: Chase Utley (PHI) Week 3: Dan Uggla (FLA) Week 4: Derrek Lee (CHC) Week 5: Adam Dunn (WSH) Week 6: Albert Pujols (STL) Week 7: Prince Fielder (MIL) Week 8: Kevin Youkilis (BOS) Week 9: Mark Teixeira (NYY) Week 10: Vladimir Guerrero (TEX) Week 11: Miguel Cabrera (DET) **Week 12: Jose Guillen (KC)** ---
**Author:** ![Munch](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/munch/32/5281_2.png) [@Munch](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Munch)\ **Post date:** [June 21, 2010, 1:43am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-mlb-home-run-pool/534167/125 "2010-06-21T01:43:11Z")
Week 1: Aaron Hill - 0 Week 2: Prince Fielder - 0 Week 3: Chase Utley - 0 Week 4: Matt Kemp - 0 Week 5: Carlos Pena - 0 Week 6: Mark Teixeira - 2 Week 7: Kendry Morales - 1 Week 8: Justin Morneau - 0 Week 9: Jay Bruce Week 12: Joey Votto ---
**Author:** ![wolfman](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/a8b319/32.png) [@wolfman](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/wolfman)\ **Post date:** [June 21, 2010, 2:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-mlb-home-run-pool/534167/126 "2010-06-21T02:17:21Z")
> [@wolfman](#): > > Wolfman so far :1Ichiro:2Kubel:3Heyward: 4Pujols 5:MattHolliday: 6:MCabrera 7:Victorino 8:VWells 9:Morneau 10:Ian Stewart 11:Prince Fielder Week 12 Ryan Howard ---
**Author:** ![Incensed](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/eb8c5e/32.png) [@Incensed](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Incensed)\ **Post date:** [June 21, 2010, 2:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-mlb-home-run-pool/534167/127 "2010-06-21T02:19:19Z")
1 Michael Cuddyer 2 Evan Longoria 3 Miguel Cabrera 4 Mark Reynolds 5 Albert Pujols 6 Dan Uggla 7 Ryan Zimmerman 8 Ben Zobrist 9 Robinson Cano 10 Lance Berkman 11 Prince Fielder **Week 12, Chase Utley, Philadelphia** ---
**Author:** ![The\_Other\_Jeffrey\_Lebowski](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/the_other_jeffrey_lebowski/32/215_2.png) [@The\_Other\_Jeffrey\_Lebowski](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/The_Other_Jeffrey_Lebowski)\ **Post date:** [June 21, 2010, 3:44am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-mlb-home-run-pool/534167/128 "2010-06-21T03:44:07Z")
Adam Dunn ---
**Author:** ![Hawkeyeop](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/958977/32.png) [@Hawkeyeop](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hawkeyeop)\ **Post date:** [June 21, 2010, 1:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-mlb-home-run-pool/534167/129 "2010-06-21T13:49:26Z")
Josh Hamilton ---
**Author:** ![Bootis](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/e8c25b/32.png) [@Bootis](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bootis)\ **Post date:** [June 21, 2010, 2:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-mlb-home-run-pool/534167/130 "2010-06-21T14:30:24Z")
Justin Morneau ---
**Author:** ![Ambihelical\_Hexnut](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/4491bb/32.png) [@Ambihelical\_Hexnut](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ambihelical_Hexnut)\ **Post date:** [June 21, 2010, 4:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-mlb-home-run-pool/534167/131 "2010-06-21T16:28:10Z")
Standings after week 11: ```auto |Season| Week |Rank| Participant |HR AB|Player HR AB|Chng| --------------------------+------+-------------------+----+ Hawkeyeop |15 257|C. Pena 22| | Ambihelical Hexnut |13 251|M. Cabrera 20| | Incensed |12 278|P. Fielder 1 21| | Bootis |11 250|C. Hart 1 28| | The Other Jeffrey Lebowski| 9 167|J. Hamilton 1 27| | wolfman | 8 244|P. Fielder 1 21| | FoieGrasIsEvil | 4 173|A. Rodriguez 18| | Munch | 3 202| | | storyteller0910 | 1 42| | | In total, our picks have hit 76 HR in 1864 AB (4.08 HR/100 AB) Last week, our picks hit 4 HR in 157 AB (2.55 HR/100 AB) ``` Last week turned out to be a very quiet week for us. For the first time all season, everybody remained in the same position on the leaderboard, and nobody had a multi-homer week. ---
**Author:** ![The\_Other\_Jeffrey\_Lebowski](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/the_other_jeffrey_lebowski/32/215_2.png) [@The\_Other\_Jeffrey\_Lebowski](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/The_Other_Jeffrey_Lebowski)\ **Post date:** [June 27, 2010, 9:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-mlb-home-run-pool/534167/132 "2010-06-27T21:32:30Z")
Week 5 Paul Konerko Week 6 Jayson Werth Week 7 Jose Bautista Week 8 Alex Gonzalez Week 9 Mark Teixeira Week 10 Troy Glaus Week 11 Josh Hamilton Week 12 Adam Dunn **Week 13 Matt Holliday** ---
**Author:** ![Ambihelical\_Hexnut](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/4491bb/32.png) [@Ambihelical\_Hexnut](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ambihelical_Hexnut)\ **Post date:** [June 28, 2010, 1:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-mlb-home-run-pool/534167/133 "2010-06-28T01:05:31Z")
Week 1: Alex Rodriguez (NYY) Week 2: Chase Utley (PHI) Week 3: Dan Uggla (FLA) Week 4: Derrek Lee (CHC) Week 5: Adam Dunn (WSH) Week 6: Albert Pujols (STL) Week 7: Prince Fielder (MIL) Week 8: Kevin Youkilis (BOS) Week 9: Mark Teixeira (NYY) Week 10: Vladimir Guerrero (TEX) Week 11: Miguel Cabrera (DET) Week 12: Jose Guillen (KC) **Week 13: Josh Hamilton (TEX)** ---
**Author:** ![Incensed](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/eb8c5e/32.png) [@Incensed](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Incensed)\ **Post date:** [June 28, 2010, 1:57am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-mlb-home-run-pool/534167/134 "2010-06-28T01:57:08Z")
1 Michael Cuddyer 2 Evan Longoria 3 Miguel Cabrera 4 Mark Reynolds 5 Albert Pujols 6 Dan Uggla 7 Ryan Zimmerman 8 Ben Zobrist 9 Robinson Cano 10 Lance Berkman 11 Prince Fielder 12 Chase Utley \*\*Week 13-David Wright, NY Mets \*\* ---
**Author:** ![Bootis](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/e8c25b/32.png) [@Bootis](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bootis)\ **Post date:** [June 28, 2010, 4:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-mlb-home-run-pool/534167/135 "2010-06-28T16:25:40Z")
1. Victor Martinez 2. Carlos Pena 3. Albert Pujols 4. Adrian Gonzolez 5. Chase Utley 6. Ian Stewart 7. Dustin Pedroia 8. Prince Fielder 9. David Ortiz 10. Vlad Guerrero 11. Corey HArt 12. Justin Morneau **Week 13. Vernon Wells, Tor** ---
**Author:** ![Hawkeyeop](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/958977/32.png) [@Hawkeyeop](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hawkeyeop)\ **Post date:** [June 28, 2010, 5:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-mlb-home-run-pool/534167/136 "2010-06-28T17:50:50Z")
Justin Morneau ---
**Author:** ![Ambihelical\_Hexnut](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/4491bb/32.png) [@Ambihelical\_Hexnut](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ambihelical_Hexnut)\ **Post date:** [June 28, 2010, 7:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-mlb-home-run-pool/534167/137 "2010-06-28T19:09:49Z")
Standings after week 12: ```auto |Season| Week |Rank| Participant |HR AB|Player HR AB|Chng| --------------------------+------+-------------------+----+ Hawkeyeop |17 279|J. Hamilton 2 22| | Ambihelical Hexnut |13 274|J. Guillen 23| | Incensed |12 299|C. Utley 21| | Bootis |11 272|J. Morneau 22| | The Other Jeffrey Lebowski|10 188|A. Dunn 1 21| | wolfman | 9 265|R. Howard 1 21| | Munch | 5 223|J. Votto 2 21|Up 1| FoieGrasIsEvil | 4 173| |Dn 1| storyteller0910 | 1 42| | | In total, our picks have hit 82 HR in 2015 AB (4.07 HR/100 AB) Last week, our picks hit 6 HR in 151 AB (3.97 HR/100 AB) ``` **Hawkeyeop** has extended his lead to 4 homers, and **The Other Jeffrey Lebowski** reached double digits. The only change on the leaderboard was **Munch** jumping over **FoieGrasIsEvil** into seventh place. It seems like, in recent weeks, our picks have had a ton of hits, but the longball has largely deserted them… It’s now been 6 straight weeks with an overall rate of less than 4 HR per 100 AB. ---
**Author:** ![wolfman](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/a8b319/32.png) [@wolfman](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/wolfman)\ **Post date:** [June 28, 2010, 10:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-mlb-home-run-pool/534167/138 "2010-06-28T22:51:01Z")
> [@wolfman](#): > > Wolfman so far :1Ichiro:2Kubel:3Heyward: 4Pujols 5:MattHolliday: 6:MCabrera 7:Victorino 8:VWells 9:Morneau 10:Ian Stewart 11:Prince Fielder 12: Ryan Howard Week 13 Andre Eithier ---
**Author:** ![FoieGrasIsEvil](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/foiegrasisevil/32/16638_2.png) [@FoieGrasIsEvil](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FoieGrasIsEvil)\ **Post date:** [June 28, 2010, 11:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-mlb-home-run-pool/534167/139 "2010-06-28T23:26:15Z")
Crap! I’ll take Josh Hamilton. ---
**Author:** ![Incensed](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/eb8c5e/32.png) [@Incensed](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Incensed)\ **Post date:** [July 4, 2010, 8:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-mlb-home-run-pool/534167/140 "2010-07-04T20:16:43Z")
1 Michael Cuddyer 2 Evan Longoria 3 Miguel Cabrera 4 Mark Reynolds 5 Albert Pujols 6 Dan Uggla 7 Ryan Zimmerman 8 Ben Zobrist 9 Robinson Cano 10 Lance Berkman 11 Prince Fielder 12 Chase Utley 13 David Wright **Week 14, Brennan Boesch, Detroit** [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-mlb-home-run-pool/534167.md?page=6) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2010-mlb-home-run-pool/534167.md?page=8)