# 2014 US General Election Results

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2014-us-general-election-results/703684>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 4, 2014, 11:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2014-us-general-election-results/703684 "2014-11-04T23:38:21Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 7

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**Author:** ![Measure\_for\_Measure](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/measure_for_measure/32/557_2.png) [@Measure\_for\_Measure](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Measure_for_Measure)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2014, 3:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2014-us-general-election-results/703684/121 "2014-11-05T03:13:47Z")

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538 places the odds for Republican Senate control at 75%. But it will jump to 86% if Cory Gardner ® wins in Colorado. And one network has called it for Gardner already. That would cross the threshold from “Lean Republican control” to “Likely Republican control” according to MfM labs.

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**Author:** ![Measure\_for\_Measure](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/measure_for_measure/32/557_2.png) [@Measure\_for\_Measure](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Measure_for_Measure)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2014, 3:15am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2014-us-general-election-results/703684/122 "2014-11-05T03:15:04Z")

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> [@Bricker](#):
>
> Just send the $100 check with your losses to me, so I can cash it and have the $100 that you lost to me by losing.

12 seats. Did I say 12 seats? I meant 14 seats.

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**Author:** ![Bricker](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/977dab/32.png) [@Bricker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bricker)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2014, 3:15am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2014-us-general-election-results/703684/123 "2014-11-05T03:15:22Z")

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> [@Lobohan](#):
>
> Moral in the sense that it would cause much needless suffering in order to enrich the top few percent.

This will lessen suffering by increasing freedom and reducing government nanny-statism. It’s a great day.

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**Author:** ![Bricker](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/977dab/32.png) [@Bricker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bricker)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2014, 3:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2014-us-general-election-results/703684/124 "2014-11-05T03:17:38Z")

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> [@Measure\_for\_Measure](#):
>
> 12 seats. Did I say 12 seats? I meant 14 seats.

Say whatever you want. All I care about is the money you lost by running your mouth, and my only ire is that your mouth running was among the more restrained examples. The really mouthy ones had deeply pious reasons never to bet, which meant they wanted the ability to offer up absurd predictions and never be accountable for their error.

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**Author:** ![Measure\_for\_Measure](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/measure_for_measure/32/557_2.png) [@Measure\_for\_Measure](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Measure_for_Measure)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2014, 3:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2014-us-general-election-results/703684/125 "2014-11-05T03:18:55Z")

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Exit polling moves Virginia into the “In play” column. Could be an upset for the Republicans.

According to the 538 model, these seats were in play:

Kansas  
North Carolina  
Iowa  
Colorado (projected R)  
Alaska  
Georgia  
New Hampshire (projected D)  
Louisiana (projected Runoff)  
and now  
Virginia

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Measure\_for\_Measure](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/measure_for_measure/32/557_2.png) [@Measure\_for\_Measure](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Measure_for_Measure)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2014, 3:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2014-us-general-election-results/703684/126 "2014-11-05T03:21:03Z")

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> [@Bricker](#):
>
> Say whatever you want. All I care about is the money you lost by running your mouth, and my only ire is that your mouth running was among the more restrained examples. The really mouthy ones had deeply pious reasons never to bet, which meant they wanted the ability to offer up absurd predictions and never be accountable for their error.

Joking aside Bricker, and for the purposes of the folks at home, I don’t recall betting $100. I also don’t recall your 3:1 prediction, but I haven’t combed through your posts. Just to prevent any misunderstandings.

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**Author:** ![magellan01](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/45deac/32.png) [@magellan01](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/magellan01)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2014, 3:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2014-us-general-election-results/703684/127 "2014-11-05T03:21:38Z")

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Fox just called Wisconsin for Walker. Love it!

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**Author:** ![GIGObuster](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gigobuster/32/421_2.png) [@GIGObuster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GIGObuster)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2014, 3:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2014-us-general-election-results/703684/128 "2014-11-05T03:21:46Z")

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> [@Bricker](#):
>
> This will lessen suffering by increasing freedom and reducing government nanny-statism. It’s a great day.

Before any health care reforms Job Lock and insane premium costs for people wanting to start their own businesses leads only to a system that only a feudal lord would love… or big companies that would not like to see more competition appearing.

There is in reality less freedom in the version of government you want.

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**Author:** ![Bricker](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/977dab/32.png) [@Bricker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bricker)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2014, 3:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2014-us-general-election-results/703684/129 "2014-11-05T03:23:12Z")

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Walker beats Burke.

And he’s not indicted! For liberals this must be like the “Mirror, Mirror” universe where Spock had a beard. Scott Walker hurt unions, and is therefore Evil. What is happening???

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**Author:** ![Velocity](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/velocity/32/18006_2.png) [@Velocity](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Velocity)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2014, 3:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2014-us-general-election-results/703684/130 "2014-11-05T03:23:28Z")

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> [@Measure\_for\_Measure](#):
>
> No, no, no, no. No. Anything less than a pickup of 12 seats will be a crushing disappointment.

Again, this is like someone saying, “If the Colts can’t beat the Giants by more than 21 points, it’ll be a humiliation for the Colts.” I think the winning side gets to determine how it feels about its victory.

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**Author:** ![Omg\_a\_Black\_Conservative](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/o/7ba0ec/32.png) [@Omg\_a\_Black\_Conservative](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Omg_a_Black_Conservative)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2014, 3:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2014-us-general-election-results/703684/131 "2014-11-05T03:23:07Z")

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> [@Measure\_for\_Measure](#):
>
> Exit polling moves Virginia into the “In play” column. Could be an upset for the Republicans.

As much as I wish, it’s not likely.

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**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2014, 3:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2014-us-general-election-results/703684/132 "2014-11-05T03:23:55Z")

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National Review is saying that the IA race has been called for Ernst. Which I really hate when stations do that while the supposed winner is trailing in the polls.

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**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2014, 3:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2014-us-general-election-results/703684/133 "2014-11-05T03:25:20Z")

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Warner just vaulted back over GIllespie.

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**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2014, 3:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2014-us-general-election-results/703684/134 "2014-11-05T03:26:21Z")

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CBS calls Georgia for Perdue, no runoff.

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**Author:** ![Tamerlane](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tamerlane/32/7602_2.png) [@Tamerlane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tamerlane)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2014, 3:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2014-us-general-election-results/703684/135 "2014-11-05T03:26:31Z")

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> [@Omg\_a\_Black\_Conservative](#):
>
> As much as I wish, it’s not likely.

Warner has just squeaked ahead with a chunk of populous and blue Fairfax county still out. I suspect he will survive, but by a razor-thin margin.

ETA: May have spke too soon on that. Looks like Fairfax might be in. Stupid CNN maps.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Measure\_for\_Measure](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/measure_for_measure/32/557_2.png) [@Measure\_for\_Measure](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Measure_for_Measure)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2014, 3:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2014-us-general-election-results/703684/136 "2014-11-05T03:28:03Z")

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> [@Velocity](#):
>
> Again, this is like someone saying, “If the Colts can’t beat the Giants by more than 21 points, it’ll be a humiliation for the Colts.” I think the winning side gets to determine how it feels about its victory.

No, it’s like if the Colts beat Podunk University’s swim team by more than 21 points in an exhibition match. The winds favored Republican Control this election, though the odds were ~60% in August (mild), and 75% on the eve of the election.

(Though if you look at the [distributions](http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/senate-forecast/) setting the goalpost at 10 or 12 seats is just silly. _woosh_)

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**Author:** ![UltraVires](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/ecccb3/32.png) [@UltraVires](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/UltraVires)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2014, 3:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2014-us-general-election-results/703684/137 "2014-11-05T03:28:13Z")

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> [@Bricker](#):
>
> The moral victory is GOP Senate control. It’s a Republican Majority Leader.
> 
> We need one more seat.

Keep in mind that GA will be going to a runoff. We need 2 more seats to clinch tonight.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Bricker](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/977dab/32.png) [@Bricker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bricker)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2014, 3:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2014-us-general-election-results/703684/138 "2014-11-05T03:28:18Z")

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> [@Measure\_for\_Measure](#):
>
> Joking aside Bricker, and for the purposes of the folks at home, I don’t recall betting $100. I also don’t recall your 3:1 prediction, but I haven’t combed through your posts. Just to prevent any misunderstandings.

Sorry. You did participate in a 6:1 discussion which did not bear fruit, and I confused you with DSeid, who did accept a 3:1 wager with me to the tune of $100. I should have re-read the thread to confirm.

I’m guessing you don’t still want that 6:1 bet? 😃

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Tamerlane](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tamerlane/32/7602_2.png) [@Tamerlane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tamerlane)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2014, 3:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2014-us-general-election-results/703684/139 "2014-11-05T03:28:45Z")

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nm

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2014, 3:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2014-us-general-election-results/703684/140 "2014-11-05T03:29:31Z")

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THe polls in VA were skewed!🙂

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